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Lights
QUOTE (undersquare @ Jun 8 2010, 11:25) *
I suppose it depends on where the teams are. If Ferrari have fallen back and Merc are only in Renault territory then it's only the 2 Red Bulls likely to get in between. Bad track/good track for them to put them both behind or in front and voila.

As long as Red Bull and McLaren remain the teams to beat like you say, I foresee a lot of 4th places on the grid for Jenson. And as he's more likely to lose places at the start than win any, Hamilton won't be troubled by him. But that's just my vision.
undersquare
QUOTE (Lights @ Jun 8 2010, 10:32) *
As long as Red Bull and McLaren remain the teams to beat like you say, I foresee a lot of 4th places on the grid for Jenson. And as he's more likely to lose places at the start than win any, Hamilton won't be troubled by him. But that's just my vision.


Glad it was you who said that not me eek.gif lol.gif

I'm waiting to see actually. Jense can be pretty good on the brakes and they'll both have been studying each other's telemetry. Meanwhile things could be a little nervy in the RB garage, possible issues around sharing of setups maybe, messing about with setups to try and get an edge...
Wingnut
QUOTE (Bonaventura @ Jun 8 2010, 10:14) *
Button has to take greater risks if he wants to beat Lewis


He already has. Do you not think he took the greater risk in Australian and China when he decided to change tyres? That was a greater risk for him but with it came a greater reward. If he followed everyone else's strategy then he would not have gained the positions that he did.
Lights
QUOTE (robefc @ Jun 8 2010, 11:29) *
That's a tad unfair, I think button fans would have been equally displeased if the positions were reversed and hamilton pit first.

Unless your comment is unrelated to this and just a comment on hamilton fans in which case you're tarring us all with the same brush.

Hmmm, I might have to take back my earlier compliment! tongue.gif

That quickly? Damn! tongue.gif

My point was that whether Button overtakes Hamilton ontrack, or with pitstops, a lot of Hamilton fans would search for reasons behind it, as they'd think Lewis can't be beaten by his teammate like this. I'm probably wrong basing that on Turkey only, but it's not like I have any other examples to base it on. And to be honest, I would be surprised as well, or Lewis clearly has to have a very bad day. blush.gif

But when Hamilton overtook Button in Melbourne, you didn't see any fans of Button creating conspiracy threads.
Jeag
QUOTE (Wingnut @ Jun 8 2010, 10:42) *
He already has. Do you not think he took the greater risk in Australian and China when he decided to change tyres? That was a greater risk for him but with it came a greater reward. If he followed everyone else's strategy then he would not have gained the positions that he did.


Agree, except China was not a risk, it was common sense.
Bonaventura
QUOTE (Wingnut @ Jun 8 2010, 09:42) *
He already has. Do you not think he took the greater risk in Australian and China when he decided to change tyres? That was a greater risk for him but with it came a greater reward. If he followed everyone else's strategy then he would not have gained the positions that he did.

He had, he does and he has to do in the future.
I meant it generally.
Bonaventura
QUOTE (Lights @ Jun 8 2010, 09:46) *
That quickly? Damn! tongue.gif

My point was that whether Button overtakes Hamilton ontrack, or with pitstops, a lot of Hamilton fans would search for reasons behind it, as they'd think Lewis can't be beaten by his teammate like this. I'm probably wrong basing that on Turkey only, but it's not like I have any other examples to base it on. And to be honest, I would be surprised as well, or Lewis clearly has to have a very bad day. blush.gif

But when Hamilton overtook Button in Melbourne, you didn't see any fans of Button creating conspiracy threads.

Of course, the team told Button to shred his tyres , that Lewis could overtake , him easier biggrin.gif
Buttoneer
Please try to restrict specific analysis of the Turkey incident to the appropriate thread.
Lights
QUOTE (Bonaventura @ Jun 8 2010, 12:22) *
Of course, the team told Button to shred his tyres , that Lewis could overtake , him easier biggrin.gif

Sure, but then again you're just a Button fanboy. Let's leave it at that. wink.gif
robefc
QUOTE (Lights @ Jun 8 2010, 10:46) *
That quickly? Damn! tongue.gif

My point was that whether Button overtakes Hamilton ontrack, or with pitstops, a lot of Hamilton fans would search for reasons behind it, as they'd think Lewis can't be beaten by his teammate like this. I'm probably wrong basing that on Turkey only, but it's not like I have any other examples to base it on. And to be honest, I would be surprised as well, or Lewis clearly has to have a very bad day. blush.gif

But when Hamilton overtook Button in Melbourne, you didn't see any fans of Button creating conspiracy threads.


