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Place The Points Competition 2009 final standings after the Abu Dhabi GP


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 01 November 2009 - 15:48

The 2009 final standings after the Abu Dhabi GP:
Pos Name Tot Latest
1) D82 518 6
2) Grayson 504 4
3) arcsine 485 6
4) dnbn 476 5
= kismet 476 6
6) scheivlak 474 5
7) jokuvaan 472 6
8) race addicted 470 7
= Xig 470 6
10) mark f1 466 6
11) Apex 459 6
12) paranoik0 458 6
13) Makarias 450 6
14) LB 442 7
15) Crazy Canuck 440 6
16) Kooper 435 6
17) control 431 7
= turin 431 6
19) skylark68 420 4
20) KWSN - DSM 411 6
= ville 411 6
22) fisichella_2001 405 4
23) Estwald 402 6
24) Slick 383 4
25) Nads.Dams 381 4
26) AcuraF1 372 4
27) an1res 363 7
28) shays 362 4
29) kNt 353 4

Now THIS is what a late season score should look like! Every player on single digit scores and very small changes to the overall standings. Everyone scored four from Heidfeld, and on top of that maybe some extra points from Trulli and Buemi.

Congratulations to D82 :up: :up: :up: :clap:
for winning the 2009 Place The Points Competition!
Congratulations also to runner-up Grayson :up: :up:
and third placed arcsine :up:

The obvious key to the championship was D82's supreme faith in the Brawn team. The scores on average were very low this year, even with the generous FOTA points system used here. Very unexpected season!

The entries


The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Kobayashi HUGE SURPRISE 29
Fisichella 705,4 150,0 29
Sutil 426,5 83,3 28
Webber 392,2 197,6 29
Vettel 354,2 228,6 29
Button 242,9 118,6 29
Barrichello 228,9 104,8 29
Rosberg 210,6 89,7 28
Buemi 150,0 37,5 24
Hamilton 97,8 55,3 12
Trulli 91,8 60,3 10
Glock 80,9 53,7 5
Kovalainen 71,3 39,3 7
Räikkönen 59,4 41,5 0
Alonso 47,0 29,7 2
Heidfeld 36,3 18,6 0
Bourdais 27,5 11,8 2
Massa 27,2 19,8 0
Kubica 23,4 14,6 0

Rubens Barrichello manages to break the 100% surprise mark at the final race of the season, being the fifth driver this season to make it. And Kamui Kobayashi makes it totally out of the blue!

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2009 this is 29.


Guesses on the latest points scorers:

Vettel Webber Button Barrichello Heidfeld Kobayashi Trulli Buemi
* Potential 96 * Potential 81 * Potential 115 * Potential 87 kNt 128 * Current 3 D82 62 an1res 15
* Forecast 96 * Forecast 81 * Forecast 115 * Forecast 87 Nads.Dams 102 * Forecast 3 paranoik0 58 control 13
* Current 96 * Current 81 * Current 115 * Current 87 paranoik0 96 * Potential 3 an1res 55 dnbn 12
arcsine 41 dnbn 40 D82 96 D82 82 KWSN - DSM 91 AcuraF1 0 Estwald 55 LB 10
D82 38 mark f1 34 jokuvaan 70 paranoik0 76 an1res 80 an1res 0 KWSN - DSM 55 race addicted 7
fisichella_2001 37 fisichella_2001 32 Grayson 69 jokuvaan 65 ville 78 Apex 0 Makarias 54 * Potential 6
dnbn 36 control 30 paranoik0 69 kismet 58 Xig 78 arcsine 0 arcsine 51 * Forecast 6
Crazy Canuck 35 Crazy Canuck 30 Xig 66 Grayson 50 arcsine 70 control 0 race addicted 50 * Current 6
ville 35 arcsine 29 Nads.Dams 63 Xig 50 LB 70 Crazy Canuck 0 control 46 arcsine 5
Xig 33 race addicted 29 scheivlak 60 kNt 49 Kooper 68 D82 0 LB 45 Estwald 5
control 32 Grayson 28 mark f1 59 scheivlak 48 Makarias 68 dnbn 0 ville 44 Grayson 5
Grayson 32 skylark68 28 race addicted 59 Makarias 47 Estwald 66 Estwald 0 jokuvaan 43 kNt 5
Apex 30 Kooper 22 arcsine 58 Kooper 46 skylark68 66 fisichella_2001 0 Kooper 42 kismet 4
LB 30 kismet 21 kismet 56 arcsine 42 Crazy Canuck 65 Grayson 0 mark f1 41 Xig 4
scheivlak 30 turin 21 Apex 55 race addicted 42 jokuvaan 64 jokuvaan 0 Apex 40 Apex 3
Slick 28 an1res 20 LB 55 Nads.Dams 41 kismet 64 kismet 0 Crazy Canuck 40 D82 3
mark f1 27 Apex 20 turin 50 turin 38 AcuraF1 62 kNt 0 kismet 40 fisichella_2001 3
shays 27 LB 20 Makarias 47 Apex 35 race addicted 61 Kooper 0 turin 40 paranoik0 3
Makarias 26 Makarias 20 skylark68 46 Crazy Canuck 35 Slick 60 KWSN - DSM 0 * Potential 38 scheivlak 3
an1res 25 scheivlak 20 kNt 43 Estwald 35 Grayson 56 LB 0 * Forecast 38 shays 3
kismet 25 Xig 20 Crazy Canuck 40 dnbn 34 mark f1 54 Makarias 0 Xig 38 skylark68 3
KWSN - DSM 25 ville 18 dnbn 40 mark f1 32 control 53 mark f1 0 * Current 38 Makarias 2
turin 25 Estwald 16 ville 38 KWSN - DSM 30 shays 53 Nads.Dams 0 scheivlak 37 mark f1 2
Kooper 24 AcuraF1 15 Estwald 36 LB 30 fisichella_2001 51 paranoik0 0 Grayson 36 Nads.Dams 2
Nads.Dams 24 KWSN - DSM 15 Kooper 31 skylark68 28 scheivlak 50 race addicted 0 fisichella_2001 33 Crazy Canuck 1
Estwald 20 Slick 15 KWSN - DSM 30 Slick 20 turin 48 scheivlak 0 AcuraF1 30 jokuvaan 1
jokuvaan 19 shays 14 Slick 30 AcuraF1 19 Apex 45 shays 0 dnbn 30 KWSN - DSM 1
kNt 19 jokuvaan 13 control 28 ville 19 dnbn 43 skylark68 0 shays 30 turin 1
race addicted 18 kNt 11 AcuraF1 27 control 18 D82 28 Slick 0 kNt 29 AcuraF1 0
AcuraF1 17 D82 7 shays 22 an1res 15 * Potential 24 turin 0 skylark68 29 Kooper 0
skylark68 17 paranoik0 6 an1res 15 shays 12 * Forecast 24 ville 0 Slick 26 Slick 0
paranoik0 11 Nads.Dams 5 fisichella_2001 15 fisichella_2001 6 * Current 24 Xig 0 Nads.Dams 21 ville 0

The big names, the big surprises of the year took the top four places in the race...

The PTPC forecast
Nah...


Best guesses on each driver:

X # ! Y
Butt 115 96 D82
Vett 96 41 arcsine
Barr 87 82 D82
Webb 81 40 dnbn
Hami 57 58 D82, kismet
Räik 54 68 Grayson, Xig
Trul 38 38 Xig
Rosb 35 38 KWSN - DSM
Gloc 29 30 Crazy Canuck, paranoik0, skylark68
Alon 27 21 D82
Heid 24 28 D82
Mass 23 55 ville
Kova 22 22 Xig
Kubi 18 55 D82
Fisi 9 5 Grayson
Buem 6 7 race addicted and 5: arcsine, Estwald, Grayson
Suti 5 5 Grayson
Koba 3 0 Everyone
Bour 2 2 Nads.Dams
Gros 0 0 Everyone except arcsine
Naka 0 0 Nads.Dams
Piqu 0 1 kNt

That's it for 2009 as far as this game is concerned!
PTPC will be back in 2010 to celebrate a brand new decade, except for those of you anal enough to bicker about the lack of a year zero (get over it already!).
Happy Christmas, Merry New Year etc.

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#2 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 01 November 2009 - 16:36

Congratulations to DB82 for winning the PTPC for 2009, this is a competition where winning is about reading the tea-leafs just right before the season, and making the right assumption on who will fail to shine.

Thanks Makarias for running this game (this one as well), I will be back for 2010, next year is my year.

:cool:

#3 noikeee

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Posted 02 November 2009 - 14:32

I think what this competition proved this year is that we were TERRIBLE at predicting the season. :lol:

#4 Grayson

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Posted 02 November 2009 - 17:48

Congratulations D82, I thought I'd put a lot of faith in Brawn before the season but compared to you I underestimated them by miles!

I'm looking forward to next year - the minnows are going to be rather difficult to predict...

#5 turin

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Posted 02 November 2009 - 17:56

Thanks Makarias and congrats to D82....it seems I just did a Damon this year

#6 scheivlak

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Posted 02 November 2009 - 18:02

I think what this competition proved this year is that we were TERRIBLE at predicting the season. :lol:

Well, the "real experts" didn't do too well either: http://www.autosport...cle.php/id/2054

:D

Only 1 guy expected Jenson to win the title, and he had Heidfeld at #2 and Trulli at #3......

#7 D82

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Posted 03 November 2009 - 09:38

Thanks guys. TBH I was suprised to see so many people not giving enough credit to Brawns.

My first championship! Yay! :clap:

#8 kNt

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Posted 09 November 2009 - 20:37

Waterlooooo :drunk: .

At first it looked like I "only" got the teams wrong, but I got the distribution also completely wrong. The season was quite even in retrospect.