Will Alonso still be leading the WDC by Monday?
#1
Posted 05 November 2010 - 21:12
1 Webber
2 Vettle
3 Hamilton
4 Alonso
5 Button
Based on Red Bull having the fastest car and not doing anything stupid. Also on the basis that they have screwed up so much recently that I just doubt they will screw up this one too (law of averages). Hamilton to get third by qualifying forth but by also having a lot of straight line speed to beat Alonso down to turn 1. He's also agressive by nature and needs a result, which could also mean an accident, but I'm going with 3rd.
Of course I'm just guessing but it's fun.
If there are any accidents or engine failures I predict mechanical probs for Ferrari due to running out of engines and accidents for Webber, Vettle or Hamilton on the basis that they all need the points.
Actually on second thoughts Petrov win.
#3
Posted 05 November 2010 - 21:15
#4
Posted 05 November 2010 - 21:21
#5 Guest_4L3X_*
Posted 05 November 2010 - 21:29
#6
Posted 05 November 2010 - 21:52
It would have to be an incident filled race for Alonso to be still leading the WDC on Monday.
It would have to be an incident filled race for him not to be still leading. At the moment he looks on course for 3rd behind the two Red Bulls.
#7
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:08
I don't think it is outside the realm of possiblity that Alonso finishes 4th this weekend.It would have to be an incident filled race for him not to be still leading. At the moment he looks on course for 3rd behind the two Red Bulls.
If Alonso is in front of Webber/Hamilton/Vettel they are going to lean on him. Does Alonso really want to shut the door and take a chance on getting taken out?
#8
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:09
#9
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:23
But the Ferrari looks bloody quick, especially on long runs
Edited by F.M., 05 November 2010 - 22:23.
#10
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:24
#11
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:27
#12
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:30
#13
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:36
#14
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:39
I hope Webber takes the utlimate prize though.
#15
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:41
I don't think it is outside the realm of possiblity that Alonso finishes 4th this weekend.
If Alonso is in front of Webber/Hamilton/Vettel they are going to lean on him. Does Alonso really want to shut the door and take a chance on getting taken out?
I see it quite differently. IF he's in front of any of those, and the car has half-decent speed, there's very good chance he'll stay there. Defense is one of his biggest strengths, as I see it.
I'm actually more worried for him how to get there, i.e. qualify on the first two rows, then survive the start and first lap without any tangles. If he manages that, I reckon all will be fine. Well, bare the widely anticipated engine failure, of course.
#16
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:45
Edited by Olly F1, 05 November 2010 - 22:53.
#17
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:47
the first lap could be an epic. Personally i'm expecting same drama for at least one of the front runners!
Especially if it rains...
#18
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:50
Yes, but only just. I think the last race will be winner takes all (Webber, Vettel and Alonso).
I hope Webber takes the utlimate prize though.
The last race going to be epic ... winner takes all, most likely.
#19
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:50
That's what worries me the most.the first lap could be an epic. Personally i'm expecting same drama for at least one of the front runners!
Everyone need to get in front as soon as possible and hardly this is not going to bring some shunt.
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#20
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:53
#21
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:54
I see it quite differently. IF he's in front of any of those, and the car has half-decent speed, there's very good chance he'll stay there. Defense is one of his biggest strengths, as I see it.
I'm actually more worried for him how to get there, i.e. qualify on the first two rows, then survive the start and first lap without any tangles. If he manages that, I reckon all will be fine. Well, bare the widely anticipated engine failure, of course.;)
Maybe. If Alonso escapes the first few laps without incident and it sat in P3 (where i expect him to be after qualifying) then i fully expect him to go into cruise and collect mode. Redbull's blatant favouritism towards Vettel will end up handing the WDC on a plate to Alonso one race later. He knows that, Ferrari know that, so i don't think he'll take any risks.
Edited by JustinCider, 05 November 2010 - 22:54.
#22
Posted 05 November 2010 - 22:54
Alonso has the best car so I would be shocked if he didn't.
