Originally posted by rodlamas
Brazilian site guesses
Trulli - 21/22
Raikkonen - 24
Massa - 25 (!)
Mclarens heavier than Massa.
Don't forget that Trulli did three stops in Brazil last year, as did Kubica - OK, so did Ham in the end, but he didn't plan to! Trulli, Kubica did plan to.
The option wasn't there for RK this year, but it looks as though Trulli is three-stopping again. Which means he shouldn't necessarily be slow/hold people up in his first stint, as he may be light and he needs to go AFAP to maximise his track position.
Not that Trulli was all that light last year - he pitted on 22, 42 and 63 (out of 71), Kubica pitted more evenly - 19, 38, 58, Massa pitted 20, 50, Kimi 21, 53, Alonso 22, 52, Ham 22, 36, 56. So RK was the only one who was light.
If you look at Q3-Q2 yesterday - Massa 0.49, Trulli 0.63, Kimi 0.87, Ham 0.97, Kov 1.15, Alonso 0.88, vettell 1.24, Heid 1.27. There are a whole load of variables and possibilities, but it certainly looks as though two men are lighter than the others.
I discount the 'fantastic lap' theory - Q2 was about the closest in history - Ham 2nd in 1-11.856, Piquet 11th in 1-12.137, ten cars separated by 0.281, can't be that complicated a track. So how can somebody suddenly be fastest by half a sec without some reason other than driving?
Still if you do the math, three stops is good in Brazil, maybe Massa is planning three and it will give him victory, who knows? Or maybe he's just giving himself the option of either two or three.