The standings after Austria:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Bleu 808 101 = Brawn BGP 001 808 101 = DutchQuicksilver 808 101 = fisichella_2001 808 101 = mark f1 808 101 = noikeee 808 101 7) Estwald 807 101 = wattoroos 807 100 9) aray 806 101 = Kingshark 806 99 11) Grayson 805 98 = kismet 805 101 13) HeidfeldsBeard 804 101 = Makarias 804 101 15) d_view7 803 101 16) AcuraF1 802 101 = Iranie 802 98 = skylark68 802 101 19) an1res 800 97 20) Wander 799 97 21) Anderis 792 97 22) Fastcake 791 97 23) Apex 785 97 24) Barty 782 95 25) LB 777 94 26) Wlleiotl 775 97 27) scheivlak 774 97 28) Costaz 769 88 29) KWSN-DSM 765 97 30) M2000-5 715 97
Not a round of massively low scores, but another few players dropped off the perfect score train.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Ricc 99,7 61,0 15 Hülk 70,0 48,0 1 Rosb 66,9 55,6 0 Verg 55,7 19,5 7 Hami 52,7 37,7 0 Bott 48,0 32,2 1 Pere 45,7 27,7 2 Bian 45,1 7,7 11 Vett 40,5 29,3 0 Alon 39,0 28,3 0 Kvya 35,8 11,1 6 Butt 28,1 18,0 0 Magn 24,4 16,7 0 Mass 24,2 14,7 0 Gros 17,6 8,8 1 Räik 11,0 7,1 0
Ricciardo managed to miss out on his expectations target by a mere whisker, but he's probably still smiling...
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2014 this is 30.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Rosberg Hamilton Bottas Massa Alonso * Potential 440 * Potential 411 * Potential 330 * Potential 305 * Potential 354 * Forecast 392 M2000-5 360 Wlleiotl 170 M2000-5 203 M2000-5 278 M2000-5 296 Apex 324 KWSN-DSM 168 Wlleiotl 200 HeidfeldsBeard 256 Barty 292 * Forecast 323 noikeee 160 Estwald 180 aray 252 noikeee 271 LB 320 Barty 145 KWSN-DSM 169 AcuraF1 235 Apex 270 noikeee 298 AcuraF1 144 noikeee 169 an1res 225 Wlleiotl 270 Brawn BGP 001 284 Iranie 140 wattoroos 153 d_view7 222 HeidfeldsBeard 268 Bleu 280 Anderis 137 DutchQuicksilver142 fisichella_2001 217 Estwald 266 AcuraF1 275 Makarias 132 Iranie 140 LB 215 skylark68 265 fisichella_2001 275 * Forecast 131 kismet 140 Costaz 210 Bleu 255 kismet 270 d_view7 130 LB 140 Fastcake 209 Makarias 255 Anderis 268 wattoroos 130 AcuraF1 133 Barty 204 Anderis 254 skylark68 268 Estwald 121 aray 130 Anderis 201 scheivlak 254 Wander 265 fisichella_2001 121 Makarias 126 DutchQuicksilver201 LB 250 scheivlak 258 an1res 120 Fastcake 121 Iranie 200 Kingshark 248 wattoroos 255 LB 120 an1res 120 kismet 200 Fastcake 246 Fastcake 252 Brawn BGP 001 118 Anderis 119 wattoroos 196 d_view7 245 Wlleiotl 250 scheivlak 116 Costaz 119 Wander 195 mark f1 245 DutchQuicksilver248 Grayson 110 mark f1 115 Bleu 194 AcuraF1 242 Makarias 248 Wander 107 scheivlak 113 Brawn BGP 001 194 fisichella_2001 242 Kingshark 247 M2000-5 106 Grayson 105 skylark68 192 kismet 240 Grayson 245 Fastcake 101 skylark68 102 Apex 190 Brawn BGP 001 236 Estwald 242 Bleu 100 Brawn BGP 001 100 KWSN-DSM 190 DutchQuicksilver234 HeidfeldsBeard 240 kismet 100 fisichella_2001 100 * Forecast 188 Wander 233 Barty 239 DutchQuicksilver 96 Kingshark 94 Grayson 184 Costaz 229 aray 238 Kingshark 96 Apex 90 scheivlak 184 Iranie 227 KWSN-DSM 238 aray 95 d_view7 85 Makarias 183 KWSN-DSM 225 Costaz 237 mark f1 90 Wander 82 Kingshark 178 Grayson 220 Iranie 227 skylark68 89 Bleu 80 mark f1 175 wattoroos 219 mark f1 225 Apex 70 HeidfeldsBeard 76 Wlleiotl 170 aray 206 d_view7 203 HeidfeldsBeard 62 * Forecast 71 Estwald 162 an1res 200 an1res 160 * Current 55 Barty 70 noikeee 162 * Current 165 * Current 136 Costaz 46 * Current 30 * Current 79
Bottas beats Costaz!
