The standings after Bahrain:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) an1res 303 101 = Anderis 303 101 = Apex 303 101 = aray 303 101 = Bleu 303 101 = Brawn BGP 001 303 101 = Costaz 303 101 = DutchQuicksilver 303 101 = Estwald 303 101 = Fastcake 303 101 = fisichella_2001 303 101 = Grayson 303 101 = HeidfeldsBeard 303 101 = Kingshark 303 101 = kismet 303 101 = KWSN-DSM 303 101 = LB 303 101 = Makarias 303 101 = mark f1 303 101 = noikeee 303 101 = scheivlak 303 101 = Wander 303 101 = wattoroos 303 101 = Wlleiotl 303 101 25) Barty 301 101 26) AcuraF1 300 101 = d_view7 300 101 = Iranie 300 101 = skylark68 300 101 30) M2000-5 293 95
All perfect scores, except for M2000-5 who's in big big trouble with Ricciardo.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Hülk 33,2 22,8 0 Verg 27,8 9,8 1 Kvya 26,9 8,3 5 Pere 26,1 15,8 0 Rosb 24,7 20,5 0 Hami 19,4 13,9 0 Magn 16,8 11,5 0 Bott 15,7 10,5 0 Vett 15,5 11,2 0 Butt 15,0 9,6 0 Ricc 14,4 8,8 1 Alon 12,8 9,3 0 Mass 9,7 5,9 0 Räik 4,1 2,6 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2014 this is 30.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Rosberg Perez Ricciardo Hülkenberg * Potential 450 * Potential 461 * Potential 416 * Potential 412 * Potential 428 M2000-5 360 * Forecast 386 * Forecast 101 kismet 135 * Forecast 177 Apex 324 M2000-5 296 an1res 100 aray 132 skylark68 122 LB 320 Barty 292 skylark68 91 Makarias 131 KWSN-DSM 110 * Forecast 317 noikeee 271 KWSN-DSM 90 mark f1 125 Makarias 110 noikeee 298 Apex 270 Costaz 87 d_view7 124 Costaz 109 Brawn BGP 001 284 Wlleiotl 270 Wlleiotl 80 AcuraF1 111 Kingshark 102 Bleu 280 HeidfeldsBeard 268 Makarias 77 DutchQuicksilver102 an1res 100 AcuraF1 275 Estwald 266 Iranie 75 HeidfeldsBeard 102 Estwald 98 fisichella_2001 275 skylark68 265 Grayson 70 Barty 92 scheivlak 96 kismet 270 Bleu 255 Kingshark 70 skylark68 89 Anderis 94 Anderis 268 Makarias 255 mark f1 70 Brawn BGP 001 88 Brawn BGP 001 92 skylark68 268 Anderis 254 Anderis 68 Bleu 87 fisichella_2001 92 Wander 265 scheivlak 254 Brawn BGP 001 66 noikeee 87 Grayson 92 scheivlak 258 LB 250 DutchQuicksilver 66 Estwald 84 aray 90 wattoroos 255 Kingshark 248 fisichella_2001 66 fisichella_2001 83 HeidfeldsBeard 88 Fastcake 252 Fastcake 246 scheivlak 64 wattoroos 82 d_view7 85 Wlleiotl 250 d_view7 245 d_view7 63 Kingshark 81 mark f1 85 DutchQuicksilver248 mark f1 245 Estwald 61 Grayson 80 Fastcake 83 Makarias 248 AcuraF1 242 kismet 60 Iranie 80 Wander 82 Kingshark 247 fisichella_2001 242 Wander 58 Wander 78 Wlleiotl 80 Grayson 245 kismet 240 wattoroos 56 * Forecast 76 Iranie 75 Estwald 242 Brawn BGP 001 236 Bleu 52 an1res 75 kismet 75 HeidfeldsBeard 240 DutchQuicksilver234 HeidfeldsBeard 50 Anderis 67 DutchQuicksilver 71 Barty 239 Wander 233 Apex 45 Fastcake 66 Apex 70 aray 238 Costaz 229 AcuraF1 44 Apex 60 wattoroos 68 KWSN-DSM 238 Iranie 227 Fastcake 44 Costaz 57 M2000-5 67 Costaz 237 KWSN-DSM 225 M2000-5 43 LB 55 noikeee 65 Iranie 227 Grayson 220 noikeee 43 Wlleiotl 50 Bleu 63 mark f1 225 wattoroos 219 aray 30 scheivlak 49 AcuraF1 61 d_view7 203 aray 206 LB 25 KWSN-DSM 40 LB 60 an1res 160 an1res 200 Barty 24 * Current 12 Barty 42 * Current 50 * Current 61 * Current 16 M2000-5 6 * Current 28
Those Mercedes cars are looking a bit too good...
Guesses on P6-P10:
Vettel Massa Bottas Alonso Räikkönen * Potential 423 * Potential 412 * Potential 418 * Potential 426 * Potential 407 fisichella_2001 204 M2000-5 203 Wlleiotl 170 M2000-5 278 M2000-5 267 kismet 200 Wlleiotl 200 KWSN-DSM 168 HeidfeldsBeard 256 d_view7 258 aray 194 Estwald 180 noikeee 160 aray 252 AcuraF1 215 skylark68 189 KWSN-DSM 169 Barty 145 AcuraF1 235 Barty 204 AcuraF1 188 noikeee 169 AcuraF1 144 an1res 225 Costaz 203 scheivlak 186 wattoroos 153 Iranie 140 d_view7 222 Iranie 200 Makarias 184 DutchQuicksilver142 Anderis 137 fisichella_2001 217 Wander 192 DutchQuicksilver181 Iranie 140 Makarias 132 LB 215 Fastcake 188 Bleu 180 kismet 140 d_view7 130 Costaz 210 DutchQuicksilver179 HeidfeldsBeard 172 LB 140 wattoroos 130 Fastcake 209 HeidfeldsBeard 178 LB 170 AcuraF1 133 Estwald 121 Barty 204 Kingshark 177 d_view7 168 aray 130 fisichella_2001 121 Anderis 201 wattoroos 177 mark f1 160 Makarias 126 an1res 120 DutchQuicksilver201 an1res 175 Kingshark 159 Fastcake 121 LB 120 Iranie 200 Bleu 171 Wander 150 an1res 120 Brawn BGP 001 118 kismet 200 LB 165 Costaz 148 Anderis 119 scheivlak 116 wattoroos 196 Anderis 164 * Forecast 146 Costaz 119 * Forecast 114 Wander 195 KWSN-DSM 163 Grayson 145 mark f1 115 Grayson 110 Bleu 194 Apex 160 Iranie 145 scheivlak 113 Wander 107 Brawn BGP 001 194 aray 160 Barty 138 Grayson 105 M2000-5 106 skylark68 192 Grayson 155 noikeee 136 skylark68 102 Fastcake 101 Apex 190 Makarias 153 wattoroos 133 Brawn BGP 001 100 Bleu 100 KWSN-DSM 190 scheivlak 152 Brawn BGP 001 131 fisichella_2001 100 kismet 100 Grayson 184 mark f1 150 an1res 130 Kingshark 94 DutchQuicksilver 96 scheivlak 184 Wlleiotl 150 Apex 110 Apex 90 Kingshark 96 Makarias 183 fisichella_2001 148 Estwald 106 d_view7 85 aray 95 Kingshark 178 skylark68 148 Anderis 104 Wander 82 mark f1 90 mark f1 175 kismet 145 Fastcake 98 Bleu 80 skylark68 89 Wlleiotl 170 Estwald 135 KWSN-DSM 80 HeidfeldsBeard 76 Apex 70 * Forecast 165 noikeee 121 Wlleiotl 80 * Forecast 76 HeidfeldsBeard 62 Estwald 162 Brawn BGP 001 111 M2000-5 76 Barty 70 Costaz 46 noikeee 162 * Forecast 44 * Current 23 * Current 12 * Current 18 * Current 26 * Current 7
The Ferraris need to finish way better than this...
The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Spanish GP.
