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Place The Points Competition 2013 after Abu Dhabi


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 05 November 2013 - 09:19

The standings after Abu Dhabi:

Pos Name             Tot Latest
1)  scheivlak        1559  43
2)  Apex             1541  35
3)  AcuraF1          1527  47
4)  KWSN-DSM         1526  31
5)  Makarias         1515  38
6)  Fisichella_2001  1511  47
7)  mark f1          1510  47
8)  DutchQuicksilver 1508  35
9)  Grayson          1504  30
10) noikeee          1502  33
=   Wander           1502  43
12) skylark68        1485  47
13) Kalmake          1481  46
=   wattoroos        1481  47
15) Estwald          1478  55
16) an1res           1475  47
17) Anderis          1467  46
18) Iscurrega        1458  26
19) Bleu             1453  35
20) Wlleiotl         1450  39
21) Costaz           1437  46
22) kismet           1434  39
23) Fastcake         1425  31
24) August           1420  19
25) M2000-5          1406  32
26) Brawn BGP 001    1393  26
27) Barty            1356  29

A mighty 55 points for Estwald. Increased lead for scheivlak.

The entries


The Drivers' list

Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Rosb    148,9    103,9   27
diRe    137,9     78,7   22
Vett    137,8    123,5   27
Ricc    137,2     70,4   21
Hami    126,7     85,8   25
Räik    100,3     66,3   17
Gros     99,5     68,7   12
Verg     98,0     44,8   14
Webb     96,1     68,3   11
Alon     91,0     77,0    3
Mass     78,7     50,2    4
Suti     78,5     45,3    8
Hülk     65,4     45,9    1
Butt     32,9     24,1    0
Pere     28,6     17,3    0
Guti     21,6     13,6    0
Mald      2,0      1,1    0

Nico Rosberg becomes the second 100% surprise of the season! Well done!

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2012 this is 28.


Guesses on P1-P5:

Vettel                 Webber                 Rosberg                Grosjean               Alonso              
* Potential     397    Barty           242    * Potential     209    Estwald         165    skylark68       281
* Forecast      388    Anderis         225    * Forecast      178    * Potential     164    Bleu            275
* Current       347    * Potential     216    * Current       159    an1res          150    * Potential     267
Anderis         280    Costaz          200    scheivlak       152    noikeee         148    August          262
Makarias        276    kismet          200    an1res          140    Anderis         142    KWSN-DSM        260
kismet          274    Fastcake        198    AcuraF1         139    Makarias        142    Iscurrega       254
Bleu            272    * Forecast      186    KWSN-DSM        138    scheivlak       141    M2000-5         251
noikeee         272    DutchQuicksilver181    Kalmake         130    Kalmake         134    an1res          250
Apex            270    an1res          180    Grayson         125    AcuraF1         131    Costaz          250
August          267    Apex            180    DutchQuicksilver124    * Forecast      127    kismet          250
wattoroos       263    Estwald         180    Makarias        118    Wander          124    Kalmake         249
Iscurrega       260    mark f1         180    Fastcake        117    skylark68       122    AcuraF1         245
scheivlak       260    Wlleiotl        180    Estwald         115    M2000-5         121    Anderis         245
KWSN-DSM        259    Fisichella_2001 175    Fisichella_2001 112    mark f1         120    * Forecast      243
Costaz          254    Bleu            173    Brawn BGP 001   111    wattoroos       118    Wlleiotl        240
Fisichella_2001 252    Kalmake         173    noikeee         105    Costaz          114    DutchQuicksilver236
Wander          251    skylark68       169    Wander          105    Fisichella_2001 114    noikeee         236
mark f1         250    AcuraF1         168    skylark68       104    * Current       114    scheivlak       235
skylark68       250    * Current       166    Anderis         100    Brawn BGP 001   113    Estwald         230
Wlleiotl        250    Wander          162    Apex            100    Grayson         110    mark f1         230
DutchQuicksilver247    KWSN-DSM        160    mark f1         100    KWSN-DSM        105    Fisichella_2001 229
Fastcake        247    Iscurrega       158    Wlleiotl        100    Apex            100    Fastcake        227
Barty           241    Makarias        158    Iscurrega        94    DutchQuicksilver100    Makarias        227
Kalmake         239    wattoroos       158    August           88    Iscurrega       100    wattoroos       223
M2000-5         236    Grayson         155    wattoroos        88    kismet           99    Wander          222
Estwald         235    noikeee         153    Bleu             79    Barty            89    Apex            220
AcuraF1         230    M2000-5         152    M2000-5          78    Wlleiotl         80    * Current       217
Grayson         230    scheivlak       145    Barty            77    Bleu             76    Grayson         210
an1res          225    Brawn BGP 001   144    Costaz           77    Fastcake         72    Brawn BGP 001   207
Brawn BGP 001   211    August          116    kismet           67    August           63    Barty           192

Grosjean is clearly on form, so his forecast feels a bit pessimistic. Webber's prospects seem dependent on reliability, as usual.

