Pos Name Tot Latest
1) AcuraF1 202 101
= an1res 202 101
= Anderis 202 101
= Apex 202 101
= arcsine 202 101
= Brawn BGP 001 202 101
= Costaz 202 101
= coyoteBR 202 101
= Crazy Canuck 202 101
= D82 202 101
= dnbn 202 101
= Estwald 202 101
= fisichella_2001 202 101
= gerry nassar 202 101
= Grayson 202 101
= jeze 202 101
= jokuvaan 202 101
= kismet 202 101
= kNt 202 101
= Kooper 202 101
= Ladaman 202 101
= Makarias 202 101
= mark f1 202 101
= paranoik0 202 101
= scheivlak 202 101
= shays 202 101
= skylark68 202 101
= Slick 202 101
= Viceroy 202 101
= Wlleiotl 202 101
31) KWSN - DSM 201 100
32) LB 199 98
33) jonnyw01 197 96
34) August 186 85
1) AcuraF1 202 101
= an1res 202 101
= Anderis 202 101
= Apex 202 101
= arcsine 202 101
= Brawn BGP 001 202 101
= Costaz 202 101
= coyoteBR 202 101
= Crazy Canuck 202 101
= D82 202 101
= dnbn 202 101
= Estwald 202 101
= fisichella_2001 202 101
= gerry nassar 202 101
= Grayson 202 101
= jeze 202 101
= jokuvaan 202 101
= kismet 202 101
= kNt 202 101
= Kooper 202 101
= Ladaman 202 101
= Makarias 202 101
= mark f1 202 101
= paranoik0 202 101
= scheivlak 202 101
= shays 202 101
= skylark68 202 101
= Slick 202 101
= Viceroy 202 101
= Wlleiotl 202 101
31) KWSN - DSM 201 100
32) LB 199 98
33) jonnyw01 197 96
34) August 186 85
Points losses happened sooner than I expected, thanks to excellent drives from Kubica and Liuzzi.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Kubi 36,0 19,1 1
Liuz 30,8 7,9 4
Butt 17,4 13,4 0
Mass 16,2 11,4 0
Alon 15,4 11,9 0
Rosb 15,0 11,6 0
Hami 9,7 7,4 0
Barr 8,9 5,0 0
Vett 5,8 4,2 0
Schu 5,1 3,1 0
Webb 3,7 2,5 0
% % #
Kubi 36,0 19,1 1
Liuz 30,8 7,9 4
Butt 17,4 13,4 0
Mass 16,2 11,4 0
Alon 15,4 11,9 0
Rosb 15,0 11,6 0
Hami 9,7 7,4 0
Barr 8,9 5,0 0
Vett 5,8 4,2 0
Schu 5,1 3,1 0
Webb 3,7 2,5 0
The bottom four all have underestimated Liuzzi, while August on top of this has misjudged Kubica. Ill boding for the overall result...
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2009 this is 29.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Button Kubica Massa Alonso Rosberg
* Potential 456 * Potential 443 * Potential 458 * Potential 462 * Potential 445
* Forecast 295 * Forecast 171 * Forecast 314 * Forecast 352 * Forecast 190
shays 230 coyoteBR 93 KWSN - DSM 288 jeze 310 Anderis 172
Slick 224 an1res 80 shays 282 an1res 290 Crazy Canuck 170
Brawn BGP 001 220 arcsine 77 jeze 267 Costaz 280 Viceroy 169
jokuvaan 220 Anderis 72 Slick 260 Brawn BGP 001 278 KWSN - DSM 165
KWSN - DSM 216 kNt 72 coyoteBR 241 Makarias 276 jokuvaan 161
jonnyw01 210 skylark68 72 Brawn BGP 001 234 KWSN - DSM 271 an1res 160
Costaz 202 Apex 65 Makarias 221 August 270 Estwald 153
skylark68 202 jokuvaan 61 an1res 220 Kooper 264 LB 150
LB 200 Crazy Canuck 60 kNt 215 Ladaman 264 kismet 149
Makarias 196 fisichella_2001 60 mark f1 214 Wlleiotl 260 August 143
