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[Makarias]

The standings after Singapore:

Pos Name Tot Latest
1) Costaz 1351 70
2) fisichella_2001 1346 65
3) jeze 1341 58
4) Viceroy 1337 47
5) AcuraF1 1336 70
= Crazy Canuck 1336 67
= LB 1336 71
8) Dispenser89 1334 56
= skylark68 1334 60
10) Makarias 1328 46
11) mark f1 1320 53
12) Apex 1319 53
13) control 1317 70
14) Grayson 1306 51
15) scheivlak 1304 48
16) arcsine 1301 65
17) Brawn BGP 001 1294 36
18) kismet 1253 40
19) kNt 1245 41
20) Anderis 1220 36
21) paranoik0 1204 44
22) Estwald 1159 36
23) Wlleiotl 1147 36
24) August 1146 60
25) KWSN -DSM 1096 36

Scores this race range from 36 to 71, a Vettel-Button 1-2 isn't giving many points now...

The entries


The Drivers' list

Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Senn 1666,7 50,0 24
diRe 169,5 48,8 21
Butt 132,8 82,2 23
Suti 125,2 45,9 16
Vett 114,0 91,7 21
Hami 98,0 67,5 10
Webb 80,9 64,3 1
Petr 73,0 40,5 9
Alon 72,5 56,6 0
Koba 65,4 33,3 6
Algu 53,1 18,6 4
Pere 47,3 17,6 7
Mass 46,9 29,4 0
Buem 45,0 15,3 3
Rosb 42,7 31,8 0
Schu 40,1 23,0 0
Heid 31,0 21,0 0
Barr 6,4 4,0 0
Mald 4,5 1,6 0

Nobody new past 100%, but Hamilton is on the verge after some mediocre results recently.

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100%

surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2011 this is 25.


Guesses on P1-P5:

Vettel Button Webber Alonso Hamilton
* Potential 434 * Potential 310 * Potential 307 August 324 * Potential 293
* Forecast 419 * Forecast 251 August 282 * Potential 309 control 248
Costaz 336 Crazy Canuck 224 Dispenser89 268 kNt 307 Grayson 236
arcsine 318 LB 204 AcuraF1 252 Costaz 305 Crazy Canuck 230
August 317 * Current 185 * Forecast 247 jeze 289 * Forecast 228
AcuraF1 315 fisichella_2001 182 paranoik0 245 AcuraF1 279 AcuraF1 222
* Current 309 control 180 Crazy Canuck 242 scheivlak 278 fisichella_2001 209
paranoik0 292 skylark68 177 LB 242 Makarias 265 jeze 209
Brawn BGP 001 281 mark f1 175 kismet 239 Brawn BGP 001 260 skylark68 205
Apex 280 Viceroy 168 Anderis 234 Anderis 259 Costaz 201
scheivlak 280 Dispenser89 164 arcsine 231 Crazy Canuck 252 LB 200
Anderis 279 AcuraF1 161 Viceroy 230 LB 252 Viceroy 196
jeze 278 Grayson 160 Costaz 226 Viceroy 251 mark f1 195
Makarias 272 Makarias 158 Apex 225 * Forecast 250 Dispenser89 193
skylark68 268 Costaz 150 fisichella_2001 221 skylark68 249 Apex 185
Viceroy 267 jeze 145 jeze 221 paranoik0 247 Makarias 177
fisichella_2001 266 Brawn BGP 001 137 skylark68 220 fisichella_2001 246 scheivlak 175
kNt 265 Apex 135 mark f1 219 arcsine 242 * Current 168
mark f1 265 kismet 131 kNt 215 Estwald 240 Brawn BGP 001 158
Crazy Canuck 256 scheivlak 125 scheivlak 215 kismet 240 kismet 145
LB 256 arcsine 121 Brawn BGP 001 210 Apex 235 kNt 137
Dispenser89 254 kNt 103 Estwald 210 mark f1 235 arcsine 131
Wlleiotl 250 Anderis 93 Makarias 208 KWSN -DSM 224 Anderis 129
kismet 247 paranoik0 88 control 200 control 223 Estwald 113
Estwald 243 KWSN -DSM 81 Wlleiotl 200 Dispenser89 220 August 109
control 235 Estwald 80 KWSN -DSM 195 Grayson 220 paranoik0 100
Grayson 235 Wlleiotl 80 * Current 182 Wlleiotl 200 Wlleiotl 100
KWSN -DSM 223 August 60 Grayson 175 * Current 184 KWSN -DSM 84

Webber finally beats Grayson, more victims to come in the end. Vettel and Button might be just two races away from 100% surprises!

Guesses on P6-P10:

Di Resta Rosberg Sutil Massa Perez
* Potential 145 KWSN -DSM 194 * Potential 153 August 285 * Potential 134
Grayson 40 Estwald 188 Grayson 60 control 216 Wlleiotl 50
LB 32 * Potential 187 Dispenser89 42 kNt 211 jeze 40
* Forecast 27 Apex 175 * Forecast 38 * Potential 209 arcsine 38
control 20 Makarias 175 Apex 35 KWSN -DSM 200 kNt 34
jeze 20 Brawn BGP 001 169 skylark68 33 Anderis 194 paranoik0 34
* Current 20 paranoik0 168 control 31 arcsine 194 Brawn BGP 001 33
Dispenser89 18 Viceroy 167 Crazy Canuck 30 Estwald 193 Dispenser89 26
kNt 17 mark f1 165 fisichella_2001 29 kismet 189 scheivlak 24
arcsine 16 kismet 155 jeze 29 Viceroy 186 Apex 20
Apex 15 fisichella_2001 154 kismet 29 mark f1 185 Estwald 20
scheivlak 14 Wlleiotl 150 * Current 28 fisichella_2001 184 Grayson 20
Viceroy 12 control 145 Viceroy 24 Wlleiotl 180 Anderis 19
Makarias 11 Grayson 145 arcsine 22 AcuraF1 176 kismet 16
fisichella_2001 10 skylark68 145 kNt 21 scheivlak 173 Makarias 15
mark f1 10 Anderis 144 LB 20 jeze 171 skylark68 15
paranoik0 10 AcuraF1 136 mark f1 20 skylark68 170 * Forecast 12
Brawn BGP 001 9 August 130 Makarias 17 Costaz 168 fisichella_2001 12
kismet 9 LB 130 Costaz 16 Brawn BGP 001 166 KWSN -DSM 12
Costaz 7 scheivlak 130 scheivlak 15 Apex 160 Viceroy 12
Crazy Canuck 7 Costaz 126 Anderis 15 paranoik0 160 * Current 9
Estwald 6 arcsine 125 Estwald 15 Makarias 147 AcuraF1 7
Anderis 5 Crazy Canuck 120 Brawn BGP 001 14 Crazy Canuck 144 Costaz 7
Wlleiotl 5 Dispenser89 114 paranoik0 12 Dispenser89 144 Crazy Canuck 6
KWSN -DSM 2 jeze 100 AcuraF1 10 LB 144 LB 6
AcuraF1 0 * Forecast 84 Wlleiotl 10 Grayson 140 control 5
August 0 kNt 81 August 6 * Forecast 114 mark f1 5
skylark68 0 * Current 62 KWSN -DSM 4 * Current 84 August 0

Force India shows excellent late season form and there's more to come from those guys, I bet. With their rise some other team has to suffer, and Perez' single

point is a rarity for Sauber lately.


The PTPC forecast

Name Forecast +/-
Crazy Canuck 1663,7 -19,7
LB 1625,9 -8,1
Costaz 1624,4 -19,1
AcuraF1 1615,4 -11,8
fisichella_2001 1590,3 -15,6
Dispenser89 1586,4 -12,9
skylark68 1585,1 -16,7
jeze 1583,8 -12,7
Viceroy 1582,7 -18,1
Apex 1544,9 -18,4
Makarias 1543,9 -18,4
Grayson 1539,1 -12,3
arcsine 1533,9 -18,4
control 1533,8 -17,1
scheivlak 1529,7 -23,6
mark f1 1528,3 -14,4
Brawn BGP 001 1501,4 -20,6
kismet 1474,2 -15,6
kNt 1460,6 -25,9
paranoik0 1450,0 -19,3
Anderis 1445,6 -19,6
August 1371,0 -11,7
Estwald 1363,0 -21,9
Wlleiotl 1301,0 -21,9
KWSN -DSM 1268,8 -22,1

An overwhelmingly negative trend. LB moves past Costaz for second, while Crazy Canuck still looks comfortable at the top.