The standings after Germany:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) mark f1 1009 100 2) aray 1008 101 3) kismet 1006 101 4) DutchQuicksilver 1005 97 = Makarias 1005 101 6) d_view7 1003 101 7) AcuraF1 994 95 8) Brawn BGP 001 992 93 9) fisichella_2001 987 93 = noikeee 987 89 11) Bleu 985 87 = Estwald 985 93 = Kingshark 985 93 = wattoroos 985 92 15) Grayson 984 93 16) skylark68 982 91 17) Iranie 981 93 18) Wander 976 93 19) Anderis 971 93 20) Fastcake 970 93 = HeidfeldsBeard 970 79 22) an1res 963 78 23) Barty 957 86 24) scheivlak 953 93 25) Wlleiotl 952 91 26) LB 944 86 27) Apex 942 75 = KWSN-DSM 942 91 29) Costaz 910 75 30) M2000-5 883 85
No perfect scores remain anymore as mark f1 misses a point!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Ricc 127,3 77,9 24 Hülk 81,9 56,1 7 Bott 79,4 53,2 5 Rosb 77,0 64,0 0 Hami 68,2 48,8 1 Verg 62,6 22,0 9 Vett 55,3 40,0 3 Kvya 53,7 16,7 12 Alon 47,9 34,8 0 Pere 47,3 28,7 2 Bian 45,1 7,7 11 Butt 38,5 24,7 0 Magn 31,1 21,3 0 Mass 24,2 14,7 0 Gros 17,6 8,8 1 Räik 11,0 7,1 0
No landmark achievements fulfilled this round, work in progress...
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2014 this is 30.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Rosberg Bottas Hamilton Vettel Alonso * Potential 415 * Potential 316 * Potential 401 * Potential 307 * Potential 322 * Forecast 361 * Forecast 173 M2000-5 360 fisichella_2001 204 M2000-5 278 M2000-5 296 Wlleiotl 170 * Forecast 334 kismet 200 HeidfeldsBeard 256 Barty 292 KWSN-DSM 168 Apex 324 aray 194 aray 252 noikeee 271 noikeee 160 LB 320 skylark68 189 AcuraF1 235 Apex 270 Barty 145 noikeee 298 AcuraF1 188 an1res 225 Wlleiotl 270 AcuraF1 144 Brawn BGP 001 284 scheivlak 186 d_view7 222 HeidfeldsBeard 268 Iranie 140 Bleu 280 Makarias 184 fisichella_2001 217 Estwald 266 Anderis 137 AcuraF1 275 DutchQuicksilver181 LB 215 skylark68 265 Makarias 132 fisichella_2001 275 Bleu 180 Costaz 210 Bleu 255 d_view7 130 kismet 270 HeidfeldsBeard 172 Fastcake 209 Makarias 255 wattoroos 130 Anderis 268 LB 170 Barty 204 Anderis 254 Estwald 121 skylark68 268 d_view7 168 Anderis 201 scheivlak 254 fisichella_2001 121 Wander 265 mark f1 160 DutchQuicksilver201 LB 250 an1res 120 scheivlak 258 Kingshark 159 Iranie 200 Kingshark 248 LB 120 wattoroos 255 * Forecast 156 kismet 200 Fastcake 246 Brawn BGP 001 118 Fastcake 252 Wander 150 wattoroos 196 d_view7 245 scheivlak 116 Wlleiotl 250 Costaz 148 Wander 195 mark f1 245 Grayson 110 DutchQuicksilver248 Grayson 145 Bleu 194 AcuraF1 242 Wander 107 Makarias 248 Iranie 145 Brawn BGP 001 194 fisichella_2001 242 M2000-5 106 Kingshark 247 Barty 138 skylark68 192 kismet 240 Fastcake 101 Grayson 245 noikeee 136 Apex 190 Brawn BGP 001 236 Bleu 100 Estwald 242 wattoroos 133 KWSN-DSM 190 DutchQuicksilver234 kismet 100 HeidfeldsBeard 240 Brawn BGP 001 131 * Forecast 184 Wander 233 DutchQuicksilver 96 Barty 239 an1res 130 Grayson 184 Costaz 229 Kingshark 96 aray 238 Apex 110 scheivlak 184 Iranie 227 aray 95 KWSN-DSM 238 Estwald 106 Makarias 183 KWSN-DSM 225 * Current 91 Costaz 237 Anderis 104 Kingshark 178 Grayson 220 mark f1 90 Iranie 227 Fastcake 98 mark f1 175 wattoroos 219 skylark68 89 mark f1 225 * Current 82 Wlleiotl 170 aray 206 Apex 70 d_view7 203 KWSN-DSM 80 Estwald 162 an1res 200 HeidfeldsBeard 62 * Current 176 Wlleiotl 80 noikeee 162 * Current 190 Costaz 46 an1res 160 M2000-5 76 * Current 97
Three consecutive podiums pulls Bottas' forecast up into 100% surprise position!
Guesses on P6-P10:
Ricciardo Hülkenberg Button Magnussen Perez * Potential 331 * Potential 294 * Potential 284 * Potential 262 * Potential 254 * Forecast 201 * Forecast 131 Costaz 238 Kingshark 173 an1res 100 kismet 135 skylark68 122 Barty 237 Wander 165 skylark68 91 aray 132 KWSN-DSM 110 Apex 230 KWSN-DSM 160 KWSN-DSM 90 Makarias 131 Makarias 110 Brawn BGP 001 224 Brawn BGP 001 154 Costaz 87 mark f1 125 Costaz 109 Fastcake 221 Costaz 154 Wlleiotl 80 d_view7 124 Kingshark 102 LB 200 Apex 150 Makarias 77 AcuraF1 111 an1res 100 Estwald 177 scheivlak 149 Iranie 75 * Current 106 Estwald 98 Wander 171 Fastcake 147 Grayson 70 DutchQuicksilver102 scheivlak 96 scheivlak 162 Estwald 146 Kingshark 70 HeidfeldsBeard 102 Anderis 94 KWSN-DSM 160 Barty 135 mark f1 70 Barty 92 Brawn BGP 001 92 noikeee 155 HeidfeldsBeard 132 Anderis 68 skylark68 89 fisichella_2001 92 Kingshark 151 Wlleiotl 120 Brawn BGP 001 66 Brawn BGP 001 88 Grayson 92 Wlleiotl 150 noikeee 119 DutchQuicksilver 66 Bleu 87 aray 90 skylark68 149 DutchQuicksilver118 fisichella_2001 66 noikeee 87 HeidfeldsBeard 88 DutchQuicksilver146 aray 115 scheivlak 64 Estwald 84 d_view7 85 Makarias 146 Makarias 114 d_view7 63 fisichella_2001 83 mark f1 85 HeidfeldsBeard 145 Anderis 112 Estwald 61 wattoroos 82 Fastcake 83 kismet 145 kismet 110 kismet 60 Kingshark 81 Wander 82 aray 140 LB 110 Wander 58 Grayson 80 Wlleiotl 80 M2000-5 140 Bleu 107 wattoroos 56 Iranie 80 Iranie 75 Grayson 125 fisichella_2001 102 * Forecast 55 Wander 78 kismet 75 Iranie 125 wattoroos 102 Bleu 52 an1res 75 DutchQuicksilver 71 wattoroos 119 d_view7 101 HeidfeldsBeard 50 Anderis 67 Apex 70 mark f1 115 an1res 100 Apex 45 Fastcake 66 * Current 69 fisichella_2001 113 Grayson 100 AcuraF1 44 Apex 60 wattoroos 68 * Forecast 112 skylark68 100 Fastcake 44 Costaz 57 M2000-5 67 Anderis 112 Iranie 80 M2000-5 43 LB 55 noikeee 65 Bleu 110 mark f1 75 noikeee 43 Wlleiotl 50 Bleu 63 d_view7 110 * Forecast 70 aray 30 scheivlak 49 AcuraF1 61 an1res 100 AcuraF1 62 * Current 29 KWSN-DSM 40 LB 60 AcuraF1 79 M2000-5 55 LB 25 M2000-5 6 Barty 42 * Current 59 * Current 37 Barty 24
Everything is looking fantastic here and I think I've spelled the drivers' names right.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Makarias 1572,6 -15,6 noikeee 1543,2 -16,9 fisichella_2001 1530,1 -13,3 skylark68 1526,9 -15,0 kismet 1521,9 -15,0 Brawn BGP 001 1505,5 -24,3 Bleu 1492,9 -8,7 Anderis 1486,3 -22,6 scheivlak 1485,8 -17,0 d_view7 1481,8 -11,0 AcuraF1 1479,4 -3,4 mark f1 1478,9 -18,1 Kingshark 1478,4 -15,8 LB 1470,6 -9,3 Barty 1462,0 -19,0 DutchQuicksilver 1458,9 -15,0 Wander 1456,1 -19,7 Iranie 1453,4 -26,4 Grayson 1452,0 -25,0 HeidfeldsBeard 1450,8 -11,0 wattoroos 1449,4 -23,5 aray 1446,8 -11,0 Apex 1442,8 -19,4 Wlleiotl 1439,6 -8,2 Estwald 1438,8 -23,6 KWSN-DSM 1418,2 -11,0 Fastcake 1389,4 -20,3 M2000-5 1378,9 -19,2 Costaz 1367,1 -22,8 an1res 1335,3 -22,6
Oh Makarias, you're looking so good in the future!
