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[Makarias]

The standings after the Malaysia GP:

Pos Name Tot Latest
1) AcuraF1 303 101
= an1res 303 101
= Anderis 303 101
= Apex 303 101
= arcsine 303 101
= Brawn BGP 001 303 101
= Costaz 303 101
= coyoteBR 303 101
= Crazy Canuck 303 101
= D82 303 101
= dnbn 303 101
= Estwald 303 101
= fisichella_2001 303 101
= gerry nassar 303 101
= Grayson 303 101
= jokuvaan 303 101
= kismet 303 101
= Kooper 303 101
= Ladaman 303 101
= mark f1 303 101
= paranoik0 303 101
= scheivlak 303 101
= shays 303 101
= skylark68 303 101
= Slick 303 101
= Viceroy 303 101
= Wlleiotl 303 101
28) Makarias 302 100
29) jeze 301 99
= kNt 301 99
= KWSN - DSM 301 100
32) LB 300 101
33) jonnyw01 298 101
34) August 275 89

Except for August's Kubica miss, points losses are still relatively minor.

The entries

The Drivers' list

Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Kubi 60,0 31,9 2
Liuz 30,8 7,9 4
Rosb 26,3 20,2 0
Suti 25,5 12,8 1
Butt 19,7 15,2 0
Mass 19,1 13,5 0
Algu 18,0 7,4 2
Vett 17,9 13,0 0
Alon 15,4 11,9 0
Webb 14,9 10,0 0
Hami 13,0 10,0 0
Barr 8,9 5,0 0
Schu 5,1 3,1 0
Hülk 2,1 1,1 0

Sutil, Alguersuari and Hülkenberg join the points scorers and the first two mentioned already cause grief...

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2009 this is 29.


Guesses on P1-P5:

Vettel Webber Rosberg Kubica Sutil
* Potential 437 * Potential 424 * Potential 435 * Potential 430 * Potential 410
August 283 an1res 240 * Forecast 222 * Forecast 190 Grayson 77
Costaz 255 kismet 201 Anderis 172 coyoteBR 93 * Forecast 63
kismet 247 dnbn 187 Crazy Canuck 170 an1res 80 jokuvaan 61
Apex 245 kNt 184 Viceroy 169 arcsine 77 kismet 60
an1res 244 skylark68 184 KWSN - DSM 165 Anderis 72 dnbn 56
Wlleiotl 240 Costaz 183 jokuvaan 161 kNt 72 fisichella_2001 56
* Forecast 234 Anderis 182 an1res 160 skylark68 72 Kooper 51
jonnyw01 228 LB 180 Estwald 153 Apex 65 Ladaman 51
scheivlak 226 arcsine 176 LB 150 jokuvaan 61 Wlleiotl 50
dnbn 221 mark f1 176 kismet 149 Crazy Canuck 60 scheivlak 49
D82 220 AcuraF1 172 August 143 fisichella_2001 60 skylark68 49
LB 220 jonnyw01 172 scheivlak 141 jeze 55 coyoteBR 45
Viceroy 219 August 171 Apex 140 Kooper 52 jonnyw01 45
paranoik0 217 Crazy Canuck 170 mark f1 139 Ladaman 52 Viceroy 45
arcsine 213 Viceroy 167 Makarias 138 Grayson 51 gerry nassar 42
AcuraF1 212 jokuvaan 166 dnbn 133 KWSN - DSM 47 August 41
Slick 209 Makarias 166 paranoik0 132 mark f1 46 kNt 41
Anderis 202 Estwald 165 arcsine 130 Viceroy 46 Anderis 40
fisichella_2001 202 gerry nassar 165 D82 130 D82 45 Apex 40
shays 202 Grayson 165 Grayson 130 kismet 45 Estwald 40
Ladaman 200 shays 160 gerry nassar 128 Slick 45 mark f1 40
Makarias 198 Brawn BGP 001 156 shays 125 Brawn BGP 001 43 Costaz 37
Grayson 195 paranoik0 155 coyoteBR 124 dnbn 43 paranoik0 35
mark f1 195 Slick 154 fisichella_2001 121 AcuraF1 42 Slick 35
coyoteBR 190 * Forecast 152 AcuraF1 120 Estwald 42 arcsine 32
Crazy Canuck 190 Apex 150 kNt 120 gerry nassar 42 AcuraF1 31
jokuvaan 190 Wlleiotl 150 skylark68 120 Costaz 41 an1res 30
skylark68 190 D82 147 Wlleiotl 120 paranoik0 41 D82 29
gerry nassar 187 fisichella_2001 142 jonnyw01 114 jonnyw01 40 Crazy Canuck 25
jeze 187 scheivlak 139 Brawn BGP 001 111 shays 40 Makarias 25
Kooper 181 Kooper 131 Kooper 109 LB 35 shays 22
Brawn BGP 001 178 Ladaman 130 Ladaman 109 scheivlak 32 jeze 17
Estwald 175 jeze 123 Costaz 101 Wlleiotl 30 Brawn BGP 001 15
kNt 170 KWSN - DSM 98 Slick 99 * Current 30 LB 10
KWSN - DSM 106 coyoteBR 77 jeze 97 Makarias 29 * Current 10
* Current 37 * Current 24 * Current 35 August 4 KWSN - DSM 9