Now you know that is not true.
#23
Posted 05 November 2010 - 23:00
Can't see him losing it. He will most likely be safe with a 3rd and a 4th place in the last two races. 258 points will be enough. It would force Webber to win one and podium one and Lewis to win one and score a 2nd place. That will not happen.
Alonso will win if he keeps the car running and on the road.
DAMN!
#24
Posted 05 November 2010 - 23:00
Now you know that is not true.
#25
Posted 05 November 2010 - 23:01
Yes. Alonso has already won the WDC, sadly. Luckiest driver ever.
Can't see him losing it. He will most likely be safe with a 3rd and a 4th place in the last two races. 258 points will be enough. It would force Webber to win one and podium one and Lewis to win one and score a 2nd place. That will not happen.
Alonso will win if he keeps the car running and on the road.
DAMN!
Take it easy... you'll get an ulcer...
#26
Posted 05 November 2010 - 23:05
Take it easy... you'll get an ulcer...
An ulcer is the least of my problems. An aneurysm, now we're talking...
#27
Posted 05 November 2010 - 23:14
They have nothing to lose, Alonso has everything to lose. Why follow him and not make a "dive bomb" move.I see it quite differently. IF he's in front of any of those, and the car has half-decent speed, there's very good chance he'll stay there. Defense is one of his biggest strengths, as I see it.
I'm actually more worried for him how to get there, i.e. qualify on the first two rows, then survive the start and first lap without any tangles. If he manages that, I reckon all will be fine. Well, bare the widely anticipated engine failure, of course.
#28
Posted 05 November 2010 - 23:15
An ulcer is the least of my problems. An aneurysm, now we're talking...
#29
Posted 05 November 2010 - 23:25
Vettel and Webber are still in the title fight and certainly have something to lose. If Vettel crashes into Alonso, it hands Webber the WDC on a plate. If Webber crashes into Alonso, it hands Vettel the WDC lead. Neither driver wants anything that will help their teammate.They have nothing to lose, Alonso has everything to lose. Why follow him and not make a "dive bomb" move.
#30
Posted 05 November 2010 - 23:31
This is what I've been saying for most of the races too, it's amazing how wrong we have been about itAlso on the basis that they have screwed up so much recently that I just doubt they will screw up this one too (law of averages).
#31
Posted 05 November 2010 - 23:45
Yes. Alonso has already won the WDC, sadly. Luckiest driver ever.
Can't see him losing it. He will most likely be safe with a 3rd and a 4th place in the last two races. 258 points will be enough. It would force Webber to win one and podium one and Lewis to win one and score a 2nd place. That will not happen.
Alonso will win if he keeps the car running and on the road.
DAMN!
Uhhh, quite desperate jinxing attempt! Once again, you're trying too hard!
#32
Posted 05 November 2010 - 23:49
#33
Posted 05 November 2010 - 23:59
Anyway, I expect the WDC to be decided on Abu Dhabi, and probably with 4 possible winners there...
Edited by flyingman, 06 November 2010 - 00:00.
#34
Posted 06 November 2010 - 00:06
My race result prediction is:
1 Webber
2 Vettle
3 Hamilton
4 Alonso
5 Button
Based on Red Bull having the fastest car and not doing anything stupid. Also on the basis that they have screwed up so much recently that I just doubt they will screw up this one too (law of averages). Hamilton to get third by qualifying forth but by also having a lot of straight line speed to beat Alonso down to turn 1. He's also agressive by nature and needs a result, which could also mean an accident, but I'm going with 3rd.
Of course I'm just guessing but it's fun.
If there are any accidents or engine failures I predict mechanical probs for Ferrari due to running out of engines and accidents for Webber, Vettle or Hamilton on the basis that they all need the points.
Actually on second thoughts Petrov win.
Who's Vettle?
Re the thread title, yes, Alonso is sitting pretty with a tail gunner who goes like stink at this circuit. Look for Massa to mix it up with the Red Bulls and Maccas on Sunday, which could be an enormous help to Fred.
