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[Makarias]

The standings after the Monaco GP:

Pos Name Tot Latest
1) Grayson 258 43
2) Xig 254 39
3) arcsine 249 34
4) scheivlak 248 33
5) kismet 244 30
6) D82 242 39
= race addicted 242 35
8) mark f1 241 27
9) jokuvaan 239 39
10) Apex 238 23
11) Makarias 234 28
12) LB 233 19
= turin 233 27
14) Nads.Dams 231 33
15) dnbn 225 25
= paranoik0 225 38
17) Crazy Canuck 224 26
18) Kooper 216 30
= skylark68 216 22
20) kNt 214 27
21) Estwald 209 22
22) KWSN - DSM 200 18
23) ville 198 17
24) control 197 22
25) Slick 190 18
26) AcuraF1 177 18
= an1res 177 19
28) shays 176 18
29) fisichella_2001 172 22

Grayson is now alone at the top, after the Brawn mayhem continues. Webber also costs people points, and ever so slightly Rosberg and Bourdais.

The entries


The Drivers' list

Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Button 141,5 69,1 25
Webber 111,4 56,1 20
Barrichello 105,3 48,2 16
Vettel 95,9 61,9 13
Buemi 75,0 18,8 11
Rosberg 48,1 20,5 1
Trulli 45,9 30,2 0
Glock 44,6 29,6 1
Bourdais 27,5 11,8 2
Alonso 19,1 12,1 0
Hamilton 17,2 9,7 0
Heidfeld 16,6 8,5 0
Kovalainen 13,0 7,1 1
Räikkönen 11,0 7,7 0
Massa 9,5 6,9 0

Webber and Barrichello join Button past the 100% expectation mark, well before halfway through the season.

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2009 this is 29.


Guesses on the latest points scorers:

Button Barrichello Räikkönen Massa Webber Rosberg Alonso Bourdais
* Potential 199 * Potential 172 * Potential 142 * Potential 140 * Potential 155 * Potential 140 * Potential 143 * Potential 134
* Forecast 190 * Forecast 113 Nads.Dams 129 shays 115 * Forecast 65 KWSN - DSM 38 an1res 90 control 16
D82 96 D82 82 kNt 115 kNt 113 dnbn 40 race addicted 31 Kooper 83 an1res 15
jokuvaan 70 paranoik0 76 AcuraF1 108 D82 105 mark f1 34 Xig 31 Crazy Canuck 75 KWSN - DSM 15
Grayson 69 jokuvaan 65 Apex 105 fisichella_2001 104 fisichella_2001 32 dnbn 29 ville 72 kismet 12
paranoik0 69 kismet 58 Slick 103 Estwald 100 control 30 control 23 Estwald 70 race addicted 11
* Current 67 Grayson 50 jokuvaan 100 mark f1 98 Crazy Canuck 30 * Forecast 23 AcuraF1 69 dnbn 10
Xig 66 Xig 50 Kooper 99 skylark68 98 arcsine 29 jokuvaan 22 fisichella_2001 69 kNt 10
Nads.Dams 63 kNt 49 shays 99 Apex 95 race addicted 29 Apex 20 Slick 69 LB 10
scheivlak 60 scheivlak 48 paranoik0 98 Nads.Dams 95 Grayson 28 fisichella_2001 20 dnbn 66 fisichella_2001 9
mark f1 59 Makarias 47 race addicted 96 turin 95 skylark68 28 Grayson 18 KWSN - DSM 65 arcsine 8
race addicted 59 Kooper 46 control 95 LB 90 * Current 23 paranoik0 18 shays 65 Estwald 8
arcsine 58 arcsine 42 turin 95 Makarias 90 Kooper 22 scheivlak 17 control 62 scheivlak 8
kismet 56 race addicted 42 fisichella_2001 93 paranoik0 90 kismet 21 Estwald 16 Xig 62 skylark68 8
Apex 55 Nads.Dams 41 D82 92 Crazy Canuck 88 turin 21 kismet 16 Apex 60 Xig 8
LB 55 * Current 40 KWSN - DSM 90 Slick 81 an1res 20 Kooper 16 scheivlak 60 * Forecast 6
turin 50 turin 38 LB 90 KWSN - DSM 80 Apex 20 mark f1 16 kismet 59 D82 6
Makarias 47 Apex 35 kismet 89 scheivlak 80 LB 20 an1res 15 Nads.Dams 59 Kooper 6
skylark68 46 Crazy Canuck 35 scheivlak 88 Kooper 78 Makarias 20 Crazy Canuck 15 turin 55 mark f1 6
kNt 43 Estwald 35 Estwald 87 AcuraF1 75 scheivlak 20 arcsine 14 Makarias 54 shays 6
Crazy Canuck 40 dnbn 34 Crazy Canuck 85 Xig 75 Xig 20 AcuraF1 12 Grayson 52 turin 6
dnbn 40 mark f1 32 Makarias 84 kismet 71 ville 18 Makarias 12 skylark68 52 Crazy Canuck 5
ville 38 KWSN - DSM 30 skylark68 84 control 70 Estwald 16 Slick 12 race addicted 50 Grayson 5
Estwald 36 LB 30 an1res 80 dnbn 70 AcuraF1 15 kNt 11 mark f1 46 jokuvaan 5
Kooper 31 skylark68 28 dnbn 79 race addicted 70 KWSN - DSM 15 D82 10 LB 45 AcuraF1 4
KWSN - DSM 30 Slick 20 mark f1 74 arcsine 69 Slick 15 turin 10 jokuvaan 43 Makarias 4
Slick 30 AcuraF1 19 ville 73 jokuvaan 68 shays 14 skylark68 9 arcsine 39 Slick 4
control 28 ville 19 arcsine 71 Grayson 67 jokuvaan 13 ville 9 paranoik0 35 Apex 3
AcuraF1 27 control 18 Grayson 68 an1res 65 kNt 11 LB 8 * Forecast 31 Nads.Dams 2
shays 22 an1res 15 Xig 68 ville 55 D82 7 shays 8 D82 21 * Current 2
an1res 15 shays 12 * Forecast 28 * Forecast 23 paranoik0 6 * Current 8 kNt 20 paranoik0 1
fisichella_2001 15 fisichella_2001 6 * Current 10 * Current 8 Nads.Dams 5 Nads.Dams 6 * Current 11 ville 0

It's getting close to the point where any point scored by Button becomes irrelevant to this game, whereas that point scored by some other driver could well make a difference. Hopefully Button doesn't do too well in the future...

The PTPC forecast

Name Forecast
D82 478,2 16,8
arcsine 438,7 19,3
Grayson 438,0 19,6
jokuvaan 434,0 23,6
Xig 431,0 30,6
paranoik0 420,8 13,8
kismet 414,7 19,3
scheivlak 412,7 19,3
Makarias 410,2 9,8
dnbn 407,8 23,2
mark f1 406,7 19,3
race addicted 406,3 24,9
LB 400,2 17,8
Apex 394,0 20,0
Crazy Canuck 384,0 18,6
Estwald 383,5 18,1
KWSN - DSM 381,2 23,8
control 378,8 23,2
Kooper 370,7 19,3
ville 361,3 12,3
turin 358,7 19,3
Nads.Dams 357,7 23,3
an1res 351,0 20,4
skylark68 348,7 19,3
fisichella_2001 343,7 22,3
kNt 321,8 26,6
Slick 313,0 17,6
AcuraF1 302,0 17,6
shays 292,7 19,3

All forecasts got a healthy boost thanks to the brighter prospects for the Ferrari team.