Sutil shows his potential and is likely to cause grief for many this season, just like Kubica already does. I am not best pleased.

Guesses on P6-P10:

Hamilton Massa Button Alguersuari Hülkenberg
* Potential 431 * Potential 439 * Potential 435 * Potential 402 * Potential 401
Apex 310 KWSN - DSM 288 shays 230 Apex 26 Anderis 92
jeze 295 shays 282 Slick 224 fisichella_2001 26 D82 87
Costaz 286 jeze 267 * Forecast 222 jokuvaan 20 AcuraF1 76
August 283 Slick 260 Brawn BGP 001 220 mark f1 19 gerry nassar 75
Kooper 274 * Forecast 247 jokuvaan 220 skylark68 18 Brawn BGP 001 70
Slick 265 coyoteBR 241 KWSN - DSM 216 kismet 16 jeze 70
Makarias 264 Brawn BGP 001 234 jonnyw01 210 LB 15 fisichella_2001 69
paranoik0 262 Makarias 221 Costaz 202 Wlleiotl 15 paranoik0 68
LB 260 an1res 220 skylark68 202 Estwald 14 Slick 66
Ladaman 256 kNt 215 LB 200 Makarias 14 arcsine 60
shays 255 mark f1 214 Makarias 196 jonnyw01 13 Wlleiotl 60
scheivlak 254 August 211 mark f1 191 * Forecast 13 coyoteBR 58
kNt 249 Kooper 210 Apex 190 Anderis 12 scheivlak 54
skylark68 249 LB 210 dnbn 189 Grayson 12 Viceroy 52
D82 240 kismet 201 Anderis 184 shays 12 kismet 51
dnbn 233 Crazy Canuck 200 kNt 182 Viceroy 12 Apex 50
mark f1 232 Grayson 199 Crazy Canuck 180 AcuraF1 11 Crazy Canuck 50
Grayson 230 fisichella_2001 198 Estwald 180 arcsine 11 jokuvaan 50
Estwald 226 skylark68 195 AcuraF1 179 KWSN - DSM 11 Grayson 45
coyoteBR 225 Viceroy 194 gerry nassar 179 an1res 10 Estwald 43
gerry nassar 225 paranoik0 193 Viceroy 174 Brawn BGP 001 10 Kooper 39
arcsine 222 arcsine 191 Grayson 170 dnbn 10 Ladaman 39
jokuvaan 221 Estwald 190 scheivlak 169 gerry nassar 10 mark f1 37
Wlleiotl 220 Wlleiotl 190 coyoteBR 163 scheivlak 9 KWSN - DSM 36
Brawn BGP 001 219 AcuraF1 186 August 162 Slick 8 skylark68 34
Anderis 216 jonnyw01 183 kismet 160 Costaz 7 Makarias 33
jonnyw01 214 gerry nassar 182 Wlleiotl 160 paranoik0 7 Costaz 30
Crazy Canuck 210 Costaz 181 Ladaman 155 August 6 shays 28
fisichella_2001 209 Ladaman 180 arcsine 148 D82 6 dnbn 27
Viceroy 202 scheivlak 178 jeze 144 Crazy Canuck 5 LB 26
AcuraF1 198 Anderis 177 paranoik0 143 coyoteBR 4 jonnyw01 25
* Forecast 196 dnbn 176 an1res 140 Kooper 4 kNt 24
KWSN - DSM 196 Apex 160 D82 139 Ladaman 4 August 14
kismet 192 D82 156 fisichella_2001 134 * Current 2 an1res 10
an1res 190 jokuvaan 156 Kooper 119 jeze 0 * Forecast 6
* Current 31 * Current 39 * Current 35 kNt 0 * Current 1

Alguersuari beats a couple of zero point guesses, as Hülkenberg still has some way to go to beat anyone. One step at a time.

The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Spanish GP.