Pos Name Tot Latest
1) Crazy Canuck 1664 33
2) AcuraF1 1626 47
3) Costaz 1622 30
= LB 1622 37
5) Dispenser89 1588 52
6) fisichella_2001 1583 20
7) Viceroy 1579 24
8) skylark68 1578 22
9) jeze 1572 31
10) Apex 1542 19
11) Makarias 1539 31
12) Grayson 1530 31
13) mark f1 1526 16
14) scheivlak 1525 31
15) arcsine 1524 19
= control 1524 17
17) Brawn BGP 001 1495 31
18) kismet 1472 24
19) kNt 1451 25
20) Anderis 1450 31
21) paranoik0 1438 33
22) August 1390 53
23) Estwald 1350 19
24) Wlleiotl 1289 19
25) KWSN -DSM 1255 19
1) Crazy Canuck 1664 33
2) AcuraF1 1626 47
3) Costaz 1622 30
= LB 1622 37
5) Dispenser89 1588 52
6) fisichella_2001 1583 20
7) Viceroy 1579 24
8) skylark68 1578 22
9) jeze 1572 31
10) Apex 1542 19
11) Makarias 1539 31
12) Grayson 1530 31
13) mark f1 1526 16
14) scheivlak 1525 31
15) arcsine 1524 19
= control 1524 17
17) Brawn BGP 001 1495 31
18) kismet 1472 24
19) kNt 1451 25
20) Anderis 1450 31
21) paranoik0 1438 33
22) August 1390 53
23) Estwald 1350 19
24) Wlleiotl 1289 19
25) KWSN -DSM 1255 19
Congratulations Crazy Canuck
to the 2011 PTPC title!Congrats also to runner-up AcuraF1
and Costaz
and LB
who complete the podium on an equal third place.Average scores went down from last season, but Crazy Canuck at least got close to Costaz' 2010 winning score of 1674.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Senn 1666,7 50,0 24
diRe 228,8 65,9 23
Butt 193,9 120,0 25
Suti 187,8 68,9 23
Vett 144,6 116,3 25
Hami 132,4 91,2 22
Webb 114,7 91,2 23
Alon 101,3 79,1 16
Algu 86,2 30,2 14
Petr 79,5 44,0 9
Pere 73,5 27,5 10
Koba 72,7 37,0 6
Mass 65,8 41,3 0
Rosb 61,3 45,6 1
Schu 58,7 33,6 1
Buem 51,9 17,6 6
Heid 31,0 21,0 0
Barr 6,4 4,0 0
Mald 4,5 1,6 0
Fernando Alonso finishes the season by becoming the eighth driver to make it past his expectation mark.% % #
Senn 1666,7 50,0 24
diRe 228,8 65,9 23
Butt 193,9 120,0 25
Suti 187,8 68,9 23
Vett 144,6 116,3 25
Hami 132,4 91,2 22
Webb 114,7 91,2 23
Alon 101,3 79,1 16
Algu 86,2 30,2 14
Petr 79,5 44,0 9
Pere 73,5 27,5 10
Koba 72,7 37,0 6
Mass 65,8 41,3 0
Rosb 61,3 45,6 1
Schu 58,7 33,6 1
Buem 51,9 17,6 6
Heid 31,0 21,0 0
Barr 6,4 4,0 0
Mald 4,5 1,6 0
Bruno Senna must be disappointed not to have scored enough to make a 100% surprise, he only needed two more points...
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100%
surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2011 this is 25.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Webber Vettel Button Alonso Massa
August 282 * Potential 392 * Potential 270 August 324 August 285
Dispenser89 268 * Forecast 392 * Forecast 270 kNt 307 control 216
* Potential 258 * Current 392 * Current 270 Costaz 305 kNt 211
* Forecast 258 Costaz 336 Crazy Canuck 224 jeze 289 KWSN -DSM 200
* Current 258 arcsine 318 LB 204 AcuraF1 279 Anderis 194
AcuraF1 252 August 317 fisichella_2001 182 scheivlak 278 arcsine 194
paranoik0 245 AcuraF1 315 control 180 Makarias 265 Estwald 193
Crazy Canuck 242 paranoik0 292 skylark68 177 Brawn BGP 001 260 kismet 189
LB 242 Brawn BGP 001 281 mark f1 175 Anderis 259 Viceroy 186
kismet 239 Apex 280 Viceroy 168 * Potential 257 mark f1 185
Anderis 234 scheivlak 280 Dispenser89 164 * Forecast 257 fisichella_2001 184
arcsine 231 Anderis 279 AcuraF1 161 * Current 257 Wlleiotl 180
Viceroy 230 jeze 278 Grayson 160 Crazy Canuck 252 AcuraF1 176
Costaz 226 Makarias 272 Makarias 158 LB 252 scheivlak 173
Apex 225 skylark68 268 Costaz 150 Viceroy 251 jeze 171
fisichella_2001 221 Viceroy 267 jeze 145 skylark68 249 skylark68 170
jeze 221 fisichella_2001 266 Brawn BGP 001 137 paranoik0 247 Costaz 168
skylark68 220 kNt 265 Apex 135 fisichella_2001 246 Brawn BGP 001 166
mark f1 219 mark f1 265 kismet 131 arcsine 242 Apex 160
kNt 215 Crazy Canuck 256 scheivlak 125 Estwald 240 paranoik0 160
scheivlak 215 LB 256 arcsine 121 kismet 240 Makarias 147
Brawn BGP 001 210 Dispenser89 254 kNt 103 Apex 235 Crazy Canuck 144
Estwald 210 Wlleiotl 250 Anderis 93 mark f1 235 Dispenser89 144
Makarias 208 kismet 247 paranoik0 88 KWSN -DSM 224 LB 144
control 200 Estwald 243 KWSN -DSM 81 control 223 Grayson 140
Wlleiotl 200 control 235 Estwald 80 Dispenser89 220 * Potential 118
KWSN -DSM 195 Grayson 235 Wlleiotl 80 Grayson 220 * Forecast 118
Grayson 175 KWSN -DSM 223 August 60 Wlleiotl 200 * Current 118
As far as 100% surprises go, Button's might have been a bit flattered by McLaren's worrying preseason testing form, but it's still a nice performance.August 282 * Potential 392 * Potential 270 August 324 August 285
Dispenser89 268 * Forecast 392 * Forecast 270 kNt 307 control 216
* Potential 258 * Current 392 * Current 270 Costaz 305 kNt 211
* Forecast 258 Costaz 336 Crazy Canuck 224 jeze 289 KWSN -DSM 200
* Current 258 arcsine 318 LB 204 AcuraF1 279 Anderis 194
AcuraF1 252 August 317 fisichella_2001 182 scheivlak 278 arcsine 194
paranoik0 245 AcuraF1 315 control 180 Makarias 265 Estwald 193
Crazy Canuck 242 paranoik0 292 skylark68 177 Brawn BGP 001 260 kismet 189
LB 242 Brawn BGP 001 281 mark f1 175 Anderis 259 Viceroy 186
kismet 239 Apex 280 Viceroy 168 * Potential 257 mark f1 185
Anderis 234 scheivlak 280 Dispenser89 164 * Forecast 257 fisichella_2001 184
arcsine 231 Anderis 279 AcuraF1 161 * Current 257 Wlleiotl 180
Viceroy 230 jeze 278 Grayson 160 Crazy Canuck 252 AcuraF1 176
Costaz 226 Makarias 272 Makarias 158 LB 252 scheivlak 173
Apex 225 skylark68 268 Costaz 150 Viceroy 251 jeze 171
fisichella_2001 221 Viceroy 267 jeze 145 skylark68 249 skylark68 170
