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Guess the Pole 2014: Japan


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 20 September 2014 - 19:47

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500

The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:

Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2014 standings



Five latest poles at Japan-Suzuka:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2013  Webber        90.915
2012  Vettel        90.839
2011  Vettel        90.466
2010  Vettel        90.785
2009  Vettel        92.160

Driver values:
Dri  val
Rosb   3
Hami   6
Bott  13
Vett  13
REST  18

2014 data:
                  Time    2013 PP  2013 FL  2013 Q2  2014/2013  2014/13FL  2014/13Q2
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
OZ   Hami  Ricc  104.231   87.407   89.274   96.194   119.248    116.754    108.355
MAL  Hami  Vett  119.431  109.674   99.199   96.190   108.896    120.395    124.162
BAH  Rosb  Hami   93.185   92.330   96.961   92.746   100.926     96.106    100.473
CHN  Hami  Ricc  113.860   94.484   96.808   95.078   120.507    117.614    119.754
ESP  Hami  Rosb   85.232   80.718   86.217   81.001   105.592     98.858    105.223
MON  Rosb  Hami   75.989   73.876   76.577   75.988   102.860     99.232    100.001
CAN  Rosb  Hami   74.874   85.425   76.182   87.649    87.649     98.283     85.425
AUT  Mass  Bott   68.759   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
GB   Rosb  Vett   95.766   89.607   93.401   90.990   106.873    102.532    105.249
GER  Rosb  Bott   76.540   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
HUN  Rosb  Vett   82.715   79.388   84.069   79.778   104.191     98.389    103.681
BEL  Rosb  Hami  125.591  121.012  110.756  108.296   103.784    113.394    115.970
ITA  Hami  Rosb   84.109   83.755   85.849   83.977   100.423     97.973    100.157
SIN  Hami  Rosb  105.681  102.841  108.574  102.905   102.762     97.335    102.698
JAP                        90.915   94.587   91.290                                
RUS                        ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
USA                        96.338   99.856   97.065                                
BRA                        86.479   75.436   86.161                                
ABU                        99.957  103.434  100.473                                

My guess for Japan is 93.650 s by Lewis Hamilton.

 



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#2 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 26 September 2014 - 14:03

92.471 - Lewis Hamilton



#3 MetallurgicalHedonist

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Posted 26 September 2014 - 22:32

92.949 - Hamilton



#4 Apex

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Posted 27 September 2014 - 07:50

92.333 Hamilton



#5 GoodSister

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Posted 28 September 2014 - 17:16

93.357 Hamilton



#6 fisichella_2001

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Posted 30 September 2014 - 05:53

92.764 - Hamilton



#7 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 30 September 2014 - 05:57

92.125 Hamilton

#8 Wlleiotl

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Posted 01 October 2014 - 05:56

Hamilton 91.999

#9 MrMan

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Posted 01 October 2014 - 14:44

92.268 Nico Rosberg


Edited by MrMan, 01 October 2014 - 14:45.


#10 2aron

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Posted 01 October 2014 - 20:15

Rosberg 93.027



#11 mark f1

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 06:33

93.124 Hamilton



#12 M2000-5

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 06:43

92.978 Hamilton



#13 d_view7

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 08:13

92.500 Rosberg



#14 scheivlak

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 08:14

93.427 Lewis Hamilton



#15 boost

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 10:19

92.715 hami



#16 wattoroos

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 12:51

Hamilton 93.187



#17 Costaz

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 15:12

Hamilton 91.915



#18 LB

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 17:11

Hamilton 93.723



#19 kismet

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 17:12

Rosberg 92.399



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#20 Tenmantaylor

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 17:39

93.301 Hamilton



#21 AcuraF1

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 18:42

Hamilton 93.277



#22 Barty

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 19:03

Hamilton 93.166

#23 Flash

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 20:37

Hamilton 93.315



#24 Grayson

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 21:33

Hamilton 94.000



#25 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 02 October 2014 - 22:23

Lewis Hamilton 94.494