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[Makarias]

The standings after India:

Pos Name Tot Latest
1) scheivlak 1548 66
2) race addicted 1547 74
3) Costaz 1540 88
4) DutchQuicksilver 1531 75
5) Fastcake 1496 71
6) Makarias 1494 72
7) Fisichella_2001 1492 85
= KWSN-DSM 1492 76
9) Grayson 1486 70
10) Anderis 1485 63
11) Apex 1479 62
= D82 1479 68
13) Crazy Canuck 1476 81
= Dispenser89 1476 88
15) Bleu 1469 70
16) mark f1 1458 70
17) Wlleiotl 1449 70
18) Brawn BGP 001 1443 62
19) noikeee 1438 64
20) AcuraF1 1409 88
21) kismet 1408 70
22) shays 1402 76
= skylark68 1402 73
24) arcsine 1401 66
25) Iscurrega 1387 56
26) August 1371 70
27) Estwald 1297 62
28) M2000-5 1221 62

Costaz scored the highest of the frontrunners and it is very close indeed up there.

The entries


The Drivers' list

Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Mald 301,0 68,8 26
Pere 245,9 120,0 28
Senn 217,4 66,7 25
Koba 183,3 98,0 26
Räik 156,7 93,0 27
Gros 129,4 81,8 24
Alon 128,9 85,3 25
Hülk 114,0 57,0 19
diRe 97,0 51,2 13
Mass 93,3 63,1 12
Vett 77,2 66,7 0
Webb 72,7 61,4 1
Rosb 63,1 32,9 0
Hami 58,8 48,5 0
Verg 56,6 14,0 7
Butt 52,5 41,1 0
Ricc 40,1 10,5 3
Schu 36,4 19,3 0

No major breakthroughs here. Massa is getting closer to his 100% mark despite his much criticized first half of the season.

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2012 this is 28.


Guesses on P1-P5:

Vettel Alonso Webber Hamilton Button
August 359 * Potential 302 Dispenser89 271 M2000-5 339 M2000-5 342
M2000-5 357 * Forecast 267 kismet 261 August 336 Brawn BGP 001 311
kismet 346 Dispenser89 265 Crazy Canuck 260 arcsine 319 Grayson 293
AcuraF1 345 Costaz 242 mark f1 260 noikeee 315 AcuraF1 290
D82 343 AcuraF1 240 AcuraF1 255 Apex 300 Bleu 290
shays 341 * Current 227 M2000-5 253 Wlleiotl 300 kismet 290
Apex 340 Crazy Canuck 220 Estwald 250 Brawn BGP 001 299 arcsine 285
noikeee 335 Fisichella_2001 220 Makarias 248 mark f1 295 August 282
Estwald 330 DutchQuicksilver214 August 246 Grayson 294 Crazy Canuck 280
mark f1 330 Makarias 211 * Potential 242 Fisichella_2001 291 skylark68 280
Fisichella_2001 320 Bleu 206 Fastcake 242 kismet 289 Wlleiotl 280
Wlleiotl 320 scheivlak 206 shays 242 Fastcake 283 D82 275
Makarias 318 mark f1 200 skylark68 242 race addicted 282 Dispenser89 274
* Potential 315 Fastcake 187 Anderis 240 AcuraF1 280 Costaz 272
arcsine 311 kismet 186 noikeee 240 Crazy Canuck 280 Fastcake 272
skylark68 310 race addicted 180 Apex 235 Bleu 275 noikeee 272
Dispenser89 307 shays 180 DutchQuicksilver232 Estwald 275 Fisichella_2001 271
Anderis 306 Brawn BGP 001 178 race addicted 228 shays 275 Anderis 268
Bleu 301 Grayson 170 Costaz 225 Iscurrega 274 Makarias 267
Brawn BGP 001 301 Iscurrega 161 Bleu 224 Makarias 272 scheivlak 266
Crazy Canuck 300 Anderis 159 Wlleiotl 220 Dispenser89 267 Apex 260
Iscurrega 293 August 152 scheivlak 212 scheivlak 264 Estwald 260
scheivlak 293 Apex 150 Fisichella_2001 211 DutchQuicksilver263 shays 247
Grayson 292 Wlleiotl 150 arcsine 205 Costaz 258 DutchQuicksilver241
DutchQuicksilver284 D82 145 Brawn BGP 001 201 Anderis 251 mark f1 240
* Forecast 282 arcsine 132 Grayson 200 skylark68 251 race addicted 226
Fastcake 279 noikeee 131 KWSN-DSM 200 * Potential 240 * Potential 216
Costaz 266 Estwald 121 * Forecast 196 D82 232 Iscurrega 212
race addicted 255 KWSN-DSM 120 D82 195 KWSN-DSM 225 KWSN-DSM 200
KWSN-DSM 250 skylark68 117 * Current 167 * Forecast 194 * Forecast 166
* Current 240 M2000-5 104 Iscurrega 150 * Current 165 * Current 141

Vettel seems well on his way to finally beating a few guesses; 2012 didn't turn out to be a 2011 style cakewalk after all.
Alonso on the other hand is well on his way to a 100% surprise; 2012 didn't turn out to be a total dog of a year for Ferrari after all.
For McLaren though... Ouch.

Guesses on P6-P10:

Massa Räikkönen Hülkenberg Grosjean Senna
* Potential 164 * Potential 248 * Potential 124 * Potential 165 * Potential 101
AcuraF1 140 * Forecast 204 KWSN-DSM 85 August 109 Anderis 38
Costaz 135 August 185 shays 70 * Forecast 106 * Forecast 31
DutchQuicksilver134 * Current 173 D82 68 KWSN-DSM 100 D82 27
race addicted 130 D82 159 skylark68 62 shays 100 Iscurrega 27
Dispenser89 129 shays 155 * Forecast 58 noikeee 98 * Current 26
kismet 120 M2000-5 152 scheivlak 56 * Current 90 race addicted 25
mark f1 115 Costaz 146 Fastcake 55 arcsine 83 Dispenser89 21
shays 115 noikeee 136 Fisichella_2001 52 Makarias 83 Fastcake 19
Bleu 113 Grayson 135 race addicted 51 Brawn BGP 001 80 Brawn BGP 001 18
Crazy Canuck 110 scheivlak 126 arcsine 50 Wlleiotl 80 Apex 15
Grayson 110 Apex 125 * Current 49 Apex 75 skylark68 14
* Forecast 105 KWSN-DSM 120 Anderis 45 skylark68 75 Grayson 12
Fisichella_2001 104 Anderis 116 DutchQuicksilver 45 Costaz 71 scheivlak 12
Iscurrega 101 DutchQuicksilver116 Estwald 45 race addicted 71 Bleu 11
Wlleiotl 100 Bleu 115 Brawn BGP 001 42 Grayson 70 AcuraF1 10
KWSN-DSM 98 Makarias 114 Apex 40 DutchQuicksilver 69 arcsine 10
Makarias 92 Wlleiotl 110 Crazy Canuck 40 scheivlak 67 mark f1 10
* Current 89 arcsine 109 Grayson 40 Fastcake 66 DutchQuicksilver 9
skylark68 88 mark f1 100 kismet 40 Anderis 65 Fisichella_2001 9
Fastcake 86 race addicted 100 Makarias 40 Dispenser89 65 Makarias 9
D82 82 Iscurrega 98 Wlleiotl 40 Bleu 62 Crazy Canuck 8
Apex 80 Fastcake 87 noikeee 38 Crazy Canuck 60 noikeee 6
August 78 Fisichella_2001 85 Bleu 37 mark f1 60 KWSN-DSM 5
Anderis 75 Crazy Canuck 80 mark f1 35 D82 59 shays 5
noikeee 75 kismet 79 Iscurrega 34 Fisichella_2001 56 Wlleiotl 5
scheivlak 71 Brawn BGP 001 76 Dispenser89 30 Iscurrega 56 Costaz 4
Estwald 60 skylark68 76 Costaz 27 kismet 51 Estwald 3
Brawn BGP 001 59 Dispenser89 75 AcuraF1 25 AcuraF1 45 August 2
arcsine 54 AcuraF1 65 M2000-5 8 Estwald 40 kismet 2
M2000-5 26 Estwald 61 August 7 M2000-5 38 M2000-5 0

Kimi still on course for a 100% surprise. Grosjean has a good chance to make it as well, but ninth place finishes won't suffice.

The PTPC forecast

Name Forecast +/-
scheivlak 1714,5 13,5
Costaz 1706,8 4,3
DutchQuicksilver 1700,2 17,0
race addicted 1698,6 0,1
Dispenser89 1666,7 28,5
Fisichella_2001 1665,5 16,3
Fastcake 1659,9 6,9
Grayson 1655,1 17,9
Makarias 1650,5 13,5
KWSN-DSM 1648,6 -1,9
Anderis 1646,8 11,3
Crazy Canuck 1646,2 17,0
D82 1638,6 14,3
Bleu 1636,1 17,9
Apex 1633,5 13,5
mark f1 1633,2 17,0
Wlleiotl 1613,5 13,5
noikeee 1603,5 13,5
shays 1597,6 15,1
Brawn BGP 001 1596,5 13,5
AcuraF1 1589,1 17,9
kismet 1578,5 18,5
skylark68 1571,2 14,9
arcsine 1555,5 13,5
August 1548,7 17,2
Iscurrega 1531,2 4,5
Estwald 1450,5 13,5
M2000-5 1370,8 15,1

A good round for the forecasts, and scheivlak moves into the front...

[Costaz]

Come on, Felipe baby, you can win one or two races now, can't you? (I would never imagine I would say that - but the RC's Bets & Games do this to you...)