The standings after USA:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) scheivlak 1618 59 2) Apex 1577 36 3) AcuraF1 1575 48 4) Makarias 1562 47 5) mark f1 1559 49 6) KWSN-DSM 1555 29 7) DutchQuicksilver 1552 44 8) Fisichella_2001 1549 38 = noikeee 1549 47 10) Estwald 1539 61 11) Wander 1536 34 12) Kalmake 1533 52 13) Anderis 1529 62 14) an1res 1528 53 15) skylark68 1525 40 16) Grayson 1523 19 17) wattoroos 1510 29 18) Wlleiotl 1493 43 19) Bleu 1489 36 20) Iscurrega 1487 29 21) kismet 1478 44 22) Costaz 1477 40 23) Fastcake 1469 44 24) August 1455 35 25) M2000-5 1442 36 26) Brawn BGP 001 1412 19 27) Barty 1390 34
Anderis, Estwald and scheivlak stand out this round and the latter looks comfortable up front.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Rosb 150,8 105,2 27 Vett 147,7 132,4 27 diRe 137,9 78,7 22 Ricc 137,2 70,4 21 Hami 135,4 91,7 26 Gros 115,2 79,5 20 Webb 104,8 74,5 21 Räik 100,3 66,3 17 Verg 98,0 44,8 14 Alon 95,2 80,5 6 Hülk 78,8 55,3 3 Mass 78,7 50,2 4 Suti 78,5 45,3 8 Pere 33,5 20,3 0 Butt 33,5 24,5 0 Guti 21,6 13,6 0 Bott 10,7 6,3 0 Mald 2,0 1,1 0
Romain Grojean and Mark Webber become the 7th and 8th drivers to reach 100% of Expectation in 2013.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2012 this is 28.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Vettel Grosjean Webber Hamilton Alonso * Potential 397 Estwald 165 Barty 242 * Potential 212 skylark68 281 * Forecast 393 * Potential 157 Anderis 225 scheivlak 203 Bleu 275 * Current 372 an1res 150 * Potential 206 * Forecast 197 August 262 Anderis 280 noikeee 148 Costaz 200 * Current 187 KWSN-DSM 260 Makarias 276 Anderis 142 kismet 200 August 181 Iscurrega 254 kismet 274 Makarias 142 Fastcake 198 Grayson 165 * Potential 252 Bleu 272 scheivlak 141 * Forecast 191 Apex 160 M2000-5 251 noikeee 272 * Forecast 139 DutchQuicksilver181 KWSN-DSM 159 an1res 250 Apex 270 Kalmake 134 * Current 181 Makarias 158 Costaz 250 August 267 * Current 132 an1res 180 Fastcake 157 kismet 250 wattoroos 263 AcuraF1 131 Apex 180 DutchQuicksilver156 Kalmake 249 Iscurrega 260 Wander 124 Estwald 180 noikeee 152 AcuraF1 245 scheivlak 260 skylark68 122 mark f1 180 mark f1 150 Anderis 245 KWSN-DSM 259 M2000-5 121 Wlleiotl 180 AcuraF1 145 * Forecast 240 Costaz 254 mark f1 120 Fisichella_2001 175 Fisichella_2001 138 Wlleiotl 240 Fisichella_2001 252 wattoroos 118 Bleu 173 wattoroos 138 DutchQuicksilver236 Wander 251 Costaz 114 Kalmake 173 Wander 136 noikeee 236 mark f1 250 Fisichella_2001 114 skylark68 169 Brawn BGP 001 133 scheivlak 235 skylark68 250 Brawn BGP 001 113 AcuraF1 168 Bleu 129 Estwald 230 Wlleiotl 250 Grayson 110 Wander 162 Iscurrega 128 mark f1 230 DutchQuicksilver247 KWSN-DSM 105 KWSN-DSM 160 Estwald 124 Fisichella_2001 229 Fastcake 247 Apex 100 Iscurrega 158 Costaz 122 Fastcake 227 Barty 241 DutchQuicksilver100 Makarias 158 skylark68 120 Makarias 227 Kalmake 239 Iscurrega 100 wattoroos 158 Wlleiotl 120 * Current 227 M2000-5 236 kismet 99 Grayson 155 kismet 118 wattoroos 223 Estwald 235 Barty 89 noikeee 153 Kalmake 115 Wander 222 AcuraF1 230 Wlleiotl 80 M2000-5 152 an1res 110 Apex 220 Grayson 230 Bleu 76 scheivlak 145 Anderis 105 Grayson 210 an1res 225 Fastcake 72 Brawn BGP 001 144 Barty 105 Brawn BGP 001 207 Brawn BGP 001 211 August 63 August 116 M2000-5 101 Barty 192
A win on Sunday would make Hamilton the third 100% surprise of the season. Tough task perhaps.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Hülkenberg Perez Bottas Rosberg Button Bleu 84 Brawn BGP 001 201 Barty 62 * Potential 186 Costaz 248 Wlleiotl 80 August 170 August 57 * Forecast 170 Fastcake 241 wattoroos 78 Fastcake 161 Anderis 50 * Current 161 Brawn BGP 001 222 * Potential 72 Kalmake 154 Fastcake 48 scheivlak 152 Barty 209 Estwald 70 Costaz 141 Brawn BGP 001 47 an1res 140 wattoroos 208 KWSN-DSM 69 Fisichella_2001 141 Grayson 47 AcuraF1 139 Iscurrega 201 Makarias 69 Grayson 140 Wander 47 KWSN-DSM 138 Wlleiotl 200 Wander 67 wattoroos 133 Apex 45 Kalmake 130 kismet 199 Brawn BGP 001 66 Iscurrega 132 kismet 45 Grayson 125 August 197 AcuraF1 65 Makarias 129 an1res 40 DutchQuicksilver124 AcuraF1 195 Apex 65 DutchQuicksilver128 Bleu 40 Makarias 118 Bleu 190 Grayson 65 KWSN-DSM 125 mark f1 40 Fastcake 117 DutchQuicksilver190 skylark68 63 Wander 122 noikeee 40 Estwald 115 Wander 185 scheivlak 62 Barty 121 Fisichella_2001 39 Fisichella_2001 112 Fisichella_2001 182 August 60 Wlleiotl 120 scheivlak 36 Brawn BGP 001 111 Apex 180 mark f1 60 skylark68 116 Estwald 35 noikeee 105 Grayson 175 M2000-5 57 Anderis 114 AcuraF1 34 Wander 105 mark f1 170 Fisichella_2001 56 Apex 110 KWSN-DSM 34 skylark68 104 skylark68 170 Barty 55 mark f1 104 Makarias 34 Anderis 100 Makarias 164 Fastcake 54 Bleu 103 M2000-5 33 Apex 100 scheivlak 164 Anderis 50 kismet 101 DutchQuicksilver 30 mark f1 100 KWSN-DSM 157 Iscurrega 50 Estwald 100 Kalmake 30 Wlleiotl 100 M2000-5 157 noikeee 50 noikeee 98 Wlleiotl 30 Iscurrega 94 noikeee 151 * Forecast 50 an1res 90 * Potential 29 August 88 an1res 150 DutchQuicksilver 49 scheivlak 88 wattoroos 28 wattoroos 88 Estwald 145 kismet 49 AcuraF1 84 skylark68 24 Bleu 79 Kalmake 145 * Current 47 M2000-5 82 Iscurrega 12 M2000-5 78 Anderis 127 Kalmake 45 * Potential 66 Costaz 7 Barty 77 * Potential 86 Costaz 43 * Forecast 43 * Current 4 Costaz 77 * Forecast 64 an1res 30 * Current 41 * Forecast 4 kismet 67 * Current 61
Hülkenberg's late season results have saved him from a total disappointment; he may beat a few more guesses this weekend. Good to see Bottas in the points at last!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- scheivlak 1658,9 22,4 AcuraF1 1604,7 2,8 Apex 1595,2 0,9 noikeee 1590,3 5,3 KWSN-DSM 1584,2 3,3 Makarias 1584,1 16,6 mark f1 1580,2 0,9 Anderis 1578,8 19,2 DutchQuicksilver 1577,5 2,0 Estwald 1569,7 14,8 Fisichella_2001 1568,1 2,1 an1res 1562,8 6,9 Wander 1562,6 0,1 Kalmake 1559,8 3,8 skylark68 1554,7 -0,8 Grayson 1540,1 2,1 wattoroos 1529,1 0,6 Iscurrega 1524,6 -9,6 Costaz 1522,0 -10,1 Wlleiotl 1518,8 6,1 Bleu 1518,7 -0,8 kismet 1516,4 4,9 Fastcake 1489,6 15,0 M2000-5 1481,3 -11,5 August 1478,1 6,6 Brawn BGP 001 1430,2 9,2 Barty 1424,1 -0,1
Mixed forecast developments...
Finale preview
Q: Will anyone catch scheivlak?
A: Nope!
