The standings after Malaysia:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) an1res 202 101 = Anderis 202 101 = Apex 202 101 = aray 202 101 = Bleu 202 101 = Brawn BGP 001 202 101 = Costaz 202 101 = DutchQuicksilver 202 101 = Estwald 202 101 = Fastcake 202 101 = fisichella_2001 202 101 = Grayson 202 101 = HeidfeldsBeard 202 101 = Kingshark 202 101 = kismet 202 101 = KWSN-DSM 202 101 = LB 202 101 = Makarias 202 101 = mark f1 202 101 = noikeee 202 101 = scheivlak 202 101 = Wander 202 101 = wattoroos 202 101 = Wlleiotl 202 101 25) Barty 200 100 26) AcuraF1 199 100 = d_view7 199 100 = Iranie 199 101 = skylark68 199 100 30) M2000-5 198 100Continuing to assume that the Ricciardo DQ stands... Kvyat was the only troublemaker this weekend.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Verg 27,8 9,8 1 Kvya 26,9 8,3 5 Hülk 21,4 14,6 0 Rosb 17,4 14,5 0 Magn 16,8 11,5 0 Butt 15,0 9,6 0 Bott 12,2 8,2 0 Alon 11,9 8,6 0 Vett 10,1 7,3 0 Hami 9,7 6,9 0 Mass 4,8 2,9 0 Räik 3,5 2,2 0 Pere 1,6 1 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2014 this is 30.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Rosberg Vettel Alonso Hülkenberg * Potential 450 * Potential 468 * Potential 440 * Potential 449 * Potential 443 M2000-5 360 * Forecast 409 fisichella_2001 204 M2000-5 278 * Forecast 171 Apex 324 M2000-5 296 kismet 200 HeidfeldsBeard 256 skylark68 122 LB 320 Barty 292 aray 194 aray 252 KWSN-DSM 110 noikeee 298 noikeee 271 skylark68 189 AcuraF1 235 Makarias 110 Brawn BGP 001 284 Apex 270 AcuraF1 188 * Forecast 228 Costaz 109 Bleu 280 Wlleiotl 270 scheivlak 186 an1res 225 Kingshark 102 AcuraF1 275 HeidfeldsBeard 268 Makarias 184 d_view7 222 an1res 100 fisichella_2001 275 Estwald 266 DutchQuicksilver181 fisichella_2001 217 Estwald 98 kismet 270 skylark68 265 Bleu 180 LB 215 scheivlak 96 Anderis 268 Bleu 255 HeidfeldsBeard 172 Costaz 210 Anderis 94 skylark68 268 Makarias 255 LB 170 Fastcake 209 Brawn BGP 001 92 Wander 265 Anderis 254 d_view7 168 Barty 204 fisichella_2001 92 scheivlak 258 scheivlak 254 mark f1 160 Anderis 201 Grayson 92 wattoroos 255 LB 250 Kingshark 159 DutchQuicksilver201 aray 90 Fastcake 252 Kingshark 248 Wander 150 Iranie 200 HeidfeldsBeard 88 Wlleiotl 250 Fastcake 246 Costaz 148 kismet 200 d_view7 85 DutchQuicksilver248 d_view7 245 Grayson 145 wattoroos 196 mark f1 85 Makarias 248 mark f1 245 Iranie 145 Wander 195 Fastcake 83 Kingshark 247 AcuraF1 242 * Forecast 143 Bleu 194 Wander 82 Grayson 245 fisichella_2001 242 Barty 138 Brawn BGP 001 194 Wlleiotl 80 Estwald 242 kismet 240 noikeee 136 skylark68 192 Iranie 75 HeidfeldsBeard 240 Brawn BGP 001 236 wattoroos 133 Apex 190 kismet 75 Barty 239 DutchQuicksilver234 Brawn BGP 001 131 KWSN-DSM 190 DutchQuicksilver 71 * Forecast 238 Wander 233 an1res 130 Grayson 184 Apex 70 aray 238 Costaz 229 Apex 110 scheivlak 184 wattoroos 68 KWSN-DSM 238 Iranie 227 Estwald 106 Makarias 183 M2000-5 67 Costaz 237 KWSN-DSM 225 Anderis 104 Kingshark 178 noikeee 65 Iranie 227 Grayson 220 Fastcake 98 mark f1 175 Bleu 63 mark f1 225 wattoroos 219 KWSN-DSM 80 Wlleiotl 170 AcuraF1 61 d_view7 203 aray 206 Wlleiotl 80 Estwald 162 LB 60 an1res 160 an1res 200 M2000-5 76 noikeee 162 Barty 42 * Current 25 * Current 43 * Current 15 * Current 24 * Current 18Hamilton and Vettel score their first points and more will certainly come. Hülkenberg keeps impressing me.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Button Massa Bottas Magnussen Kvyat * Potential 448 * Potential 431 * Potential 439 * Potential 445 * Potential 428 Costaz 238 M2000-5 203 Wlleiotl 170 * Forecast 190 an1res 35 Barty 237 Wlleiotl 200 KWSN-DSM 168 Kingshark 173 * Forecast 29 Apex 230 Estwald 180 noikeee 160 Wander 165 mark f1 25 Brawn BGP 001 224 KWSN-DSM 169 Barty 145 KWSN-DSM 160 Iranie 23 Fastcake 221 noikeee 169 AcuraF1 144 Brawn BGP 001 154 KWSN-DSM 20 * Forecast 219 wattoroos 153 Iranie 140 Costaz 154 Anderis 19 LB 200 DutchQuicksilver142 Anderis 137 Apex 150 Bleu 19 Estwald 177 Iranie 140 * Forecast 133 scheivlak 149 Fastcake 18 Wander 171 kismet 140 Makarias 132 Fastcake 147 fisichella_2001 18 scheivlak 162 LB 140 d_view7 130 Estwald 146 scheivlak 18 KWSN-DSM 160 AcuraF1 133 wattoroos 130 Barty 135 noikeee 17 noikeee 155 aray 130 Estwald 121 HeidfeldsBeard 132 wattoroos 16 Kingshark 151 Makarias 126 fisichella_2001 121 Wlleiotl 120 Brawn BGP 001 15 Wlleiotl 150 Fastcake 121 an1res 120 noikeee 119 Grayson 14 skylark68 149 an1res 120 LB 120 DutchQuicksilver118 aray 10 DutchQuicksilver146 Anderis 119 Brawn BGP 001 118 aray 115 Wlleiotl 10 Makarias 146 Costaz 119 scheivlak 116 Makarias 114 Kingshark 9 HeidfeldsBeard 145 mark f1 115 Grayson 110 Anderis 112 kismet 9 kismet 145 scheivlak 113 Wander 107 kismet 110 Makarias 6 aray 140 Grayson 105 M2000-5 106 LB 110 Apex 5 M2000-5 140 skylark68 102 Fastcake 101 Bleu 107 Costaz 5 Grayson 125 Brawn BGP 001 100 Bleu 100 fisichella_2001 102 DutchQuicksilver 5 Iranie 125 fisichella_2001 100 kismet 100 wattoroos 102 Estwald 5 wattoroos 119 Kingshark 94 DutchQuicksilver 96 d_view7 101 LB 5 mark f1 115 Apex 90 Kingshark 96 an1res 100 Wander 5 fisichella_2001 113 d_view7 85 aray 95 Grayson 100 HeidfeldsBeard 3 Anderis 112 Wander 82 mark f1 90 skylark68 100 * Current 3 Bleu 110 Bleu 80 skylark68 89 Iranie 80 Barty 1 d_view7 110 HeidfeldsBeard 76 Apex 70 mark f1 75 AcuraF1 0 an1res 100 Barty 70 HeidfeldsBeard 62 AcuraF1 62 d_view7 0 AcuraF1 79 * Forecast 57 Costaz 46 M2000-5 55 M2000-5 0 * Current 23 * Current 6 * Current 14 * Current 20 skylark68 0A bit of a reality check for McLaren, and Williams hasn't lived up to the preseason hype yet. But Kvyat in the points again, wow!
The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Spanish GP.
