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"You're only as good as the last race" - A thread about the end of the season standings


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#1 turssi

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:15

***UPDATE w/ Austin results:

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as USA Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Sebastian (291) 0
  • Fernando (275) 0
  • Lewis (215) +1
  • Kimi (214) -1
  • Jenson (173) +1
  • Mark (167) -1
  • Felipe (119) 0
  • Romain (102) 0
  • NicoR (93) 0
  • Sergio (66) 0
  • Kamui (58) 0
  • NicoH (57) 0
  • Pastor (47) +1
  • Paul (46) -1
  • Michael (43) 0
  • Bruno (32) 0
  • Jean-Eric (12) 0
  • Daniel (10) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (458) 0
  • Ferrari (394) 0
  • McLaren (388) 0
  • Lotus (316) 0
  • Mercedes (136) 0
  • Sauber (124) 0
  • FI (103) 0
  • Williams (79) 0
  • STR (22) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0

It's a McLaren comeback in the WDC!!!

--------------------------------
***UPDATE w/ AD results:

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Abu Dhabi Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Sebastian (285) 0
  • Fernando (281) 0
  • Kimi (248) 0
  • Jenson (177) +2
  • Mark (167) -1
  • Lewis (165) -1
  • Felipe (107) 0
  • NicoR (93) 0
  • Romain (90) 0
  • Kamui (74) +1
  • Sergio (66) -1
  • Pastor (63) +2
  • Paul (50) 0
  • NicoH (49) -2
  • Bruno (47) +1
  • Michael (43) -1
  • Jean-Eric (12) 0
  • Daniel (12) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (452) 0
  • Ferrari (388) 0
  • McLaren (342) 0
  • Lotus (338) 0
  • Sauber (140) +1
  • Mercedes (136) -1
  • Williams (101) +1
  • FI (99) -1
  • STR (24) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0

Big results from Jenson, Sauber and Williams according to the Abu Dhabi trend!

--------------------------------

***UPDATE w/ New Delhi results:

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as India Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Sebastian (315) 0
  • Fernando (281) 0
  • Mark (212) +1
  • Lewis (201) +1
  • Kimi (191) -2
  • Jenson (171) 0
  • Felipe (113) +2
  • Romain (96) 0
  • NicoR (93) -2
  • Sergio (66) 0
  • NicoH (61) +1
  • Kamui (50) -1
  • Paul (44) 0
  • Michael (43) 0
  • Pastor (33) 0
  • Bruno (29) 0
  • Jean-Eric (12) 0
  • Daniel (9) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (527) 0
  • Ferrari (394) 0
  • McLaren (372) 0
  • Lotus (287) 0
  • Mercedes (136) 0
  • Sauber (116) 0
  • FI (105) 0
  • Williams (62) 0
  • STR (21) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0



It's starting to settle down, no shakers in the WCC anymore!

--------------------------------

***UPDATE w/ Yeongam results:

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Korea Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Sebastian (315) 0
  • Fernando (269) 0
  • Mark (224) +2
  • Kimi (207) -1
  • Lewis (157) -1
  • Jenson (131) 0
  • Felipe (129) +2
  • Romain (112) 0
  • NicoR (93) -2
  • NicoH (77) +2
  • Sergio (66) -1
  • Kamui (50) -1
  • Paul (44) 0
  • Michael (43) 0
  • Pastor (33) 0
  • Jean-Eric (28) +1
  • Bruno (25) -1
  • Daniel (17) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (539) 0
  • Ferrari (398) 0
  • Lotus (319) +1
  • McLaren (288) -1
  • Mercedes (136) 0
  • FI (121) +1
  • Sauber (116) -1
  • Williams (58) 0
  • STR (45) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0



Only four races to go and the Brazilian one will be just a copy+paste of the official results :-)

--------------------------------
***UPDATE w/ Suzuka results:

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Japan Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Sebastian (315) +1
  • Lewis (202) +2
  • Kimi (197) 0
  • Fernando (194) -3
  • Jenson (191) +1
  • Felipe (159) +3
  • Mark (144) -2
  • Kamui (125) +3
  • NicoR (93) -2
  • Romain (82) -2
  • NicoH (67) +3
  • Sergio (66) -2
  • Pastor (53) +2
  • Paul (44) -2
  • Michael (43) -2
  • Bruno (25) 0
  • Daniel (12) +1
  • Jean-Eric (8) -1
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (459) 0
  • McLaren (393) 0
  • Ferrari (353) 0
  • Lotus (279) 0
  • Sauber (191) +1
  • Mercedes (136) -1
  • FI (111) 0
  • Williams (78) 0
  • STR (20) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0



No comments (see below for the formula used).

--------------------------------


***UPDATE w/ Singapore results:

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Singapore Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Sebastian (315) +1
  • Fernando (284) -1
  • Jenson (227) +3
  • Kimi (197) -1
  • NicoR (153) +2
  • Lewis (142) -2
  • Mark (132) -2
  • Romain (118) 0
  • Paul (116) +2
  • Felipe (75) 0
  • Sergio (72) -2
  • Michael (43) 0
  • Kamui (35) 0
  • NicoH (31) 0
  • Pastor (29)0
  • Bruno (25) 0
  • Daniel (18) +1
  • Jean-Eric (8) -1
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (447) 0
  • McLaren (369) 0
  • Ferrari (359) 0
  • Lotus (315) 0
  • Mercedes (196) 0
  • FI (147) +1
  • Sauber (107) -1
  • Williams (54) 0
  • STR (26) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0



Every race makes it clearer that it's Alonso who is winning the WDC. Still this "last race" mentality keeps suggesting otherwise. It's pure bollocks.

At least the WCC prediction is cooling down already as the season draws to an end.

--------------------------------

***UPDATE w/ Monza results:

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Italy Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Lewis (317) +1
  • Fernando (284) -1
  • Kimi (211) 0
  • Sergio (191) +5
  • Sebastian (140) -1
  • Mark (132) -1
  • Felipe (131) +3
  • NicoR (125) -1
  • Jenson (101) -3
  • Michael (99) +1
  • Romain (76) -3
  • Paul (60) +1
  • Kamui (49) -1
  • Bruno (32) +2
  • NicoH (31) -1
  • Pastor (29) -1
  • Jean-Eric (8) 0
  • Daniel (4) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • McLaren (418) +1
  • Ferrari (415) +1
  • Lotus (287) +1
  • RBR (272) -3
  • Sauber (240) +1
  • Mercedes (224) -1
  • FI (91) 0
  • Williams (61) 0
  • STR (12) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0



After Italy it's (again) all over folks! Lewis takes the WDC home this year! This time we even have some changes in the top of the WCC as well! Bye Bye RBR! Now how about this Italian trend?

In the other news it's good to see that Felipe will probably get to keep his seat as he is moving Ferrari up in the WCC, but still it's still in the air as Sergio is the same with Sauber!!!

--------------------------------

***UPDATE w/ Spa results:

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Belgium Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Jenson (301) +5
  • Sebastian (284) 0
  • Kimi (251) +1
  • Mark (196) -1
  • Fernando (164) -4
  • NicoH (127) +7
  • Lewis (117) -2
  • Felipe (115) +3
  • Michael (83) +1
  • NicoR (77) -3
  • Romain (76) -3
  • Sergio (47) -3
  • Jean-Eric (40) +4
  • Paul (36) +1
  • Kamui (33) -3
  • Pastor (29) -2
  • Bruno (24) -1
  • Daniel (20) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (480) 0
  • McLaren (418) 0
  • Lotus (327) 0
  • Ferrari (279) 0
  • FI (163) +2
  • Mercedes (160) -1
  • Sauber (80) -1
  • STR (60) +1
  • Williams (53) -1
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0


The Belgian trend sees Jenson dominating the Championship (congrats!) and also interestingly Michael winning vs NicoR!!! So the come back was worth while after all!!!

