The standings after Singapore:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) scheivlak 1303 101 2) KWSN-DSM 1302 100 3) DutchQuicksilver 1301 101 4) Apex 1297 89 5) Fisichella_2001 1296 87 6) mark f1 1295 88 7) Grayson 1293 84 8) AcuraF1 1283 78 9) Fastcake 1281 86 = Makarias 1281 100 11) Wander 1275 80 12) noikeee 1268 89 13) skylark68 1262 79 14) August 1258 89 15) wattoroos 1257 79 16) Wlleiotl 1254 79 17) Kalmake 1246 83 18) Iscurrega 1245 79 19) an1res 1244 69 20) Bleu 1242 79 = Estwald 1242 78 22) Brawn BGP 001 1224 46 = kismet 1224 77 24) Anderis 1213 78 25) Costaz 1209 79 26) M2000-5 1198 67 27) Barty 1189 65
Is scheivlak leading a game? That must be a first!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Ricc 129,9 66,7 21 Hami 109,4 74,0 18 Rosb 108,6 75,8 18 diRe 103,4 59,0 15 Vett 98,1 87,9 8 Verg 98,0 44,8 14 Räik 81,7 54,0 3 Alon 78,4 66,3 0 Webb 75,2 53,5 1 Suti 70,4 40,6 5 Mass 64,6 41,2 1 Gros 49,8 34,3 0 Hülk 31,8 22,4 0 Butt 29,6 21,7 0 Pere 18,0 10,9 0 Mald 2,0 1,1 0
Nico Rosberg becomes the fourth driver to make it past 100%! Vettel nearly there.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2012 this is 28.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Vettel Alonso Räikkönen Rosberg Hamilton * Potential 397 * Potential 337 * Potential 299 * Potential 266 * Potential 301 * Forecast 361 skylark68 281 M2000-5 275 * Forecast 170 * Forecast 221 Anderis 280 Bleu 275 Iscurrega 251 scheivlak 152 scheivlak 203 Makarias 276 * Forecast 273 noikeee 242 an1res 140 August 181 kismet 274 August 262 Barty 222 AcuraF1 139 Grayson 165 Bleu 272 KWSN-DSM 260 Costaz 221 KWSN-DSM 138 Apex 160 noikeee 272 Iscurrega 254 * Forecast 218 Kalmake 130 KWSN-DSM 159 Apex 270 M2000-5 251 Wander 196 Grayson 125 Makarias 158 August 267 an1res 250 Anderis 188 DutchQuicksilver124 Fastcake 157 wattoroos 263 Costaz 250 Estwald 185 Makarias 118 DutchQuicksilver156 Iscurrega 260 kismet 250 Bleu 183 Fastcake 117 noikeee 152 scheivlak 260 Kalmake 249 Kalmake 183 * Current 116 * Current 151 KWSN-DSM 259 AcuraF1 245 AcuraF1 180 Estwald 115 mark f1 150 Costaz 254 Anderis 245 Apex 180 Fisichella_2001 112 AcuraF1 145 Fisichella_2001 252 Wlleiotl 240 Wlleiotl 180 Brawn BGP 001 111 Fisichella_2001 138 Wander 251 DutchQuicksilver236 August 179 noikeee 105 wattoroos 138 mark f1 250 noikeee 236 skylark68 176 Wander 105 Wander 136 skylark68 250 scheivlak 235 an1res 174 skylark68 104 Brawn BGP 001 133 Wlleiotl 250 Estwald 230 mark f1 170 Anderis 100 Bleu 129 DutchQuicksilver247 mark f1 230 DutchQuicksilver167 Apex 100 Iscurrega 128 Fastcake 247 Fisichella_2001 229 Makarias 166 mark f1 100 Estwald 124 * Current 247 Fastcake 227 Fisichella_2001 165 Wlleiotl 100 Costaz 122 Barty 241 Makarias 227 scheivlak 163 Iscurrega 94 skylark68 120 Kalmake 239 wattoroos 223 wattoroos 163 August 88 Wlleiotl 120 M2000-5 236 Wander 222 Grayson 160 wattoroos 88 kismet 118 Estwald 235 Apex 220 KWSN-DSM 158 Bleu 79 Kalmake 115 AcuraF1 230 Grayson 210 * Current 149 M2000-5 78 an1res 110 Grayson 230 Brawn BGP 001 207 kismet 147 Barty 77 Anderis 105 an1res 225 Barty 192 Fastcake 128 Costaz 77 Barty 105 Brawn BGP 001 211 * Current 187 Brawn BGP 001 123 kismet 67 M2000-5 101
The Mercedes guys have quietly moved up their lists without me mentioning it. Vettel only recently got into beating players, but can be a 100% surprise just two races from now! Don't bet against it!