Guesses on P6-P10:

Di Resta               Hamilton               Massa                  Perez                  Sutil               
* Potential      98    * Potential     225    an1res          210    Brawn BGP 001   201    * Potential      79
Wlleiotl         60    scheivlak       203    M2000-5         199    August          170    wattoroos        63
Barty            55    * Forecast      196    Kalmake         192    Fastcake        161    Wlleiotl         60
* Forecast       54    August          181    kismet          175    Kalmake         154    Barty            55
wattoroos        53    * Current       175    Anderis         170    Costaz          141    kismet           51
Brawn BGP 001    51    Grayson         165    * Potential     156    Fisichella_2001 141    Grayson          50
Estwald          50    Apex            160    Estwald         155    Grayson         140    Estwald          45
* Current        48    KWSN-DSM        159    noikeee         150    wattoroos       133    August           44
Grayson          45    Makarias        158    skylark68       144    Iscurrega       132    DutchQuicksilver 42
kismet           44    Fastcake        157    Bleu            140    Makarias        129    Apex             40
Apex             40    DutchQuicksilver156    Makarias        139    DutchQuicksilver128    AcuraF1          39
Fastcake         40    noikeee         152    DutchQuicksilver135    KWSN-DSM        125    Fastcake         39
Fisichella_2001  39    mark f1         150    Wander          134    Wander          122    Bleu             36
skylark68        39    AcuraF1         145    wattoroos       133    Barty           121    Fisichella_2001  36
Wander           39    Fisichella_2001 138    Costaz          132    Wlleiotl        120    mark f1          35
mark f1          35    wattoroos       138    Fisichella_2001 130    skylark68       116    skylark68        35
AcuraF1          33    Wander          136    Iscurrega       130    Anderis         114    scheivlak        34
scheivlak        32    Brawn BGP 001   133    mark f1         130    Apex            110    Wander           34
DutchQuicksilver 31    Bleu            129    AcuraF1         121    mark f1         104    Brawn BGP 001    33
an1res           30    Iscurrega       128    Apex            120    Bleu            103    * Forecast       32
August           29    Estwald         124    Grayson         120    kismet          101    an1res           30
Bleu             28    Costaz          122    * Forecast      118    Estwald         100    * Current        29
KWSN-DSM         26    skylark68       120    KWSN-DSM        115    noikeee          98    Iscurrega        27
Iscurrega        25    Wlleiotl        120    Brawn BGP 001   111    an1res           90    Costaz           26
M2000-5          22    kismet          118    scheivlak       110    scheivlak        88    Kalmake          26
Costaz           21    Kalmake         115    * Current       106    * Potential      85    KWSN-DSM         25
Kalmake          19    an1res          110    Wlleiotl        100    AcuraF1          84    Makarias         25
Makarias         19    Anderis         105    August           91    M2000-5          82    M2000-5          24
noikeee          18    Barty           105    Fastcake         91    * Forecast       39    noikeee          22
Anderis          17    M2000-5         101    Barty            60    * Current        35    Anderis          21

Both di Resta and Hamilton can still reach 100% surprise, but they both need strong results to do that. Perez, or rather McLaren, is bound to be a 100% disappointment with not a single guess beaten between the two drivers.

The PTPC forecast

Name             Forecast  +/-
scheivlak        1636,5   -7,6
AcuraF1          1601,9   -7,9
Apex             1594,2   -7,4
noikeee          1585,0  -16,6
KWSN-DSM         1580,9  -13,0
mark f1          1579,2   -9,0
DutchQuicksilver 1575,5   -5,7
Makarias         1567,5   -3,8
Fisichella_2001  1566,0  -11,4
Wander           1562,5   -8,1
Anderis          1559,5    3,5
Kalmake          1556,0   -5,8
an1res           1555,9   -1,1
skylark68        1555,5  -14,3
Estwald          1554,9    2,1
Grayson          1538,0  -10,3
Iscurrega        1534,1  -26,2
Costaz           1532,1  -13,7
wattoroos        1528,5   -5,5
Bleu             1519,5  -15,2
Wlleiotl         1512,6    2,1
kismet           1511,5   -4,5
M2000-5          1492,9  -28,4
Fastcake         1474,5    1,5
August           1471,5  -11,6
Barty            1424,2   -6,1
Brawn BGP 001    1421,0   -4,6

Forecasts generally lower; scheivlak looks safe.

 



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#2 scheivlak

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Posted 05 November 2013 - 11:06

Woohoo  :D



#3 Wander

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Posted 07 November 2013 - 00:54

I look set to finish mid-pack in this game. Yay.



#4 Apex

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Posted 07 November 2013 - 18:33

This looks tough. I need Grosjean to repeat his start from Spa 2012.



#5 Kalmake

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Posted 10 November 2013 - 09:11

Me and Bleu predicted Räikkönen perfectly at 183. :)



#6 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 22 November 2013 - 13:18

So all to play for here, since no US standings not quite sure how it looks. Will take a mighty score for anyone to pass scheivlak. I am unable to figure out what my highest theoretical score is, and if that will enable me to leapfrog to a win.

 

Good luck all no matter what it takes.

 

:cool:



#7 noikeee

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Posted 22 November 2013 - 14:03

Forecasts are pretty meaningless because of a big game changer gone missing - Kimi. That really screws my chances of going up the table pretty badly.



#8 Makarias

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Posted 22 November 2013 - 17:58

Oops! I somehow completely forgot about this after I got the Shareholders results up and proceeded to smoke crack cocaine and burn down a few houses in the neighbourhood. Results up asap!



#9 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 22 November 2013 - 19:00

Forgot???? Forgot the most important of all the games??? What is happening to the world???

 

:cool: