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Place The Points Competition 2011 after South Korea


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#1 Makarias

Makarias
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Posted 18 October 2011 - 10:48

The standings after South Korea:
Pos Name Tot Latest
1) Costaz 1494 73
2) Crazy Canuck 1493 75
3) LB 1476 64
4) fisichella_2001 1461 55
5) Viceroy 1457 62
6) AcuraF1 1454 57
= Dispenser89 1454 59
= jeze 1454 58
= skylark68 1454 61
10) mark f1 1435 60
11) Makarias 1431 43
12) Apex 1430 52
13) control 1420 46
14) scheivlak 1407 45
15) arcsine 1406 45
16) Grayson 1404 49
17) Brawn BGP 001 1386 41
18) kismet 1347 45
19) kNt 1341 45
20) Anderis 1314 45
21) paranoik0 1300 45
22) Estwald 1255 45
23) August 1238 39
24) Wlleiotl 1222 26
25) KWSN -DSM 1177 31
Some properly low scores at the bottom of the list, while Costaz and Crazy Canuck still pick up points at a nice rate.

The entries


The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Senn 1666,7 50,0 24
diRe 178,0 51,2 23
Butt 159,4 98,7 24
Vett 128,7 103,6 25
Suti 125,2 45,9 16
Hami 114,3 78,7 15
Webb 92,9 73,9 5
Alon 83,6 65,2 1
Petr 77,3 42,9 9
Algu 72,9 25,6 10
Pere 68,3 25,5 10
Koba 65,4 33,3 6
Mass 54,7 34,3 0
Buem 51,9 17,6 6
Schu 46,3 26,5 1
Rosb 46,1 34,4 0
Heid 31,0 21,0 0
Barr 6,4 4,0 0
Mald 4,5 1,6 0
Sebastian Vettel becomes the first 100% surprise of the season! Well done!

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100%

surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2011 this is 25.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Vettel Hamilton Webber Button Alonso
* Potential 424 * Potential 271 * Potential 284 * Potential 297 August 324
* Forecast 414 control 248 August 282 * Forecast 264 kNt 307
* Current 349 Grayson 236 Dispenser89 268 Crazy Canuck 224 Costaz 305
Costaz 336 * Forecast 233 AcuraF1 252 * Current 222 jeze 289
arcsine 318 Crazy Canuck 230 * Forecast 248 LB 204 * Potential 287
August 317 AcuraF1 222 paranoik0 245 fisichella_2001 182 AcuraF1 279
AcuraF1 315 fisichella_2001 209 Crazy Canuck 242 control 180 scheivlak 278
paranoik0 292 jeze 209 LB 242 skylark68 177 Makarias 265
Brawn BGP 001 281 skylark68 205 kismet 239 mark f1 175 Brawn BGP 001 260
Apex 280 Costaz 201 Anderis 234 Viceroy 168 Anderis 259
scheivlak 280 LB 200 arcsine 231 Dispenser89 164 * Forecast 252
Anderis 279 Viceroy 196 Viceroy 230 AcuraF1 161 Crazy Canuck 252
jeze 278 * Current 196 Costaz 226 Grayson 160 LB 252
Makarias 272 mark f1 195 Apex 225 Makarias 158 Viceroy 251
skylark68 268 Dispenser89 193 fisichella_2001 221 Costaz 150 skylark68 249
Viceroy 267 Apex 185 jeze 221 jeze 145 paranoik0 247
fisichella_2001 266 Makarias 177 skylark68 220 Brawn BGP 001 137 fisichella_2001 246
kNt 265 scheivlak 175 mark f1 219 Apex 135 arcsine 242
mark f1 265 Brawn BGP 001 158 kNt 215 kismet 131 Estwald 240
Crazy Canuck 256 kismet 145 scheivlak 215 scheivlak 125 kismet 240
LB 256 kNt 137 Brawn BGP 001 210 arcsine 121 Apex 235
Dispenser89 254 arcsine 131 Estwald 210 kNt 103 mark f1 235
Wlleiotl 250 Anderis 129 * Current 209 Anderis 93 KWSN -DSM 224
kismet 247 Estwald 113 Makarias 208 paranoik0 88 control 223
Estwald 243 August 109 control 200 KWSN -DSM 81 Dispenser89 220
control 235 paranoik0 100 Wlleiotl 200 Estwald 80 Grayson 220
Grayson 235 Wlleiotl 100 KWSN -DSM 195 Wlleiotl 80 * Current 212
KWSN -DSM 223 KWSN -DSM 84 Grayson 175 August 60 Wlleiotl 200
Vettel's 100% surprise means that there'll be no more points scored from him, but Crazy Canuck can expect a couple more points for Button. Ka-ching! Webber should

take many scalps over the remaining races while Hamilton already is pretty high up on his list and Alonso is not quite in the super hot zone yet.


Guesses on P6-P10:
Massa Alguersuari Rosberg Buemi Di Resta
August 285 * Potential 97 KWSN -DSM 194 * Potential 90 * Potential 96
control 216 KWSN -DSM 85 Estwald 188 KWSN -DSM 84 Grayson 40
kNt 211 kismet 52 Apex 175 kismet 77 LB 32
KWSN -DSM 200 Apex 50 Makarias 175 Wlleiotl 60 * Forecast 25
Anderis 194 Wlleiotl 50 Brawn BGP 001 169 Apex 40 * Current 21
arcsine 194 paranoik0 47 paranoik0 168 LB 40 control 20
Estwald 193 LB 45 Viceroy 167 Costaz 37 jeze 20
kismet 189 Anderis 44 mark f1 165 Anderis 34 Dispenser89 18
Viceroy 186 Crazy Canuck 35 kismet 155 Estwald 31 kNt 17
mark f1 185 scheivlak 35 fisichella_2001 154 Crazy Canuck 30 arcsine 16
fisichella_2001 184 kNt 31 Wlleiotl 150 Grayson 30 Apex 15
Wlleiotl 180 Grayson 30 control 145 kNt 26 scheivlak 14
AcuraF1 176 * Forecast 26 Grayson 145 paranoik0 26 Viceroy 12
* Potential 173 arcsine 25 skylark68 145 skylark68 26 Makarias 11
scheivlak 173 Estwald 25 Anderis 144 Makarias 23 fisichella_2001 10
jeze 171 Viceroy 23 * Potential 142 arcsine 20 mark f1 10
skylark68 170 Dispenser89 22 AcuraF1 136 mark f1 20 paranoik0 10
Costaz 168 * Current 22 August 130 scheivlak 19 Brawn BGP 001 9
Brawn BGP 001 166 Makarias 21 LB 130 * Forecast 18 kismet 9
Apex 160 Brawn BGP 001 20 scheivlak 130 AcuraF1 17 Costaz 7
paranoik0 160 Costaz 20 Costaz 126 August 15 Crazy Canuck 7
Makarias 147 mark f1 20 arcsine 125 * Current 15 Estwald 6
Crazy Canuck 144 skylark68 20 Crazy Canuck 120 Dispenser89 14 Anderis 5
Dispenser89 144 jeze 18 Dispenser89 114 jeze 14 Wlleiotl 5
LB 144 AcuraF1 12 jeze 100 Viceroy 14 KWSN -DSM 2
Grayson 140 fisichella_2001 11 kNt 81 control 12 AcuraF1 0
* Forecast 116 control 10 * Forecast 80 fisichella_2001 8 August 0
* Current 98 August 3 * Current 67 Brawn BGP 001 6 skylark68 0
Double points finish for STR! They have thirteen points finishes this season while Renault have 14, Force India 12 and Sauber 11 - the midfield has been

interesting this year! Di Resta may find it hard to beat Grayson's and LB's guesses, but beating all others is very positive.


The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/-
Crazy Canuck 1664,2 5,8
LB 1619,9 -1,4
Costaz 1613,5 -10,8
AcuraF1 1610,4 -6,8
fisichella_2001 1577,6 -7,8
skylark68 1575,4 -6,5
Viceroy 1572,6 -5,1
jeze 1572,3 -11,1
Dispenser89 1570,2 -9,7
Apex 1538,2 -3,4
Makarias 1536,1 -9,9
Grayson 1528,6 0,2
arcsine 1527,6 -3,0
control 1527,0 -1,3
scheivlak 1523,4 -8,6
mark f1 1520,3 -4,4
Brawn BGP 001 1490,5 -15,8
kismet 1469,9 -1,2
kNt 1457,4 -8,6
Anderis 1442,7 -5,8
paranoik0 1441,7 -4,5
August 1366,3 -7,3
Estwald 1353,6 -5,6
Wlleiotl 1292,7 -4,5
KWSN -DSM 1257,3 -3,5
Downhill for the forecasts again. Crazy Canuck is supposed to pull leave Costaz and LB for dust over the remaining races, mainly by a bigger guess on Hamilton

that should pay off well.