[b]Pos Name Tot Latest [/b] 1) Apex 172 43 = arcsine 172 43 = Grayson 172 43 = kismet 172 43 = LB 172 43 = scheivlak 172 43 = Xig 172 43 8) Makarias 171 43 = mark f1 171 43 10) dnbn 169 40 = race addicted 169 40 = turin 169 42 13) jokuvaan 168 41 = kNt 168 41 = skylark68 168 39 16) Crazy Canuck 167 40 = D82 167 43 18) Estwald 164 35 = Nads.Dams 164 43 20) ville 160 35 21) Kooper 157 31 = KWSN - DSM 157 31 23) paranoik0 156 34 24) Slick 154 29 25) control 153 27 26) AcuraF1 146 24 27) shays 141 27 28) an1res 137 27 29) fisichella_2001 128 27Points were missed from the Brawns, Vettel and for the first time this season Glock.
The entries
The Drivers' list
[b]Driver Expect Surprise Beat[/b] % % # Button 90,8 44,3 12 Vettel 77,5 50,0 7 Buemi 75,0 18,8 11 Webber 58,1 29,3 4 Barrichello 57,9 26,5 7 Trulli 45,9 30,2 0 Glock 44,6 29,6 1 Rosberg 24,1 10,3 0 Hamilton 17,2 9,7 0 Bourdais 13,7 5,9 1 Heidfeld 13,6 7,0 0 Kovalainen 13,0 7,1 1 Alonso 8,7 5,5 0 Räikkönen 3,3 2,3 0Vettel is percentage wise closest to a 100% surprise, and should easily be able to make it. Highest guess on him is a mere 41 points, whereas the highest on Button is a very smart looking 96.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2009 this is 29.
Guesses on the latest points scorers:
[b]Button[/b] [b]Vettel[/b] [b]Trulli[/b] [b]Hamilton[/b] [b]Barrichello[/b] [b]Räikkönen[/b] [b]Glock[/b] [b]Alonso[/b] [b]Potential[/b] 199 [b]Potential[/b] 177 [b]Potential[/b] 175 [b]Potential[/b] 166 [b]Potential[/b] 178 [b]Potential[/b] 159 [b]Potential[/b] 172 [b]Potential[/b] 161 [b]Forecast[/b] 183 [b]Forecast[/b] 89 [b]Forecast[/b] 81 Slick 102 [b]Forecast[/b] 94 Nads.Dams 129 [b]Forecast[/b] 68 an1res 90 D82 96 arcsine 41 D82 62 AcuraF1 99 D82 82 kNt 115 Makarias 53 Kooper 83 jokuvaan 70 D82 38 paranoik0 58 shays 90 paranoik0 76 AcuraF1 108 ville 50 Crazy Canuck 75 Grayson 69 fisichella_2001 37 an1res 55 control 85 jokuvaan 65 Apex 105 KWSN - DSM 45 ville 72 paranoik0 69 dnbn 36 Estwald 55 fisichella_2001 76 kismet 58 Slick 103 LB 45 Estwald 70 Xig 66 Crazy Canuck 35 KWSN - DSM 55 ville 76 Grayson 50 jokuvaan 100 D82 43 AcuraF1 69 Nads.Dams 63 ville 35 Makarias 54 skylark68 72 Xig 50 Kooper 99 Estwald 43 fisichella_2001 69 scheivlak 60 Xig 33 arcsine 51 Grayson 70 kNt 49 shays 99 jokuvaan 43 Slick 69 mark f1 59 control 32 race addicted 50 mark f1 65 scheivlak 48 paranoik0 98 Grayson 42 dnbn 66 race addicted 59 Grayson 32 control 46 turin 65 Makarias 47 race addicted 96 Nads.Dams 42 KWSN - DSM 65 arcsine 58 Apex 30 LB 45 dnbn 64 Kooper 46 control 95 an1res 40 shays 65 kismet 56 LB 30 ville 44 Kooper 62 arcsine 42 turin 95 arcsine 40 control 62 Apex 55 scheivlak 30 jokuvaan 43 Makarias 62 race addicted 42 fisichella_2001 93 Xig 40 Xig 62 LB 55 Slick 28 Kooper 42 scheivlak 62 Nads.Dams 41 D82 92 fisichella_2001 39 Apex 60 turin 50 mark f1 27 mark f1 41 Apex 60 turin 38 KWSN - DSM 90 scheivlak 39 scheivlak 60 Makarias 47 shays 27 Apex 40 D82 58 Apex 35 LB 90 dnbn 38 kismet 59 skylark68 46 Makarias 26 Crazy Canuck 40 kismet 58 Crazy Canuck 35 kismet 89 mark f1 37 Nads.Dams 59 kNt 43 an1res 25 kismet 40 arcsine 55 Estwald 35 scheivlak 88 kismet 36 turin 55 [b]Current[/b] 43 kismet 25 turin 40 LB 55 dnbn 34 Estwald 87 Apex 35 Makarias 54 Crazy Canuck 40 KWSN - DSM 25 Xig 38 race addicted 51 mark f1 32 Crazy Canuck 85 control 35 Grayson 52 dnbn 40 turin 25 scheivlak 37 Crazy Canuck 45 KWSN - DSM 30 Makarias 84 kNt 31 skylark68 52 ville 38 Kooper 24 Grayson 36 [b]Forecast[/b] 43 LB 30 skylark68 84 Kooper 31 race addicted 50 Estwald 36 Nads.Dams 24 fisichella_2001 33 Estwald 42 skylark68 28 an1res 80 Crazy Canuck 30 mark f1 46 Kooper 31 [b]Current[/b] 21 AcuraF1 30 KWSN - DSM 40 [b]Current[/b] 22 dnbn 79 paranoik0 30 LB 45 KWSN - DSM 30 Estwald 20 dnbn 30 paranoik0 40 Slick 20 mark f1 74 skylark68 30 jokuvaan 43 Slick 30 jokuvaan 19 shays 30 jokuvaan 39 AcuraF1 19 ville 73 AcuraF1 25 arcsine 39 control 28 kNt 19 kNt 29 an1res 30 ville 19 arcsine 71 Slick 25 paranoik0 35 AcuraF1 27 race addicted 18 skylark68 29 Nads.Dams 27 control 18 Grayson 68 race addicted 20 [b]Forecast[/b] 21 shays 22 AcuraF1 17 Slick 26 Xig 27 an1res 15 Xig 68 shays 18 D82 21 an1res 15 skylark68 17 Nads.Dams 21 kNt 13 shays 12 [b]Forecast[/b] 13 [b]Current[/b] 16 kNt 20 fisichella_2001 15 paranoik0 11 [b]Current[/b] 19 [b]Current[/b] 10 fisichella_2001 6 [b]Current[/b] 3 turin 15 [b]Current[/b] 5Kimi opened his points tally, but still looks to be in a hopeless position to beat even the lowest expectations at 68 points. That is the highest lowest value for any driver, second being Massa and Kubica, both with 55 points. And neither one of those has scored any points yet...
The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Spanish GP.