mark f1 191 jeze 55 August 211 D82 259 scheivlak 141
Apex 190 Kooper 52 Kooper 210 mark f1 259 Apex 140
dnbn 189 Ladaman 52 LB 210 scheivlak 253 mark f1 139
Anderis 184 Grayson 51 kismet 201 LB 250 Makarias 138
kNt 182 KWSN - DSM 47 Crazy Canuck 200 paranoik0 249 dnbn 133
Crazy Canuck 180 mark f1 46 Grayson 199 arcsine 246 paranoik0 132
Estwald 180 Viceroy 46 fisichella_2001 198 Crazy Canuck 240 arcsine 130
AcuraF1 179 D82 45 skylark68 195 jonnyw01 239 D82 130
gerry nassar 179 kismet 45 Viceroy 194 AcuraF1 238 Grayson 130
Viceroy 174 Slick 45 paranoik0 193 fisichella_2001 236 gerry nassar 128
Grayson 170 Brawn BGP 001 43 arcsine 191 dnbn 233 shays 125
scheivlak 169 dnbn 43 Estwald 190 shays 232 coyoteBR 124
coyoteBR 163 AcuraF1 42 Wlleiotl 190 Apex 230 fisichella_2001 121
August 162 Estwald 42 AcuraF1 186 gerry nassar 230 AcuraF1 120
kismet 160 gerry nassar 42 jonnyw01 183 kismet 227 kNt 120
Wlleiotl 160 Costaz 41 gerry nassar 182 coyoteBR 224 skylark68 120
Ladaman 155 paranoik0 41 Costaz 181 kNt 222 Wlleiotl 120
arcsine 148 jonnyw01 40 Ladaman 180 skylark68 222 jonnyw01 114
jeze 144 shays 40 scheivlak 178 Viceroy 214 Brawn BGP 001 111
paranoik0 143 LB 35 Anderis 177 Grayson 197 Kooper 109
an1res 140 scheivlak 32 dnbn 176 Estwald 195 Ladaman 109
D82 139 Wlleiotl 30 Apex 160 Slick 184 Costaz 101
fisichella_2001 134 Makarias 29 D82 156 Anderis 169 Slick 99
Kooper 119 * Current 18 jokuvaan 156 jokuvaan 156 jeze 97
* Current 31 August 4 * Current 33 * Current 37 * Current 20
* Potential 456 * Potential 443 * Potential 458 * Potential 462 * Potential 445
* Forecast 295 * Forecast 171 * Forecast 314 * Forecast 352 * Forecast 190
shays 230 coyoteBR 93 KWSN - DSM 288 jeze 310 Anderis 172
Slick 224 an1res 80 shays 282 an1res 290 Crazy Canuck 170
Brawn BGP 001 220 arcsine 77 jeze 267 Costaz 280 Viceroy 169
jokuvaan 220 Anderis 72 Slick 260 Brawn BGP 001 278 KWSN - DSM 165
KWSN - DSM 216 kNt 72 coyoteBR 241 Makarias 276 jokuvaan 161
jonnyw01 210 skylark68 72 Brawn BGP 001 234 KWSN - DSM 271 an1res 160
Costaz 202 Apex 65 Makarias 221 August 270 Estwald 153
skylark68 202 jokuvaan 61 an1res 220 Kooper 264 LB 150
LB 200 Crazy Canuck 60 kNt 215 Ladaman 264 kismet 149
Makarias 196 fisichella_2001 60 mark f1 214 Wlleiotl 260 August 143
mark f1 191 jeze 55 August 211 D82 259 scheivlak 141
Apex 190 Kooper 52 Kooper 210 mark f1 259 Apex 140
dnbn 189 Ladaman 52 LB 210 scheivlak 253 mark f1 139
Anderis 184 Grayson 51 kismet 201 LB 250 Makarias 138
kNt 182 KWSN - DSM 47 Crazy Canuck 200 paranoik0 249 dnbn 133
Crazy Canuck 180 mark f1 46 Grayson 199 arcsine 246 paranoik0 132
Estwald 180 Viceroy 46 fisichella_2001 198 Crazy Canuck 240 arcsine 130
AcuraF1 179 D82 45 skylark68 195 jonnyw01 239 D82 130
gerry nassar 179 kismet 45 Viceroy 194 AcuraF1 238 Grayson 130
Viceroy 174 Slick 45 paranoik0 193 fisichella_2001 236 gerry nassar 128
