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Guess the Pole 2010: Japan


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 25 September 2010 - 22:37

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Ten position penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best eight guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points old F1 style, 10-8-6-5-4-3-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:
<-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts Default Modified Layout New Track [s]
10 - 0.050 - 0.100 - 0.150
8 - 0.100 - 0.200 - 0.300
6 - 0.200 - 0.400 - 0.600
5 - 0.400 - 0.800 - 1.200
4 - 0.600 - 1.200 - 1.800
3 - 0.800 - 1.600 - 2.400
2 - 1.200 - 2.400 - 3.600
1 - 2.000 - 4.000 - 6.000

The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts Recent qualifying results
5 0 front row starts in the previous five races
4 1 front row start in the previous five races
3 2 front row starts in the previous five races
2 3-5 front row starts in the previous five races


2010 standings

Three latest poles at Japan-Suzuka:
Year Driver Pole time (s)
2009 Vettel 92.160
2006 Massa 89.599
2005 R Schumacher 106.106

Driver values:
Dri val
Alon 2
Vett 2
Webb 3
Butt 4
Hami 4
REST 5


2010 data:
Time 2009 PP 2009 FL 2009 Q2 2010/2009 2010/09FL 2010/09Q2
GP Pole #2 (s) (s) (s) (s) (%) (%) (%)
BAH Vett Mass 114.101 93.431 94.556 92.474 122.123 120.670 123.387 (New layout for 2010)
OZ Vett Webb 83.919 86.202 87.706 84.783 97.352 95.682 98.981
MAL Webb Rosb 109.327 95.181 96.641 93.784 114.862 113.127 116.573
CHN Vett Webb 94.558 96.184 112.592 95.130 98.309 83.983 99.399
ESP Webb Vett 79.995 80.527 82.762 79.954 99.339 96.657 100.051
MON Webb Kubi 73.826 74.902 75.154 74.514 98.563 98.233 99.077
TUR Webb Hami 86.295 88.316 87.579 87.016 97.712 98.534 99.171
CAN Hami Webb 75.105 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
EUR Vett Webb 97.587 99.498 98.683 98.076 98.079 98.889 99.501
GB Vett Webb 89.615 79.509 80.735 78.119 112.711 110.999 114.716 (New layout for 2010)
GER Vett Alon 73.791 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
HUN Vett Webb 78.773 81.569 81.931 80.358 96.572 96.146 98.028
BEL Webb Hami 105.778 106.308 107.263 104.503 99.501 98.616 101.220
ITA Alon Butt 81.962 84.066 84.739 82.955 97.497 96.723 98.803
SIN Alon Vett 105.390 107.891 108.240 106.197 97.682 97.367 99.240
JAP 92.160 92.569 90.341
KOR ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BRA 79.576 73.733 80.638
ABU 100.948 100.279 99.695

My guess for Japan is 89.842 s by Fernando Alonso.

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#2 jeze

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Posted 26 September 2010 - 16:18

Vettel 88.903

#3 Mekola

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Posted 30 September 2010 - 22:06

Vettel 88.901

#4 Frogman

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Posted 04 October 2010 - 09:33

89.261 Hamilton

#5 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 04 October 2010 - 09:48

88:711 - Fernando Alonso

:cool:

#6 Dispenser89

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Posted 04 October 2010 - 19:46

89.429 Vettel

Edited by Dispenser89, 04 October 2010 - 19:46.


#7 scheivlak

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Posted 04 October 2010 - 22:09

Sebastian Vettel 96.101

Edited by scheivlak, 08 October 2010 - 00:05.


#8 Wlleiotl

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Posted 05 October 2010 - 16:07

vettel 89.771

#9 mark f1

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Posted 06 October 2010 - 00:00

Vettel 89.934

#10 Anderis

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Posted 06 October 2010 - 15:57

Vettel 88.888

#11 THE HUMAN MAN

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Posted 06 October 2010 - 17:31

Mark Webber - 89.782

#12 estoril85

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Posted 06 October 2010 - 18:30

Hamilton 89.587

#13 dnbn

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Posted 06 October 2010 - 22:21

89.258 Vettel

#14 Flash

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 02:28

Vettel 89.661

#15 Estwald

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 04:31

90.000 Vettel


#16 boost

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 05:29

Webb 92.960

#17 italiansdoitbetter

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 08:05

Alonso 91.728

#18 Apex

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 12:24

90.188 Webber

#19 mimin

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 15:32

Vettel 89.999

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#20 August

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 16:07

Vettel 98.000

#21 fisichella_2001

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 16:45

S Vettel - 90.333

#22 kismet

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 17:03

89.876 - Vettel

#23 dank

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 17:15

Vettel - 89.500

#24 Costaz

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 21:01

Hamilton 97.600

#25 Grayson

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 22:33

89.700 Webber

#26 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 22:40

Sebastian Vettel 98.001

#27 Tenmantaylor

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 23:30

Webber 89.594

#28 Makarias

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Posted 07 October 2010 - 23:50

I change my time guess to 94.954 s, still by Alonso.

#29 Tenmantaylor

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Posted 08 October 2010 - 16:24

The rain gamble, like it ;)

#30 Costaz

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Posted 09 October 2010 - 08:21

Oh come on, I put on a rain guess, the rain arrives, and they postpone it? :mad: :mad:

#31 Tenmantaylor

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Posted 09 October 2010 - 12:01

Unlucky raindancers, looking like sunny intervals and 26 deg for Q now :cool: http://news.bbc.co.u...r/forecast/5007?