The standings after India:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) scheivlak 1516 65 2) Apex 1506 45 3) KWSN-DSM 1495 50 4) AcuraF1 1480 55 5) Makarias 1477 37 6) Grayson 1474 47 7) DutchQuicksilver 1473 37 8) noikeee 1469 43 9) Fisichella_2001 1464 43 10) mark f1 1463 40 11) Wander 1459 48 12) skylark68 1438 42 13) Kalmake 1435 47 14) wattoroos 1434 43 15) Iscurrega 1432 42 16) an1res 1428 54 17) Estwald 1423 49 18) Anderis 1421 43 19) Bleu 1418 30 20) Wlleiotl 1411 29 21) August 1401 23 22) kismet 1395 40 23) Fastcake 1394 17 24) Costaz 1391 43 25) M2000-5 1374 44 26) Brawn BGP 001 1367 43 27) Barty 1327 24Just four players scoring 50+ points this round, with scheivlak moving in to the lead with the top result.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Ricc 137,2 70,4 21 Rosb 134,9 94,1 26 Vett 127,8 114,6 27 Hami 122,4 82,8 25 diRe 114,9 65,6 18 Räik 100,3 66,3 17 Verg 98,0 44,8 14 Gros 89,0 61,4 9 Alon 86,8 73,4 1 Webb 85,7 60,9 3 Suti 75,8 43,8 8 Mass 75,7 48,3 4 Hülk 65,4 45,9 1 Butt 32,9 24,1 0 Pere 26,9 16,3 0 Guti 21,6 13,6 0 Mald 2,0 1,1 0Kimi Räikkönen reaches is 100% expectations mark by a whisker as the sixth driver of the season. Nico Rosberg's shot at a 100% surprise gets a good boost.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2012 this is 28.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Vettel Rosberg Grosjean Massa Perez * Potential 397 * Potential 219 * Potential 177 an1res 210 Brawn BGP 001 201 * Forecast 382 * Forecast 171 Estwald 165 M2000-5 199 August 170 * Current 322 scheivlak 152 an1res 150 Kalmake 192 Fastcake 161 Anderis 280 * Current 144 noikeee 148 * Potential 177 Kalmake 154 Makarias 276 an1res 140 Anderis 142 kismet 175 Costaz 141 kismet 274 AcuraF1 139 Makarias 142 Anderis 170 Fisichella_2001 141 Bleu 272 KWSN-DSM 138 scheivlak 141 Estwald 155 Grayson 140 noikeee 272 Kalmake 130 Kalmake 134 noikeee 150 wattoroos 133 Apex 270 Grayson 125 AcuraF1 131 skylark68 144 Iscurrega 132 August 267 DutchQuicksilver124 Wander 124 Bleu 140 Makarias 129 wattoroos 263 Makarias 118 skylark68 122 Makarias 139 DutchQuicksilver128 Iscurrega 260 Fastcake 117 M2000-5 121 DutchQuicksilver135 KWSN-DSM 125 scheivlak 260 Estwald 115 * Forecast 121 Wander 134 Wander 122 KWSN-DSM 259 Fisichella_2001 112 mark f1 120 wattoroos 133 Barty 121 Costaz 254 Brawn BGP 001 111 wattoroos 118 Costaz 132 Wlleiotl 120 Fisichella_2001 252 noikeee 105 Costaz 114 Fisichella_2001 130 skylark68 116 Wander 251 Wander 105 Fisichella_2001 114 Iscurrega 130 Anderis 114 mark f1 250 skylark68 104 Brawn BGP 001 113 mark f1 130 Apex 110 skylark68 250 Anderis 100 Grayson 110 AcuraF1 121 * Potential 108 Wlleiotl 250 Apex 100 KWSN-DSM 105 * Forecast 121 mark f1 104 DutchQuicksilver247 mark f1 100 * Current 102 Apex 120 Bleu 103 Fastcake 247 Wlleiotl 100 Apex 100 Grayson 120 kismet 101 Barty 241 Iscurrega 94 DutchQuicksilver100 KWSN-DSM 115 Estwald 100 Kalmake 239 August 88 Iscurrega 100 Brawn BGP 001 111 noikeee 98 M2000-5 236 wattoroos 88 kismet 99 scheivlak 110 an1res 90 Estwald 235 Bleu 79 Barty 89 * Current 102 scheivlak 88 AcuraF1 230 M2000-5 78 Wlleiotl 80 Wlleiotl 100 AcuraF1 84 Grayson 230 Barty 77 Bleu 76 August 91 M2000-5 82 an1res 225 Costaz 77 Fastcake 72 Fastcake 91 * Forecast 39 Brawn BGP 001 211 kismet 67 August 63 Barty 60 * Current 33Just nine points left to Rosberg's 100% surprise. It would be a shame if he misses it!
Guesses on P6-P10:
Hamilton Räikkönen Di Resta Sutil Ricciardo * Potential 244 M2000-5 275 * Potential 115 * Potential 103 * Potential 94 scheivlak 203 * Potential 258 Wlleiotl 60 wattoroos 63 M2000-5 26 * Forecast 201 Iscurrega 251 Barty 55 Wlleiotl 60 mark f1 25 August 181 noikeee 242 wattoroos 53 Barty 55 Apex 24 * Current 169 Barty 222 Brawn BGP 001 51 kismet 51 KWSN-DSM 24 Grayson 165 Costaz 221 Estwald 50 Grayson 50 * Forecast 23 Apex 160 * Forecast 217 * Forecast 48 Estwald 45 an1res 20 KWSN-DSM 159 Wander 196 Grayson 45 August 44 Fisichella_2001 19 Makarias 158 Anderis 188 kismet 44 DutchQuicksilver 42 * Current 19 Fastcake 157 Estwald 185 Apex 40 Apex 40 Kalmake 17 DutchQuicksilver156 Bleu 183 Fastcake 40 AcuraF1 39 Brawn BGP 001 16 noikeee 152 Kalmake 183 * Current 40 Fastcake 39 August 15 mark f1 150 * Current 183 Fisichella_2001 39 Bleu 36 Grayson 15 AcuraF1 145 AcuraF1 180 skylark68 39 Fisichella_2001 36 kismet 15 Fisichella_2001 138 Apex 180 Wander 39 mark f1 35 AcuraF1 14 wattoroos 138 Wlleiotl 180 mark f1 35 skylark68 35 Bleu 14 Wander 136 August 179 AcuraF1 33 scheivlak 34 noikeee 14 Brawn BGP 001 133 skylark68 176 scheivlak 32 Wander 34 Barty 12 Bleu 129 an1res 174 DutchQuicksilver 31 * Forecast 33 scheivlak 12 Iscurrega 128 mark f1 170 an1res 30 Brawn BGP 001 33 DutchQuicksilver 11 Estwald 124 DutchQuicksilver167 August 29 an1res 30 Fastcake 11 Costaz 122 Makarias 166 Bleu 28 * Current 28 Anderis 10 skylark68 120 Fisichella_2001 165 KWSN-DSM 26 Iscurrega 27 skylark68 10 Wlleiotl 120 scheivlak 163 Iscurrega 25 Costaz 26 Wlleiotl 10 kismet 118 wattoroos 163 M2000-5 22 Kalmake 26 Iscurrega 9 Kalmake 115 Grayson 160 Costaz 21 KWSN-DSM 25 Makarias 9 an1res 110 KWSN-DSM 158 Kalmake 19 Makarias 25 Wander 9 Anderis 105 kismet 147 Makarias 19 M2000-5 24 wattoroos 8 Barty 105 Fastcake 128 noikeee 18 noikeee 22 Costaz 5 M2000-5 101 Brawn BGP 001 123 Anderis 17 Anderis 21 Estwald 0Hamilton too has a realistic shot at 100% surprise, but that one will be a close call I suspect... Best race in quite a while for the Force Indias that were looking so promising during the first half of the season.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- scheivlak 1644,1 10,6 AcuraF1 1609,9 18,9 Apex 1601,6 3,5 noikeee 1601,6 12,8 KWSN-DSM 1593,9 -12,8 mark f1 1588,2 13,4 DutchQuicksilver 1581,2 4,3 Fisichella_2001 1577,4 12,9 Makarias 1571,3 19,7 Wander 1570,6 20,0 skylark68 1569,8 3,1 Kalmake 1561,8 19,6 Iscurrega 1560,3 -6,3 an1res 1557,0 13,3 Anderis 1556,1 8,0 Estwald 1552,8 17,7 Grayson 1548,3 8,0 Costaz 1545,8 -3,9 Bleu 1534,7 -8,3 wattoroos 1533,9 18,8 M2000-5 1521,3 6,2 kismet 1516,0 -6,4 Wlleiotl 1510,6 -0,4 August 1483,1 -14,2 Fastcake 1473,1 -9,7 Barty 1430,3 -13,6 Brawn BGP 001 1425,6 6,4A bit of mixed forecast development, with Perez helping them up but the Webber DNF helping them down And Grosjean's progress getting mixed reviews. AcuraF1 moves up to second but scheivlak remains comfortably ahead.
