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[Makarias]

The standings after Europe:

Pos Name Tot Latest
1) arcsine 808 101
= Costaz 808 101
= Dispenser89 808 101
= fisichella_2001 808 101
= Grayson 808 101
= jeze 808 101
= Makarias 808 101
= scheivlak 808 101
9) Viceroy 807 101
10) Brawn BGP 001 806 101
11) control 805 101
12) Crazy Canuck 803 101
13) Apex 802 101
= kismet 802 101
= kNt 802 95
16) AcuraF1 801 101
17) skylark68 800 101
18) LB 798 101
19) mark f1 797 101
20) Anderis 792 93
21) paranoik0 787 93
22) Estwald 779 93
= Wlleiotl 779 93
24) KWSN -DSM 761 79
25) August 731 87

Just eight perfect scores left as kNt drops down.

The entries


The Drivers' list

Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Butt 78,3 48,4 7
Vett 68,6 55,2 0
Petr 66,6 36,9 5
Koba 60,6 30,9 5
Hami 56,6 39,0 1
Webb 48,4 38,5 0
Suti 44,7 16,4 2
Alon 34,3 26,8 0
Buem 27,7 9,4 1
Heid 27,4 18,5 0
Algu 26,5 9,3 1
Mass 23,4 14,7 0
Rosb 22,0 16,4 0
Schu 20,1 11,5 0
diRe 16,9 4,9 3
Pere 10,5 3,9 1
Barr 6,4 4 0

42.1% of the races run. Button and Vettel are currently at 100% surprise pace. Hamilton and Webber need to improve their scoring rate to get there.

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2011 this is 25.


Guesses on P1-P5:

Vettel Alonso Webber Hamilton Massa
* Potential 461 * Potential 362 * Potential 384 * Potential 372 * Potential 317
* Forecast 442 August 324 August 282 control 248 August 285
Costaz 336 kNt 307 Dispenser89 268 Grayson 236 control 216
arcsine 318 Costaz 305 * Forecast 259 * Forecast 230 kNt 211
August 317 jeze 289 AcuraF1 252 Crazy Canuck 230 KWSN -DSM 200
AcuraF1 315 AcuraF1 279 paranoik0 245 AcuraF1 222 Anderis 194
paranoik0 292 scheivlak 278 Crazy Canuck 242 fisichella_2001 209 arcsine 194
Brawn BGP 001 281 Makarias 265 LB 242 jeze 209 Estwald 193
Apex 280 Brawn BGP 001 260 kismet 239 skylark68 205 kismet 189
scheivlak 280 Anderis 259 Anderis 234 Costaz 201 Viceroy 186
Anderis 279 Crazy Canuck 252 arcsine 231 LB 200 mark f1 185
jeze 278 LB 252 Viceroy 230 Viceroy 196 fisichella_2001 184
Makarias 272 Viceroy 251 Costaz 226 mark f1 195 Wlleiotl 180
skylark68 268 skylark68 249 Apex 225 Dispenser89 193 AcuraF1 176
Viceroy 267 paranoik0 247 fisichella_2001 221 Apex 185 scheivlak 173
fisichella_2001 266 fisichella_2001 246 jeze 221 Makarias 177 jeze 171
kNt 265 arcsine 242 skylark68 220 scheivlak 175 skylark68 170
mark f1 265 Estwald 240 mark f1 219 Brawn BGP 001 158 Costaz 168
Crazy Canuck 256 kismet 240 kNt 215 kismet 145 Brawn BGP 001 166
LB 256 Apex 235 scheivlak 215 kNt 137 Apex 160
Dispenser89 254 mark f1 235 Brawn BGP 001 210 arcsine 131 paranoik0 160
Wlleiotl 250 KWSN -DSM 224 Estwald 210 Anderis 129 Makarias 147
kismet 247 control 223 Makarias 208 Estwald 113 Crazy Canuck 144
Estwald 243 Dispenser89 220 control 200 August 109 Dispenser89 144
control 235 Grayson 220 Wlleiotl 200 paranoik0 100 LB 144
Grayson 235 * Forecast 207 KWSN -DSM 195 Wlleiotl 100 Grayson 140
KWSN -DSM 223 Wlleiotl 200 Grayson 175 * Current 97 * Forecast 100
* Current 186 * Current 87 * Current 109 KWSN -DSM 84 * Current 42

Massa not yet looking like beating anyone, but Ferrari's form seems to be rising.


Guesses on P6-P10:

Button Rosberg Alguersuari Sutil Heidfeld
* Potential 384 * Potential 307 * Potential 283 * Potential 285 * Potential 305
* Forecast 259 KWSN -DSM 194 KWSN -DSM 85 Grayson 60 kNt 161
Crazy Canuck 224 Estwald 188 kismet 52 Dispenser89 42 jeze 152
LB 204 Apex 175 Apex 50 Apex 35 Wlleiotl 150
fisichella_2001 182 Makarias 175 Wlleiotl 50 skylark68 33 Anderis 129
control 180 Brawn BGP 001 169 paranoik0 47 control 31 Dispenser89 124
skylark68 177 paranoik0 168 LB 45 Crazy Canuck 30 LB 122
mark f1 175 Viceroy 167 Anderis 44 fisichella_2001 29 scheivlak 122
Viceroy 168 mark f1 165 Crazy Canuck 35 jeze 29 mark f1 120
Dispenser89 164 kismet 155 scheivlak 35 kismet 29 KWSN -DSM 116
AcuraF1 161 fisichella_2001 154 kNt 31 * Forecast 24 August 112
Grayson 160 Wlleiotl 150 Grayson 30 Viceroy 24 arcsine 110
Makarias 158 control 145 arcsine 25 arcsine 22 Estwald 110
Costaz 150 Grayson 145 Estwald 25 kNt 21 paranoik0 109
jeze 145 skylark68 145 Viceroy 23 LB 20 Makarias 106
Brawn BGP 001 137 Anderis 144 Dispenser89 22 mark f1 20 control 104
Apex 135 AcuraF1 136 Makarias 21 Makarias 17 Brawn BGP 001 100
kismet 131 August 130 Brawn BGP 001 20 Costaz 16 skylark68 100
scheivlak 125 LB 130 Costaz 20 scheivlak 15 kismet 99
arcsine 121 scheivlak 130 mark f1 20 Anderis 15 fisichella_2001 96
* Current 109 Costaz 126 skylark68 20 Estwald 15 Apex 95
kNt 103 arcsine 125 * Forecast 19 Brawn BGP 001 14 Grayson 90
Anderis 93 Crazy Canuck 120 jeze 18 paranoik0 12 Viceroy 85
paranoik0 88 Dispenser89 114 AcuraF1 12 AcuraF1 10 Crazy Canuck 82
KWSN -DSM 81 jeze 100 fisichella_2001 11 Wlleiotl 10 Costaz 74
Estwald 80 kNt 81 control 10 * Current 10 * Forecast 71
Wlleiotl 80 * Forecast 76 * Current 8 August 6 AcuraF1 70
August 60 * Current 32 August 3 KWSN -DSM 4 * Current 30

Everyone who missed points in Europe, lost some for Button. Rosberg and Heidfeld have dire forecasts.

The PTPC forecast

Name Forecast +/-
Crazy Canuck 1608,1 26,1
Costaz 1574,4 28,8
AcuraF1 1570,4 27,9
Dispenser89 1568,0 32,6
jeze 1555,4 36,7
LB 1554,4 24,1
fisichella_2001 1540,1 20,8
skylark68 1530,4 26,8
Viceroy 1528,1 28,8
control 1521,1 17,4
Grayson 1510,1 21,4
mark f1 1491,4 26,2
Makarias 1490,4 24,1
arcsine 1489,4 26,1
Apex 1486,1 26,1
scheivlak 1485,4 26,8
Brawn BGP 001 1458,4 26,8
kNt 1425,8 18,5
kismet 1419,1 26,1
paranoik0 1416,8 23,5
Anderis 1392,4 24,5
Estwald 1344,4 24,1
August 1336,8 23,8
Wlleiotl 1335,1 9,4
KWSN -DSM 1270,3 15,4

A happy sunshiney trend as the Ferraris pick up pace as do Alguersuari and Rosberg.