Analysis of 2011 WDC and WCC odds

I tell you what, its worth a bet on Massa at those odds.

And this is how it pans out in graphics. Vettel, Alonso and Hamilton are all rated top tier. Rosberg, Schumacher, Kubica, Webber and Button are tier two and the rest is also run. No big surprise is the top tier. I would have estimated that. Pretty shocking for their fans are the odds for Webber and Button. Rosberg is considered better than Schumacher which after this season is pretty realistic I would say.

We don't have a single 2011 car launched, so how can those odds be calculated?

Edited by pinkypants, 21 November 2010 - 16:07.

you made a mistake when converting fractional odds into decimals. 3/1 is 4.00 (25%) etc

I tell you what, its worth a bet on Massa at those odds.

That is some very advanced mathematics. For me three divided by one is still three and not four.

3/1 means that for every 1 unit of money you put in the pot, the bookie puts 3 units of money in the pot.

Edited by WhiteBlue, 21 November 2010 - 16:29.

This are the initial odds for 2011. I will use William Hill instead of Sky UK in 2011 for the regional UK bookie. BWin will remain the German bookie and Ibetips the Spanish.





I will evaluate world odds from decimal odds by averaging.

I tell you what, its worth a bet on Massa at those odds.

I was thinking the same. He was very happy with the Pirelli tyres.

I doubt anyone is shocked by that.

JB has not looked like beating LH under ANY circumstances in 2010 without a very messed up race to benefit from good pit strategy.

MW might have been a threat to SV in 2011 and as such had slightly better odds than JB.
However...

1. SV has the WDC
2. MW is not at all comfortable in RBR
3. RBR have all winter to lay down the #2 play book for MW to follow
4. The more development RBR have done with SV as their template driver the less competitive MW has become.

Personally I am shocked JB and MW dont have lower odds.

Edited by Yorkie, 21 November 2010 - 16:50.

If someone is 3/1 and you place a bet at £1, you will get your £1 back and £3. If the odds are 2/5, you have to place £5 to get the extra £2.

Try this site, you'll find them all quicker. http://www.oddscheck...rs-championship

Edited by WhiteBlue, 21 November 2010 - 16:57.

It is a silly way to put it. All I want to know is the decimal factor of the pay back that the bookie pays out on top of my bet. If the odds are 0.4 I can figure it out much easier than 2/5. The bookie keeps my $1,000 if I loose but he pays me $400 and returns my $1,000 if I win.

Try this site, you'll find them all quicker.

http://www.oddscheck...rs-championship

Not really


He still will not beat Alonso


The reality is that they both would have been well beaten by their respective team mates if not for mechanical problems

i disagree it will be buttons second year at mclaren he'll be much better hopefully mclaren will have a better so he will be a contender, to discount webber next year is silly he'll come back stronger

Edited by WhiteBlue, 21 November 2010 - 18:08.

It is a silly way to put it.

lol Some betting company reckons Kimi Raikkonen in WRC (or on a yatch) has a chance to win WDC at 1:29!

How on earth is Hulkenberg at 80/1 but Barrichello is only 100/1? Rubens had twice as many points as Hulkenberg this year and Hulk is out of a ride.

Hulkenberg has more potential.

He needs a seat first.

He needs a seat first.

BWIN have their odds up too, and think Hulkenberg is twice as likely to be the 2011 WC as Rubens. They must know something we don't

Edited by Dunder, 22 November 2010 - 05:57.

NB; WhiteBlue your conversions from decimal odds to percentages in your latest spreadsheet are all incorrect.
Decimal odds of 4.00 equals 25% not 20% (and yes that is the same as 3/1),

Edited by WhiteBlue, 01 December 2010 - 20:44.

As for MW....he has been boxed tagged and put on the bottom shelf.
I dont care what rubbish RBR spout, MW will not be racing SV in 2011 he will be seeing out his contract and doing what they tell him.
Which is what they expected from him in 2009 and 2010, he just had the audacity to not play along.

RBR want to get to 2012 with SV 2x WDC.
MW does not feature in that plan

Webber looks a good punt

Alonso is favorite to beat his team mate while Rosberg is least favorite of the top teams to do so.

I got Webber at 6-1 for WDC yesterday.

Im surprised he is even longer odds with Euro betting agencies. Shows how the local favoritism has brought him down to more realistic level.

Why don't you just use Betfair? It is a global exchange. All of the oddsmakers you have used are recreational bookmakers, who can afford to skew their odds due to hideous margins/overrounds.

Edited by WhiteBlue, 01 February 2011 - 17:59.

Edited by WhiteBlue, 10 February 2011 - 14:06.