92 replies to this topic

[HuddersfieldTerrier1986]

Particularly with a later start time for the race, looking at that graph and everything else, the chances of it being even a damp race are pretty low. No more than 20% at the moment, if that, and that's been the case for the last few days. Got to remember there's alot of pre race support races that'd dry the track if there was any rain, but the chances of the track even being damp for the start of the race or at any point during it look pretty low right now.

[Vesuvius]

There were many races last year and before that promised rain but that never came so until I see some water coming down from the sky...I won't believe any predictions.

[Ravenak]

Remember though: if this forecast is accurate, it'd only be about 2mm, 3mm max. And that's not a lot of rain.

Keep your expactations low, weather-wise.

Edited by Ravenak, 14 March 2013 - 15:40.

[HuddersfieldTerrier1986]

Remember though: if this forecast is accurate, it'd only be about 2mm, 3mm max. And that's not a lot of rain.

Keep your expactations low, weather-wise.

Still enough to keep the cars off slicks though......

[stanga]

When we were in Melbourne at the end of February, I was amazed at how crap the weather forecasting was - or rather how vague it was.

I like how the temperature doesn't see to drop below 15 deg, and there seems to be more sun. It's like my part of the UK but about 15 deg higher! We've decided to emigrate there anyway... my luck will be that they will have lost the F1 race by the time I get there...!

[Alfisti]

So let me get this straight, in the space of a week we have boiling heat (mid 30's), hail, rain, freezing cold, wind and lots of sun.

Must be melbourne!!

[InfectedPumpkin]

Dry race chances are bigger and bigger! Good!

[SealTheDiffuser]

90% heavy rain predicted for qualifying

[MortenF1]

As has been mentioned here (and as I mentioned during free practice in the live-forum), we're only looking at around 3mm of rain around qualifying time. Half of that will be drained in the asphalt and half of that will vapor! No, I'm not sure about that, but the forecasted rain, so little of it, will not lead to very testing conditions, to say the least.

[SealTheDiffuser]

As has been mentioned here (and as I mentioned during free practice in the live-forum), we're only looking at around 3mm of rain around qualifying time. Half of that will be drained in the asphalt and half of that will vapor! No, I'm not sure about that, but the forecasted rain, so little of it, will not lead to very testing conditions, to say the least.

depends in what timefrasme those 3 litres per square metre fall

[MortenF1]

depends in what timefrasme those 3 litres per square metre fall

"My" forecast had this coming between 11-17 local, but a new update now, that says 3.9mm between 11-17, and then 7.1 between 17-23. We don't know of course, if that rainfall is going to be spread evenly across all those hours, or if it will splash down during one intense hour, in which case things will obviously be more difficult.

...but anyway, it now looks like we're in for more rain, so this should be proper inters territory, or even full wets.

Edited by race addicted, 15 March 2013 - 14:23.

[Ravenak]

Latest update: less water

[OoxLox]

Looks like possible showers for FP3 and the possibility of Q1 on a damp-drying track. Might not happen but it could be a really crazy Q1 with two drivers getting knocked out with Caterham and Marrusia instead of one.

[tomisumi]

Looks like possible showers for FP3 and the possibility of Q1 on a damp-drying track. Might not happen but it could be a really crazy Q1 with two drivers getting knocked out with Caterham and Marrusia instead of one.

These times are in GMT, i think you didn´t notice that

[MrAerodynamicist]

So according to the Norwegians, the rain should arrive during FP3 (14:00 local) and stay wet for Q.

Edited by MrAerodynamicist, 15 March 2013 - 15:14.

[Ravenak]

With hindsight, those predictions were very accurate, 7 days ago!

I'll keep posting these meteogramms this year

Edited by Ravenak, 16 March 2013 - 07:12.

[Jimisgod]

I think it might be a little wet.

[Ravenak]

So what's the forecast for tomorrow?

Dry weather has been announced on Sunday in the last 7 days and it should remain like this:

Edited by Ravenak, 16 March 2013 - 08:51.

[Jovanotti]

Thx

[InfectedPumpkin]

yeah! so we will have dry quali and dry race!
splendid!