Fair enough, I think it's clear that hamilton has more fanboys than most and more bashers.

But it's frustrating to have to argue against the bashers whilst currently being undermined by 'fellow fans' who generally provoke an undeserved backlash against lewis...and then also to get bracketed with said fanboys!
robefc
QUOTE (BuzzingHornet @ Jun 8 2010, 12:25) *
I dislike any form of team orders... as a racing fan, i'd much prefer it if they put more fuel in the cars and let them attack to the end. Telling them to hold station because they are going to run out of fuel is a bit laughable.


But they are racing the other teams.

So whilst I agree with you I can see the logic of fuelling as low as possible...it's also one of those things where beacuse others do it you have to do it too and then you end up with no advantage.
Lights
QUOTE (robefc @ Jun 8 2010, 13:36) *
Fair enough, I think it's clear that hamilton has more fanboys than most and more bashers.

But it's frustrating to have to argue against the bashers whilst currently being undermined by 'fellow fans' who generally provoke an undeserved backlash against lewis...and then also to get bracketed with said fanboys!

I understand where you're coming from, but afterall, this is a fairly anonymous forum, which doesn't make it difficult to accidentally generalize, and especially feel like you're being generalized in a certain group. I'm certainly not that deluded to think in any way about Lewis fans in general, everybody is different. I'll try not mention it like this in the future, but it's difficult while hardly knowing anything about most members, besides what they've written in their posts. I can't smell who is objective and who isn't, and I'm not around here for that long either. Everybody has been judged wrong, it's part of it.
Jeag
It's pretty obvious Jenson is gonna steamroll Lewis this weekend.
undersquare
QUOTE (Jeag @ Jun 8 2010, 14:23) *
It's pretty obvious Jenson is gonna steamroll Lewis this weekend.


Yup, steamroll city, we Hammy fanboys are just gonna have to hang tough cry.gif .
Jeag
QUOTE (undersquare @ Jun 8 2010, 15:05) *
Yup, steamroll city, we Hammy fanboys are just gonna have to hang tough cry.gif .


He might get some points don't worry.
FigJam
QUOTE (Jeag @ Jun 8 2010, 23:23) *
It's pretty obvious Jenson is gonna steamroll Lewis this weekend.


Is Button in a monster truck next weekend?

wink.gif
tkulla
QUOTE (Jeag @ Jun 8 2010, 14:23) *
It's pretty obvious Jenson is gonna steamroll Lewis this weekend.


I hope not! Imagine the conspiracy theories that would result from that!
Bonaventura
QUOTE (tkulla @ Jun 8 2010, 15:51) *
I hope not! Imagine the conspiracy theories that would result from that!

Yes, it's much better for Button and for the people here , if he finishes behind Lewis.
I'sure he knows that, and does it
Buttoneer
There is a thread for the turkey incident. Please use it, and not this one, to discuss the specifics of the event.
Lights
QUOTE (Bonaventura @ Jun 8 2010, 18:43) *
Yes, it's much better for Button and for the people here , if he finishes behind Lewis.
I'sure he knows that, and does it

That's probably the only reason. He overtook Hamilton in Turkey and thought 'F*ck, they're not gonna like this!' and gave the place back.

In Montreal I expect the same to happen. Poor Jenson. ambivalent.gif
Rinehart
QUOTE (mkay @ Jun 7 2010, 16:20) *
Hamilton has never been beaten on pace, not even equalled, by Button (in the dry, which represents best a driver's pure pace).

FLs are not representative for Turkey as LH as been hampered by the RBR more than Jenson.


