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Guess the Pole 2013: Australia


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 05 March 2013 - 22:56

Welcome to Guess the Pole 2013! As usual, we celebrate the new season by scoring the season opener as a modified circuit, so guesses within 5s off actual pole will score points.

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:
<-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts Default Modified Layout New Track [s]
25 - 0.100 - 0.200 - 0.300
18 - 0.200 - 0.400 - 0.600
15 - 0.400 - 0.800 - 1.200
12 - 0.600 - 1.200 - 1.800
10 - 0.800 - 1.600 - 2.400
8 - 1.000 - 2.000 - 3.000
6 - 1.200 - 2.400 - 3.600
4 - 1.500 - 3.000 - 4.500
2 - 1.800 - 3.600 - 5.400
1 - 2.500 - 5.000 - 7.500

The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts Recent qualifying results
18 0 front row starts in the previous five races
13 1 front row start in the previous five races
9 2 front row starts in the previous five races
6 3 front row starts in the previous five races
4 4 front row starts in the previous five races
3 5 front row starts in the previous five races


2012 final standings


Three latest poles at Australia:
Year Driver Pole time (s)
2012 Hamilton 84.922
2011 Vettel 83.529
2010 Vettel 83.919

Late 2012 front rows:
GP Pole #2
KOR Webb Vett
IND Vett Webb
ABU Hami Webb
USA Vett Hami
BRA Hami Butt

Driver values:
Dri val
Hami 6
Vett 6
Webb 6
Butt 13
REST 18

2012 data:
Time 2011 PP 2011 FL 2011 Q2 2012/2011 2012/11FL 2012/11Q2
GP Pole #2 (s) (s) (s) (s) (%) (%) (%)
OZ Hami Butt 84.922 83.529 88.947 84.090 101.668 95.475 100.989
MAL Hami Butt 96.219 94.870 100.571 95.569 101.422 95.673 100.680
CHN Rosb Schu 95.121 94.558 98.993 94.486 100.595 96.089 100.672
BAH Vett Hami 92.422 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
ESP Mald Alon 82.285 80.981 86.727 81.540 101.610 94.878 100.914
MON Schu Webb 74.301 73.556 76.234 74.275 101.013 97.464 100.035
CAN Vett Hami 73.784 73.014 76.956 73.431 101.055 95.878 100.481
EUR Vett Hami 98.086 96.975 101.852 97.305 101.146 96.302 100.803
GB Alon Webb 111.746 90.399 94.908 91.640 123.614 117.741 121.940
GER Alon Vett 100.621 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
HUN Hami Gros 80.953 79.815 83.415 80.262 101.426 97.048 100.861
BEL Butt Koba 107.573 108.298 109.883 122.768 99.331 97.898 87.623
ITA Hami Butt 84.010 82.275 86.187 82.914 102.109 97.474 101.322
SIN Hami Mald 106.362 104.381 108.454 104.931 101.898 98.071 101.364
JAP Vett Webb 90.839 90.466 96.568 91.139 100.412 94.067 99.671
KOR Webb Vett 97.242 95.820 99.605 96.526 101.484 97.628 100.742
IND Vett Webb 85.283 84.178 87.249 84.657 101.313 97.747 100.739
ABU Hami Webb 100.630 98.481 102.612 98.434 102.182 98.068 102.231
USA Vett Hami 95.657 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BRA Hami Butt 72.458 71.918 75.324 72.446 100.751 96.195 100.017

My guess for Australia is 83.779 s by Sebastian Vettel.

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#2 wattoroos

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Posted 06 March 2013 - 05:15

83.959 Vettel

#3 fisichella_2001

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Posted 07 March 2013 - 00:01

83.657 - S Vettel

#4 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 07 March 2013 - 18:37

83.801 - Sebastian Vettel

Edited by DutchQuicksilver, 10 March 2013 - 11:08.


#5 Rosberg

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Posted 07 March 2013 - 23:17

83.837 - Sebastian Vettel

#6 Iranie

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Posted 08 March 2013 - 08:09

83.578 Sebastian Vettel

#7 UPRC

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Posted 08 March 2013 - 13:45

I'm really going to go out on a limb here because I'm a risk taker.

Grosjean - 83.750

Edited by UPRC, 08 March 2013 - 13:45.


#8 Wander

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Posted 08 March 2013 - 17:53

83.850 - Seb Vet

Edited by Wander, 13 March 2013 - 00:07.


#9 Slick

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Posted 10 March 2013 - 08:47

83.759 Hamilton

#10 scheivlak

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Posted 10 March 2013 - 12:27

84.024 Rosberg

#11 Puhoon

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Posted 10 March 2013 - 12:46

84.107 Grosjean

#12 Iscurrega

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Posted 10 March 2013 - 23:11

83.837 - Vettel

#13 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 11 March 2013 - 10:45

1:24:711 - Hamilton

:cool:

#14 mark f1

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Posted 11 March 2013 - 11:49

Vettel 84.168

#15 Anderis

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Posted 11 March 2013 - 16:22

83.920 Vettel

#16 skylark68

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Posted 12 March 2013 - 03:09

84.151 Alonso

Edited by skylark68, 12 March 2013 - 03:09.


#17 Kingshark

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Posted 12 March 2013 - 03:13

1:24.791 - Alonso

#18 AcuraF1

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Posted 12 March 2013 - 13:38

84.927 Alonso

#19 scarsurfing

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Posted 12 March 2013 - 17:08

Grojean 83.700

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#20 Mekola

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Posted 12 March 2013 - 18:08

83.101 Vettel

#21 Wlleiotl

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Posted 12 March 2013 - 19:22

Alonso 84.209

#22 Cascade

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Posted 12 March 2013 - 19:39

Grosjean - 84.664

#23 Estwald

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Posted 13 March 2013 - 01:34

84.210 Vettel


#24 rodlamas

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Posted 13 March 2013 - 10:30

Hamilton 83.888

#25 Apex

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 01:13

83.175 Vettel

#26 Costaz

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 11:45

Perez 84.999

#27 M2000-5

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 13:43

84.576 Vettel

#28 August

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 17:16

Button 83.500

#29 kismet

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 17:26

Alonso 84.000

#30 Barty

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 17:47

84.166 Webber


#31 mimin

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 18:09

Sebastian Vettel 83.600

#32 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 20:56

Jenson Button 85.482

#33 Grayson

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Posted 14 March 2013 - 21:07

Button 85.000

#34 Flash

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Posted 15 March 2013 - 00:24

Vettel 84.271

#35 scarsurfing

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Posted 16 March 2013 - 03:24

Might be a slow pole today :eek:

#36 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 16 March 2013 - 10:47

Guess we're lucky quali has been postponed then.

#37 Grayson

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Posted 16 March 2013 - 13:41

Looks like I've got the second slowest guess - I would have done pretty well if they'd tried to finish Q3 in the rain today!

(Though it might take a bit more than a minor upset for my driver guess of Jenson Button to come good...)

#38 scheivlak

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Posted 16 March 2013 - 14:01

84.024 Rosberg


:well:

:D

#39 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 16 March 2013 - 15:36

Typical had the slowest guess when the cars bar the hapless McLaren look faster than last season.

:Does the drizzle dance: :lol: