[b]Pos Name Tot Latest [/b] 1) 1george 39 39 = AcuraF1 39 39 = Alapan 39 39 = an1res 39 39 = Apex 39 39 = arcsine 39 39 = control 39 39 = coyoteBR 39 39 = Crazy Canuck 39 39 = D82 39 39 = esorniloc 39 39 = Estwald 39 39 = fisichella_2001 39 39 = FlashMaster 39 39 = gerry nassar 39 39 = Jason 39 39 = jokuvaan 39 39 = kismet 39 39 = Kooper 39 39 = KWSN - DSM 39 39 = LB 39 39 = Makarias 39 39 = Moanaman 39 39 = Mr_London 39 39 = paranoik0 39 39 = race addicted 39 39 = scheivlak 39 39 = shays 39 39 = SkorbiF1 39 39 = skylark68 39 39 = TT6 39 39 = turin 39 39 = V8 Fireworks 39 39 = ville 39 39 = Xig 39 39 36) Costaz 38 38 = panzani 38 38 38) dnbn 37 37 39) kNt 13 39Nice to have a few surprises in the first race already, except for the surprised ones!
Costaz and panzani have underestimated Bourdais, whereas dnbn has done so with Nakajima.
If Barrichello had made it to the points, he would have upset big chunks of the players.
A 26 point initial penalty for kNt, whose entry was 728 points, a bit too big.
The entries
The following list shows the maximum and minimum bets on each driver, plus the interesting 2008 Popularity Poll, which is the average of all bets on each driver, rounded off to integer values. In order to make the points sum 702, Rubens Barrichello's average was rounded off upwards; his average actually being around 3.487. List sorted according to Popularity Poll.
[b]Name Max Pop Min[/b] Räik 134 111 77 Hami 128 99 45 Mass 120 92 68 Kova 108 77 60 Alon 108 52 25 Heid 110 52 20 Kubi 85 45 17 Rosb 66 39 22 Piqu 49 26 8 Webb 47 23 9 Coul 36 17 5 Trul 39 17 1 Naka 34 15 1 Gloc 30 11 1 Vett 22 7 0 Butt 28 6 0 Bour 18 5 1 Barr 24 4 0 Fisi 6 2 0 Sato 8 1 0 Suti 7 1 0 Davi 2 0 0 Klie 3 0 0 Gros 2 0 0 Chan 1 0 0 Wurz 1 0 0The BMW boys look a bit underrated now, don't they? Stupid me even edited away a few points from my guess there...
The Popularity Poll scored 39 points in Australia.
How many players have guessed each driver for WDC?
[b]Driver Players[/b] Räik 30.5 Hami 4.5 Mass 2 Heid 1 Alon 1A draw is predicted by panzani...
The average score predicted for the WDC is 113.282 points. Predictions range from 98 to 134 points.
Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
[b]Owner Owned[/b] <- = -> Räik 37 0 2 Mass Heid 26 1 12 Kubi Alon 39 0 0 Piqu Rosb 38 1 0 Naka Webb 31 1 7 Coul Trul 32 1 6 Trul Vett 26 3 10 Bour Butt 31 5 3 Barr Fisi 27 8 4 Suti Sato 7 30 2 Davi Hami 36 0 3 KovaPretty clear favourites for team leadership in most teams; BMW Sauber and Toro Rosso being the hottest battles.
Super Aguri are unfortunately predicted to be a close battle due to an overall lack of points...
The Popularity Poll WCC:
[b]Team Points[/b] Ferrari 203 McLaren 176 BMW 97 Renault 78 Williams 54 Red Bull 40 Toyota 28 Toro Rosso 12 Honda 10 Force India 3 Super Aguri 1
If the Popularity Poll somehow would turn out to be 100% correct, the final standings would look like this:
[b]Pos Name Tot[/b] 1) Moanaman 683 2) Estwald 667 = LB 667 4) Makarias 666 5) AcuraF1 665 = turin 665 7) Apex 663 8) kismet 661 9) paranoik0 655 10) fisichella_2001 654 = SkorbiF1 654 12) FlashMaster 650 13) panzani 649 = shays 649 = skylark68 649 16) Mr_London 648 17) ville 647 18) esorniloc 646 19) arcsine 645 20) 1george 644 21) race addicted 643 22) dnbn 642 = jokuvaan 642 = Kooper 642 25) Crazy Canuck 640 = scheivlak 640 27) control 638 28) D82 630 29) Costaz 628 30) Alapan 627 = Jason 627 = Xig 627 33) TT6 626 34) gerry nassar 619 = KWSN - DSM 619 36) coyoteBR 607 37) an1res 579 38) V8 Fireworks 574 39) kNt 565Moanaman scores the win for most average guess of the year!
The Drivers' list
[b]Driver Expect Surprise Beat[/b] % % # Bourdais 36,4 10,5 2 Nakajima 19,4 8,6 1 Heidfeld 15,5 7,2 0 Rosberg 15,5 9,0 0 Hamilton 10,1 7,8 0 Alonso 9,7 4,6 0 Kovalainen 5,2 3,7 0 Räikkönen 0,9 0,7 0An excellent start in F1 for the Frenchman, even as his engine blew!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2008 this is 39.
Guesses on the latest points scorers:
I'm trying to improve this list a little, but I'm not done yet. I'll get it uploaded later on, hopefully...
The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Spanish GP.
At this point, let's just say that if every race has the same result as this first GP, the winner will be control with a mere 401 points...