Guesses on P6-P10:
Perez Magnussen Ricciardo Hülkenberg Räikkönen * Potential 303 * Potential 304 * Potential 358 * Potential 334 * Potential 294 an1res 100 Kingshark 173 * Forecast 197 * Forecast 140 M2000-5 267 skylark68 91 Wander 165 kismet 135 skylark68 122 d_view7 258 KWSN-DSM 90 KWSN-DSM 160 aray 132 KWSN-DSM 110 AcuraF1 215 Costaz 87 Brawn BGP 001 154 Makarias 131 Makarias 110 Barty 204 Wlleiotl 80 Costaz 154 mark f1 125 Costaz 109 Costaz 203 Makarias 77 Apex 150 d_view7 124 Kingshark 102 Iranie 200 Iranie 75 scheivlak 149 AcuraF1 111 an1res 100 Wander 192 Grayson 70 Fastcake 147 DutchQuicksilver102 Estwald 98 Fastcake 188 Kingshark 70 Estwald 146 HeidfeldsBeard 102 scheivlak 96 DutchQuicksilver179 mark f1 70 Barty 135 Barty 92 Anderis 94 HeidfeldsBeard 178 Anderis 68 HeidfeldsBeard 132 skylark68 89 Brawn BGP 001 92 Kingshark 177 * Forecast 67 Wlleiotl 120 Brawn BGP 001 88 fisichella_2001 92 wattoroos 177 Brawn BGP 001 66 noikeee 119 Bleu 87 Grayson 92 an1res 175 DutchQuicksilver 66 DutchQuicksilver118 noikeee 87 aray 90 Bleu 171 fisichella_2001 66 aray 115 Estwald 84 HeidfeldsBeard 88 LB 165 scheivlak 64 Makarias 114 fisichella_2001 83 d_view7 85 Anderis 164 d_view7 63 Anderis 112 * Current 83 mark f1 85 KWSN-DSM 163 Estwald 61 kismet 110 wattoroos 82 Fastcake 83 Apex 160 kismet 60 LB 110 Kingshark 81 Wander 82 aray 160 Wander 58 Bleu 107 Grayson 80 Wlleiotl 80 Grayson 155 wattoroos 56 fisichella_2001 102 Iranie 80 Iranie 75 Makarias 153 Bleu 52 wattoroos 102 Wander 78 kismet 75 scheivlak 152 HeidfeldsBeard 50 d_view7 101 an1res 75 DutchQuicksilver 71 mark f1 150 Apex 45 an1res 100 Anderis 67 Apex 70 Wlleiotl 150 AcuraF1 44 Grayson 100 Fastcake 66 wattoroos 68 fisichella_2001 148 Fastcake 44 skylark68 100 Apex 60 M2000-5 67 skylark68 148 M2000-5 43 Iranie 80 Costaz 57 noikeee 65 kismet 145 noikeee 43 mark f1 75 LB 55 Bleu 63 Estwald 135 aray 30 * Forecast 69 Wlleiotl 50 AcuraF1 61 noikeee 121 * Current 28 AcuraF1 62 scheivlak 49 LB 60 Brawn BGP 001 111 LB 25 M2000-5 55 KWSN-DSM 40 * Current 59 * Forecast 45 Barty 24 * Current 29 M2000-5 6 Barty 42 * Current 19
Perez beats two guesses!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Makarias 1585,0 22,4 fisichella_2001 1545,0 14,3 skylark68 1544,0 0,0 Brawn BGP 001 1533,5 27,9 kismet 1532,5 -6,5 noikeee 1529,5 25,8 Anderis 1511,4 42,4 Bleu 1499,8 -7,5 d_view7 1497,5 24,6 scheivlak 1496,1 2,6 mark f1 1493,6 -0,5 Kingshark 1492,4 3,5 AcuraF1 1483,1 18,0 Grayson 1475,6 16,9 DutchQuicksilver 1475,5 -0,5 LB 1472,5 1,9 Iranie 1472,1 35,8 Wander 1470,5 4,4 wattoroos 1470,3 26,5 Barty 1465,4 28,9 Apex 1461,8 10,6 Estwald 1460,4 26,9 HeidfeldsBeard 1456,5 -12,2 aray 1452,0 -12,7 Wlleiotl 1427,8 42,6 KWSN-DSM 1408,4 42,1 Fastcake 1406,5 6,8 Costaz 1390,0 17,6 M2000-5 1384,1 7,1 an1res 1376,6 41,6
Fantastico, bravo...
