It is a very important race for the championship, especially mental. If Alonso loses out, Vettel can shape the favourite for the title, cos every team is about to do the switch from this year's development towards next year's.
Alonso was the best on long runs on Friday, but his Ferrari ate up its tyres when struck behind another car, so Alonso has to overtake the four cars asap to take on the fight with Vettel. He can't afford doing a mistake in the first corner, so I bet he will be cautious and await for the back straights. There are two DRS zones, which is pretty suprising given the long back straight. RB and Ferrari had the upper hand over Mercedes during race distances.
So I bet for Vettel. He can be in cruise mode if Fernando can't make passes over Bottas, Webber, Ham and Ros in the first 6-7 laps, otherwise Vettel would open up too much of a gap.
Edited by Forma1, 09 June 2013 - 13:02.