3 replies to this topic

[Makarias]

The standings after Korea:

Pos Name Tot Latest
1) scheivlak 1482 72
2) race addicted 1473 70
3) DutchQuicksilver 1456 85
4) Costaz 1452 76
5) Fastcake 1425 70
6) Anderis 1422 60
= Makarias 1422 81
8) Apex 1417 64
9) Grayson 1416 65
= KWSN-DSM 1416 76
11) D82 1411 72
12) Fisichella_2001 1407 85
13) Bleu 1399 70
14) Crazy Canuck 1395 80
15) Dispenser89 1388 77
= mark f1 1388 68
17) Brawn BGP 001 1381 55
18) Wlleiotl 1379 65
19) noikeee 1374 63
20) kismet 1338 59
21) arcsine 1335 59
22) Iscurrega 1331 60
23) skylark68 1329 70
24) shays 1326 76
25) AcuraF1 1321 73
26) August 1301 69
27) Estwald 1235 58
28) M2000-5 1159 44

Lots of cool numbers there! Music:

The entries


The Drivers' list

Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Mald 301,0 68,8 26
Pere 245,9 120,0 28
Senn 209,0 64,1 24
Koba 183,3 98,0 26
Räik 151,3 89,8 27
Gros 126,5 80,0 24
Alon 118,7 78,6 21
Hülk 104,7 52,3 16
diRe 97,0 51,2 13
Mass 84,9 57,4 9
Vett 69,2 59,7 0
Webb 66,2 55,9 1
Rosb 63,1 32,9 0
Verg 56,6 14,0 7
Hami 54,5 45,0 0
Butt 48,8 38,2 0
Ricc 40,1 10,5 3
Schu 36,4 19,3 0

Nico Hülkenberg makes it past his 100% mark!

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100%

surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2012 this is 28.


Guesses on P1-P5:

Vettel Webber Alonso Massa Räikkönen
August 359 Dispenser89 271 * Potential 309 * Potential 181 * Potential 267
M2000-5 357 kismet 261 Dispenser89 265 AcuraF1 140 * Forecast 209
kismet 346 Crazy Canuck 260 * Forecast 261 Costaz 135 August 185
AcuraF1 345 mark f1 260 Costaz 242 DutchQuicksilver134 * Current 167
D82 343 AcuraF1 255 AcuraF1 240 race addicted 130 D82 159
shays 341 M2000-5 253 Crazy Canuck 220 Dispenser89 129 shays 155
Apex 340 * Potential 252 Fisichella_2001 220 kismet 120 M2000-5 152
noikeee 335 Estwald 250 DutchQuicksilver214 mark f1 115 Costaz 146
Estwald 330 Makarias 248 Makarias 211 shays 115 noikeee 136
mark f1 330 August 246 * Current 209 Bleu 113 Grayson 135
Fisichella_2001 320 Fastcake 242 Bleu 206 Crazy Canuck 110 scheivlak 126
Wlleiotl 320 shays 242 scheivlak 206 Grayson 110 Apex 125
Makarias 318 skylark68 242 mark f1 200 Fisichella_2001 104 KWSN-DSM 120
* Potential 315 Anderis 240 Fastcake 187 Iscurrega 101 Anderis 116
arcsine 311 noikeee 240 kismet 186 * Forecast 101 DutchQuicksilver116
skylark68 310 Apex 235 race addicted 180 Wlleiotl 100 Bleu 115
Dispenser89 307 DutchQuicksilver232 shays 180 KWSN-DSM 98 Makarias 114
Anderis 306 race addicted 228 Brawn BGP 001 178 Makarias 92 Wlleiotl 110
Bleu 301 Costaz 225 Grayson 170 skylark68 88 arcsine 109
Brawn BGP 001 301 Bleu 224 Iscurrega 161 Fastcake 86 mark f1 100
Crazy Canuck 300 Wlleiotl 220 Anderis 159 D82 82 race addicted 100
Iscurrega 293 scheivlak 212 August 152 * Current 81 Iscurrega 98
scheivlak 293 Fisichella_2001 211 Apex 150 Apex 80 Fastcake 87
Grayson 292 arcsine 205 Wlleiotl 150 August 78 Fisichella_2001 85
DutchQuicksilver284 Brawn BGP 001 201 D82 145 Anderis 75 Crazy Canuck 80
Fastcake 279 Grayson 200 arcsine 132 noikeee 75 kismet 79
* Forecast 269 KWSN-DSM 200 noikeee 131 scheivlak 71 Brawn BGP 001 76
Costaz 266 D82 195 Estwald 121 Estwald 60 skylark68 76
race addicted 255 * Forecast 190 KWSN-DSM 120 Brawn BGP 001 59 Dispenser89 75
KWSN-DSM 250 * Current 152 skylark68 117 arcsine 54 AcuraF1 65
* Current 215 Iscurrega 150 M2000-5 104 M2000-5 26 Estwald 61

