The standings after Korea:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Apex 1389 92 2) scheivlak 1388 85 3) KWSN-DSM 1379 77 4) Makarias 1374 93 5) DutchQuicksilver 1372 71 6) Grayson 1362 69 7) Fisichella_2001 1359 63 8) mark f1 1358 63 9) noikeee 1354 86 10) AcuraF1 1349 66 11) August 1339 81 = Wander 1339 64 13) Fastcake 1330 49 14) wattoroos 1329 72 15) Bleu 1327 85 16) skylark68 1325 63 17) Iscurrega 1318 73 18) Wlleiotl 1317 63 19) Kalmake 1312 66 20) an1res 1309 65 21) Estwald 1302 60 22) Anderis 1298 85 23) kismet 1291 67 24) Costaz 1276 67 25) Brawn BGP 001 1266 42 26) M2000-5 1258 60 27) Barty 1244 55
I got the highest round score? What the?
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Ricc 129,9 66,7 21 Hami 116,6 78,9 24 Rosb 114,3 79,7 20 Vett 108,0 96,8 22 diRe 103,4 59,0 15 Verg 98,0 44,8 14 Räik 91,6 60,5 9 Alon 81,8 69,1 1 Webb 75,2 53,5 1 Suti 70,4 40,6 5 Mass 66,1 42,2 1 Gros 62,9 43,4 1 Hülk 52,0 36,5 1 Butt 31,8 23,3 0 Pere 18,8 11,4 0 Mald 2 1,1 0
Sebastian Vettel becomes the fifth driver to make it past 100%! And we were all so worried he wouldn't make it.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2012 this is 28.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Vettel Räikkönen Grosjean Hülkenberg Hamilton * Potential 397 * Potential 292 * Potential 197 * Potential 156 * Potential 286 * Forecast 369 M2000-5 275 Estwald 165 Bleu 84 * Forecast 219 Anderis 280 Iscurrega 251 an1res 150 Wlleiotl 80 scheivlak 203 Makarias 276 noikeee 242 noikeee 148 wattoroos 78 August 181 kismet 274 * Forecast 227 Anderis 142 Estwald 70 Grayson 165 Bleu 272 Barty 222 Makarias 142 KWSN-DSM 69 * Current 161 noikeee 272 Costaz 221 scheivlak 141 Makarias 69 Apex 160 * Current 272 Wander 196 Kalmake 134 Wander 67 KWSN-DSM 159 Apex 270 Anderis 188 AcuraF1 131 Brawn BGP 001 66 Makarias 158 August 267 Estwald 185 Wander 124 AcuraF1 65 Fastcake 157 wattoroos 263 Bleu 183 skylark68 122 Apex 65 DutchQuicksilver156 Iscurrega 260 Kalmake 183 M2000-5 121 Grayson 65 noikeee 152 scheivlak 260 AcuraF1 180 mark f1 120 skylark68 63 mark f1 150 KWSN-DSM 259 Apex 180 wattoroos 118 scheivlak 62 AcuraF1 145 Costaz 254 Wlleiotl 180 Costaz 114 August 60 Fisichella_2001 138 Fisichella_2001 252 August 179 Fisichella_2001 114 mark f1 60 wattoroos 138 Wander 251 skylark68 176 Brawn BGP 001 113 M2000-5 57 Wander 136 mark f1 250 an1res 174 Grayson 110 Fisichella_2001 56 Brawn BGP 001 133 skylark68 250 mark f1 170 KWSN-DSM 105 Barty 55 Bleu 129 Wlleiotl 250 DutchQuicksilver167 Apex 100 Fastcake 54 Iscurrega 128 DutchQuicksilver247 * Current 167 DutchQuicksilver100 Anderis 50 Estwald 124 Fastcake 247 Makarias 166 Iscurrega 100 Iscurrega 50 Costaz 122 Barty 241 Fisichella_2001 165 kismet 99 noikeee 50 skylark68 120 Kalmake 239 scheivlak 163 * Forecast 98 DutchQuicksilver 49 Wlleiotl 120 M2000-5 236 wattoroos 163 Barty 89 kismet 49 kismet 118 Estwald 235 Grayson 160 Wlleiotl 80 Kalmake 45 Kalmake 115 AcuraF1 230 KWSN-DSM 158 Bleu 76 Costaz 43 an1res 110 Grayson 230 kismet 147 Fastcake 72 * Forecast 42 Anderis 105 an1res 225 Fastcake 128 * Current 72 * Current 31 Barty 105 Brawn BGP 001 211 Brawn BGP 001 123 August 63 an1res 30 M2000-5 101
Hülkenberg beats an1res' guess and has a very nice upwards trajectory going on. Similarly, Grosjean beats August's guess. Vettel near the 100% surprise, about one week away from it...
Guesses on P6-P10:
Alonso Rosberg Button Massa Perez * Potential 320 * Potential 247 Costaz 248 * Potential 214 Brawn BGP 001 201 skylark68 281 * Forecast 166 Fastcake 241 an1res 210 August 170 Bleu 275 scheivlak 152 Brawn BGP 001 222 M2000-5 199 Fastcake 161 * Forecast 265 an1res 140 Barty 209 Kalmake 192 Kalmake 154 August 262 AcuraF1 139 wattoroos 208 kismet 175 * Potential 148 KWSN-DSM 260 KWSN-DSM 138 Iscurrega 201 Anderis 170 Costaz 141 Iscurrega 254 Kalmake 130 Wlleiotl 200 Estwald 155 Fisichella_2001 141 M2000-5 251 Grayson 125 kismet 199 noikeee 150 Grayson 140 an1res 250 DutchQuicksilver124 August 197 skylark68 144 wattoroos 133 Costaz 250 * Current 122 AcuraF1 195 Bleu 140 Iscurrega 132 kismet 250 Makarias 118 Bleu 190 Makarias 139 Makarias 129 Kalmake 249 Fastcake 117 DutchQuicksilver190 DutchQuicksilver135 DutchQuicksilver128 AcuraF1 245 Estwald 115 Wander 185 Wander 134 KWSN-DSM 125 Anderis 245 Fisichella_2001 112 * Potential 183 wattoroos 133 Wander 122 Wlleiotl 240 Brawn BGP 001 111 Fisichella_2001 182 Costaz 132 Barty 121 DutchQuicksilver236 noikeee 105 Apex 180 Fisichella_2001 130 Wlleiotl 120 noikeee 236 Wander 105 Grayson 175 Iscurrega 130 skylark68 116 scheivlak 235 skylark68 104 mark f1 170 mark f1 130 Anderis 114 Estwald 230 Anderis 100 skylark68 170 * Forecast 121 Apex 110 mark f1 230 Apex 100 Makarias 164 AcuraF1 121 mark f1 104 Fisichella_2001 229 mark f1 100 scheivlak 164 Apex 120 Bleu 103 Fastcake 227 Wlleiotl 100 KWSN-DSM 157 Grayson 120 kismet 101 Makarias 227 Iscurrega 94 M2000-5 157 KWSN-DSM 115 Estwald 100 wattoroos 223 August 88 noikeee 151 Brawn BGP 001 111 noikeee 98 Wander 222 wattoroos 88 an1res 150 scheivlak 110 an1res 90 Apex 220 Bleu 79 Estwald 145 Wlleiotl 100 scheivlak 88 Grayson 210 M2000-5 78 Kalmake 145 August 91 AcuraF1 84 Brawn BGP 001 207 Barty 77 Anderis 127 Fastcake 91 M2000-5 82 * Current 195 Costaz 77 * Forecast 79 * Current 89 * Forecast 31 Barty 192 kismet 67 * Current 58 Barty 60 * Current 23
Alonso is the third driver to beat his first player of the season in this round.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- scheivlak 1612,1 27,5 KWSN-DSM 1592,7 26,1 Apex 1591,8 21,2 AcuraF1 1578,8 24,2 noikeee 1575,5 30,0 DutchQuicksilver 1569,6 13,8 Iscurrega 1563,5 30,0 mark f1 1560,4 15,6 skylark68 1555,5 12,4 Fisichella_2001 1551,1 20,4 Bleu 1545,7 -4,1 Makarias 1535,9 21,1 Wander 1535,9 21,1 an1res 1532,9 4,1 Kalmake 1530,9 21,1 Costaz 1529,3 10,7 Grayson 1526,4 24,7 Estwald 1521,4 13,7 Anderis 1521,3 7,5 kismet 1509,6 4,8 wattoroos 1505,0 14,6 M2000-5 1504,6 27,0 Wlleiotl 1502,9 3,0 August 1489,6 10,3 Fastcake 1464,1 -3,2 Barty 1429,6 1,6 Brawn BGP 001 1399,9 25,3
Improved forecasts due to Grosjean and Hülkenberg.