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Place The Points Competition 2012 after Japan


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#1 Makarias

Makarias
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Posted 07 October 2012 - 11:39

The standings after Japan:
Pos Name Tot Latest
1) scheivlak 1410 76
2) race addicted 1403 89
3) Costaz 1376 68
4) DutchQuicksilver 1371 74
5) Anderis 1362 78
6) Fastcake 1355 74
7) Apex 1353 74
8) Grayson 1351 74
9) Makarias 1341 74
10) KWSN-DSM 1340 89
11) D82 1339 82
12) Bleu 1329 74
13) Brawn BGP 001 1326 64
14) Fisichella_2001 1322 74
15) mark f1 1320 72
16) Crazy Canuck 1315 74
17) Wlleiotl 1314 74
18) Dispenser89 1311 68
= noikeee 1311 74
20) kismet 1279 73
21) arcsine 1276 59
22) Iscurrega 1271 71
23) skylark68 1259 74
24) shays 1250 95
25) AcuraF1 1248 68
26) August 1232 75
27) Estwald 1177 65
28) M2000-5 1115 52
Points have been scored and happiness is universal. Music:


The entries


The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Mald 301,0 68,8 26
Pere 245,9 120,0 28
Senn 209,0 64,1 24
Koba 183,3 98,0 26
Räik 142,2 84,4 26
Gros 117,9 74,5 22
Alon 110,2 72,9 18
diRe 97,0 51,2 13
Hülk 86,1 43,0 7
Mass 72,3 48,9 4
Rosb 63,1 32,9 0
Vett 61,1 52,8 0
Webb 58,4 49,3 0
Hami 54,2 44,7 0
Butt 48,8 38,2 0
Verg 37,7 9,3 4
Schu 36,4 19,3 0
Ricc 31,2 8,1 3
I just noticed that the Surprise column has been calculated the wrong way all season long, how embarrassing! I had already written a congratulation to Kamui

Kobayashi for becoming the second 100% surprise of the season, but he still needs to score one more point...

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100%

surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2012 this is 28.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Vettel Massa Kobayashi Button Hamilton
August 359 * Potential 194 * Potential 175 M2000-5 342 M2000-5 339
M2000-5 357 AcuraF1 140 * Forecast 67 Brawn BGP 001 311 August 336
kismet 346 Costaz 135 KWSN-DSM 50 Grayson 293 arcsine 319
AcuraF1 345 DutchQuicksilver134 shays 50 AcuraF1 290 noikeee 315
D82 343 race addicted 130 * Current 50 Bleu 290 Apex 300
shays 341 Dispenser89 129 race addicted 46 kismet 290 Wlleiotl 300
Apex 340 kismet 120 scheivlak 37 arcsine 285 Brawn BGP 001 299
noikeee 335 mark f1 115 Apex 35 August 282 mark f1 295
Estwald 330 shays 115 Crazy Canuck 35 Crazy Canuck 280 Grayson 294
mark f1 330 Bleu 113 skylark68 35 skylark68 280 Fisichella_2001 291
Fisichella_2001 320 Crazy Canuck 110 Costaz 32 Wlleiotl 280 kismet 289
Wlleiotl 320 Grayson 110 DutchQuicksilver 31 D82 275 Fastcake 283
Makarias 318 Fisichella_2001 104 kismet 31 Dispenser89 274 race addicted 282
* Potential 315 Iscurrega 101 Anderis 30 Costaz 272 AcuraF1 280
arcsine 311 Wlleiotl 100 Estwald 30 Fastcake 272 Crazy Canuck 280
skylark68 310 KWSN-DSM 98 Wlleiotl 30 noikeee 272 * Potential 277
Dispenser89 307 Makarias 92 Fisichella_2001 29 Fisichella_2001 271 Bleu 275
Anderis 306 * Forecast 92 Fastcake 27 Anderis 268 Estwald 275
Bleu 301 skylark68 88 AcuraF1 26 Makarias 267 shays 275
Brawn BGP 001 301 Fastcake 86 Grayson 25 scheivlak 266 Iscurrega 274
Crazy Canuck 300 D82 82 Dispenser89 24 Apex 260 Makarias 272
Iscurrega 293 Apex 80 Brawn BGP 001 22 Estwald 260 Dispenser89 267
scheivlak 293 August 78 D82 22 * Potential 256 scheivlak 264
Grayson 292 Anderis 75 Bleu 21 shays 247 DutchQuicksilver263
DutchQuicksilver284 noikeee 75 Makarias 21 DutchQuicksilver241 Costaz 258
Fastcake 279 scheivlak 71 mark f1 20 mark f1 240 Anderis 251
Costaz 266 * Current 69 noikeee 18 race addicted 226 skylark68 251
race addicted 255 Estwald 60 arcsine 16 Iscurrega 212 D82 232
* Forecast 253 Brawn BGP 001 59 M2000-5 13 KWSN-DSM 200 KWSN-DSM 225
KWSN-DSM 250 arcsine 54 Iscurrega 8 * Forecast 175 * Forecast 203
* Current 190 M2000-5 26 August 2 * Current 131 * Current 152
Massa has been doing well lately and will be interesting to watch for the rest of the season. And surely Kamui can get that final point, and more...

