[b]Pos Name Tot Latest [/b] 1) an1res 43 43 = Apex 43 43 = arcsine 43 43 = control 43 43 = D82 43 43 = dnbn 43 43 = Estwald 43 43 = Grayson 43 43 = kismet 43 43 = kNt 43 43 = LB 43 43 = Makarias 43 43 = mark f1 43 43 = Nads.Dams 43 43 = paranoik0 43 43 = race addicted 43 43 = scheivlak 43 43 = shays 43 43 = skylark68 43 43 = Xig 43 43 21) Crazy Canuck 42 42 = jokuvaan 42 42 = KWSN - DSM 42 42 = turin 42 42 25) AcuraF1 41 41 = Kooper 41 41 = Slick 41 41 28) fisichella_2001 40 40 = ville 40 40Stuff happens at the first race already! Points are missed mainly due to Buemi and Bourdais, but also fisichella_2001's Barrichello account is already busted...
Hopefully using the 12-9-7 points system won't make all this too confusing...
The entries
The following list shows the maximum, average ("popularity poll") and minimum bets on each driver. In order to make the Popularity Poll 731 points, the values for Massa and Alonso were rounded off upwards instead of downwards, as they otherwise would have been.
[b] Name Max Pop Min[/b] Räik 129 91 68 Mass 115 85 55 Kubi 122 77 55 Heid 128 66 28 Hami 102 58 13 Alon 90 58 20 Butt 96 47 15 Trul 62 41 21 Barr 82 38 6 Gloc 53 36 15 Kova 55 31 3 Vett 41 27 11 Webb 40 21 5 Piqu 60 17 1 Rosb 38 17 6 Naka 18 8 0 Bour 16 7 0 Buem 15 4 0 Suti 5 1 0 Fisi 5 1 0 Gros 2 0 0
How many players have guessed each driver for WDC?
[b]Driver Players[/b] Räik 12 +2*0.5 Mass 8 +2*0.5 Heid 3 Kubi 2 Alon 1 Hami 1LB and turin both think that the Ferrari drivers will score equal points.
Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
[b]Owner Owned[/b] <- = -> Alon 29 0 0 Piqu Rosb 29 0 0 Naka Hami 27 1 1 Kova Vett 25 0 4 Webb Butt 22 3 4 Barr Bour 21 6 2 Buem Kubi 20 0 9 Heid Räik 18 2 9 Mass Trul 18 2 9 Gloc Fisi 6 19 4 Suti
If the Popularity Poll somehow would turn out to be 100% correct, the final standings would look like this:
[b]Pos Name Tot[/b] 1) scheivlak 693 2) Apex 689 3) kismet 687 4) LB 682 5) Crazy Canuck 681 6) Kooper 679 = Makarias 679 8) turin 672 9) mark f1 671 10) Estwald 668 11) skylark68 660 12) race addicted 656 13) arcsine 655 14) Grayson 648 15) KWSN - DSM 647 16) control 646 17) dnbn 645 18) jokuvaan 644 19) Xig 642 20) fisichella_2001 639 = Slick 639 22) ville 627 23) AcuraF1 626 24) paranoik0 610 25) shays 609 26) Nads.Dams 603 27) an1res 593 28) D82 578 29) kNt 557Most average guess this year is scheivlak, and kNt has the least average guess for the second year in a row!
The Drivers' list
[b]Driver Expect Surprise Beat[/b] % % # Buemi 50,0 12,5 8 Button 25,3 12,4 0 Barrichello 23,7 10,8 1 Rosberg 18,0 7,7 0 Glock 13,9 9,3 0 Bourdais 13,7 5,9 1 Hamilton 12,0 6,8 0 Alonso 7,0 4,4 0Buemi is expected to score exactly four points this year, and he's exactly halfway there already...
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2009 this is 29.
Guesses on the latest points scorers:
[b]Button[/b] [b]Barrichello[/b] [b]Hamilton[/b] [b]Glock[/b] [b]Alonso[/b] [b]Rosberg[/b] [b]Buemi[/b] [b]Bourdais[/b] [b]Forecast[/b] 204 [b]Potential[/b] 201 [b]Potential[/b] 199 [b]Potential[/b] 197 [b]Potential[/b] 196 [b]Potential[/b] 195 [b]Potential[/b] 194 [b]Potential[/b] 193 [b]Potential[/b] 204 [b]Forecast[/b] 153 [b]Forecast[/b] 119 [b]Forecast[/b] 85 an1res 90 [b]Forecast[/b] 51 [b]Forecast[/b] 34 [b]Forecast[/b] 17 D82 96 D82 82 Slick 102 Makarias 53 Kooper 83 KWSN - DSM 38 an1res 15 control 16 jokuvaan 70 paranoik0 76 AcuraF1 99 ville 50 Crazy Canuck 75 race addicted 31 control 13 an1res 15 Grayson 69 jokuvaan 65 shays 90 KWSN - DSM 45 ville 72 Xig 31 dnbn 12 KWSN - DSM 15 paranoik0 69 kismet 58 control 85 LB 45 Estwald 70 dnbn 29 LB 10 kismet 12 Xig 66 Grayson 50 fisichella_2001 76 D82 43 AcuraF1 69 control 23 race addicted 7 race addicted 11 Nads.Dams 63 Xig 50 ville 76 Estwald 43 fisichella_2001 69 jokuvaan 22 arcsine 5 dnbn 10 scheivlak 60 kNt 49 skylark68 72 jokuvaan 43 Slick 69 Apex 20 Estwald 5 kNt 10 mark f1 59 scheivlak 48 Grayson 70 Grayson 42 [b]Forecast[/b] 68 fisichella_2001 20 Grayson 5 LB 10 race addicted 59 Makarias 47 mark f1 65 Nads.Dams 42 dnbn 66 Grayson 18 kNt 5 fisichella_2001 9 arcsine 58 Kooper 46 turin 65 an1res 40 KWSN - DSM 65 paranoik0 18 kismet 4 arcsine 8 kismet 56 arcsine 42 dnbn 64 arcsine 40 shays 65 scheivlak 17 Xig 4 Estwald 8 Apex 55 race addicted 42 Kooper 62 Xig 40 control 62 Estwald 16 Apex 3 scheivlak 8 LB 55 Nads.Dams 41 Makarias 62 fisichella_2001 39 Xig 62 kismet 16 D82 3 skylark68 8 turin 50 turin 38 scheivlak 62 scheivlak 39 Apex 60 Kooper 16 fisichella_2001 3 Xig 8 Makarias 47 Apex 35 Apex 60 dnbn 38 scheivlak 60 mark f1 16 paranoik0 3 D82 6 skylark68 46 Crazy Canuck 35 D82 58 mark f1 37 kismet 59 an1res 15 scheivlak 3 Kooper 6 kNt 43 Estwald 35 kismet 58 kismet 36 Nads.Dams 59 Crazy Canuck 15 shays 3 mark f1 6 Crazy Canuck 40 dnbn 34 arcsine 55 Apex 35 turin 55 arcsine 14 skylark68 3 shays 6 dnbn 40 mark f1 32 LB 55 control 35 Makarias 54 AcuraF1 12 Makarias 2 turin 6 ville 38 KWSN - DSM 30 race addicted 51 kNt 31 Grayson 52 Makarias 12 mark f1 2 Crazy Canuck 5 Estwald 36 LB 30 Crazy Canuck 45 Kooper 31 skylark68 52 Slick 12 Nads.Dams 2 Grayson 5 Kooper 31 skylark68 28 Estwald 42 Crazy Canuck 30 race addicted 50 kNt 11 [b]Current[/b] 2 jokuvaan 5 KWSN - DSM 30 Slick 20 KWSN - DSM 40 paranoik0 30 mark f1 46 D82 10 Crazy Canuck 1 AcuraF1 4 Slick 30 AcuraF1 19 paranoik0 40 skylark68 30 LB 45 turin 10 jokuvaan 1 Makarias 4 control 28 ville 19 jokuvaan 39 AcuraF1 25 jokuvaan 43 skylark68 9 KWSN - DSM 1 Slick 4 AcuraF1 27 control 18 an1res 30 Slick 25 arcsine 39 ville 9 turin 1 Apex 3 shays 22 an1res 15 Nads.Dams 27 race addicted 20 paranoik0 35 LB 8 AcuraF1 0 Nads.Dams 2 an1res 15 shays 12 Xig 27 shays 18 D82 21 shays 8 Kooper 0 paranoik0 1 fisichella_2001 15 [b]Current[/b] 9 kNt 13 turin 15 kNt 20 Nads.Dams 6 Slick 0 [b]Current[/b] 1 [b]Current[/b] 12 fisichella_2001 6 [b]Current[/b] 7 [b]Current[/b] 5 [b]Current[/b] 4 [b]Current[/b] 3 ville 0 ville 0Current = the driver's current score
Forecast = extrapolation of his current average score/race over the whole season
Potential = Maximum achievable score for the driver
While fisichella_2001 seems the prime candidate for "royally screwed of the season", one can't avoid to think that ALL the scores may be pretty miserable this year...
The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Spanish GP.
)