Guesses on P6-P10:
Massa Button Perez Hülkenberg Sutil * Potential 237 Costaz 248 Brawn BGP 001 201 * Potential 169 * Potential 176 an1res 210 Fastcake 241 * Potential 172 Bleu 84 wattoroos 63 M2000-5 199 Brawn BGP 001 222 August 170 Wlleiotl 80 Wlleiotl 60 Kalmake 192 Barty 209 Fastcake 161 wattoroos 78 Barty 55 kismet 175 wattoroos 208 Kalmake 154 Estwald 70 kismet 51 Anderis 170 * Potential 204 Costaz 141 KWSN-DSM 69 Grayson 50 Estwald 155 Iscurrega 201 Fisichella_2001 141 Makarias 69 Estwald 45 noikeee 150 Wlleiotl 200 Grayson 140 Wander 67 August 44 skylark68 144 kismet 199 wattoroos 133 Brawn BGP 001 66 DutchQuicksilver 42 Bleu 140 August 197 Iscurrega 132 AcuraF1 65 Apex 40 Makarias 139 AcuraF1 195 Makarias 129 Apex 65 AcuraF1 39 DutchQuicksilver135 Bleu 190 DutchQuicksilver128 Grayson 65 Fastcake 39 Wander 134 DutchQuicksilver190 KWSN-DSM 125 skylark68 63 * Forecast 38 wattoroos 133 Wander 185 Wander 122 scheivlak 62 Bleu 36 Costaz 132 Fisichella_2001 182 Barty 121 August 60 Fisichella_2001 36 Fisichella_2001 130 Apex 180 Wlleiotl 120 mark f1 60 mark f1 35 Iscurrega 130 Grayson 175 skylark68 116 M2000-5 57 skylark68 35 mark f1 130 mark f1 170 Anderis 114 Fisichella_2001 56 scheivlak 34 * Forecast 127 skylark68 170 Apex 110 Barty 55 Wander 34 AcuraF1 121 Makarias 164 mark f1 104 Fastcake 54 Brawn BGP 001 33 Apex 120 scheivlak 164 Bleu 103 Anderis 50 an1res 30 Grayson 120 KWSN-DSM 157 kismet 101 Iscurrega 50 Iscurrega 27 KWSN-DSM 115 M2000-5 157 Estwald 100 noikeee 50 Costaz 26 Brawn BGP 001 111 noikeee 151 noikeee 98 DutchQuicksilver 49 Kalmake 26 scheivlak 110 an1res 150 an1res 90 kismet 49 * Current 26 Wlleiotl 100 Estwald 145 scheivlak 88 Kalmake 45 KWSN-DSM 25 August 91 Kalmake 145 AcuraF1 84 Costaz 43 Makarias 25 Fastcake 91 Anderis 127 M2000-5 82 an1res 30 M2000-5 24 * Current 87 * Forecast 79 * Forecast 32 * Forecast 28 noikeee 22 Barty 60 * Current 54 * Current 22 * Current 19 Anderis 21
McLaren are sort of lucky that they'll even beat Force India this year... I think they will...
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- scheivlak 1584,6 0,4 Apex 1570,6 -1,2 KWSN-DSM 1566,6 -1,2 DutchQuicksilver 1555,8 0,9 AcuraF1 1554,6 -0,6 Bleu 1549,8 13,5 noikeee 1545,5 8,0 mark f1 1544,8 0,9 skylark68 1543,1 8,2 Iscurrega 1533,5 8,0 Fisichella_2001 1530,8 2,4 an1res 1528,8 1,4 Costaz 1518,5 -2,0 Makarias 1514,8 2,4 Wander 1514,8 2,4 Anderis 1513,8 -13,4 Kalmake 1509,8 2,4 Estwald 1507,8 0,9 kismet 1504,8 -9,1 Grayson 1501,6 -1,2 Wlleiotl 1499,9 1,3 wattoroos 1490,4 0,5 August 1479,3 5,7 M2000-5 1477,5 6,5 Fastcake 1467,3 -1,7 Barty 1428,0 -13,6 Brawn BGP 001 1374,6 0,4
Status quo...