jeze 221 fisichella_2001 266 Brawn BGP 001 137 paranoik0 247 Costaz 168
skylark68 220 kNt 265 Apex 135 fisichella_2001 246 Brawn BGP 001 166
mark f1 219 mark f1 265 kismet 131 arcsine 242 Apex 160
kNt 215 Crazy Canuck 256 scheivlak 125 Estwald 240 paranoik0 160
scheivlak 215 LB 256 arcsine 121 kismet 240 Makarias 147
Brawn BGP 001 210 Dispenser89 254 kNt 103 Apex 235 Crazy Canuck 144
Estwald 210 Wlleiotl 250 Anderis 93 mark f1 235 Dispenser89 144
Makarias 208 kismet 247 paranoik0 88 KWSN -DSM 224 LB 144
control 200 Estwald 243 KWSN -DSM 81 control 223 Grayson 140
Wlleiotl 200 control 235 Estwald 80 Dispenser89 220 * Potential 118
KWSN -DSM 195 Grayson 235 Wlleiotl 80 Grayson 220 * Forecast 118
Grayson 175 KWSN -DSM 223 August 60 Wlleiotl 200 * Current 118
Vettel's 392 points scored is well beyond any guess on any driver this season and will be difficult for anyone to match in the future, points system or season length adjustments aside.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Sutil Rosberg Di Resta Kobayashi Petrov
Grayson 60 KWSN -DSM 194 Grayson 40 Wlleiotl 80 KWSN -DSM 83
* Potential 42 Estwald 188 LB 32 kNt 65 Grayson 78
Dispenser89 42 Apex 175 * Potential 27 paranoik0 60 control 77
* Forecast 42 Makarias 175 * Forecast 27 Dispenser89 56 Wlleiotl 70
* Current 42 Brawn BGP 001 169 * Current 27 jeze 55 Estwald 68
Apex 35 paranoik0 168 control 20 arcsine 51 jeze 65
skylark68 33 Viceroy 167 jeze 20 scheivlak 49 Brawn BGP 001 54
control 31 mark f1 165 Dispenser89 18 fisichella_2001 47 scheivlak 54
Crazy Canuck 30 kismet 155 kNt 17 Viceroy 46 kNt 53
fisichella_2001 29 fisichella_2001 154 arcsine 16 Brawn BGP 001 45 Dispenser89 51
jeze 29 Wlleiotl 150 Apex 15 Makarias 44 paranoik0 48
kismet 29 control 145 scheivlak 14 skylark68 44 LB 45
Viceroy 24 Grayson 145 Viceroy 12 Estwald 43 arcsine 43
arcsine 22 skylark68 145 Makarias 11 Apex 40 Makarias 42
kNt 21 Anderis 144 fisichella_2001 10 Costaz 40 Crazy Canuck 40
LB 20 AcuraF1 136 mark f1 10 Grayson 40 fisichella_2001 38
mark f1 20 August 130 paranoik0 10 KWSN -DSM 40 * Potential 37
Makarias 17 LB 130 Brawn BGP 001 9 Anderis 39 * Forecast 37
Costaz 16 scheivlak 130 kismet 9 kismet 36 * Current 37
scheivlak 15 Costaz 126 Costaz 7 * Potential 30 AcuraF1 33
Anderis 15 arcsine 125 Crazy Canuck 7 * Forecast 30 August 33
Estwald 15 Crazy Canuck 120 Estwald 6 * Current 30 Costaz 33
Brawn BGP 001 14 Dispenser89 114 Anderis 5 mark f1 25 Anderis 31
paranoik0 12 jeze 100 Wlleiotl 5 control 22 Viceroy 30
AcuraF1 10 * Potential 89 KWSN -DSM 2 AcuraF1 20 Apex 25
Wlleiotl 10 * Forecast 89 AcuraF1 0 Crazy Canuck 20 kismet 25
August 6 * Current 89 August 0 LB 15 skylark68 25
KWSN -DSM 4 kNt 81 skylark68 0 August 10 mark f1 20
It was nice to see Kobayashi scoring some decent results again at the end of the season. Rosberg will be hungry for much more next season.Grayson 60 KWSN -DSM 194 Grayson 40 Wlleiotl 80 KWSN -DSM 83
* Potential 42 Estwald 188 LB 32 kNt 65 Grayson 78
Dispenser89 42 Apex 175 * Potential 27 paranoik0 60 control 77
* Forecast 42 Makarias 175 * Forecast 27 Dispenser89 56 Wlleiotl 70
* Current 42 Brawn BGP 001 169 * Current 27 jeze 55 Estwald 68
Apex 35 paranoik0 168 control 20 arcsine 51 jeze 65
skylark68 33 Viceroy 167 jeze 20 scheivlak 49 Brawn BGP 001 54
control 31 mark f1 165 Dispenser89 18 fisichella_2001 47 scheivlak 54
Crazy Canuck 30 kismet 155 kNt 17 Viceroy 46 kNt 53
fisichella_2001 29 fisichella_2001 154 arcsine 16 Brawn BGP 001 45 Dispenser89 51
jeze 29 Wlleiotl 150 Apex 15 Makarias 44 paranoik0 48
kismet 29 control 145 scheivlak 14 skylark68 44 LB 45
Viceroy 24 Grayson 145 Viceroy 12 Estwald 43 arcsine 43
arcsine 22 skylark68 145 Makarias 11 Apex 40 Makarias 42
kNt 21 Anderis 144 fisichella_2001 10 Costaz 40 Crazy Canuck 40
LB 20 AcuraF1 136 mark f1 10 Grayson 40 fisichella_2001 38
mark f1 20 August 130 paranoik0 10 KWSN -DSM 40 * Potential 37
Makarias 17 LB 130 Brawn BGP 001 9 Anderis 39 * Forecast 37
Costaz 16 scheivlak 130 kismet 9 kismet 36 * Current 37
scheivlak 15 Costaz 126 Costaz 7 * Potential 30 AcuraF1 33
Anderis 15 arcsine 125 Crazy Canuck 7 * Forecast 30 August 33
Estwald 15 Crazy Canuck 120 Estwald 6 * Current 30 Costaz 33
Brawn BGP 001 14 Dispenser89 114 Anderis 5 mark f1 25 Anderis 31
paranoik0 12 jeze 100 Wlleiotl 5 control 22 Viceroy 30
AcuraF1 10 * Potential 89 KWSN -DSM 2 AcuraF1 20 Apex 25
Wlleiotl 10 * Forecast 89 AcuraF1 0 Crazy Canuck 20 kismet 25
August 6 * Current 89 August 0 LB 15 skylark68 25
KWSN -DSM 4 kNt 81 skylark68 0 August 10 mark f1 20
The PTPC forecast prior to Brazil
Name Forecast +/-
Crazy Canuck 1671,3 7,5
Costaz 1625,1 11,1
LB 1623,6 3,8
AcuraF1 1623,4 10,7
fisichella_2001 1584,6 7,2
skylark68 1580,2 6,0
Viceroy 1579,6 7,2
Dispenser89 1572,2 5,4
jeze 1571,7 7,0
Apex 1545,6 5,3
Makarias 1543,8 8,7
control 1538,6 19,4
Grayson 1534,8 15,0
scheivlak 1531,2 6,5
mark f1 1527,8 6,9
arcsine 1527,2 3,2
Brawn BGP 001 1498,9 9,0
kismet 1475,6 3,8
kNt 1458,6 2,7
Anderis 1455,2 8,7
paranoik0 1442,6 1,6
August 1380,5 11,7
Estwald 1353,2 3,2
Wlleiotl 1293,6 1,6
KWSN -DSM 1258,8 2,4
The forecast obviously didn't expect a Webber win, which helped AcuraF1 take second overall.Crazy Canuck 1671,3 7,5
Costaz 1625,1 11,1
LB 1623,6 3,8
AcuraF1 1623,4 10,7
fisichella_2001 1584,6 7,2
skylark68 1580,2 6,0
Viceroy 1579,6 7,2
Dispenser89 1572,2 5,4
jeze 1571,7 7,0
Apex 1545,6 5,3
Makarias 1543,8 8,7
control 1538,6 19,4
Grayson 1534,8 15,0
scheivlak 1531,2 6,5
mark f1 1527,8 6,9
arcsine 1527,2 3,2
Brawn BGP 001 1498,9 9,0
kismet 1475,6 3,8
kNt 1458,6 2,7
Anderis 1455,2 8,7
paranoik0 1442,6 1,6
August 1380,5 11,7
Estwald 1353,2 3,2
Wlleiotl 1293,6 1,6
KWSN -DSM 1258,8 2,4
The best guesses on each driver
X # ! Y
Vett 392 336 Costaz
Butt 270 224 Crazy Canuck
Webb 258 252 AcuraF1
Alon 257 259 Anderis
Hami 227 227 Crazy Canuck
Mass 118 140 Grayson
Rosb 89 81 kNt
Schu 76 90 Apex, Crazy Canuck, Dispenser89
Suti 47 42 Dispenser89
Petr 37 38 fisichella_2001
Heid 34 70 AcuraF1
Koba 30 25 mark f1
diRe 27 32 LB
Algu 26 25 arcsine, Estwald
Buem 15 15 August
Pere 14 15 Makarias, skylark68
Barr 4 33 jeze
Senn 2 3 Costaz
Mald 1 1 Maldonado
dlRo 0 0 Everyone
Trul 0 0 7 players
Kova 0 0 8 players
Liuz 0 0 24 players
dAmb 0 0 24 players
Gloc 0 0 20 players
Kart 0 0 24 players
Ricc 0 0 21 players
Chan 0 0 Everyone
