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Place The Points Competition 2012 after Belgium and Italy


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 10 September 2012 - 14:44

The standings after Belgium:
Pos Name Tot Latest
1) race addicted 1169 86
= scheivlak 1169 96
3) Anderis 1165 86
4) Apex 1151 95
5) DutchQuicksilver 1148 86
6) Grayson 1141 101
7) Costaz 1137 97
8) Fastcake 1132 86
9) Brawn BGP 001 1125 86
10) KWSN-DSM 1114 90
= Wlleiotl 1114 86
12) D82 1113 101
13) Makarias 1112 86
14) Bleu 1100 86
= noikeee 1100 101
16) Dispenser89 1097 85
17) arcsine 1095 86
18) Fisichella_2001 1092 86
= mark f1 1092 86
20) Crazy Canuck 1083 86
21) Iscurrega 1073 86
22) kismet 1058 82
23) skylark68 1057 86
24) AcuraF1 1033 76
25) August 1025 84
26) Estwald 995 86
27) shays 987 101
28) M2000-5 953 74
High scores as many WDC points went to drivers that have been underperformingrelative to expectations, such as Button and Vettel.
Points missed just from Kimi for a score of 86 is a popular occurrence.

The entries


The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Mald 264,5 62,7 26
Senn 200,6 64,2 24
Pere 175,1 88,0 26
Koba 121,0 67,0 21
Räik 118,7 71,8 21
Gros 109,3 70,7 20
Alon 93,1 62,9 12
Hülk 72,1 37,5 5
diRe 61,7 33,9 1
Webb 57,5 49,7 0
Rosb 52,3 28,3 0
Vett 45,0 40,0 0
Hami 41,7 35,5 0
Verg 37,7 10,4 4
Butt 37,6 30,5 0
Mass 36,7 26,0 1
Schu 29,6 16,8 0
Ricc 17,8 5,7 1
No new drivers passing the 100% expectation mark this round...

