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Review of Points Scored So Far...

Started by FireWood , Jul 31 2012 14:09

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10 replies to this topic

#1 FireWood

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Posted 31 July 2012 - 14:09

As we have reached the summer break I thought this would be a good time to review how the different drivers have fared over the first half of the season to see if any trends can be seen. Below are the points scored by the drivers most likely to contend the WDC in the second half.

Drivers positions and points so far
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Graph showing accumulated points
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My conclusions looking at this are below. Nothing new, but it allows you to see the trends better:

1) Up until Spain, there really was no clear leader, with all the top contenders fighting for the lead
2) JBs bad spell from China to Germany has really hurt his chances
3) FA has made the most of the car to move steadily ahead since Canada
4) Second place is tight, with KR momentum building, he has to be in a good place for the second half.
5) LH poor races in Europe, GB and Germany let him slip back into the pack, but the recent win brought him back

I hope you find this useful.

Edited by FireWood, 31 July 2012 - 15:06.

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#2 Owen

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Posted 31 July 2012 - 15:09

The only guy with real consistency thus far is Fernando though. That's what I read from it.

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#3 UPRC

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Posted 31 July 2012 - 15:59

Jenson's line is really depressing to look at.

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#4 Wander

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Posted 31 July 2012 - 16:03

I can also see KR on a good recent run and having momentum going to Spa as the OP pointed out.

Judging by the recent results, the RBR boys aren't looking that hot right now, but that may be a false perception. Mclaren have turned a new page with the last two races so Lewis is definitely back in the hunt. Button I can't see happening, too far.

Fernando has to be the favourite for the championship with the evident consistency, but it's not even near being decided yet. I'd say that it's almost a 50% chance for Fernando with the other 50%+ spread between the other contenders (with JB pretty much out).

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#5 Architrion

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Posted 01 August 2012 - 10:43

I can also see KR on a good recent run and having momentum going to Spa as the OP pointed out.

Judging by the recent results, the RBR boys aren't looking that hot right now, but that may be a false perception. Mclaren have turned a new page with the last two races so Lewis is definitely back in the hunt. Button I can't see happening, too far.

Fernando has to be the favourite for the championship with the evident consistency, but it's not even near being decided yet. I'd say that it's almost a 50% chance for Fernando with the other 50%+ spread between the other contenders (with JB pretty much out).

Yep. You're right about Fernando's chance. He can win it or not. So, his chances are 50%.

Sorry, I was joking. I pretty much agree with you.

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#6 GhostR

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Posted 02 August 2012 - 10:58

Would be interesting to have a look at median points scored per race per driver, as well as some sort of statistical measurement of the variability on a race-by-race basis. It's easier to pick from the lines that Alonso is a) maximising his race results and b) very consistent. And the other drivers aren't. But could be good to look at, especially to see if any of the chasing pack are establishing a similar pattern to Alonso (eg KR).

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#7 beqa16v

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Posted 02 August 2012 - 11:06

WTF is JB doing there?
With the same success one could put Groesjean and Rosberg. One has a quick car and another is not being severely outperformed by his teammate like JB is.

As a Kimi fan I was looking more on his stats. After Bahrain Kimi was just 9 points behind Alonso and in 6 following races he scored 47 points less than him (the amount he is down on fernando with 9 races to go). And you can not say that Kimi completely failed that part of the season scoring in all races. That pretty much answers the question in the other topic about Fernando's lead. It can turn around quickly if Ferrari does not improve the car.

Edited by beqa16v, 02 August 2012 - 11:13.