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Place The Points Competition 2010 final standings after the Abu Dhabi GP


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 15 November 2010 - 12:11

2010 final standings after the Abu Dhabi GP:
Pos Name Tot Latest
1) Costaz 1674 54
2) skylark68 1661 32
3) an1res 1656 44
= Apex 1656 45
5) mark f1 1642 28
6) dnbn 1634 17
7) arcsine 1628 11
8) LB 1621 39
9) kismet 1617 31
10) jonnyw01 1613 14
11) scheivlak 1609 38
12) Makarias 1596 35
13) Viceroy 1592 22
14) Wlleiotl 1590 18
15) Anderis 1588 20
16) shays 1584 36
17) kNt 1582 19
18) August 1581 64
19) paranoik0 1576 26
20) gerry nassar 1575 7
21) Crazy Canuck 1572 15
22) Brawn BGP 001 1568 28
= jokuvaan 1568 31
24) D82 1562 27
25) Grayson 1554 11
26) AcuraF1 1553 3
27) Ladaman 1549 26
28) Slick 1547 36
29) fisichella_2001 1535 11
30) Estwald 1533 19
31) Kooper 1495 26
32) jeze 1494 33
33) coyoteBR 1459 5
34) KWSN - DSM 1374 36

Congratulations Costaz :clap: :clap: :clap: to the 2010 PTPC title!
Congrats also to runner-up and long time leader skylark68 :clap: :clap:
and an1res :clap:
and Apex :clap: who complete the podium on an equal third place.

A tricky last race where Alonso and Webber failed to deliver as expected, some round results were down to single digit figures. Biggest mover of the round was August, who jumped up a massive ten positions!

The entries

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Heid 6800,0 150,0 34
Kubi 272,0 144,7 34
Petr 179,3 65,9 29
Webb 150,0 100,4 34
Vett 123,7 90,1 33
Butt 120,2 92,6 29
Suti 120,1 60,3 24
Rosb 106,7 82,1 24
Alon 104,9 81,0 21
Hami 101,0 77,2 19
Barr 83,7 46,5 8
Liuz 80,9 20,8 12
Mass 70,6 49,8 0
Koba 69,8 29,4 7
Hülk 45,4 23,7 2
Algu 45,1 18,5 5
Schu 40,5 24,8 0
Buem 28,9 6,7 2
dlRo 14,1 5,6 1

Pals Nico Rosberg and Lewis Hamilton do stuff together, such as passing the 100% mark.
Mark Webber becomes the third 100% surprise of the season with the slightest of margins!

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2010 this is 34.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Vettel Hamilton Button Rosberg Kubica
August 283 Apex 310 shays 230 Anderis 172 * Potential 136
* Potential 256 jeze 295 Slick 224 Crazy Canuck 170 * Forecast 136
* Forecast 256 Costaz 286 Brawn BGP 001 220 Viceroy 169 * Current 136
* Current 256 August 283 jokuvaan 220 KWSN - DSM 165 coyoteBR 93
Costaz 255 Kooper 274 KWSN - DSM 216 jokuvaan 161 an1res 80
kismet 247 Slick 265 * Potential 214 an1res 160 arcsine 77
Apex 245 Makarias 264 * Forecast 214 Estwald 153 Anderis 72
an1res 244 paranoik0 262 * Current 214 LB 150 kNt 72
Wlleiotl 240 LB 260 jonnyw01 210 kismet 149 skylark68 72
jonnyw01 228 Ladaman 256 Costaz 202 August 143 Apex 65
scheivlak 226 shays 255 skylark68 202 * Potential 142 jokuvaan 61
dnbn 221 scheivlak 254 LB 200 * Forecast 142 Crazy Canuck 60
D82 220 kNt 249 Makarias 196 * Current 142 fisichella_2001 60
LB 220 skylark68 249 mark f1 191 scheivlak 141 jeze 55
Viceroy 219 * Potential 240 Apex 190 Apex 140 Kooper 52
paranoik0 217 D82 240 dnbn 189 mark f1 139 Ladaman 52
arcsine 213 * Forecast 240 Anderis 184 Makarias 138 Grayson 51
AcuraF1 212 * Current 240 kNt 182 dnbn 133 KWSN - DSM 47
Slick 209 dnbn 233 Crazy Canuck 180 paranoik0 132 mark f1 46
Anderis 202 mark f1 232 Estwald 180 arcsine 130 Viceroy 46
fisichella_2001 202 Grayson 230 AcuraF1 179 D82 130 D82 45
shays 202 Estwald 226 gerry nassar 179 Grayson 130 kismet 45
Ladaman 200 coyoteBR 225 Viceroy 174 gerry nassar 128 Slick 45
Makarias 198 gerry nassar 225 Grayson 170 shays 125 Brawn BGP 001 43
Grayson 195 arcsine 222 scheivlak 169 coyoteBR 124 dnbn 43
mark f1 195 jokuvaan 221 coyoteBR 163 fisichella_2001 121 AcuraF1 42
coyoteBR 190 Wlleiotl 220 August 162 AcuraF1 120 Estwald 42
Crazy Canuck 190 Brawn BGP 001 219 kismet 160 kNt 120 gerry nassar 42
jokuvaan 190 Anderis 216 Wlleiotl 160 skylark68 120 Costaz 41
skylark68 190 jonnyw01 214 Ladaman 155 Wlleiotl 120 paranoik0 41
gerry nassar 187 Crazy Canuck 210 arcsine 148 jonnyw01 114 jonnyw01 40
jeze 187 fisichella_2001 209 jeze 144 Brawn BGP 001 111 shays 40
Kooper 181 Viceroy 202 paranoik0 143 Kooper 109 LB 35
Brawn BGP 001 178 AcuraF1 198 an1res 140 Ladaman 109 scheivlak 32
Estwald 175 KWSN - DSM 196 D82 139 Costaz 101 Wlleiotl 30
kNt 170 kismet 192 fisichella_2001 134 Slick 99 Makarias 29
KWSN - DSM 106 an1res 190 Kooper 119 jeze 97 August 4
There's some nice harmony to it that our 2010 champion Costaz made the best guess of all on our 2010 champion Vettel.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Petrov Alonso Webber Alguersuari Massa
an1res 40 jeze 310 * Potential 242 Apex 26 KWSN - DSM 288
arcsine 36 an1res 290 * Forecast 242 fisichella_2001 26 shays 282
skylark68 32 Costaz 280 * Current 242 jokuvaan 20 jeze 267
fisichella_2001 30 Brawn BGP 001 278 an1res 240 mark f1 19 Slick 260
* Potential 27 Makarias 276 kismet 201 skylark68 18 coyoteBR 241
* Forecast 27 KWSN - DSM 271 dnbn 187 kismet 16 Brawn BGP 001 234
jeze 27 August 270 kNt 184 LB 15 Makarias 221
* Current 27 Kooper 264 skylark68 184 Wlleiotl 15 an1res 220
Viceroy 26 Ladaman 264 Costaz 183 Estwald 14 kNt 215
Anderis 24 Wlleiotl 260 Anderis 182 Makarias 14 mark f1 214
Brawn BGP 001 23 D82 259 LB 180 jonnyw01 13 August 211
gerry nassar 20 mark f1 259 arcsine 176 Anderis 12 Kooper 210
jokuvaan 20 scheivlak 253 mark f1 176 Grayson 12 LB 210
LB 20 * Potential 252 AcuraF1 172 shays 12 kismet 201
Apex 19 * Forecast 252 jonnyw01 172 Viceroy 12 Crazy Canuck 200
shays 15 * Current 252 August 171 AcuraF1 11 Grayson 199
mark f1 14 LB 250 Crazy Canuck 170 arcsine 11 fisichella_2001 198
Wlleiotl 14 paranoik0 249 Viceroy 167 KWSN - DSM 11 skylark68 195
Costaz 12 arcsine 246 jokuvaan 166 an1res 10 Viceroy 194
Grayson 12 Crazy Canuck 240 Makarias 166 Brawn BGP 001 10 paranoik0 193
jonnyw01 12 jonnyw01 239 Estwald 165 dnbn 10 arcsine 191
kNt 12 AcuraF1 238 gerry nassar 165 gerry nassar 10 Estwald 190
coyoteBR 11 fisichella_2001 236 Grayson 165 scheivlak 9 Wlleiotl 190
Estwald 11 dnbn 233 shays 160 Slick 8 AcuraF1 186
Crazy Canuck 10 shays 232 Brawn BGP 001 156 Costaz 7 jonnyw01 183
Slick 10 Apex 230 paranoik0 155 paranoik0 7 gerry nassar 182
dnbn 8 gerry nassar 230 Slick 154 August 6 Costaz 181
Kooper 8 kismet 227 Apex 150 D82 6 Ladaman 180
Ladaman 8 coyoteBR 224 Wlleiotl 150 * Potential 5 scheivlak 178
Makarias 8 kNt 222 D82 147 * Forecast 5 Anderis 177
AcuraF1 7 skylark68 222 fisichella_2001 142 Crazy Canuck 5 dnbn 176
D82 7 Viceroy 214 scheivlak 139 * Current 5 Apex 160
paranoik0 7 Grayson 197 Kooper 131 coyoteBR 4 D82 156
scheivlak 6 Estwald 195 Ladaman 130 Kooper 4 jokuvaan 156
August 1 Slick 184 jeze 123 Ladaman 4 * Potential 144
kismet 1 Anderis 169 KWSN - DSM 98 jeze 0 * Forecast 144
KWSN - DSM 1 jokuvaan 156 coyoteBR 77 kNt 0 * Current 144
Petrov's fine race makes him move up the list and land right where jeze put him and both must be happy. A lot of hard work by Alguersuari lately finally pays off and a few more scalps are taken. Felipe Massa ends up below all expectations and would want to forget this whole season as soon as possible.

The PTPC forecast prior to Abu Dhabi
Name Forecast
Costaz 1679,9 6,8
skylark68 1666,9 -9,9
mark f1 1663,9 -8,0
an1res 1662,8 5,8
Apex 1660,1 6,6
dnbn 1650,3 -9,9
arcsine 1637,7 -10,3
jonnyw01 1628,5 -5,9
kismet 1626,6 2,7
LB 1623,4 -5,0
scheivlak 1619,2 -9,2
Wlleiotl 1616,9 1,2
Makarias 1608,3 -2,6
Viceroy 1596,3 -7,1
Anderis 1595,8 -8,7
gerry nassar 1591,7 -9,7
kNt 1591,6 -5,2
paranoik0 1587,0 -10,1
shays 1585,5 -6,1
Brawn BGP 001 1585,4 -10,6
Crazy Canuck 1582,1 -7,9
D82 1578,4 -3,6
jokuvaan 1578,2 -8,7
August 1575,9 7,9
Grayson 1573,3 -12,6
Ladaman 1571,3 -10,0
AcuraF1 1568,5 -8,4
Slick 1554,1 -11,2
fisichella_2001 1547,3 -13,8
Estwald 1544,9 -8,8
Kooper 1517,3 -10,0
jeze 1505,9 -6,0
coyoteBR 1471,1 -4,6
KWSN - DSM 1385,1 -3,4

Well, it predicted Costaz correctly at least...

The best guesses on each driver

X # ! Y
Vett 256 255 Costaz
Alon 252 253 scheivlak
Webb 242 240 an1res
Hami 240 240 D82
Butt 214 216 KWSN -DSM
Mass 144 156 D82, jokuvaan
Rosb 142 143 August and 141: scheivlak
Kubi 136 93 coyoteBR
Schu 72 130 Apex
Barr 47 48 jeze, Viceroy
Suti 47 49 scheivlak, skylark68 and 45: coyoteBR, jonnyw01, Viceroy
Koba 32 32 August, Makarias
Petr 27 27 jeze
Hülk 22 24 kNt
Liuz 21 22 Anderis, kNt, skylark68
Buem 8 8 Costaz
dlRo 6 11 coyoteBR
Heid 6 3 Costaz
Algu 5 5 Crazy Canuck
Kova 0 0 8 players
Trul 0 0 7 players
Chan 0 0 27 players
Senn 0 0 19 players
DiGr 0 0 14 players
Gloc 0 0 7 players
Yama 0 0 Everyone
Klie 0 0 Everyone


Happy holidays, see you again if you so wish next year! :)

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#2 Grayson

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Posted 15 November 2010 - 22:13

Wow, my prediction was fairly dire in the end. Looking at the final table, it feels like it should have been so much easier to predict...

Thanks for providing us with constantly updated stats throughout the season, Mak!

#3 mark f1

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Posted 15 November 2010 - 23:08

Thanks for running the comp Makarias. I find this the most interesting of all the games and look forward to your results after each race.

Cheers
Mark

#4 Estwald

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Posted 17 November 2010 - 02:43

Congratulations Costaz, and a big thanks to Mak for running the comp

Pretty disastrous predictions from me this year


#5 Costaz

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Posted 17 November 2010 - 15:31

:clap: :clap: :clap: :clap: :clap:

* pop *
* opens champagne, starts spraying skylark68, an1res and Apex, and the best game host, Makarias *
* drinks some champagne :drunk: :drunk: *

What a great game, you put in your guess once, and then you wait, trying to decipher Makarias's statistics.

The PTPC forecast had me leading for ages in 2007, only to miss the title at the last race. I much prefer it this year, when - like Vettel - only led at the final round! :clap: And I am really proud for picking Heidfeld for some points.

Well done to all the players, and - as always - many thanks to Makarias for running the game. :kiss:

* :stoned: goes back to drinking the champagne :stoned: *

:clap: :clap: :clap: :clap: :clap:

Edited by Costaz, 17 November 2010 - 16:09.


#6 August

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Posted 17 November 2010 - 16:49

I don't know how Renault didn't impress me before the season. That's why I underestimated Kooby. Anyway, that's why I was always getting closer to the top. :)

Congrats to Costaz and thanks for Mak.

#7 skylark68

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Posted 17 November 2010 - 22:24

A podium is nice! Thanks for the game and analysis and next year should be equally interesting.