Big movers in the midfield (NicoH will finish in front of Lewis), but for some reason the WDC changes do not carry forward to change the WCC standings much. Probably because of no two team mates scoring big in Spa.

--------------------------------------

So we have all heard it or read it a million times: In Formula One you're worth what you deliver at the latest race Sunday. No more, no less. So let's take this age old wisdom to a table and see who's worth the World Championship this year!

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Hungary Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Lewis (342) +3
  • Kimi (278) +3
  • Fernando (254) -2
  • Sebastian (230) -1
  • Romain (211) +3
  • Mark (160) -4
  • Jenson (148) 0
  • Nico (86) -2
  • Bruno (78) +5
  • Sergio (47) -2
  • Felipe (43) +3
  • Kamui (33) -2
  • Pastor (29) -2
  • Michael (29) -2
  • Paul (27) -2
  • Nico (19) 0
  • Jean-Eric (4) 0
  • Daniel (2) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • McLaren (490) +1
  • Lotus (489) +1
  • RBR (390) -2
  • Ferrari (297) 0
  • Mercedes (115) 0
  • Williams (107) +1
  • Sauber (80) -1
  • FI (46) 0
  • STR (6) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0

(Formula used: Points after latest race + Points from latest race * Number of remaining races)

So the Hungarian trend will have Lewis taking the WDC with Fernando dropping to third! RBR will also be dropping to third in the WCC!

Edited by turssi, 18 November 2012 - 22:27.


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#2 Schumacher7

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:16

Nice thread.

#3 ZooL

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:16

boredom has started early this year I see!

#4 BillyWhizz

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:18

Whaaaat??

#5 Risil

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:20

You are mistaken; Grosjean came third today.

#6 Ramses1348

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:21

amazing topic :up:

#7 Massa

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:26

So the current trend will have Lewis taking the WDC with Fernando dropping to third! RBR will also be dropping to third in the WCC!


i don't understand. For me, the current trend it's the last 4 races :

Alonso : 3 podiums, 2 wins, one 2nd place, 2 poles, with Raikkonen not far behind with 2 podiums.

Edited by Massa, 29 July 2012 - 18:26.


#8 turssi

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:28

You are mistaken; Grosjean came third today.


Yeah, that's why I put him up to a total of 211 points (76+15*9) for the end of the season ranking. But I'm sure there may be errors in the list.

#9 discover23

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:30

My trend is who's birthday is closer to the last race.

1. Alonso - 31 yo on July 29
2.......
.....
.....


#10 turssi

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:30

i don't understand. For me, the current trend it's the last 4 races :

Alonso : 3 podiums, 2 wins, one 2nd place, 2 poles, with Raikkonen not far behind with 2 podiums.


The formula I used is in the Original Post. So total points so far + points from latest race * number of remaining races.

So for Fernando: 164+10*9=254.

#11 Brandz07

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:32

My trend is who's birthday is closer to the last race.

1. Alonso - 31 yo on July 29
2.......
.....
.....


:rotfl:

#12 turssi

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:32

My trend is who's birthday is closer to the last race.

1. Alonso - 31 yo on July 29
2.......
.....
.....


I too hate it when people say / write: "You're only as good as the last race". I hope this thread will prove the proverb as false for all eternity ;-)

#13 Atreiu

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:40

Can you work out a twelve month ranking as tennis does? What have they scored from august 2011 to today?

#14 Wander

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:42

Can you work out a twelve month ranking as tennis does? What have they scored from august 2011 to today?


Doesn't the Castrol Edge Ranking thing try to do something like that? But also takes in qualifying performance, fastest laps, overtakes and all that jazz.

#15 korzeniow

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:46

i don't understand. For me, the current trend it's the last 4 races :

Alonso : 3 podiums, 2 wins, one 2nd place, 2 poles, with Raikkonen not far behind with 2 podiums.


Wet weather affected races can't count as base because of their unpredictability factor.

#16 turssi

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:49

Can you work out a twelve month ranking as tennis does? What have they scored from august 2011 to today?


