Two years ago people were talking as if it was inevitable that Vettel would go to Ferrari to continue the Schumacher-Raikkonen-Alonso line where Ferrari always somehow got the most highly regarded driver in F1. But now, after LdM took things over in 2008, it seems like being at Ferrari has been, and still is, a certain way to not win championships. People will say I'm premature, but I feel like that tradition that brought Raikkonen in 2007 and Alonso in 2010 will be over now. I don't see Ferrari getting someone similar to replace them when they hand in their badges.
Yes, new HQ is the key here... I mean, just look at Mclaren's roaring success since they built their house on a lake.
My take here is that this is all about the people. If the new TP is better at (1) attracting new engineering talent and (2) allocating roles and responsibilities among the staff - great. If not, this is all just much politics that won't be good for anything at all. I have doubts at the moment. I think the engineering talent at Ferrari is currently not sufficient for the job, Fry and Alison notwithstanding. I say this very conscious of sounding like a know-it-all armchair analyst, but nevertheless the evidence of (a) Ferrari's continued and worsening struggles over the years since RB departure (b) Red Bull domination since they got Newey and © Merc's resurgence since they went on a hiring spree are pretty conclusive. So I think the TP needs to spend some heavy-duty time recruiting more 'mercenaries'. As among Ferrari, Merc, Mclaren and Red Bull, the competition is really all about the human resources: budgets are about equal and whatever disadvantages anyone of them has in terms of facilities are imminently resolvable.