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[Makarias]

The standings after the European GP:

Pos Name Tot Latest
1) D82 384 39
2) Grayson 374 25
3) Xig 372 25
4) arcsine 361 25
= jokuvaan 361 37
6) dnbn 356 28
7) race addicted 355 29
8) kismet 353 33
9) scheivlak 352 25
10) mark f1 344 25
11) paranoik0 342 37
12) Apex 337 25
13) Crazy Canuck 330 25
14) Makarias 328 25
15) LB 320 25
16) turin 314 25
17) Kooper 313 25
18) control 308 25
19) KWSN - DSM 305 29
= skylark68 305 25
21) Nads.Dams 304 20
22) Estwald 300 25
23) ville 291 25
24) fisichella_2001 287 25
25) kNt 281 11
26) Slick 278 25
27) an1res 266 24
28) AcuraF1 264 25
29) shays 258 25

D82 moves into the lead, as the forecast has predicted would eventually happen some time. Jenson and the RBR guys doing poorly made the scores pretty high this round.

The entries


The Drivers' list

Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Webber 290,5 146,3 29
Vettel 199,2 128,6 29
Button 190,1 92,8 28
Rosberg 180,5 76,9 26
Barrichello 163,2 74,7 26
Buemi 75,0 18,8 11
Trulli 65,3 42,9 2
Glock 55,8 37,0 2
Hamilton 53,2 30,1 4
Kovalainen 45,4 25,0 2
Räikkönen 29,7 20,8 0
Alonso 27,8 17,6 0
Bourdais 27,5 11,8 2
Massa 27,2 19,8 0
Heidfeld 16,6 8,5 0
Kubica 3,9 2,4 0

Button's campaign for a 100% surprise has slowed down significantly over the summer, but he's still getting closer to it...

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2009 this is 29.


Guesses on the latest points scorers:

Barrichello Hamilton Räikkönen Kovalainen Rosberg Alonso Button Kubica
* Potential 134 * Potential 103 Nads.Dams 129 * Potential 86 * Potential 102 an1res 90 * Potential 162 kNt 122
* Forecast 96 Slick 102 kNt 115 Slick 55 * Forecast 46 * Potential 88 * Forecast 139 shays 109
D82 82 AcuraF1 99 AcuraF1 108 AcuraF1 53 KWSN - DSM 38 Kooper 83 D82 96 Nads.Dams 95
paranoik0 76 shays 90 Apex 105 skylark68 48 race addicted 31 Crazy Canuck 75 * Current 90 skylark68 94
jokuvaan 65 control 85 Slick 103 turin 48 Xig 31 ville 72 jokuvaan 70 ville 94
* Current 62 fisichella_2001 76 jokuvaan 100 shays 44 * Current 30 Estwald 70 Grayson 69 arcsine 92
kismet 58 ville 76 * Potential 99 an1res 40 dnbn 29 AcuraF1 69 paranoik0 69 Estwald 86
Grayson 50 skylark68 72 Kooper 99 jokuvaan 39 control 23 fisichella_2001 69 Xig 66 mark f1 83
Xig 50 Grayson 70 shays 99 mark f1 39 jokuvaan 22 Slick 69 Nads.Dams 63 race addicted 83
kNt 49 mark f1 65 paranoik0 98 ville 39 Apex 20 dnbn 66 scheivlak 60 AcuraF1 80
scheivlak 48 turin 65 race addicted 96 Grayson 37 fisichella_2001 20 KWSN - DSM 65 mark f1 59 Crazy Canuck 80
Makarias 47 dnbn 64 control 95 fisichella_2001 36 Grayson 18 shays 65 race addicted 59 LB 80
Kooper 46 Kooper 62 turin 95 control 35 paranoik0 18 control 62 arcsine 58 turin 80
arcsine 42 Makarias 62 fisichella_2001 93 Makarias 33 scheivlak 17 Xig 62 kismet 56 Slick 76
race addicted 42 scheivlak 62 D82 92 Kooper 32 Estwald 16 Apex 60 Apex 55 * Potential 75
Nads.Dams 41 Apex 60 KWSN - DSM 90 scheivlak 32 kismet 16 scheivlak 60 LB 55 fisichella_2001 74
turin 38 D82 58 LB 90 Apex 30 Kooper 16 kismet 59 turin 50 scheivlak 74
Apex 35 kismet 58 kismet 89 arcsine 30 mark f1 16 Nads.Dams 59 Makarias 47 KWSN - DSM 71
Crazy Canuck 35 arcsine 55 scheivlak 88 dnbn 26 an1res 15 turin 55 skylark68 46 Apex 70
Estwald 35 LB 55 Estwald 87 Crazy Canuck 25 Crazy Canuck 15 Makarias 54 kNt 43 dnbn 68
dnbn 34 race addicted 51 Crazy Canuck 85 kismet 23 arcsine 14 Grayson 52 Crazy Canuck 40 jokuvaan 68
mark f1 32 * Forecast 48 Makarias 84 race addicted 23 AcuraF1 12 skylark68 52 dnbn 40 control 65
KWSN - DSM 30 Crazy Canuck 45 skylark68 84 Xig 22 Makarias 12 race addicted 50 ville 38 Kooper 65
LB 30 Estwald 42 an1res 80 * Forecast 22 Slick 12 mark f1 46 Estwald 36 Xig 65
skylark68 28 KWSN - DSM 40 dnbn 79 LB 20 kNt 11 LB 45 Kooper 31 kismet 63
Slick 20 paranoik0 40 mark f1 74 paranoik0 20 D82 10 jokuvaan 43 KWSN - DSM 30 an1res 60
AcuraF1 19 jokuvaan 39 ville 73 KWSN - DSM 18 turin 10 arcsine 39 Slick 30 paranoik0 60
ville 19 * Current 31 arcsine 71 Estwald 17 skylark68 9 paranoik0 35 control 28 Grayson 58
control 18 an1res 30 Grayson 68 D82 15 ville 9 * Forecast 25 AcuraF1 27 Makarias 58
an1res 15 Nads.Dams 27 Xig 68 * Current 14 LB 8 D82 21 shays 22 D82 55
shays 12 Xig 27 * Forecast 42 Nads.Dams 13 shays 8 kNt 20 an1res 15 * Forecast 5
fisichella_2001 6 kNt 13 * Current 27 kNt 3 Nads.Dams 6 * Current 16 fisichella_2001 15 * Current 3

A rare point this season for Robert Kubica, falling well short of even the lowest expectations this season.

The PTPC forecast

Name Forecast
D82 494,5 6,6
Grayson 464,8 19,4
arcsine 457,5 15,2
jokuvaan 450,0 9,6
Xig 448,3 9,3
kismet 447,2 19,8
scheivlak 442,2 19,8
race addicted 441,6 18,2
dnbn 440,8 19,3
paranoik0 439,4 9,5
mark f1 438,2 19,8
Apex 430,1 20,1
Makarias 422,9 15,6
Crazy Canuck 419,4 20,0
LB 414,9 14,4
Kooper 407,9 22,5
control 404,5 15,1
KWSN - DSM 396,4 4,1
turin 396,3 22,9
skylark68 386,3 22,9
Estwald 386,0 4,7
ville 384,8 17,8
fisichella_2001 373,2 19,8
Nads.Dams 358,5 3,2
Slick 352,3 22,9
an1res 345,6 4,6
AcuraF1 341,3 22,9
kNt 335,5 2,9
shays 330,3 22,9

Forecasts improved again as McLaren and Ferrari have found some form. On the other hand this doesn't take into account that Massa is absent for many races, which will hurt everyone's scores.