[FernuttonHulkkonen]

yeah! so we will have dry quali and dry race!
splendid!

yeah, I'm so happy we'll have a dry qualifying in the end. I was almost crying when saw the Q was very wet and we would need to wait Sepang or longer to truely know the pecking order.

But now it seems we'll already see that in some dozen of hours

Thanks guys for the heads up in the weather predictions right now

[SealTheDiffuser]

what is the weather right now? someone at the track already?

[Massa_f1]

what is the weather right now? someone at the track already?

Lee Mckenzie just tweeted to say still stormy, and rained all night.

[Jimisgod]

Lee Mckenzie just tweeted to say still stormy, and rained all night.

Don't run off track then. Wet kerbs, too.

[ApexMouse]

Emlyn Hughes @radarguruf11m
#F1 Sunday #Melbourne: Scattered showers in the region AM, 40% chance of rain affecting qual. Clearing PM to leave a dry race. Max temp 20c.

[RC127]

what is the weather right now? someone at the track already?

http://victoria.snarl.com.au/cams?p=3

Currently roads in Melbourne still wet from overnight rain - then again Q2 is four hours away.

Should be a crazy grid, methinks...

Looks more like Silverstone than Albert Park doesn't it?

[Richard T]

Prediction now is no rain for qualy and race http://www.meteoblue...ircuit_au_66249

@RadarguruF1: #F1 Sunday #Melbourne: Scattered showers in the region AM, 40% chance of rain affecting qual. Clearing PM to leave a dry race. Max temp 20c

Edited by Richard T, 16 March 2013 - 20:22.

[MortenF1]

Hmm. I thought it was going to be dry in time for Q2.

[Massa_f1]

Hmm. I thought it was going to be dry in time for Q2.

Not likely. I did post in the other thread Dry race is almost certain. Dry Qualifying is not.

[RC127]

http://www.bom.gov.a...e.shtml?ref=hdr

Current forecast from Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Melbourne area

Partly cloudy. Isolated showers, mainly morning. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h.

60% chance of rain

[Lord Snooty]

Looking like its brightening up on the webcams...

[HuddersfieldTerrier1986]

Andrew Benson ‏@andrewbensonf1

Two and a half hours until qualifying starts and it's raining again in Melbourne. This could be a long, long day

[skywing]

Andrew Benson ‏@andrewbensonf1

Two and a half hours until qualifying starts and it's raining again in Melbourne. This could be a long, long day

OMG, I was thinking about staying up to watch qualy and then sleep about 4 hours before the race. Could be a long night.

[F1Gui]

OMG, I was thinking about staying up to watch qualy and then sleep about 4 hours before the race. Could be a long night.

Can any 1 confirm what time quali starts UK time. Ive heard 12AM and also 1AM.

[fred54]

Can any 1 confirm what time quali starts UK time. Ive heard 12AM and also 1AM.

12AM

[Markn93]

Can any 1 confirm what time quali starts UK time. Ive heard 12AM and also 1AM.

It's 12am. Coverage starts at 11 45pm.

[MercPower]

Only time when i like Redbull is when i'm drinking it.

Hope Lewis sorts himself out if it's wet

[tomisumi]

Andrew Benson ‏@andrewbensonf1

Two and a half hours until qualifying starts and it's raining again in Melbourne. This could be a long, long day

Only little shower or consecutive rain?

[HuddersfieldTerrier1986]

The worry is that even if Q2 is wet/damp, Q3 could possibly be dry. I'd rather have a wet/damp Q2 and the same for Q3. Would hope that means far less chance of the 2 Red Bulls comfortably locking out the front row (which is what I fear if it's dry).

[F1Gui]

It's 12am. Coverage starts at 11 45pm.

Cheers! just realised noticed it there on Wiziwig

[gerry nassar]

I'm about to head to the track in 10mins or so and its quite cold and windy. Its only 14 degrees. It rained overnight but I suspect the track is only moderately damp at the moment. I doubt it will rain much in the next hour so a damp track is best we can hope for.

[Mandzipop]

Ian Fergusson @fergieweather
#F1 #MELBOURNE Subtle shift in steering wind means circuit at imminent threat of further heavy showers. Wet/dry bias by quali is v uncertain

[yoyogetfunky]

Right, and the powers-that-be were so wise to shift the race start time up, so we have even less room to play. Let us hope for the best!