Guesses on P6-P10:
Räikkönen Hülkenberg Maldonado Webber Ricciardo
* Potential 282 * Potential 162 * Potential 158 Dispenser89 271 * Potential 132
* Forecast 209 KWSN-DSM 85 Anderis 47 kismet 261 KWSN-DSM 85
August 185 shays 70 * Forecast 44 Crazy Canuck 260 shays 47
D82 159 D82 68 race addicted 33 mark f1 260 Fastcake 32
* Current 157 skylark68 62 * Current 33 * Potential 259 Apex 30
shays 155 scheivlak 56 Brawn BGP 001 27 AcuraF1 255 D82 30
M2000-5 152 Fastcake 55 Fastcake 18 M2000-5 253 arcsine 29
Costaz 146 Fisichella_2001 52 Iscurrega 15 Estwald 250 Estwald 26
noikeee 136 race addicted 51 noikeee 15 Makarias 248 Makarias 26
Grayson 135 arcsine 50 arcsine 14 August 246 mark f1 25
scheivlak 126 * Forecast 49 Dispenser89 12 Fastcake 242 Brawn BGP 001 21
Apex 125 Anderis 45 DutchQuicksilver 12 shays 242 Fisichella_2001 21
KWSN-DSM 120 DutchQuicksilver 45 scheivlak 12 skylark68 242 skylark68 21
Anderis 116 Estwald 45 skylark68 11 Anderis 240 Crazy Canuck 20
DutchQuicksilver116 Brawn BGP 001 42 Apex 10 noikeee 240 scheivlak 20
Bleu 115 Apex 40 mark f1 10 Apex 235 Wlleiotl 20
Makarias 114 Crazy Canuck 40 Costaz 9 DutchQuicksilver232 Bleu 19
Wlleiotl 110 Grayson 40 AcuraF1 8 race addicted 228 DutchQuicksilver 19
arcsine 109 kismet 40 Grayson 7 Costaz 225 Grayson 19
mark f1 100 Makarias 40 Fisichella_2001 6 Bleu 224 Costaz 18
race addicted 100 Wlleiotl 40 Crazy Canuck 5 Wlleiotl 220 noikeee 18
Iscurrega 98 noikeee 38 D82 5 scheivlak 212 race addicted 18
Fastcake 87 Bleu 37 kismet 5 Fisichella_2001 211 Dispenser89 17
Fisichella_2001 85 * Current 37 KWSN-DSM 5 arcsine 205 AcuraF1 15
Crazy Canuck 80 mark f1 35 Makarias 5 Brawn BGP 001 201 Anderis 12
kismet 79 Iscurrega 34 shays 5 Grayson 200 Iscurrega 10
Brawn BGP 001 76 Dispenser89 30 Wlleiotl 5 KWSN-DSM 200 * Forecast 9
skylark68 76 Costaz 27 Bleu 4 D82 195 * Current 7
Dispenser89 75 AcuraF1 25 Estwald 3 * Forecast 179 kismet 6
AcuraF1 65 M2000-5 8 August 0 Iscurrega 150 August 4
Estwald 61 August 7 M2000-5 0 * Current 134 M2000-5 2

*Kimi's consistent scoring this season is causing all kinds of grief for many players, and a 100% surprise is likely although hardly with a huge margin over August's

guess.
*Maldonado scores points for the third time this season, and what looked like a dead cert 100% surprise after Spain is now pretty questionable.
*Webber's points scoring form is dire right now.

The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/-
race addicted 1703 23,4
Costaz 1700,7 18,8
scheivlak 1692 13,1
DutchQuicksilver 1674,7 19,1
KWSN-DSM 1653,3 24,8
Fastcake 1649 19,3
Anderis 1645,3 3,0
Fisichella_2001 1638 23,4
Makarias 1637,7 22,2
Grayson 1630,7 18,4
D82 1621 13,4
Apex 1620,7 6,4
Dispenser89 1620,3 20,9
Crazy Canuck 1616,7 27,2
Bleu 1614 19,1
mark f1 1603,7 27,2
Wlleiotl 1592,7 18,4
noikeee 1590,7 1,4
Brawn BGP 001 1583,7 -0,8
shays 1570,7 27,1
AcuraF1 1567 22,0
kismet 1557,7 22,2
skylark68 1550 19,4
arcsine 1542 4,3
Iscurrega 1534,7 24,1
August 1530,7 13,2
Estwald 1437,7 0,0
M2000-5 1362,7 -0,8
Nicely improved forecasts with Vettel and Massa finally delivering.

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#2 KWSN - DSM

KWSN - DSM
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Posted 07 October 2012 - 12:11

And still he trundles on....

:cool: