after 2 weeks of winter testing between 2008 and 2009
HM came out and announced SVs way is faster and MW would have to adapt to SV way
2 weeks into 2009 CH announced that MW was having trouble adapting to the way the car was developed
at the end of 2009 HM and CH both announced that SV was the future of the team and that the 2010 car would be developed around SV
Over the 2010 season HM CH and AN made comments about SVs style being the direction of car development.
Now I dont care if this was the right thing for the team to do
Or how vindicated they have been by that move
It still happened and it will continue to happen in 2012
So, MW has a few races at most before they drag his car into SVs sweet spot and MW is struggling again
I generally agree with one exception. For the first time since mid 2009 RB don't have a dominant car. Even more so, they have some problems, imbalances to sort out. It means two things: very important for RB WCC won't be certain probably for the whole season. So they will need Webber score points constantly, preferably behind Vettel, but in the tight field it won't be as manageable as last season. But yes, situation after Mugello might change - see reason number 4 below.
Funny thing is that: if sound reasons were given that 2011 was strange in terms of drivers performance differences they were labelled excuses. Now after two sub par performances the weirdest possible explanation given are perfectly normal - some made up, unconfirmed low fuel "understeering" is responsible. No, no way. One: it doesn't exists. Why? RB8 is an evolution of RB5-7, the same with Pirellis that suited "adaptable" Vettel better. Two: it doesn't explain anything. There are simpler explanations for Vettel's from, in order of importance:
1. RB is not a dominant car, margin for errors disappeared.
2. Webber is not on a back-foot regarding tyre management and qualifying, see above. In every other respect Webber is the same driver as last season. And one year older.
3. Two GPs is not enough to draw conclusions
4. Very important IMO (although it's only a speculation) They had last minute changes/updates, some problems with a car. That meant no time for custom tailoring the car to Vettel's needs, base set up-wise. You know, general BS like Vettel's way is "faster", which in reality means we prefer him to win. Nothing more, nothing less.
5. Loss of blown diffuser - it gave some advantage to Vettel
6. Here we can add small (I stress small) imbalances like "understeering". Whatever the cause of this is and if it really exists
7. Tracks: China, Bahrain - less technical and easier tracks should suit the king of Singapore and Abu Dhabi more.
8. Just to be honest: Vettel, overrated as he is, can driver better, on average, than that.