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2012 this is 28.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Button Vettel Räikkönen Hülkenberg Massa
M2000-5 342 August 359 * Potential 331 * Potential 231 * Potential 235
Brawn BGP 001 311 M2000-5 357 * Forecast 218 KWSN-DSM 85 AcuraF1 140
* Potential 301 kismet 346 August 185 shays 70 Costaz 135
Grayson 293 AcuraF1 345 D82 159 D82 68 DutchQuicksilver134
AcuraF1 290 D82 343 shays 155 skylark68 62 race addicted 130
Bleu 290 shays 341 M2000-5 152 scheivlak 56 Dispenser89 129
kismet 290 * Potential 340 Costaz 146 Fastcake 55 kismet 120
arcsine 285 Apex 340 noikeee 136 Fisichella_2001 52 mark f1 115
August 282 noikeee 335 Grayson 135 * Forecast 52 shays 115
Crazy Canuck 280 Estwald 330 * Current 131 race addicted 51 Bleu 113
skylark68 280 mark f1 330 scheivlak 126 arcsine 50 Crazy Canuck 110
Wlleiotl 280 Fisichella_2001 320 Apex 125 Anderis 45 Grayson 110
D82 275 Wlleiotl 320 KWSN-DSM 120 DutchQuicksilver 45 Fisichella_2001 104
Dispenser89 274 Makarias 318 Anderis 116 Estwald 45 Iscurrega 101
Costaz 272 arcsine 311 DutchQuicksilver116 Brawn BGP 001 42 Wlleiotl 100
Fastcake 272 skylark68 310 Bleu 115 Apex 40 KWSN-DSM 98
noikeee 272 Dispenser89 307 Makarias 114 Crazy Canuck 40 Makarias 92
Fisichella_2001 271 Anderis 306 Wlleiotl 110 Grayson 40 skylark68 88
Anderis 268 Bleu 301 arcsine 109 kismet 40 Fastcake 86
Makarias 267 Brawn BGP 001 301 mark f1 100 Makarias 40 D82 82
scheivlak 266 Crazy Canuck 300 race addicted 100 Wlleiotl 40 Apex 80
Apex 260 Iscurrega 293 Iscurrega 98 noikeee 38 August 78
Estwald 260 scheivlak 293 Fastcake 87 Bleu 37 Anderis 75
shays 247 Grayson 292 Fisichella_2001 85 mark f1 35 noikeee 75
DutchQuicksilver241 DutchQuicksilver284 Crazy Canuck 80 Iscurrega 34 scheivlak 71
mark f1 240 Fastcake 279 kismet 79 * Current 31 Estwald 60
race addicted 226 Costaz 266 Brawn BGP 001 76 Dispenser89 30 Brawn BGP 001 59
Iscurrega 212 race addicted 255 skylark68 76 Costaz 27 * Forecast 58
KWSN-DSM 200 KWSN-DSM 250 Dispenser89 75 AcuraF1 25 arcsine 54
* Forecast 168 * Forecast 233 AcuraF1 65 M2000-5 8 * Current 35
* Current 101 * Current 140 Estwald 61 August 7 M2000-5 26
Kimi doing well and Hülk looking to make progress.
Button and Vettel have already failed to live up to some expectations, and you can imagine it only getting worse if they fail to score at say Monza. But that's just pure speculation, innit.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Webber Schumacher Vergne Ricciardo Di Resta
* Potential 332 * Potential 235 * Potential 208 * Potential 204 * Potential 228
Dispenser89 271 Estwald 222 KWSN-DSM 85 KWSN-DSM 85 KWSN-DSM 85
kismet 261 Iscurrega 200 arcsine 37 shays 47 Iscurrega 79
Crazy Canuck 260 skylark68 164 scheivlak 36 Fastcake 32 shays 75
mark f1 260 M2000-5 160 Fisichella_2001 32 Apex 30 Fastcake 56
AcuraF1 255 August 133 Estwald 30 D82 30 race addicted 56
M2000-5 253 Brawn BGP 001 132 race addicted 30 arcsine 29 skylark68 51
Estwald 250 Wlleiotl 130 shays 30 Estwald 26 mark f1 50
Makarias 248 Anderis 126 Apex 25 Makarias 26 scheivlak 50
August 246 KWSN-DSM 125 Brawn BGP 001 25 mark f1 25 kismet 49
Fastcake 242 Bleu 122 mark f1 25 Brawn BGP 001 21 noikeee 48
shays 242 arcsine 121 noikeee 25 Fisichella_2001 21 * Forecast 47
skylark68 242 D82 115 DutchQuicksilver 23 skylark68 21 Fisichella_2001 46
Anderis 240 Crazy Canuck 110 Fastcake 22 Crazy Canuck 20 Apex 45
noikeee 240 kismet 110 Makarias 22 scheivlak 20 Costaz 45
Apex 235 Fastcake 109 Crazy Canuck 20 Wlleiotl 20 Crazy Canuck 45
DutchQuicksilver232 Grayson 105 skylark68 20 Bleu 19 Grayson 45
race addicted 228 race addicted 105 Wlleiotl 20 DutchQuicksilver 19 Bleu 43
Costaz 225 Makarias 104 Iscurrega 17 Grayson 19 D82 43
Bleu 224 scheivlak 103 Dispenser89 14 Costaz 18 Wlleiotl 40
* Forecast 220 DutchQuicksilver102 * Forecast 13 noikeee 18 Brawn BGP 001 37
Wlleiotl 220 mark f1 100 Grayson 13 race addicted 18 DutchQuicksilver 37
scheivlak 212 noikeee 98 D82 12 Dispenser89 17 Makarias 37
Fisichella_2001 211 Fisichella_2001 91 Costaz 11 AcuraF1 15 Anderis 36
arcsine 205 AcuraF1 90 Anderis 8 Anderis 12 AcuraF1 35
Brawn BGP 001 201 Dispenser89 89 Bleu 8 Iscurrega 10 Estwald 35
Grayson 200 shays 88 * Current 8 * Forecast 7 arcsine 34
KWSN-DSM 200 Costaz 83 kismet 3 kismet 6 Dispenser89 34
D82 195 Apex 80 August 2 August 4 M2000-5 28
Iscurrega 150 * Forecast 58 AcuraF1 1 * Current 4 * Current 28
* Current 132 * Current 35 M2000-5 0 M2000-5 2 August 10
The STR guys get back into the points after a long dry spell, and KWSN-DSM's exuberant optimism seems generally unmotivated.

