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Guess the Pole 2012: China


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 24 March 2012 - 20:03

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:
<-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts Default Modified Layout New Track [s]
25 - 0.100 - 0.200 - 0.300
18 - 0.200 - 0.400 - 0.600
15 - 0.400 - 0.800 - 1.200
12 - 0.600 - 1.200 - 1.800
10 - 0.800 - 1.600 - 2.400
8 - 1.000 - 2.000 - 3.000
6 - 1.200 - 2.400 - 3.600
4 - 1.500 - 3.000 - 4.500
2 - 1.800 - 3.600 - 5.400
1 - 2.500 - 5.000 - 7.500

The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts Recent qualifying results
18 0 front row starts in the previous five races
13 1 front row start in the previous five races
9 2 front row starts in the previous five races
6 3 front row starts in the previous five races
4 4 front row starts in the previous five races
3 5 front row starts in the previous five races


2012 standings


Three latest poles at China:
Year Driver Pole time (s)
2011 Vettel 93.706
2010 Vettel 94.558
2009 Vettel 96.184

Driver values:
Dri val
Hami 4
Vett 6
Butt 9
Webb 13
REST 18

Late 2011 front rows:
GP PP P2
JAP Vett Butt
KOR Hami Vett
IND Vett Hami
ABU Vett Hami
BRA Vett Webb

2012 data:
Time 2011 PP 2011 FL 2011 Q2 2012/2011 2012/11FL 2012/11Q2
GP Pole #2 (s) (s) (s) (s) (%) (%) (%)
OZ Hami Butt 84.922 83.529 88.947 84.090 101.668 95.475 100.989
MAL Hami Butt 96.219 94.870 100.571 95.569 101.422 95.673 100.680
CHN 94.558 98.993 94.486
BAH ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
ESP 80.981 86.727 81.540
MON 73.556 76.234 74.275
CAN 73.014 76.956 73.431
EUR 96.975 101.852 97.305
GB 90.399 94.908 91.640
GER ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
HUN 79.815 83.415 80.262
BEL 108.298 109.883 122.768
ITA 82.275 86.187 82.914
SIN 104.381 108.454 104.931
JAP 90.466 96.568 91.139
KOR 95.820 99.605 96.526
IND 84.178 87.249 84.657
ABU 98.481 102.612 98.434
USA ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BRA 71.918 75.324 72.446

My guess for China is 96.044 s by Lewis Hamilton.

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#2 Iscurrega

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Posted 25 March 2012 - 12:55

Hamilton 95.938

#3 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 25 March 2012 - 12:57

94:711 - Hamilton

:cool:

#4 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 03 April 2012 - 09:24

94.673 - Jenson Button

Edited by DutchQuicksilver, 12 April 2012 - 20:41.


#5 Crazy Canuck

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Posted 04 April 2012 - 21:05

96.019 Hamilton

Edited by Crazy Canuck, 04 April 2012 - 21:06.


#6 mark f1

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Posted 05 April 2012 - 00:55

Button 95.168

#7 brunopascal

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Posted 06 April 2012 - 01:04

95.900 Hamilton

#8 scheivlak

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Posted 08 April 2012 - 12:03

Lewis Hamilton 95.816

Edited by scheivlak, 08 April 2012 - 12:03.


#9 Anderis

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Posted 08 April 2012 - 19:45

95.021 Hamilton

#10 rodlamas

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Posted 08 April 2012 - 23:57

Hamilton 94.888

#11 fisichella_2001

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Posted 09 April 2012 - 13:34

95.965 - L Hamilton

#12 Apex

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Posted 10 April 2012 - 19:16

96.111 Hamilton

#13 Estwald

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 04:37

96.024 Button


#14 mimin

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 06:24

94.899 Vettel

#15 August

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 06:58

Hamilton 95.100

#16 tanechka

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 12:11

Button 95.753

#17 Wlleiotl

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 12:18

Hamilton 95.111

#18 boost

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 12:26

hami 94.906

#19 dank

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 14:01

95.976 Hamilton

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#20 Grayson

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 16:20

94.500

Button

#21 Grayson

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 16:22

Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.


Just to clarify - does this mean that Hamilton's grid penalty will NOT be ignored as it's not due to disciplinary reasons?

#22 jcbc3

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 17:35

95.450 Button

#23 shays

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 18:14


Hamilton 95.995 seconds

#24 Flash

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 18:37

Hamilton 95.068

#25 D82

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 19:21

Vettel - 93.987

#26 AcuraF1

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 19:55

Hamilton 95.227

Edited by AcuraF1, 12 April 2012 - 19:55.


#27 Dispenser89

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 20:00

Hamilton- 95.872

#28 Costaz

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 20:05

Hamilton 95.710

#29 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 20:42

95.378 Schumacher

#30 kismet

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 21:44

Button 95.999

#31 skylark68

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Posted 12 April 2012 - 21:53

Hamilton 95.269

#32 Makarias

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Posted 13 April 2012 - 01:12

Just to clarify - does this mean that Hamilton's grid penalty will NOT be ignored as it's not due to disciplinary reasons?

Yes, his penalty will not be ignored. Perhaps one might not buy into my reasoning that a technical infringement may lead to an unfair performance advantage, but that's the way the rule is in this game for this season... Thanks also for double negations at 3am, my brain is melting! :p

I'd feel awkward changing my driver guess now as I've clarified this rule this late, but I'll change my time guess:
96.229 seconds.