Its not a "Fastest lap when nobody is in the way and oh, it must be in the dry, CHAMPIONSHIP". By the way. Try Drag Racing.
Rinehart
QUOTE (Jeag @ Jun 7 2010, 21:47) *
Jenson did pass Rosberg despite "sitting to far back" and Jenson's "playing the longer game" worked as well as him "pressuring" could have in Turkey if you actually look at the gaps you say Jenson left.
I'm not jumping in to defend Jenson neither did i think your post was pointed at anyone, I'm just looking at facts instead and putting "if" in front of everyone one of my sentences.
You say certain events have reinforced your opionion that Jenson sits to far back yet nothing on track has actually reinforced that opinion unless you put "if" at the start of it, the rest is guess work.

IF Jenson was a half a second closer to Vettel he would have Jumped Lewis after the pitstops: No he wouldn't have

IF Jenson was slightly closer to Lewis when Lewis went wide at turn 12 Jenson wold have passed him: Hey, your guess is as good as mine

IF..

How does that reinforce an opinion?


Jensons driving in an intelligent Championship building way in my opinion. There is a time and a place were its worth risking say 12 points for 3 more, and Jenson proved last year his method works and in aint looking too shabby so far this year. I don't see how anyone can argue with that. 7 races down, he's still right in the mix and now apparently more comfortable in the McLaren with developments that have brought him closer to Hamilton on pace (though I suspect this weekend might be an exception to the trend). His penchant to prowl rather than pressure (e.g behind Rosberg in China and Vettel in Hungary) ultimately netted him a 1st and 2nd place, rather than, potentially, a needless retirement. The results speak for themselves. Given the value of the points on offer for the upper positions, I think anyone who is going to beat Button to the Championship over the course of this season needs to be fast and as CONSISTENT. Hamilton has it in him, I'm not sure the Red Bulls do.
Rinehart
QUOTE (velgajski1 @ Jun 7 2010, 22:19) *
For me, Jenson was luckier than Lewis, but of course - its most of his own work, and a bit of luck on his side. I think he was very lucky in Australia and that he was also luckier in a sense that he had his car failure on a weekend where he didn't look really good, while Lewis had his failure in last lap of race where he was second.

That being said, I rate Lewis slightly higher than Jenson this season. If luck was evened out, I think Lewis would lead Jenson by some 5-15 points which scales up to 2-6 points in former points system which puts Button in a good position for rest of season (in relation to Lewis Buttons performances remind me of Alonso in 2007.).


Close. In an ideal world you would give Lewis his Spain points back and Button maybe a couple or something for Monaco, so yes, Hamilton leads and that seems appropriate. But you can't factor anything in for Buttons wins in China and Australia. He made the decsions they could have just as easily backfired, the others could have just as easily made the same decsion as him. He made those choices and that is life, not luck. Nobody of worthiness has described those wins in the press as lucky, as far as I know.
Rinehart
QUOTE (bond @ Jun 8 2010, 01:15) *
The only thing button was going to do is cruise to the finish and collect the points, that's what he has done in the past and that's what he will do in the future...
This notion that button drives so that he can charge on the final laps is pure illusion thrown up by some fans...
He lacks the "killer instinct", if he doesn't succeed in overtaking at the beginning of the race, he just waits for others to make a mistake and take the points...


Well we can only take this season where the strategy pays out with the fuel rules and most people are oblivious to the fact that Button was the fastest car on track in the closing laps of Australia, China and Turkey.... I'd say it hasn't paid out yet in an emphatic way, but, there is proof that the strategy has potential.
Rinehart
QUOTE (Lights @ Jun 8 2010, 10:32) *
As long as Red Bull and McLaren remain the teams to beat like you say, I foresee a lot of 4th places on the grid for Jenson. And as he's more likely to lose places at the start than win any, Hamilton won't be troubled by him. But that's just my vision.


You don't seriously believe that it is as simple as that do you? OMG!
Lights
QUOTE (Rinehart @ Jun 10 2010, 10:29) *
You don't seriously believe that it is as simple as that do you? OMG!