The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/-
scheivlak 1678,7 66,2
Costaz 1677,3 32,5
race addicted 1674,3 52,4
DutchQuicksilver 1653,7 44,8
Anderis 1646,3 39,5
Fastcake 1627,0 58,1
Makarias 1616,7 50,8
Apex 1611,7 44,8
Fisichella_2001 1610,3 59,0
KWSN-DSM 1601,7 66,2
Dispenser89 1601,3 46,1
Crazy Canuck 1591,3 51,5
Bleu 1590,3 33,0
Grayson 1589,3 45,0
D82 1586,0 55,6
noikeee 1585,3 42,5
Brawn BGP 001 1576,7 47,3
mark f1 1575,0 44,1
Wlleiotl 1571,7 45,3
AcuraF1 1543,3 38,3
arcsine 1540,3 51,0
shays 1536,7 60,8
kismet 1534,3 41,8
skylark68 1531,0 49,1
August 1519,3 37,3
Iscurrega 1460,3 37,4
Estwald 1448,7 44,8
M2000-5 1375,3 12,4
Is it a bird? Is it a plane? No, it is scheivlak and he just flew past Costaz in the forecast!
Forecasts took a collective leap of joy as Button, Vettel, Massa and also the mighty Hülk took some proper points for a change.

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#2 Makarias

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Posted 10 September 2012 - 14:45

The standings after Italy:
Pos Name Tot Latest
1) scheivlak 1248 79
2) race addicted 1242 73
3) Anderis 1221 56
4) DutchQuicksilver 1218 70
5) Costaz 1217 80
6) Apex 1208 57
7) Grayson 1206 65
8) Fastcake 1202 70
9) Brawn BGP 001 1194 69
10) Makarias 1182 70
11) D82 1179 66
12) KWSN-DSM 1174 60
13) Bleu 1170 70
14) Wlleiotl 1169 55
15) Dispenser89 1167 70
16) Fisichella_2001 1162 70
= mark f1 1162 70
18) noikeee 1160 60
19) Crazy Canuck 1155 72
20) arcsine 1150 55
21) Iscurrega 1129 56
22) kismet 1128 70
23) skylark68 1114 57
24) AcuraF1 1103 70
25) August 1086 61
26) shays 1069 82
27) Estwald 1050 55
28) M2000-5 1002 49
No perfect scores! Sole leader now is scheivlak.

The entries


The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Mald 264,5 62,7 26
Pere 242,1 121,4 28
Senn 209,0 66,8 24
Koba 128,3 71,0 21
Räik 127,7 77,2 23
Gros 109,3 70,7 20
Alon 101,6 68,5 14
Hülk 72,1 37,5 5
diRe 70,6 38,6 2
Webb 57,5 49,7 0
Rosb 56,3 30,4 0
Hami 50,6 42,9 0
Mass 49,3 34,6 1
Vett 45,0 40,0 0
Verg 37,7 10,4 4
Butt 37,6 30,5 0
Schu 36,4 20,4 0
Ricc 17,8 5,7 1
Alonso makes it past his 100% expectation mark after the Spa hiccup. Even more fantastically, Sergio Perez becomes the first 100% surprise of 2012! Yay! Tacos for everyone!