Exciting

Guesses on P6-P10:

Hülkenberg Grosjean Vergne Ricciardo Hamilton
* Potential 145 * Potential 188 * Potential 112 * Potential 109 M2000-5 339
KWSN-DSM 85 * Forecast 110 KWSN-DSM 85 KWSN-DSM 85 August 336
shays 70 August 109 arcsine 37 shays 47 arcsine 319
D82 68 KWSN-DSM 100 scheivlak 36 Fastcake 32 noikeee 315
skylark68 62 shays 100 Fisichella_2001 32 Apex 30 Apex 300
scheivlak 56 noikeee 98 Estwald 30 D82 30 Wlleiotl 300
* Forecast 56 * Current 88 race addicted 30 arcsine 29 Brawn BGP 001 299
Fastcake 55 arcsine 83 shays 30 Estwald 26 mark f1 295
Fisichella_2001 52 Makarias 83 Apex 25 Makarias 26 Grayson 294
race addicted 51 Brawn BGP 001 80 Brawn BGP 001 25 mark f1 25 Fisichella_2001 291
arcsine 50 Wlleiotl 80 mark f1 25 Brawn BGP 001 21 kismet 289
Anderis 45 Apex 75 noikeee 25 Fisichella_2001 21 Fastcake 283
DutchQuicksilver 45 skylark68 75 DutchQuicksilver 23 skylark68 21 race addicted 282
Estwald 45 Costaz 71 Fastcake 22 Crazy Canuck 20 AcuraF1 280
* Current 45 race addicted 71 Makarias 22 scheivlak 20 Crazy Canuck 280
Brawn BGP 001 42 Grayson 70 Crazy Canuck 20 Wlleiotl 20 Bleu 275
Apex 40 DutchQuicksilver 69 skylark68 20 Bleu 19 Estwald 275
Crazy Canuck 40 scheivlak 67 Wlleiotl 20 DutchQuicksilver 19 shays 275
Grayson 40 Fastcake 66 Iscurrega 17 Grayson 19 Iscurrega 274
kismet 40 Anderis 65 * Forecast 15 Costaz 18 Makarias 272
Makarias 40 Dispenser89 65 Dispenser89 14 noikeee 18 Dispenser89 267
Wlleiotl 40 Bleu 62 Grayson 13 race addicted 18 scheivlak 264
noikeee 38 Crazy Canuck 60 D82 12 Dispenser89 17 DutchQuicksilver263
Bleu 37 mark f1 60 * Current 12 AcuraF1 15 Costaz 258
mark f1 35 D82 59 Costaz 11 Anderis 12 * Potential 253
Iscurrega 34 Fisichella_2001 56 Anderis 8 * Forecast 11 Anderis 251
Dispenser89 30 Iscurrega 56 Bleu 8 Iscurrega 10 skylark68 251
Costaz 27 kismet 51 kismet 3 * Current 9 D82 232
AcuraF1 25 AcuraF1 45 August 2 kismet 6 KWSN-DSM 225
M2000-5 8 Estwald 40 AcuraF1 1 August 4 * Forecast 191
August 7 M2000-5 38 M2000-5 0 M2000-5 2 * Current 153

In a best case scenario, Hamilton ends up beating four guesses... And that requires four wins!

The PTPC forecast

Name Forecast +/-
Costaz 1702,5 1,8
scheivlak 1701 9,0
race addicted 1698,5 -4,5
DutchQuicksilver 1683,3 8,6
Fastcake 1653 4,0
KWSN-DSM 1650,5 -2,8
Fisichella_2001 1649,3 11,3
Dispenser89 1638,3 17,9
Grayson 1637,3 6,6
Makarias 1637 -0,7
Anderis 1635,5 -9,8
Crazy Canuck 1629,3 12,6
D82 1624,3 3,3
Apex 1620 -0,7
Bleu 1618,3 4,3
mark f1 1616,3 12,6
Wlleiotl 1600 7,3
noikeee 1590 -0,7
Brawn BGP 001 1583 -0,7
shays 1582,5 11,8
AcuraF1 1571,3 4,3
kismet 1560 2,3
skylark68 1556,3 6,3
arcsine 1542 0,0
August 1531,5 0,8
Iscurrega 1526,8 -7,9
Estwald 1437 -0,7
M2000-5 1355,8 -6,9

On average a slightly positive change in the forecasts.
DutchQuicksilver is trying to make it a four way battle at the front; it's extremely unpredictable there!

[Costaz]

I am a bit concerned with all this Vettel resurgence business I don't mind Massa's one though..

[KWSN - DSM]

The Toro Rosso drivers, Alonso and Raikkonen are my most expensive failures I think, there might be some M-theory explanations as to why that is not correct, but as far as I can see with the correct results the last races I can still win this one.

Yes Massa making points is great and I still have room for some more points for Vettel.

[scheivlak]

I am a bit concerned with all this Vettel resurgence business

Yabadabadoo!