QUOTE (Lights @ Jun 10 2010, 11:02)

It's not stable, but it's not steadily getting closer either. He wasn't far of at the first race, closer than I expected. Since then Hamilton always had the measure of him with a couple of tenths, except of Melbourne and Shanghai. I don't see why that will change. Button can claim he starts feeling better and better in his car while McLaren is changing it to his likings, but that won't put him infront of Hamilton. So I don't completely agree with that theory, no.
I don't completely agree with it either (!) to the extent that there are many variables so it cannot be a perfect theory!!!
I think 9 times out of 10, in a dry race, the one that starts ahead will finish ahead. Its all about qualifying IMO with these rules. Button can be 3 or 4 tenths slower than Hamilton in a dry race, but if ahead on the track, I suspect that is how they'd finish (without variables such as incidents).
So qualifying ahead of Hamiton in dry conditions? Achieved in Melbourne, pretty damn close in Turkey. Got to happen sooner or later, but not Canada, I don't expect.