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[Makarias]

The standings after Bahrain:

Pos Name Tot Latest
1) Anderis 404 101
= Apex 404 101
= Brawn BGP 001 404 101
= Dispenser89 404 101
= Fastcake 404 101
= race addicted 404 101
= skylark68 404 101
8) Grayson 402 101
= scheivlak 402 101
10) D82 401 101
11) arcsine 400 101
12) DutchQuicksilver 399 101
= Fisichella_2001 399 101
14) Crazy Canuck 398 101
= mark f1 398 101
16) AcuraF1 395 101
= KWSN-DSM 395 101
= Wlleiotl 395 101
19) Bleu 394 101
= Costaz 394 101
21) Estwald 392 101
= Makarias 392 101
23) kismet 391 101
24) noikeee 389 101
25) Iscurrega 384 101
26) M2000-5 361 101
27) August 354 96
28) shays 215 101

After many wild and exciting surprises in the first three races, most WDC points went to the expected top teams this time. The only exception was di Resta, and August was the only one yet to miss out from him.

The entries


The Drivers' list

Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Senn 117,0 37,8 19
Pere 82,0 41,7 9
Mald 36,5 9,5 3
diRe 33,1 18,6 1
Gros 33,1 22,1 0
Koba 33,0 19,0 2
Räik 30,8 19,4 0
Alon 24,4 17,2 0
Rosb 23,8 13,4 0
Webb 20,9 18,7 0
Verg 18,9 5,7 4
Hami 17,5 15,5 0
Vett 17,0 15,8 0
Butt 16,0 13,6 0
Ricc 8,9 3,4 0
Hülk 4,7 3,4 0
Mass 2,1 2,4 0
Schu 1,7 1,9 0

Paul di Resta is the sixth driver to have beaten someone's guess in 2012.

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100%

surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2012 this is 28.


Guesses on P1-P5:

Vettel Räikkönen Grosjean Webber Rosberg
* Potential 453 * Potential 434 * Potential 423 * Potential 448 * Potential 435
August 359 August 185 * Forecast 115 Dispenser89 271 Iscurrega 282
M2000-5 357 * Forecast 170 August 109 kismet 261 Estwald 200
kismet 346 D82 159 KWSN-DSM 100 Crazy Canuck 260 M2000-5 197
AcuraF1 345 shays 155 shays 100 mark f1 260 skylark68 180
D82 343 M2000-5 152 noikeee 98 AcuraF1 255 D82 178
shays 341 Costaz 146 arcsine 83 M2000-5 253 arcsine 175
Apex 340 noikeee 136 Makarias 83 Estwald 250 * Forecast 175
noikeee 335 Grayson 135 Brawn BGP 001 80 Makarias 248 Anderis 162
Estwald 330 scheivlak 126 Wlleiotl 80 August 246 Brawn BGP 001 155
mark f1 330 Apex 125 Apex 75 Fastcake 242 Costaz 154
Fisichella_2001 320 KWSN-DSM 120 skylark68 75 shays 242 Grayson 150
Wlleiotl 320 Anderis 116 Costaz 71 skylark68 242 Bleu 147
Makarias 318 DutchQuicksilver116 race addicted 71 Anderis 240 DutchQuicksilver146
arcsine 311 Bleu 115 Grayson 70 noikeee 240 Wlleiotl 140
skylark68 310 Makarias 114 DutchQuicksilver 69 * Forecast 240 Fisichella_2001 138
Dispenser89 307 Wlleiotl 110 scheivlak 67 Apex 235 race addicted 136
Anderis 306 arcsine 109 Fastcake 66 DutchQuicksilver232 Apex 135
Bleu 301 mark f1 100 Anderis 65 race addicted 228 noikeee 134
Brawn BGP 001 301 race addicted 100 Dispenser89 65 Costaz 225 Fastcake 131
Crazy Canuck 300 Iscurrega 98 Bleu 62 Bleu 224 AcuraF1 130
Iscurrega 293 Fastcake 87 Crazy Canuck 60 Wlleiotl 220 kismet 129
scheivlak 293 Fisichella_2001 85 mark f1 60 scheivlak 212 Makarias 129
Grayson 292 Crazy Canuck 80 D82 59 Fisichella_2001 211 shays 125
DutchQuicksilver284 kismet 79 Fisichella_2001 56 arcsine 205 scheivlak 121
Fastcake 279 Brawn BGP 001 76 Iscurrega 56 Brawn BGP 001 201 Crazy Canuck 120
Costaz 266 skylark68 76 kismet 51 Grayson 200 KWSN-DSM 120
* Forecast 265 Dispenser89 75 AcuraF1 45 KWSN-DSM 200 mark f1 120
race addicted 255 AcuraF1 65 Estwald 40 D82 195 August 111
KWSN-DSM 250 Estwald 61 M2000-5 38 Iscurrega 150 Dispenser89 93
* Current 53 * Current 34 * Current 23 * Current 48 * Current 35

A much needed forecast boost for Vettel. The Lotus drivers have a shot at 100% surprises this season. Mark Webber should try some other finishing position, this is getting ridiculous...

Guesses on P6-P10:

Di Resta Alonso Hamilton Massa Schumacher
* Potential 415 * Potential 443 * Potential 449 * Potential 402 * Potential 402
KWSN-DSM 85 Dispenser89 265 M2000-5 339 AcuraF1 140 Estwald 222
Iscurrega 79 Costaz 242 August 336 Costaz 135 Iscurrega 200
shays 75 AcuraF1 240 arcsine 319 DutchQuicksilver134 skylark68 164
* Forecast 75 Crazy Canuck 220 noikeee 315 race addicted 130 M2000-5 160
Fastcake 56 Fisichella_2001 220 Apex 300 Dispenser89 129 August 133
race addicted 56 * Forecast 215 Wlleiotl 300 kismet 120 Brawn BGP 001 132
skylark68 51 DutchQuicksilver214 Brawn BGP 001 299 mark f1 115 Wlleiotl 130
mark f1 50 Makarias 211 mark f1 295 shays 115 Anderis 126
scheivlak 50 Bleu 206 Grayson 294 Bleu 113 KWSN-DSM 125
kismet 49 scheivlak 206 Fisichella_2001 291 Crazy Canuck 110 Bleu 122
noikeee 48 mark f1 200 kismet 289 Grayson 110 arcsine 121
Fisichella_2001 46 Fastcake 187 Fastcake 283 Fisichella_2001 104 D82 115
Apex 45 kismet 186 race addicted 282 Iscurrega 101 Crazy Canuck 110
Costaz 45 race addicted 180 AcuraF1 280 Wlleiotl 100 kismet 110
Crazy Canuck 45 shays 180 Crazy Canuck 280 KWSN-DSM 98 Fastcake 109
Grayson 45 Brawn BGP 001 178 Bleu 275 Makarias 92 Grayson 105
Bleu 43 Grayson 170 Estwald 275 skylark68 88 race addicted 105
D82 43 Iscurrega 161 shays 275 Fastcake 86 Makarias 104
Wlleiotl 40 Anderis 159 Iscurrega 274 D82 82 scheivlak 103
Brawn BGP 001 37 August 152 Makarias 272 Apex 80 DutchQuicksilver102
DutchQuicksilver 37 Apex 150 Dispenser89 267 August 78 mark f1 100
Makarias 37 Wlleiotl 150 scheivlak 264 Anderis 75 noikeee 98
Anderis 36 D82 145 DutchQuicksilver263 noikeee 75 Fisichella_2001 91
AcuraF1 35 arcsine 132 Costaz 258 scheivlak 71 AcuraF1 90
Estwald 35 noikeee 131 Anderis 251 Estwald 60 Dispenser89 89
arcsine 34 Estwald 121 skylark68 251 Brawn BGP 001 59 shays 88
Dispenser89 34 KWSN-DSM 120 * Forecast 245 arcsine 54 Costaz 83
M2000-5 28 skylark68 117 D82 232 M2000-5 26 Apex 80
* Current 15 M2000-5 104 KWSN-DSM 225 * Forecast 10 * Forecast 10
August 10 * Current 43 * Current 49 * Current 2 * Current 2

A very nice result for di Resta! Despite three podium finishes, Hamilton's forecast isn't very mind blowing. In the more disastrous end of season starts, Massa and Schumacher aren't making the earth tremble so far.

The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Spanish GP, which is just around the corner.