Grayson 170 Brawn BGP 001 43 arcsine 191 dnbn 233 shays 125
scheivlak 169 dnbn 43 Estwald 190 shays 232 coyoteBR 124
coyoteBR 163 AcuraF1 42 Wlleiotl 190 Apex 230 fisichella_2001 121
August 162 Estwald 42 AcuraF1 186 gerry nassar 230 AcuraF1 120
kismet 160 gerry nassar 42 jonnyw01 183 kismet 227 kNt 120
Wlleiotl 160 Costaz 41 gerry nassar 182 coyoteBR 224 skylark68 120
Ladaman 155 paranoik0 41 Costaz 181 kNt 222 Wlleiotl 120
arcsine 148 jonnyw01 40 Ladaman 180 skylark68 222 jonnyw01 114
jeze 144 shays 40 scheivlak 178 Viceroy 214 Brawn BGP 001 111
paranoik0 143 LB 35 Anderis 177 Grayson 197 Kooper 109
an1res 140 scheivlak 32 dnbn 176 Estwald 195 Ladaman 109
D82 139 Wlleiotl 30 Apex 160 Slick 184 Costaz 101
fisichella_2001 134 Makarias 29 D82 156 Anderis 169 Slick 99
Kooper 119 * Current 18 jokuvaan 156 jokuvaan 156 jeze 97
* Current 31 August 4 * Current 33 * Current 37 * Current 20
Yours truly next to miss points from Kubica...
Guesses on P6-P10:
Hamilton Liuzzi Barrichello Webber Schumacher
* Potential 448 * Potential 433 * Potential 430 * Potential 431 * Potential 434
Apex 310 jokuvaan 100 Crazy Canuck 100 an1res 240 coyoteBR 289
jeze 295 * Forecast 76 Anderis 86 kismet 201 KWSN - DSM 286
Costaz 286 fisichella_2001 50 skylark68 80 dnbn 187 Estwald 230
August 283 kismet 46 jokuvaan 75 kNt 184 Kooper 226
Kooper 274 arcsine 44 paranoik0 73 skylark68 184 dnbn 205
Slick 265 Grayson 41 Slick 72 Costaz 183 Ladaman 205
Makarias 264 Slick 37 Kooper 71 Anderis 182 LB 200
paranoik0 262 jeze 36 Ladaman 71 LB 180 scheivlak 196
LB 260 paranoik0 36 Apex 70 arcsine 176 gerry nassar 193
Ladaman 256 an1res 30 Grayson 70 mark f1 176 paranoik0 192
shays 255 Estwald 30 Wlleiotl 70 AcuraF1 172 August 191
scheivlak 254 Viceroy 29 kismet 67 jonnyw01 172 D82 187
kNt 249 Kooper 27 fisichella_2001 66 August 171 Makarias 182
skylark68 249 Ladaman 27 AcuraF1 65 Crazy Canuck 170 Crazy Canuck 180
D82 240 Brawn BGP 001 25 Brawn BGP 001 63 Viceroy 167 shays 180
dnbn 233 Crazy Canuck 25 gerry nassar 63 jokuvaan 166 jonnyw01 170
mark f1 232 gerry nassar 25 Costaz 56 Makarias 166 Wlleiotl 170
Grayson 230 mark f1 25 D82 55 Estwald 165 Viceroy 167
Estwald 226 Wlleiotl 25 Estwald 55 gerry nassar 165 mark f1 162
coyoteBR 225 scheivlak 24 scheivlak 55 Grayson 165 arcsine 160
gerry nassar 225 Anderis 22 mark f1 53 shays 160 Grayson 160
arcsine 222 kNt 22 arcsine 52 Brawn BGP 001 156 Brawn BGP 001 156
jokuvaan 221 skylark68 22 dnbn 52 paranoik0 155 Costaz 156
Wlleiotl 220 AcuraF1 18 jonnyw01 50 Slick 154 jeze 154
* Forecast 219 D82 18 jeze 48 Apex 150 fisichella_2001 151
Brawn BGP 001 219 Makarias 18 Viceroy 48 Wlleiotl 150 AcuraF1 150
Anderis 216 dnbn 15 * Forecast 48 D82 147 jokuvaan 150
jonnyw01 214 Costaz 12 kNt 40 fisichella_2001 142 kNt 150
Crazy Canuck 210 shays 12 Makarias 37 scheivlak 139 skylark68 150
fisichella_2001 209 Apex 11 shays 35 Kooper 131 Slick 146
Viceroy 202 coyoteBR 10 an1res 30 Ladaman 130 kismet 144
AcuraF1 198 * Current 8 LB 30 jeze 123 an1res 140
KWSN - DSM 196 KWSN - DSM 7 August 25 KWSN - DSM 98 Anderis 139
kismet 192 August 6 coyoteBR 14 coyoteBR 77 Apex 130
an1res 190 LB 5 KWSN - DSM 13 * Forecast 57 * Forecast 86
* Current 23 jonnyw01 3 * Current 5 * Current 6 * Current 9
* Potential 448 * Potential 433 * Potential 430 * Potential 431 * Potential 434
Apex 310 jokuvaan 100 Crazy Canuck 100 an1res 240 coyoteBR 289
jeze 295 * Forecast 76 Anderis 86 kismet 201 KWSN - DSM 286
Costaz 286 fisichella_2001 50 skylark68 80 dnbn 187 Estwald 230
August 283 kismet 46 jokuvaan 75 kNt 184 Kooper 226
Kooper 274 arcsine 44 paranoik0 73 skylark68 184 dnbn 205
Slick 265 Grayson 41 Slick 72 Costaz 183 Ladaman 205
Makarias 264 Slick 37 Kooper 71 Anderis 182 LB 200
paranoik0 262 jeze 36 Ladaman 71 LB 180 scheivlak 196
LB 260 paranoik0 36 Apex 70 arcsine 176 gerry nassar 193
Ladaman 256 an1res 30 Grayson 70 mark f1 176 paranoik0 192
shays 255 Estwald 30 Wlleiotl 70 AcuraF1 172 August 191
scheivlak 254 Viceroy 29 kismet 67 jonnyw01 172 D82 187
kNt 249 Kooper 27 fisichella_2001 66 August 171 Makarias 182
skylark68 249 Ladaman 27 AcuraF1 65 Crazy Canuck 170 Crazy Canuck 180
D82 240 Brawn BGP 001 25 Brawn BGP 001 63 Viceroy 167 shays 180
dnbn 233 Crazy Canuck 25 gerry nassar 63 jokuvaan 166 jonnyw01 170
mark f1 232 gerry nassar 25 Costaz 56 Makarias 166 Wlleiotl 170
Grayson 230 mark f1 25 D82 55 Estwald 165 Viceroy 167
Estwald 226 Wlleiotl 25 Estwald 55 gerry nassar 165 mark f1 162
coyoteBR 225 scheivlak 24 scheivlak 55 Grayson 165 arcsine 160
gerry nassar 225 Anderis 22 mark f1 53 shays 160 Grayson 160
arcsine 222 kNt 22 arcsine 52 Brawn BGP 001 156 Brawn BGP 001 156
jokuvaan 221 skylark68 22 dnbn 52 paranoik0 155 Costaz 156
Wlleiotl 220 AcuraF1 18 jonnyw01 50 Slick 154 jeze 154
* Forecast 219 D82 18 jeze 48 Apex 150 fisichella_2001 151
Brawn BGP 001 219 Makarias 18 Viceroy 48 Wlleiotl 150 AcuraF1 150
Anderis 216 dnbn 15 * Forecast 48 D82 147 jokuvaan 150
jonnyw01 214 Costaz 12 kNt 40 fisichella_2001 142 kNt 150
Crazy Canuck 210 shays 12 Makarias 37 scheivlak 139 skylark68 150
fisichella_2001 209 Apex 11 shays 35 Kooper 131 Slick 146
Viceroy 202 coyoteBR 10 an1res 30 Ladaman 130 kismet 144
AcuraF1 198 * Current 8 LB 30 jeze 123 an1res 140
KWSN - DSM 196 KWSN - DSM 7 August 25 KWSN - DSM 98 Anderis 139
kismet 192 August 6 coyoteBR 14 coyoteBR 77 Apex 130
an1res 190 LB 5 KWSN - DSM 13 * Forecast 57 * Forecast 86
* Current 23 jonnyw01 3 * Current 5 * Current 6 * Current 9
Frontrunners like Hamilton and Webber are naturally still a long way from costing anyone points, but Barrichello seems a strong candidate to join the club made up only by Kubica and Liuzzi right now.
The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Spanish GP.
