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Guess the Pole 2013: Brazil


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 16 November 2013 - 19:16

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2013 standings

Three latest poles at Brazil:
Year  Driver       Pole time
2012  Hamilton      72.458
2011  Vettel        71.918
2010  Hülkenberg    74.470


Driver values:
Dri  val
Vett   3
Webb   6
Hami  13
Rosb  13
REST  18

2013 data:
                  Time    2012 PP  2012 FL  2012 Q2  2013/2012  2013/12FL  2013/12Q2
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
OZ   Vett  Webb   87.407   84.922   89.187   85.469   102.926     98.004    102.267
MAL  Vett  Mass  109.674   96.219  100.722   96.715   113.984    108.888    113.399
CHN  Hami  Räik   94.484   95.121   99.960   95.700    99.330     94.522     98.729
BAH  Rosb  Vett   92.330   92.422   96.379   93.209    99.900     95.799     99.057
ESP  Rosb  Hami   80.718   82.285   86.250   82.105    98.096     93.586     98.311
MON  Rosb  Hami   73.876   74.301   77.296   74.911    99.428     95.575     98.618
CAN  Vett  Hami   85.425   73.784   75.752   74.187   115.777    112.769    115.148
GB   Hami  Rosb   89.607  111.746   94.661  114.897    80.188     94.661     77.989
GER  Hami  Vett   89.398   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
HUN  Hami  Vett   79.388   80.953   84.136   81.060    98.067     94.357     97.937
BEL  Hami  Vett  121.012  107.573  112.822  107.654   112.493    107.259    112.408
ITA  Vett  Webb   83.755   84.010   87.239   84.242    99.696     96.006     99.422
SIN  Vett  Rosb  102.841  106.362  111.033  106.665    96.690     92.622     96.415
KOR  Vett  Hami   97.202   97.242  102.037   97.767    99.959     95.262     99.422
JAP  Webb  Vett   90.915   90.839   95.774   91.501   100.084     94.927     99.360
IND  Vett  Rosb   84.119   85.283   88.203   85.435    98.635     95.370     98.460
ABU  Webb  Vett   99.957  100.630  103.964  100.901    99.331     96.146     99.064
USA  Vett  Webb   96.338   95.657   99.347   95.796   100.712     96.971    100.566
BRA                        72.458   78.069   73.209                                
My guess for Interlagos is 71.864 s by Sebastian Vettel.

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#2 Kingshark

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Posted 16 November 2013 - 19:52

72.000 - Mark Webber



#3 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 16 November 2013 - 20:27

71:711 - Hulkenberg

 

:cool:



#4 Apex

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Posted 18 November 2013 - 13:58

I think I'll try a wet set-up.

 

83.333 Bottas



#5 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 20 November 2013 - 18:32

72.511 - Mark Webber



#6 Barty

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Posted 20 November 2013 - 23:13

Webber 71.966



#7 mark f1

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Posted 21 November 2013 - 02:31

Webber 72.144



#8 fisichella_2001

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Posted 21 November 2013 - 06:31

S Vettel - 71.898



#9 Costaz

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Posted 21 November 2013 - 15:25

Vettel 72.600


Edited by Costaz, 21 November 2013 - 16:05.


#10 AcuraF1

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Posted 21 November 2013 - 19:39

Vettel 72.227



#11 Flash

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Posted 21 November 2013 - 21:36

Vettel 72.134



#12 Wlleiotl

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Posted 21 November 2013 - 21:41

vettel 73.010



#13 skylark68

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Posted 21 November 2013 - 22:38

71.773 Vettel

 



#14 Grayson

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Posted 21 November 2013 - 23:55

71.850 Vettel



#15 boost

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Posted 22 November 2013 - 01:17

71.899 webb



#16 wattoroos

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Posted 22 November 2013 - 09:01

Vettel 72.378



#17 Anderis

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Posted 22 November 2013 - 10:34

Webber 72.140


Edited by Anderis, 22 November 2013 - 11:45.


#18 scheivlak

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Posted 22 November 2013 - 10:47

I've sent my guess by PM.



#19 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 22 November 2013 - 11:53

Webber 71.999



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#20 kismet

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Posted 22 November 2013 - 11:55

Vettel 72.000



#21 M2000-5

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Posted 22 November 2013 - 12:27

71.233 Webber



#22 Makarias

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Posted 23 November 2013 - 14:54

A bit too late, M2000-5, sorry...



#23 Makarias

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Posted 23 November 2013 - 14:58

Via PM from scheivlak:

Grosjean 71.710



#24 scheivlak

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Posted 23 November 2013 - 15:31

Via PM from scheivlak:

Grosjean 71.710

Most likely to be complete bollocks  :lol:

 

Just a wild guess for the jackpot - I was considering Rosberg/something 72.500ish before I saw Anderis' post.



#25 Makarias

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Posted 23 November 2013 - 15:58

Shoulda gone the wet route it seems, yeah...

If Apex scores some precision points I'll be impressed, if he gets Bottas right I'll be dancing!



#26 Apex

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Posted 23 November 2013 - 17:12

I could have done without the last rain shower.



#27 Anderis

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Posted 23 November 2013 - 20:43

Most likely to be complete bollocks  :lol:

 

Just a wild guess for the jackpot - I was considering Rosberg/something 72.500ish before I saw Anderis' post.

I felt you would either go slower than anyone or faster than anyone, to keep any chance of winning the championship.

 

I put the time that should secure me a championship in case of any standard progress session. You needed some precision points to overtake me in the standings (and me not to get them) and they are very hard to get in wet session so felt kinda secure and my biggest concern would be you being right on unexpected (18 pts) winner of qualifying session.