To be honest, yes I do. I don't see Button outqualifying Hamilton. For most of the season he will have to play catch up, he'll usually start behind him in races. Ofcourse it's never as simple as it looks, F1 is full of surprises, who knows how McLaren and Red Bull will be in a couple of races.
Lights
QUOTE (Rinehart @ Jun 10 2010, 10:17) *
Jensons driving in an intelligent Championship building way in my opinion. There is a time and a place were its worth risking say 12 points for 3 more, and Jenson proved last year his method works and in aint looking too shabby so far this year. I don't see how anyone can argue with that. 7 races down, he's still right in the mix and now apparently more comfortable in the McLaren with developments that have brought him closer to Hamilton on pace (though I suspect this weekend might be an exception to the trend). His penchant to prowl rather than pressure (e.g behind Rosberg in China and Vettel in Hungary) ultimately netted him a 1st and 2nd place, rather than, potentially, a needless retirement. The results speak for themselves. Given the value of the points on offer for the upper positions, I think anyone who is going to beat Button to the Championship over the course of this season needs to be fast and as CONSISTENT. Hamilton has it in him, I'm not sure the Red Bulls do.

Consistency isn't just about staying out of trouble, it's also performing on a high level throughout the whole year. To me, Button hasn't yet proved he can do this. Perhaps 2004, but that's a long time ago. Last year his 'method', whatever you mean by that, worked because he had such a huge lead after 7 races, and his competitors were falling over each others feet trying to catch up. To beat Button in this championship, all you have to do is to be more consistent than him, because Button will have weekends in which he will be completely useless. His mechanical failure in Monaco covered up for his poor performance. That's 1 weekend, he will have more.
Jeag
QUOTE (Lights @ Jun 10 2010, 09:44) *
Consistency isn't just about staying out of trouble, it's also performing on a high level throughout the whole year. To me, Button hasn't yet proved he can do this. Perhaps 2004, but that's a long time ago. Last year his 'method', whatever you mean by that, worked because he had such a huge lead after 7 races, and his competitors were falling over each others feet trying to catch up. To beat Button in this championship, all you have to do is to be more consistent than him, because Button will have weekends in which he will be completely useless. His mechanical failure in Monaco covered up for his poor performance. That's 1 weekend, he will have more.


It's a shame that no one has been far and away more consistent than Button then.
Rinehart
Simples. kiss.gif
as65p
QUOTE (Lights @ Jun 10 2010, 10:44) *
Consistency isn't just about staying out of trouble, it's also performing on a high level throughout the whole year. To me, Button hasn't yet proved he can do this. Perhaps 2004, but that's a long time ago. Last year his 'method', whatever you mean by that, worked because he had such a huge lead after 7 races, and his competitors were falling over each others feet trying to catch up. To beat Button in this championship, all you have to do is to be more consistent than him, because Button will have weekends in which he will be completely useless. His mechanical failure in Monaco covered up for his poor performance. That's 1 weekend, he will have more.


About Monaco, Hamiltons performance wasn't stellar either, on probably his favourite track. So it's quite safe to say that the car was lacking on that occasion.
Lights
QUOTE (Jeag @ Jun 10 2010, 10:50) *
It's a shame that no one has been far and away more consistent than Button then.

Even Massa and Rosberg have been more consistent than Button.
Lights
QUOTE (as65p @ Jun 10 2010, 10:59) *
About Monaco, Hamiltons performance wasn't stellar either, on probably his favourite track. So it's quite safe to say that the car was lacking on that occasion.

Yes, the McLaren wasn't performing that well at Monaco, but that's no excuse to drive in 11th.
as65p
QUOTE (Lights @ Jun 10 2010, 11:03) *
Yes, the McLaren wasn't performing that well at Monaco, but that's no excuse to drive in 11th.


Oh was he, before the engine gave up? Than indeed, you're right.
Jeag
QUOTE (Lights @ Jun 10 2010, 10:01) *
Even Massa and Rosberg have been more consistent than Button.


Then they should be ahead of him in the WDC as speed consistency is all that is needed. Maybe they will be by the end of the year.
Lights
QUOTE (Jeag @ Jun 10 2010, 11:19) *
Then they should be ahead of him in the WDC as speed consistency is all that is needed.

I hope you know there's a little bit more to it, like the car itself and decision in abnormal circumstances.

Jenson drove perfect in those circumstances and won two races. What has he shown for the rest? That sometimes he has the pace of Lewis? Doesn't do it for me, as indeed, sometimes he does not have his pace, and that's exactly what makes him inconsistent.
Rinehart
QUOTE (Lights @ Jun 10 2010, 10:25) *
I hope you know there's a little bit more to it, like the car itself and decision in abnormal circumstances.

Jenson drove perfect in those circumstances and won two races. What has he shown for the rest? That sometimes he has the pace of Lewis? Doesn't do it for me, as indeed, sometimes he does not have his pace, and that's exactly what makes him inconsistent.


I have been theorising on here that Button is getting closer to Hamilton on pace, which would make sense, since he has been working to get the McLaren more to his liking (as Hamilton has too, but with less headroom I would expect). Do you dig that theory at all, or is it simply a stable gap in your opinion?
Lights
QUOTE (Rinehart @ Jun 10 2010, 11:34) *
I have been theorising on here that Button is getting closer to Hamilton on pace, which would make sense, since he has been working to get the McLaren more to his liking (as Hamilton has too, but with less headroom I would expect). Do you dig that theory at all, or is it simply a stable gap in your opinion?

It's not stable, but it's not steadily getting closer either. He wasn't far of at the first race, closer than I expected. Since then Hamilton always had the measure of him with a couple of tenths, except of Melbourne and Shanghai. I don't see why that will change. Button can claim he starts feeling better and better in his car while McLaren is changing it to his likings, but that won't put him infront of Hamilton. So I don't completely agree with that theory, no.
Rinehart
QUOTE (Lights @ Jun 10 2010, 11:02) *
It's not stable, but it's not steadily getting closer either. He wasn't far of at the first race, closer than I expected. Since then Hamilton always had the measure of him with a couple of tenths, except of Melbourne and Shanghai. I don't see why that will change. Button can claim he starts feeling better and better in his car while McLaren is changing it to his likings, but that won't put him infront of Hamilton. So I don't completely agree with that theory, no.


I don't completely agree with it either (!) to the extent that there are many variables so it cannot be a perfect theory!!!

I think 9 times out of 10, in a dry race, the one that starts ahead will finish ahead. Its all about qualifying IMO with these rules. Button can be 3 or 4 tenths slower than Hamilton in a dry race, but if ahead on the track, I suspect that is how they'd finish (without variables such as incidents).

So qualifying ahead of Hamiton in dry conditions? Achieved in Melbourne, pretty damn close in Turkey. Got to happen sooner or later, but not Canada, I don't expect.
aditya-now
QUOTE (Lights @ Jun 10 2010, 11:25) *
I hope you know there's a little bit more to it, like the car itself and decision in abnormal circumstances.

Jenson drove perfect in those circumstances and won two races. What has he shown for the rest? That sometimes he has the pace of Lewis? Doesn't do it for me, as indeed, sometimes he does not have his pace, and that's exactly what makes him inconsistent.


I still believe Jenson will catch up more and also will work to get the car more to his liking. I am sure Jenson is on fire, working on a worthy project...
If he will manage to catch up with Lewis remains to be seen....

If he does, things might get dirty. Imagine 10.000 + threads here on the BB about McLaren favoring Jenson....
bauss
QUOTE (Rinehart @ Jun 10 2010, 11:15) *
So qualifying ahead of Hamiton in dry conditions? Achieved in Melbourne, pretty damn close in Turkey. Got to happen sooner or later, but not Canada, I don't expect.



on what evidence confused.gif ??
maverick69
Just read Mark Hughes' article on Lewis vs Jenson in this week's Autosport print.

Apart from his usual monumental hardon for Kubica, he hypothesizes that were Lewis and Jenson in the same car, but in different teams, Jenson would be beating Lewis in all the qualy/races etc. due to Lewis not being able to benefit from Jenson's set-up progression througout the weekend.... fuel corrected, at 12.47 pm and 37 seconds, with the wind blowing from the east of course.
Rinehart
QUOTE (bauss @ Jun 10 2010, 11:23) *
on what evidence confused.gif ??


Err, the official timing equipment.
Jeag
QUOTE (Lights @ Jun 10 2010, 10:25) *
I hope you know there's a little bit more to it, like the car itself and decision in abnormal circumstances.

Jenson drove perfect in those circumstances and won two races. What has he shown for the rest? That sometimes he has the pace of Lewis? Doesn't do it for me, as indeed, sometimes he does not have his pace, and that's exactly what makes him inconsistent.


Hopefully Jenson can get rid of his inconsistencies and pull himself up the WDC from 2nd back to 1st.
Jeag
QUOTE (bauss @ Jun 10 2010, 11:23) *
on what evidence confused.gif ??


confused.gif
bauss
QUOTE (Rinehart @ Jun 10 2010, 11:31) *
Err, the official timing equipment.


yea...there was nothing there in live timing or so that suggested Button was any closer to beating Lewis on saturday....on each of the laps from beginning of Q2, he was always at least 2 tenths down.


The recent GP where Jenson has been closest in qualy was Spain.
Grenada
QUOTE (maverick69 @ Jun 10 2010, 11:31) *
Just read Mark Hughes' article on Lewis vs Jenson in this week's Autosport print.

Apart from his usual monumental hardon for Kubica, he hypothesizes that were Lewis and Jenson in the same car, but in different teams, Jenson would be beating Lewis in all the qualy/races etc. due to Lewis not being able to benefit from Jenson's set-up progression througout the weekend.... fuel corrected, at 12.47 pm and 37 seconds, with the wind blowing from the east of course.


Wow. Sounds like the theories that flew around in 2007, that Hamilton benefitted from Alonso's set ups. He seemed to do okay in 2008 though without Alonso.

I get the feeling you don't agree with Hughes' theory?

Also, Kubica is no slouch, but that car has been developed as fast as the McLaren since Australia. It is probably on a par with the Ferrari right now if not better, Petrov has been getting some good times too, so it is not all a Kubica-miracle.
Rinehart
QUOTE (bauss @ Jun 10 2010, 11:57) *
yea...there was nothing there in live timing or so that suggested Button was any close to beating Lewis on saturday....on each of the laps from beginning of Q2, he was always at least 2 tenths down.


The recent GP where Jenson has been closest in qualy was Spain.


Would you like an endless debate about the definition of the word 'close'?
maverick69
QUOTE (Grenada @ Jun 10 2010, 11:57) *
Wow. Sounds like the theories that flew around in 2007, that Hamilton benefitted from Alonso's set ups. He seemed to do okay in 2008 though without Alonso.

I get the feeling you don't agree with Hughes' theory?

Also, Kubica is no slouch, but that car has been developed as fast as the McLaren since Australia. It is probably on a par with the Ferrari right now if not better, Petrov has been getting some good times too, so it is not all a Kubica-miracle.



Not really.

Jenson is well known for getting a bit lost if he doesn't find that sweet-spot. We saw it last year towards the end of last season, and we've seen it a few times this season... and hell... Jenson even admits it himself! So I can't really see where Hughes is coming from there.

Nothing against Bob either. It's just that every other article of late seems to be Hughes whacking off furiously over him.
The Ragged Edge
QUOTE (Rinehart @ Jun 10 2010, 11:31) *
Err, the official timing equipment.


It depends if you want to call 3 tenths in identical cars close. Since China, Hamilton has stepped up his game a bit. He was on it around Spain, but we all know what happened. Monaco is all about qualifying, and Turkey he was quicker than Button again. If not for Buttons 2 inclement weather wins, he would be under intense pressure from the press. Not long ago, there were a few people crowing about Button leading Hamilton in race wins, qualifying and finishing ahead in the race. I get the impression the truth is beginning to dawn on them. Button is a couple of tenths slower than Hamilton.
undersquare
QUOTE (maverick69 @ Jun 10 2010, 11:31) *
Just read Mark Hughes' article on Lewis vs Jenson in this week's Autosport print.

Apart from his usual monumental hardon for Kubica, he hypothesizes that were Lewis and Jenson in the same car, but in different teams, Jenson would be beating Lewis in all the qualy/races etc. due to Lewis not being able to benefit from Jenson's set-up progression througout the weekend.... fuel corrected, at 12.47 pm and 37 seconds, with the wind blowing from the east of course.


I suppose from a journo's point of view the Lewis >>Jense story is a non-story, so to have any story at all it has to be Jense>>Lewis by whatever means/far-fetched hypothesis.
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