I think that not even the most ridiculous person would try to expand this wisdom to cover more than the on-going racing season ;-)

#17 FizzyJerk

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 18:50

I personally think you're only as good as your last post....

Mid table obscurity for me then. Meh.



#18 4MEN

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 19:03

You can't predict lottery. Look at Sauber: almost best car in Germany and nowhere in Hungary.

#19 gm914

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 19:07

Wet weather affected races can't count as base because of their unpredictability factor.

Well we should really scratch Maldonado from the whole list too then. :p

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#20 Atreiu

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 21:41

Doesnt it look so odd that the wdc leader is on the car 4th in the wcc? Heck, and Red Bull are over a 1-2 in the lead and dont lead the wdc? I mean the real standings, by the way.

#21 Lights

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Posted 29 July 2012 - 21:44

Funny, it's probably kinda true. Nice idea.

#22 jeze

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Posted 30 July 2012 - 00:32

Macca fan gone desperate :stoned:

#23 velgajski1

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Posted 30 July 2012 - 09:27

Macca fan gone desperate :stoned:


Or maybe just trying to prove how wrong the 'last race' mentality is?

What would be interesting though is something similar, but with different weights (smaller) towards beginning of the season.

#24 velgajski1

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Posted 30 July 2012 - 09:29

Doesnt it look so odd that the wdc leader is on the car 4th in the wcc? Heck, and Red Bull are over a 1-2 in the lead and dont lead the wdc? I mean the real standings, by the way.


If Massa was semi-decent this season, Ferrari would be 2nd - they're only 3 points behind McLaren. If Massa was decent, they'd be first in WCC.

#25 flyer121

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Posted 30 July 2012 - 09:35

boredom has started early this year I see!


Hungary is to blame LOL

but its quite a unique topic subject so :up:

#26 turssi

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Posted 02 September 2012 - 16:36

The Belgian trend sees Jenson dominating the Championship (congrats!) and also interestingly Michael winning vs NicoR!!! So the come back was worth while after all!!!

Big movers in the midfield (NicoH will finish in front of Lewis), but for some reason the WDC changes do not carry forward to change the WCC standings much. Probably because of no two team mates scoring big in Spa.

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Belgium Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Jenson (301) +5
  • Sebastian (284) 0
  • Kimi (251) +1
  • Mark (196) -1
  • Fernando (164) -4
  • NicoH (127) +7
  • Lewis (117) -2
  • Felipe (115) +3
  • Michael (83) +1
  • NicoR (77) -3
  • Romain (76) -3
  • Sergio (47) -3
  • Jean-Eric (40) +4
  • Paul (36) +1
  • Kamui (33) -3
  • Pastor (29) -2
  • Bruno (24) -1
  • Daniel (20) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (480) 0
  • McLaren (418) 0
  • Lotus (327) 0
  • Ferrari (279) 0
  • FI (163) +2
  • Mercedes (160) -1
  • Sauber (80) -1
  • STR (60) +1
  • Williams (53) -1
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0


#27 choyothe

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Posted 02 September 2012 - 16:44

For me the quote "You're only as good as the last race" is just F1-community admitting how childish, knee-jerkish and downright pathetic it really is. Although this applies to pretty much every sport nowadays with the Internet-era and short attention spans.

#28 Raziel

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Posted 02 September 2012 - 16:45

For me the quote "You're only as good as the last race" is just F1-community admitting how childish, knee-jerkish and downright pathetic it really is. Although this applies to pretty much every sport nowadays with the Internet-era and short attention spans.


:up: :up: :up: someone finally!

#29 turssi

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Posted 03 September 2012 - 13:19

For me the quote "You're only as good as the last race" is just F1-community admitting how childish, knee-jerkish and downright pathetic it really is. Although this applies to pretty much every sport nowadays with the Internet-era and short attention spans.


I like the way you think.

#30 turssi

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Posted 09 September 2012 - 20:35

After Italy it's (again) all over folks! Lewis takes the WDC home this year! This time we even have some changes in the top of the WCC as well! Bye Bye RBR! Now how about this Italian trend?

In the other news it's good to see that Felipe will probably get to keep his seat as he is moving Ferrari up in the WCC, but still it's in the air as Sergio is doing the same with Sauber!!!


F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Italy Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Lewis (317) +1
  • Fernando (284) -1
  • Kimi (211) 0
  • Sergio (191) +5
  • Sebastian (140) -1
  • Mark (132) -1
  • Felipe (131) +3
  • NicoR (125) -1
  • Jenson (101) -3
  • Michael (99) +1
  • Romain (76) -3
  • Paul (60) +1
  • Kamui (49) -1
  • Bruno (32) +2
  • NicoH (31) -1
  • Pastor (29) -1
  • Jean-Eric (8) 0
  • Daniel (4) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • McLaren (418) +1
  • Ferrari (415) +1
  • Lotus (287) +1
  • RBR (272) -3
  • Sauber (240) +1
  • Mercedes (224) -1
  • FI (91) 0
  • Williams (61) 0
  • STR (12) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0

Edited by turssi, 09 September 2012 - 20:37.


#31 turssi

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Posted 23 September 2012 - 22:26

Every race makes it clearer that it's Alonso who is winning the WDC. Still this "last race" mentality keeps suggesting otherwise. It's pure bollocks. At least the WCC prediction is cooling down already as the season draws to an end...

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Singapore Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Sebastian (315) +1
  • Fernando (284) -1
  • Jenson (227) +3
  • Kimi (197) -1
  • NicoR (153) +2
  • Lewis (142) -2
  • Mark (132) -2
  • Romain (118) 0
  • Paul (116) +2
  • Felipe (75) 0
  • Sergio (72) -2
  • Michael (43) 0
  • Kamui (35) 0
  • NicoH (31) 0
  • Pastor (29)0
  • Bruno (25) 0
  • Daniel (18) +1
  • Jean-Eric (8) -1
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (447) 0
  • McLaren (369) 0
  • Ferrari (359) 0
  • Lotus (315) 0
  • Mercedes (196) 0
  • FI (147) +1
  • Sauber (107) -1
  • Williams (54) 0
  • STR (26) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0


#32 turssi

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Posted 12 October 2012 - 21:09

So this is how the championship will finish if we trust the trend from Japan!

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Japan Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Sebastian (315) +1
  • Lewis (202) +2
  • Kimi (197) 0
  • Fernando (194) -3
  • Jenson (191) +1
  • Felipe (159) +3
  • Mark (144) -2
  • Kamui (125) +3
  • NicoR (93) -2
  • Romain (82) -2
  • NicoH (67) +3
  • Sergio (66) -2
  • Pastor (53) +2
  • Paul (44) -2
  • Michael (43) -2
  • Bruno (25) 0
  • Daniel (12) +1
  • Jean-Eric (8) -1
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (459) 0
  • McLaren (393) 0
  • Ferrari (353) 0
  • Lotus (279) 0
  • Sauber (191) +1
  • Mercedes (136) -1
  • FI (111) 0
  • Williams (78) 0
  • STR (20) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0


#33 Ramses1348

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Posted 12 October 2012 - 21:31

I love this tread! :up:

#34 aditya-now

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Posted 12 October 2012 - 23:28

I love this tread! :up:


Felipe is climbing and climbing and climbing! He will finish the WDC only two places behind Fernando, as it seems. Amazing - how much better he is than the whole season seemed to tell us.

Michael Schumacher in 15th is worse than I thought - I had him down as 12th or 11th... :eek:


#35 HP

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Posted 13 October 2012 - 00:01

At the end of last season, it surely should have been Mark Webber who is leading now. Damn statistics! ;)

Edited by HP, 13 October 2012 - 00:03.


#36 Dolph

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Posted 13 October 2012 - 12:01

I love this tread! :up:


+1

#37 fred54

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Posted 13 October 2012 - 12:32

Surely the Brazillian trend will decide this. :p

#38 turssi

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Posted 21 October 2012 - 14:34

The Korean trend has me thinking that McLaren really needs to start performing!

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Korea Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Sebastian (315) 0
  • Fernando (269) 0
  • Mark (224) +2
  • Kimi (207) -1
  • Lewis (157) -1
  • Jenson (131) 0
  • Felipe (129) +2
  • Romain (112) 0
  • NicoR (93) -2
  • NicoH (77) +2
  • Sergio (66) -1
  • Kamui (50) -1
  • Paul (44) 0
  • Michael (43) 0
  • Pastor (33) 0
  • Jean-Eric (28) +1
  • Bruno (25) -1
  • Daniel (17) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (539) 0
  • Ferrari (398) 0
  • Lotus (319) +1
  • McLaren (288) -1
  • Mercedes (136) 0
  • FI (121) +1
  • Sauber (116) -1
  • Williams (58) 0
  • STR (45) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0


#39 turssi

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Posted 21 October 2012 - 14:35

Surely the Brazillian trend will decide this. :p


The funny thing about the little formula I'm using is that the Brazilian trend really will decide this ;-)

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#40 apoka

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Posted 21 October 2012 - 16:09

It would be interesting to also have a little wider prediction window - say the last 3 races.

#41 turssi

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Posted 21 October 2012 - 16:18

It would be interesting to also have a little wider prediction window - say the last 3 races.


Do you mean Current Points + (Points from Last Three Races / 3) * Number of Remaining Races?

#42 apoka

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Posted 21 October 2012 - 17:27

Do you mean Current Points + (Points from Last Three Races / 3) * Number of Remaining Races?

Yes. (Obviously, if there were just 1 or 2 races in a new season you take the average of those.)

#43 turssi

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Posted 21 October 2012 - 17:55

Yes. (Obviously, if there were just 1 or 2 races in a new season you take the average of those.)


Maybe I could do that next season. Maybe last 4 races would be more representative than just 3, while still being quite rapid to accumulate.

This season I invented this thread at the half-way point after 10 races and I'm using just the last race to do the prognosis. And I did it to prove to myself that the concept is flawed :-)

Thanks for the idea!

#44 turssi

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Posted 01 November 2012 - 01:55

The Indian trend shows Felipe still climbing while Kimi/Lotus are coming down! Also the WCC seems to be over already!

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as India Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Sebastian (315) 0
  • Fernando (281) 0
  • Mark (212) +1
  • Lewis (201) +1
  • Kimi (191) -2
  • Jenson (171) 0
  • Felipe (113) +2
  • Romain (96) 0
  • NicoR (93) -2
  • Sergio (66) 0
  • NicoH (61) +1
  • Kamui (50) -1
  • Paul (44) 0
  • Michael (43) 0
  • Pastor (33) 0
  • Bruno (29) 0
  • Jean-Eric (12) 0
  • Daniel (9) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (527) 0
  • Ferrari (394) 0
  • McLaren (372) 0
  • Lotus (287) 0
  • Mercedes (136) 0
  • Sauber (116) 0
  • FI (105) 0
  • Williams (62) 0
  • STR (21) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0


#45 turssi

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Posted 05 November 2012 - 00:05

Big results from Jenson, Sauber and Williams according to the Abu Dhabi trend! Also Fernando needs just a little bit more to get back to nr1!


F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Abu Dhabi Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Sebastian (285) 0
  • Fernando (281) 0
  • Kimi (248) 0
  • Jenson (177) +2
  • Mark (167) -1
  • Lewis (165) -1
  • Felipe (107) 0
  • NicoR (93) 0
  • Romain (90) 0
  • Kamui (74) +1
  • Sergio (66) -1
  • Pastor (63) +2
  • Paul (50) 0
  • NicoH (49) -2
  • Bruno (47) +1
  • Michael (43) -1
  • Jean-Eric (12) 0
  • Daniel (12) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (452) 0
  • Ferrari (388) 0
  • McLaren (342) 0
  • Lotus (338) 0
  • Sauber (140) +1
  • Mercedes (136) -1
  • Williams (101) +1
  • FI (99) -1
  • STR (24) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0

Edited by turssi, 05 November 2012 - 14:04.


#46 aditya-now

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Posted 05 November 2012 - 00:31

Big results from Jenson, Sauber and Williams according to the Abu Dhabi trend! Also Fernando needs just a little bit more to get back to nr1!


F1 2012 You're Only as Good as Abu Dhabi Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-

  • Sebastian (285) 0
  • Fernando (281) 0
  • Kimi (248) 0
  • Jenson (177) +2
  • Mark (167) -1
  • Lewis (165) -1
  • Felipe (107) 0
  • NicoR (93) 0
  • Romain (90) 0
  • Kamui (74) +1
  • Sergio (66) -1
  • Pastor (63) +2
  • Paul (50) 0
  • NicoH (49) -2
  • Bruno (47) +1
  • Michael (43) -1
  • Jean-Eric (12) 0
  • Daniel (12) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (452) 0
  • Ferrari (388) 0
  • McLaren (342) 0
  • Lotus (388) 0
  • Sauber (140) +1
  • Mercedes (136) -1
  • Williams (101) +1
  • FI (99) -1
  • STR (24) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0



As the season comes to its end, your prediction thread closes in on the actual reality. By the last race you will have reached absolute accuracy!! Not bad for any prediction system. ;-)

#47 Wander

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Posted 05 November 2012 - 02:30

Typo in the Lotus points, should be 338.

Looks like it's going to stay open on quite a few places to the very end. In constructors, Sauber is very close to Mercedes, Williams could still challenge Force India and even Lotus still has an off-chance of reaching McLaren.

In the drivers side, I don't know if the order behind the top 2 really matters much, but quite a few changes are possible there anyway.

#48 turssi

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Posted 05 November 2012 - 14:06

Typo in the Lotus points, should be 338.

Looks like it's going to stay open on quite a few places to the very end. In constructors, Sauber is very close to Mercedes, Williams could still challenge Force India and even Lotus still has an off-chance of reaching McLaren.

In the drivers side, I don't know if the order behind the top 2 really matters much, but quite a few changes are possible there anyway.


Thanks, Wander, it's fixed now.

#49 turssi

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Posted 18 November 2012 - 22:27

It's a McLaren comeback in the WDC!!!

F1 2012 You're Only as Good as USA Championship Results:

Pilot (points) +/-
  • Sebastian (291) 0
  • Fernando (275) 0
  • Lewis (215) +1
  • Kimi (214) -1
  • Jenson (173) +1
  • Mark (167) -1
  • Felipe (119) 0
  • Romain (102) 0
  • NicoR (93) 0
  • Sergio (66) 0
  • Kamui (58) 0
  • NicoH (57) 0
  • Pastor (47) +1
  • Paul (46) -1
  • Michael (43) 0
  • Bruno (32) 0
  • Jean-Eric (12) 0
  • Daniel (10) 0
  • Timo (0) 0
  • Heikki (0) 0
  • Vitaly (0) 0
  • Charles (0) 0
  • Narain (0) 0
  • Pedro (0) 0
  • RBR (458) 0
  • Ferrari (394) 0
  • McLaren (388) 0
  • Lotus (316) 0
  • Mercedes (136) 0
  • Sauber (124) 0
  • FI (103) 0
  • Williams (79) 0
  • STR (22) 0
  • Marussia (0) 0
  • Caterham (0) 0
  • HRT (0) 0


#50 turssi

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Posted 08 December 2012 - 20:17

EDIT: Haha, I had an error in my Excel sheet (no surprise there) and all the formulas give Vettel on top 40-60% of the time. So not so interesting after all.

Only the one considering the fifteen last races give Vettel on top 80% of the time ;-)

Edited by turssi, 09 December 2012 - 17:28.