#35
Posted 06 November 2010 - 00:12
Maybe. If Alonso escapes the first few laps without incident and it sat in P3 (where i expect him to be after qualifying) then i fully expect him to go into cruise and collect mode. Redbull's blatant favouritism towards Vettel will end up handing the WDC on a plate to Alonso one race later. He knows that, Ferrari know that, so i don't think he'll take any risks.
Well, nobody knows what lies ahead, but maintaining third behind superior cars wouldn't exactly be "cruise and collect", it would be taking the max out of the equipment. For "cruise and collect", look no further than McLarens and Hamiltons attempt in Brazil '08... and how close that came to total desaster.
#36
Posted 06 November 2010 - 00:31
I see no reason why that should suddenly change now.
#37
Posted 06 November 2010 - 00:32
But I hope not...
#38
Posted 06 November 2010 - 01:05
Sorry, I do not want to sound harsh, but what is the real question in this thread?
#39
Posted 06 November 2010 - 01:10
the first lap could be an epic. Personally i'm expecting some drama for at least one of the front runners!
Alonso and Hamilton in same row..... would be exciting
Nando has fear.... and if Hamilton is besides him. more..!!
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#40
Posted 06 November 2010 - 01:14
The Petrov Effect: for every action, there is an equal and opposite Russian.the first lap could be an epic. Personally i'm expecting some drama for at least one of the front runners!
#41
Posted 06 November 2010 - 02:11
he will be 3rd or 2nd.
#42
Posted 06 November 2010 - 02:19
The last race going to be epic ... winner takes all, most likely.
It is one of the few times I actually wish there was a longer break between races. One week of sweaty palms isn't enough.
#43
Posted 06 November 2010 - 02:35
If it rains tomorrow and qualifying is not delayed the final result won't be so easily predictable. Wait and see.
#44
Posted 06 November 2010 - 02:41
No driver has won a race while leading the World Championship this season.
I see no reason why that should suddenly change now.
Why on earth not?
Now - I don't actually expect Alonso to win on Sunday because the Red Bull's once again look to be in a league of their own - but then, I would have said the same prior to the Korean GP.
No driver had won 7 WDCs before Schumacher, but - dislike him though I did - I wasn't betting against him in 2004 based upon that....
The past does not = the future.
#45
Posted 06 November 2010 - 02:54
#46
Posted 06 November 2010 - 04:08
You forgot Massa. If there is a race where he can be a factor in the dry, this is it. I predict Massa 3rd (qualy and or start), then Hamilton and Alonso. If it rains, anything goes.
You forgot Massa and Hamilton and the first laps. They will be inevitably be drawn to each other, especially on this track. Either DNF for both of them or falling back.
1.Vettel
2.Webber
3.Alonso
4.Button
5.Kubica
6.Hamilton
7.Massa
8.Rosberg
9.Heidfeld
10.Schumacher
Alonso will be still leading the WDC on Monday.
#47
Posted 06 November 2010 - 04:21
RBR should rule in Q and lock in the front row. But the start to the race and RBR's reliability will decide the winner.
#48
Posted 06 November 2010 - 05:19
The past few races have been Alonso vs. Red Bull - Korea, Japan, Singapore. Aside from Button leading briefly in Japan, the McLarens were never really a factor in any of those races.Brazil will be all about Alonso vs the 2 RBRs. I don't think McLaren has the pace to contend here and the best Lewis could do is 4th in Q and race.
The only real variable in qualifying is the weather.
Edited by Captain Tightpants, 06 November 2010 - 05:20.
#49
Posted 06 November 2010 - 05:30
we all know that hamilton can fight like a tiger and that straight line speed of his could make lap 2 turn 1 very interesting.
Vettel and Webber will have the front row and try and squeeze each other.
Massa 'should' be amazing here and will win if the red bulls finish in a bad position.
Alonso will go out and do his job, all goes to plan he should still be leading but with Hamilton making a big points gain.
#50
Posted 06 November 2010 - 05:40