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2012 this is 28.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Perez Alonso Massa Räikkönen
M2000-5 339 * Potential 240 * Potential 354 * Potential 222 * Potential 316
August 336 * Forecast 100 * Forecast 275 AcuraF1 140 * Forecast 217
arcsine 319 * Current 65 Dispenser89 265 Costaz 135 August 185
* Potential 317 scheivlak 54 Costaz 242 DutchQuicksilver134 D82 159
noikeee 315 KWSN-DSM 50 AcuraF1 240 race addicted 130 shays 155
Apex 300 shays 45 Crazy Canuck 220 Dispenser89 129 M2000-5 152
Wlleiotl 300 Fastcake 43 Fisichella_2001 220 kismet 120 Costaz 146
Brawn BGP 001 299 race addicted 40 DutchQuicksilver214 mark f1 115 * Current 141
mark f1 295 DutchQuicksilver 39 Makarias 211 shays 115 noikeee 136
Grayson 294 Apex 35 Bleu 206 Bleu 113 Grayson 135
Fisichella_2001 291 Fisichella_2001 35 scheivlak 206 Crazy Canuck 110 scheivlak 126
kismet 289 Anderis 34 mark f1 200 Grayson 110 Apex 125
Fastcake 283 Brawn BGP 001 34 Fastcake 187 Fisichella_2001 104 KWSN-DSM 120
race addicted 282 arcsine 30 kismet 186 Iscurrega 101 Anderis 116
AcuraF1 280 Wlleiotl 30 race addicted 180 Wlleiotl 100 DutchQuicksilver116
Crazy Canuck 280 Dispenser89 29 shays 180 KWSN-DSM 98 Bleu 115
Bleu 275 Estwald 29 * Current 179 Makarias 92 Makarias 114
Estwald 275 Crazy Canuck 25 Brawn BGP 001 178 skylark68 88 Wlleiotl 110
shays 275 Grayson 24 Grayson 170 Fastcake 86 arcsine 109
Iscurrega 274 kismet 23 Iscurrega 161 D82 82 mark f1 100
Makarias 272 skylark68 23 Anderis 159 Apex 80 race addicted 100
Dispenser89 267 Costaz 22 August 152 August 78 Iscurrega 98
scheivlak 264 AcuraF1 20 Apex 150 Anderis 75 Fastcake 87
DutchQuicksilver263 mark f1 20 Wlleiotl 150 noikeee 75 Fisichella_2001 85
Costaz 258 D82 19 D82 145 * Forecast 72 Crazy Canuck 80
Anderis 251 Bleu 15 arcsine 132 scheivlak 71 kismet 79
skylark68 251 Makarias 15 noikeee 131 Estwald 60 Brawn BGP 001 76
D82 232 noikeee 15 Estwald 121 Brawn BGP 001 59 skylark68 76
KWSN-DSM 225 Iscurrega 3 KWSN-DSM 120 arcsine 54 Dispenser89 75
* Forecast 218 August 2 skylark68 117 * Current 47 AcuraF1 65
* Current 142 M2000-5 1 M2000-5 104 M2000-5 26 Estwald 61
We've milked the Perez cow as much as we dared (too little) and scheivlak ends up with more cheese than the rest of us. Massa's recent points scoring form makes him a bigger factor in the game than before. Frodo and Mumbles aiming at 100% surprises, while Louise has no chance for that anymore.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Schumacher Rosberg Di Resta Kobayashi Senna
Estwald 222 Iscurrega 282 * Potential 207 * Potential 210 * Potential 200
* Potential 218 * Potential 258 KWSN-DSM 85 * Forecast 54 * Forecast 38
Iscurrega 200 Estwald 200 Iscurrega 79 KWSN-DSM 50 Anderis 38
skylark68 164 M2000-5 197 shays 75 shays 50 D82 27
M2000-5 160 skylark68 180 Fastcake 56 race addicted 46 Iscurrega 27
August 133 D82 178 race addicted 56 scheivlak 37 race addicted 25
Brawn BGP 001 132 arcsine 175 skylark68 51 Apex 35 * Current 25
Wlleiotl 130 Anderis 162 mark f1 50 Crazy Canuck 35 Dispenser89 21
Anderis 126 Brawn BGP 001 155 scheivlak 50 skylark68 35 Fastcake 19
KWSN-DSM 125 Costaz 154 kismet 49 * Current 35 Brawn BGP 001 18
Bleu 122 Grayson 150 * Forecast 49 Costaz 32 Apex 15
arcsine 121 Bleu 147 noikeee 48 DutchQuicksilver 31 skylark68 14
D82 115 DutchQuicksilver146 Fisichella_2001 46 kismet 31 Grayson 12
Crazy Canuck 110 Wlleiotl 140 Apex 45 Anderis 30 scheivlak 12
kismet 110 Fisichella_2001 138 Costaz 45 Estwald 30 Bleu 11
Fastcake 109 race addicted 136 Crazy Canuck 45 Wlleiotl 30 AcuraF1 10
Grayson 105 Apex 135 Grayson 45 Fisichella_2001 29 arcsine 10
race addicted 105 noikeee 134 Bleu 43 Fastcake 27 mark f1 10
Makarias 104 Fastcake 131 D82 43 AcuraF1 26 DutchQuicksilver 9
scheivlak 103 AcuraF1 130 Wlleiotl 40 Grayson 25 Fisichella_2001 9
DutchQuicksilver102 kismet 129 Brawn BGP 001 37 Dispenser89 24 Makarias 9
mark f1 100 Makarias 129 DutchQuicksilver 37 Brawn BGP 001 22 Crazy Canuck 8
noikeee 98 * Forecast 128 Makarias 37 D82 22 noikeee 6
Fisichella_2001 91 shays 125 Anderis 36 Bleu 21 KWSN-DSM 5
AcuraF1 90 scheivlak 121 AcuraF1 35 Makarias 21 shays 5
Dispenser89 89 Crazy Canuck 120 Estwald 35 mark f1 20 Wlleiotl 5
shays 88 KWSN-DSM 120 arcsine 34 noikeee 18 Costaz 4
Costaz 83 mark f1 120 Dispenser89 34 arcsine 16 Estwald 3
Apex 80 August 111 * Current 32 M2000-5 13 August 2
* Forecast 66 Dispenser89 93 M2000-5 28 Iscurrega 8 kismet 2
* Current 43 * Current 83 August 10 August 2 M2000-5 0
Kobayashi and Senna are two other 100% surprise candidates, while Di Resta is some way off pace for that.

