19 replies to this topic

[Apex]

Our driver of the weekend in China is Marcus Ericsson. Marcus has had it pretty tough so far, but will he turn it all around in China?

Questions

1. How many laps will Marcus complete in all the practice sessions combined?
2. What will be Marcus's qualifying position (before any penalties are applied)?
3. What will be Marcus's gap to to the fastest time in the last qualifying session he takes part in (rounded up to the nearest 0.1 second. If you think Marcus will take pole, indicate the gap to second place as a negative value)?
4. What will be Marcus's finishing position in the race or, if you think he will retire from the race, how many laps will he complete (choose either finish or retirement, being classified counts as finishing the race)?
5. How much slower than the outright fastest lap of the race will Marcus's fastest lap be (rounded up to the nearest 0.1 second. If you think Marcus will set the fastest lap, indicate the gap to second fastest as a negative value)?
6. How many times will Marcus visit the pit lane for any reason (tire change, penalty, driving into the pit to retire, etc.) during the race?

 

Scoring

A correct guess is worth 20 points and the minimum is 0 points. Fractional scores are rounded up. For incorrect guesses points are deducted in the following way:

1. -0.5 points/lap
2. -4 points/position
3. -10 points/s
4. predicted finish: -4 points/position, 0 points awarded if the driver retires
   predicted retirement: 10 points if the driver actually retires, 10 points for correct lap, -0.5 points/lap, 0 points if the driver finishes the race
5. -10 points/s
6. -8 points/visit

I'm leaving these numbers unchanged for now. I'm still working on my new method of calculating these points deductions and I want to collect a little more data before implementing it.


Deadline

Before the first practice session. Late entries are now accepted but points will only be awarded for questions that are not related to sessions that have already begun when you submit your entry. So, for instance, submitting your entry after FP1 has started means an automatic 0 points on question 1.


Schedule

    Australian GP - Daniel Ricciardo
    Malaysian GP - Kevin Magnussen
    Bahrain GP - Nico Hülkenberg
    Chinese GP - Marcus Ericsson
    Spanish GP - Fernando Alonso
    Monaco GP - Romain Grosjean, Nico Rosberg
    Canadian GP - Esteban Gutierrez
    Austrian GP - Max Chilton
    British GP - Jenson Button
    German GP - Sebastian Vettel
    Hungarian GP - Valtteri Bottas
    Belgian GP - Adrian Suti
    Italian GP - Kimi Räikkönen
    Singapore GP - Jules Bianchi
    Japanese GP - Kamui Kobayashi
    Russian GP - Daniil Kvyat
    United States GP - Sergio Perez
    Brazilian GP - Felipe Massa, Pastor Maldonado
    Abu Dhabi GP - Lewis Hamilton, Jean-Eric Vergne


Entry Format

Please make your guesses look something like this (this is my entry for this round) and make sure that in question 4 you indicate clearly whether you think he will finish the race or retire. I will interpret any unclear submissions on question 4 as to mean the driver will finish the race whenever such an interpretation is possible.

 

47
21th
2.9
17th
4.3

2

[RubalSher]

1) 73

2) 22nd

3) 3.7

4) Finish 16th

5) 4.2

6) 2

[Makarias]

1. 54

2. 21st

3. 3.8 s

4. DNF lap 34

5. 4.6 s

6. 2

[scheivlak]

1. 50

2. 21st

3. 3.0 sec

4. 17th

5. 3.9 sec

6. 2

[LB]

1. 39
2. 21st
3. 3.5sec
4. 17th
5. 4.2
6. 3

[LB]

1. 39
2. 21st
3. 3.5sec
4. 17th
5. 4.2
6. 3

[mark f1]

1. 67

2. 22

3. 3.7s

4. 18th

5. 3.2

6. 2

[Mekola]

1. 60
2. 22
3. 3.6 s
4. 16th
5. 3.3 s
6. 2

[2aron]

1. 61

2. 21

3. 4.1

4. 17th

5. 3.6

6. 2

[Costaz]

1. 70
2. 21
3. 4.6
4. 18
5. 3.1
6. 2

[wattoroos]

1. 55

2. 20th

3. 3.7

4. 16th

5. 3.3

6. 2

[Barty]

1. 42
2. 20th
3. 3.6 s
4. 11th
5. 3.5 s
6. 2

Edited by Barty, 17 April 2014 - 12:01.

[Wlleiotl]

1. 40
2. 21st
3. +3.2 secs
4. 16th
5. +4.5 secs
6. 2

[Grayson]

1. 38

2. 20

3. 3.3

4. 14

5. 4.0

6. 3

[Anderis]

1. 54

2. 22

3, 5.3

4. DNF

5. 4.5

6. 2

[kismet]

1. 60
2. 20
3. 2.6
4. 17th
5. 3.7
6. 2

[M2000-5]

1. 58
2. 21
3. 2.5
4. Retirement
5. 3.1
6. 2

[Brawn BGP 001]

1. 66 laps

2. 22nd

3. +3.3s

4. DNF, L 33

5. +4s

6. 1

[Sheepmachine]

1. 42
2. 21st
3. +2.9
4. 15th
5. +2.3
6. 3

[Estwald]

1. 41

2. 20

3. 3.0

4. 15

5. 3.8

6. 2