[b]Pos Name Tot Latest [/b] 1) Xig 420 38 2) race addicted 419 38 3) Apex 417 36 = LB 417 33 = paranoik0 417 38 6) kismet 415 38 7) Kooper 414 37 8) esorniloc 410 36 9) arcsine 408 36 = ville 408 38 11) SkorbiF1 406 38 12) jokuvaan 405 32 = Makarias 405 35 14) Estwald 404 35 15) AcuraF1 403 30 16) turin 402 28 17) FlashMaster 401 36 18) dnbn 400 31 = Moanaman 400 31 = Mr_London 400 29 = skylark68 400 32 22) 1george 399 32 23) an1res 398 33 24) Costaz 397 32 25) Crazy Canuck 396 31 26) D82 394 29 = fisichella_2001 394 31 28) gerry nassar 391 38 = kNt 391 39 30) panzani 390 29 31) shays 387 30 32) scheivlak 386 29 33) Jason 385 38 34) Alapan 377 28 = control 377 28 36) V8 Fireworks 371 35 37) coyoteBR 368 30 38) KWSN - DSM 367 25 39) TT6 363 28Points missed mostly from the Toyota drivers and Kubica, but not all that much really.
The entries
The Drivers' list
[b]Driver Expect Surprise Beat[/b] % % # Barrichello 315,4 44,0 36 Trulli 126,2 55,0 26 Glock 121,3 41,9 26 Kubica 109,4 57,0 26 Vettel 81,0 26,1 18 Heidfeld 79,3 36,9 4 Webber 76,8 37,5 7 Hamilton 62,4 48,1 1 Massa 58,9 44,6 0 Nakajima 51,7 22,9 8 Räikkönen 51,5 42,2 0 Button 50,6 10,3 15 Piquet 50,1 26,0 3 Kovalainen 49,1 34,9 0 Bourdais 36,4 10,5 2 Coulthard 35,4 16,2 1 Alonso 34,9 16,5 0 Rosberg 20,6 11,9 0Timo Glock jumps past the 100% expectation mark.
The way this season is going, I think the only one who can hope for a 100% surprise now is Jarno Trulli, who still is 18 points away from it. Just an outside chance...
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2008 this is 39.
Guesses on the latest points scorers:
[b]Kovalainen[/b] [b]Glock[/b] [b]Räikkönen[/b] [b]Alonso[/b] [b]Hamilton[/b] [b]Piquet[/b] [b]Trulli[/b] [b]Kubica[/b] [b]Potential[/b] 108 [b]Potential[/b] 83 KWSN - DSM 134 an1res 108 [b]Potential[/b] 132 [b]Potential[/b] 83 [b]Potential[/b] 92 [b]Potential[/b] 119 TT6 108 kNt 30 jokuvaan 130 [b]Potential[/b] 88 KWSN - DSM 128 coyoteBR 49 Jason 39 kNt 85 Costaz 100 gerry nassar 26 [b]Potential[/b] 127 control 79 Costaz 125 1george 42 [b]Forecast[/b] 36 [b]Forecast[/b] 80 Alapan 90 Jason 24 D82 126 Mr_London 66 ville 122 an1res 40 ville 35 an1res 65 jokuvaan 89 [b]Forecast[/b] 21 Crazy Canuck 125 coyoteBR 65 shays 117 D82 34 Kooper 32 jokuvaan 61 SkorbiF1 86 an1res 20 shays 125 AcuraF1 62 Mr_London 115 panzani 33 gerry nassar 30 panzani 60 Crazy Canuck 85 ville 19 SkorbiF1 125 Makarias 62 scheivlak 112 fisichella_2001 32 V8 Fireworks 28 dnbn 58 Estwald 85 esorniloc 18 fisichella_2001 123 TT6 62 Crazy Canuck 110 kNt 32 kNt 26 race addicted 58 LB 85 SkorbiF1 18 arcsine 122 turin 62 D82 110 control 31 paranoik0 26 D82 55 paranoik0 85 FlashMaster 16 skylark68 118 kismet 60 panzani 110 gerry nassar 31 SkorbiF1 26 Mr_London 55 turin 85 Apex 15 Costaz 117 scheivlak 60 fisichella_2001 108 Makarias 31 race addicted 25 skylark68 55 1george 84 arcsine 15 TT6 116 D82 59 Makarias 108 Apex 30 Costaz 24 paranoik0 53 Jason 84 kismet 15 Apex 115 fisichella_2001 59 control 106 Mr_London 30 Estwald 24 Crazy Canuck 50 scheivlak 82 V8 Fireworks 14 dnbn 115 1george 55 Estwald 105 skylark68 30 dnbn 23 kismet 50 dnbn 80 Xig 13 scheivlak 115 Apex 55 paranoik0 105 turin 30 Xig 22 Makarias 50 panzani 80 [b]Current[/b] 13 AcuraF1 114 KWSN - DSM 55 skylark68 104 FlashMaster 29 [b]Current[/b] 22 [b]Current[/b] 49 Makarias 78 Kooper 12 esorniloc 113 shays 55 AcuraF1 102 Moanaman 29 kismet 21 FlashMaster 48 Moanaman 78 paranoik0 12 Estwald 112 arcsine 54 Moanaman 102 AcuraF1 28 an1res 20 LB 48 [b]Popularity[/b] 77 race addicted 12 Makarias 112 Moanaman 54 SkorbiF1 102 esorniloc 28 Apex 20 AcuraF1 47 AcuraF1 77 [b]Popularity[/b] 11 [b]Popularity[/b] 111 ville 53 [b]Forecast[/b] 101 Xig 27 LB 20 arcsine 47 KWSN - DSM 77 Makarias 11 kismet 110 [b]Popularity[/b] 52 Jason 101 [b]Popularity[/b] 26 turin 20 Kooper 46 shays 77 Estwald 10 panzani 110 kNt 52 dnbn 100 shays 26 AcuraF1 18 [b]Popularity[/b] 45 kismet 75 LB 10 Jason 109 Kooper 51 turin 100 LB 25 [b]Popularity[/b] 17 Xig 45 skylark68 75 1george 9 Moanaman 109 FlashMaster 50 [b]Popularity[/b] 99 scheivlak 25 jokuvaan 17 1george 44 ville 75 Costaz 8 FlashMaster 108 panzani 50 TT6 98 race addicted 24 esorniloc 15 Costaz 42 Mr_London 74 fisichella_2001 8 paranoik0 108 gerry nassar 49 Alapan 95 dnbn 23 Moanaman 14 fisichella_2001 41 esorniloc 73 jokuvaan 8 turin 108 dnbn 48 LB 95 kismet 23 scheivlak 14 Moanaman 41 control 72 Moanaman 8 V8 Fireworks 107 race addicted 48 V8 Fireworks 95 arcsine 22 shays 14 Apex 40 fisichella_2001 71 skylark68 8 race addicted 105 Estwald 45 jokuvaan 92 Jason 22 Makarias 13 Estwald 40 Apex 70 AcuraF1 7 Kooper 103 esorniloc 44 race addicted 92 SkorbiF1 22 1george 12 SkorbiF1 40 gerry nassar 70 coyoteBR 7 ville 103 LB 42 FlashMaster 91 ville 22 arcsine 12 turin 40 kNt 70 Crazy Canuck 7 an1res 102 paranoik0 42 Kooper 91 Alapan 21 fisichella_2001 12 control 39 coyoteBR 69 shays 7 control 102 Costaz 37 Xig 91 TT6 21 coyoteBR 11 esorniloc 37 FlashMaster 69 scheivlak 6 Mr_London 102 Jason 37 kismet 90 [b]Forecast[/b] 21 Mr_London 11 KWSN - DSM 36 Kooper 69 D82 4 Xig 102 Crazy Canuck 36 coyoteBR 89 Estwald 20 Crazy Canuck 10 ville 36 race addicted 69 dnbn 4 1george 101 jokuvaan 36 gerry nassar 89 Kooper 20 FlashMaster 9 Alapan 35 arcsine 68 turin 4 Alapan 100 Xig 35 esorniloc 88 paranoik0 19 KWSN - DSM 7 shays 34 Xig 66 panzani 3 LB 100 Alapan 34 kNt 88 Crazy Canuck 16 skylark68 7 TT6 32 D82 65 TT6 3 coyoteBR 99 SkorbiF1 34 Apex 85 jokuvaan 14 control 6 scheivlak 31 V8 Fireworks 64 Alapan 2 gerry nassar 98 skylark68 32 arcsine 84 [b]Current[/b] 13 D82 6 gerry nassar 30 [b]Forecast[/b] 62 KWSN - DSM 2 [b]Forecast[/b] 93 [b]Forecast[/b] 29 1george 82 Costaz 12 TT6 6 Jason 30 an1res 60 Mr_London 2 kNt 77 V8 Fireworks 25 [b]Current[/b] 62 KWSN - DSM 10 Alapan 4 coyoteBR 26 [b]Current[/b] 38 control 1 [b]Current[/b] 57 [b]Current[/b] 18 an1res 45 V8 Fireworks 8 panzani 1 V8 Fireworks 17Kubica, or rather BMW, seem to have lost momentum lately, and reaching 86 points seems very tough for him now imo. Glock moved up his list a lot today!
The PTPC forecast
[b]Name Forecast[/b] Xig 604,6 12,8 LB 603,0 16,8 paranoik0 602,6 14,6 skylark68 601,9 13,1 ville 599,8 27,0 D82 597,7 14,7 SkorbiF1 595,3 21,5 race addicted 594,8 18,2 kismet 594,7 25,3 AcuraF1 591,9 10,9 FlashMaster 590,5 24,3 Kooper 590,4 17,8 dnbn 589,6 16,0 esorniloc 589,5 26,9 Estwald 589,0 6,6 Apex 588,5 22,3 Mr_London 588,3 16,7 Moanaman 587,3 13,5 panzani 586,6 14,2 Makarias 586,5 19,3 kNt 585,5 19,1 Crazy Canuck 584,6 5,2 Jason 581,9 22,1 turin 579,5 12,9 fisichella_2001 579,1 8,1 jokuvaan 577,3 12,1 shays 575,9 12,9 arcsine 572,4 24,2 gerry nassar 571,5 29,9 1george 569,5 12,9 scheivlak 563,2 14,6 Alapan 562,3 8,5 control 562,2 15,4 Costaz 561,6 5,2 an1res 550,2 27,4 TT6 548,2 11,2 V8 Fireworks 546,2 4,0 KWSN - DSM 542,9 7,9 coyoteBR 540,0 10,8The forecasts all enjoyed the points boost for the Renaults and the Finnish drivers.