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Driver of the Weekend Round 14 - Italy - Kimi Räikkönen


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#1 Apex

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Posted 01 September 2014 - 16:08

Our Driver of the Weekend is Kimi Räikkönen in the Italian Grand Prix at Monza. After a lacklustre first half of the season Kimi's form has improved in the last couple of races, just in time for Ferrari's home GP.

 

 

Questions

  1. How many laps will Kimi complete in all the practice sessions combined?
  2. What will be Kimi's qualifying position (before any penalties are applied)?
  3. What will be Kimi's gap to to the fastest time in the last qualifying session he takes part in (rounded up to the nearest 0.1 second. If you think he will take pole, indicate the gap to second place as a negative value)?
  4. What will be Kimi's finishing position in the race or, if you think he will retire from the race, how many laps will he complete (choose either finish or retirement, being classified counts as finishing the race)?
  5. How much slower than the outright fastest lap of the race will Kimi's fastest lap be (rounded up to the nearest 0.1 second. If you think he will set the fastest lap, indicate the gap to second fastest as a negative value)?
  6. How many times will Kimi visit the pit lane for any reason (tire change, penalty, driving into the pit to retire, etc.) during the race?

 

Scoring
 

A correct guess is worth 20 points and the minimum is 0 points. Fractional scores are rounded up. For incorrect guesses points are deducted in the following way:

 

Instead of the old system with predetermined deductions, I now calculate the deductions afterwards based on the standard deviations of our guesses and the difference between our averages and the correct results. I use the following formula:

 

H9RfHJL.png

 

What this means is that the deductions gets smaller when there is a big spread among the guesses and they are further reduced when the average is far away (more than 3.57 standard deviations) from the correct result. I'll still use the old system for the retirement alternative on question 4 (10 points if the driver actually retires, 10 points for correct lap, -0.5 points/lap, 0 points if the driver finishes the race), since that tends to attract few guesses and calculating the standard deviation for small samples can give undesirable results. This should result in a slightly more even points distribution between the questions.

 

Needless to say, you don't need to concern yourself about this formula, you can just keep playing as usual.
 

 

Deadline

Before the first practice session. Late entries are now accepted but points will only be awarded for questions that are not related to sessions that have already begun when you submit your entry. So, for instance, submitting your entry after FP1 has started means an automatic 0 points on question 1.


Schedule

    Australian GP - Daniel Ricciardo
    Malaysian GP - Kevin Magnussen
    Bahrain GP - Nico Hülkenberg
    Chinese GP - Marcus Ericsson

    Spanish GP - Fernando Alonso
    Monaco GP - Romain Grosjean, Nico Rosberg
    Canadian GP - Esteban Gutiérrez
    Austrian GP - Max Chilton
    British GP - Jenson Button
    German GP - Sebastian Vettel
    Hungarian GP - Valtteri Bottas
    Belgian GP - Adrian Sutil
    Italian GP - Kimi Räikkönen
    Singapore GP - Jules Bianchi
    Japanese GP - Kamui Kobayashi
    Russian GP - Daniil Kvyat
    United States GP - Sergio Perez
    Brazilian GP - Felipe Massa, Pastor Maldonado
    Abu Dhabi GP - Lewis Hamilton, Jean-Eric Vergne


Entry Format

Please make your guesses look something like this (this is my entry for this round) and make sure that in question 4 you indicate clearly whether you think he will finish the race or retire. I will interpret any unclear submissions on question 4 as to mean the driver will finish the race whenever such an interpretation is possible.

 

 

77

8th

1.5

6th

1.1

2



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#2 Makarias

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Posted 02 September 2014 - 11:49

68

12th

1.6 s

9th

1.8 s

2



#3 scheivlak

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Posted 02 September 2014 - 18:58

72

11th

1.305 secs

7th

1.908 secs

2



#4 Mekola

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Posted 02 September 2014 - 19:45

78

9th

1.4

5th

1.2

2



#5 mark f1

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Posted 04 September 2014 - 02:39

72

7th

1.7s

7th

1.4s

2



#6 2aron

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Posted 04 September 2014 - 03:18

62

9

1.8

9

1.5

2



#7 M2000-5

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Posted 04 September 2014 - 10:34

  1. 75
  2. 6
  3. +1.0
  4. 4
  5. +1.3
  6. 1


#8 Costaz

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Posted 04 September 2014 - 15:42

  1. 66
  2. 10
  3. +2.3
  4. 10
  5. +1.4
  6. 2


#9 Barty

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Posted 04 September 2014 - 16:32

65

5th

+1,3 s

4th

+1,1 s

2



#10 Grayson

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Posted 04 September 2014 - 16:57

1. 70

2. 8th

3. 1.6

4. 7th

5. 1.9

6. 2



#11 LB

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Posted 04 September 2014 - 20:07

73

11th

1.7

8th

2.1

2



#12 Wlleiotl

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Posted 04 September 2014 - 22:07

75

8th

+1.4s

7th

+1.1s

2



#13 Sheepmachine

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Posted 04 September 2014 - 23:03

64
10th
+1.1
9th
+1.7
2

#14 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 05 September 2014 - 00:31

1. 70 LAPS
2. 9th
3. 1.6
4. 7th
5. 1.3
2. twice

#15 kismet

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Posted 05 September 2014 - 05:25

  1. 66
  2. 10th
  3. 1.2
  4. 6th
  5. 1.2
  6. 2


#16 wattoroos

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Posted 05 September 2014 - 06:41

1. 70

2. 8th

3. 1.3

4. 8th

5. 1.4

6. 2