The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/-
scheivlak 1679,8 1,2
Costaz 1673,6 -3,7
race addicted 1668,8 -5,5
DutchQuicksilver 1648,9 -4,7
Anderis 1640,2 -6,1
Fastcake 1620,8 -6,2
KWSN-DSM 1613,1 11,4
Makarias 1611,9 -4,7
Fisichella_2001 1610,6 0,3
Apex 1606,9 -4,7
Grayson 1601,8 12,5
Dispenser89 1597,2 -4,1
D82 1595,2 9,2
Crazy Canuck 1587,2 -4,1
Bleu 1586,6 -3,7
noikeee 1581,9 -3,4
Brawn BGP 001 1575,5 -1,1
mark f1 1573,5 -1,5
Wlleiotl 1566,9 -4,7
AcuraF1 1539,6 -3,7
arcsine 1534,3 -6,0
kismet 1533,5 -0,9
shays 1531,2 -5,5
skylark68 1524,8 -6,2
August 1516,8 -2,6
Iscurrega 1475,1 14,7
Estwald 1431,6 -17,1
M2000-5 1358,2 -17,2
Forecasts on average taking a slight dip, scheivlak pulling away from Costaz at the front.

#3 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 10 September 2012 - 15:27

Well well well....

I am slowly climbing upwards, can the result make me win after all?

:cool:

#4 scheivlak

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Posted 19 September 2012 - 20:52

I am slowly climbing upwards, can the result make me win after all?

Maybe if Vergne, Ricciardo, Hulk and di Resta collect shhtloads of points from now on :D

#5 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 20 September 2012 - 10:39

Maybe if Vergne, Ricciardo, Hulk and di Resta collect shhtloads of points from now on :D


I hope for that then.

:cool: