After 14 races and many ups and downs for both drivers, there are amazingly only 3 points seperating the two Mercedes drivers. It has essentially reset the championship for a five race battle for the WDC. Who do you think will win and why?
5 Race Championship - Who will win?
#1
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:33
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#2
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:38
I'd go with Hamilton as i'm a fan off the little bugger, so voted for him ... Meaning it will be Nico, hand Nico the WDC already.
#3
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:41
I think Nico will win it. There will be more reliability problems etc in the future.
#4
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:44
Nico
#5
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:45
Just can't tell with Mercedes reliability tbh, but will we finally see a rejuvenated Nico Rosberg? One who knows 2nd places just aren't good enough anymore, I hope we do and I hope we will all remember the last 5 races of this season for a long time. Still hoping for Nico!
#6
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:46
Could be either, but I've plumped for Rosberg on the basis that, with 14 races gone and, by my reckoning, four mechanical DNFs so far, we can probably expect a couple more and I've a feeling Hamilton's going to be running slightly higher mileage PU components towards the end.
I also think there's less pressure on Rosberg now that he is behind, and in the time these two drivers have been together at Mercedes so far, Rosberg has never yet allowed Hamilton to go on an extended run of dominance. I think we're due for at least some races where Rosberg shows winning pace.
#7
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:46
I think Nico will win it. There will be more reliability problems etc in the future.
Any reason why you think Hamilton will have these failures or are you just going by his past that's full of bad luck?
#8
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:48
#9
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:49
It's a 6 race championship, last two will have exact same outcome 1 through 10. And I think Lewis will win.
P.S. You should have added Ricciardo, he can still take it all with Moon and Stars aligning.
Edited by KWSN - DSM, 22 September 2014 - 20:50.
#10
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:51
I don't trust Mercedes reliability enough to judge it.
Good point. Leaving that aside for the moment, I'll repeat what I've said throughout the season: I think Hamilton has an edge on Rosberg and will probably walk away with the title.
But whatever the case, the stage is definitely set for a fantastic Abu Dhabi Double Points Decider. Though I don't care about either Hamilton or Rosberg, I do hope that'll be the deciding factor. It'd be hilarious.
#11
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:55
Yep it all depends on reliability. Based on their record so far this season you'd have to expect at least one (if not more) more reliability problem before the season is over.
Hamilton has been the better driver this year IMO, but not by a large margin. So purely based on driving I'd give Hamilton the edge right now. I'm just not sure it's their driving that will decide the championship.
#12
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:56
#13
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:57
Honestly can't judge it yet, the car has a big question mark hanging over it when it comes to reliability, so anything can happen. One thing is for sure if either one wins due to double points that will be a hollow wdc in my eyes.
Edited by MikeV1987, 22 September 2014 - 21:01.
#14
Posted 22 September 2014 - 20:59
You would have to predict Hamilton, he is the form guy, but things rarely happen as I expect.
#15
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:02
Edited by TopDog85, 22 September 2014 - 21:04.
#16
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:05
Lewis Hamilton:
- LH has won every race hes finished when starting on the front row.
- LH has finished on the podium every race he's completed even from the back of the grid twice.
- LH has the backing of the team/fans since the Spa incident.
- LH is TDG.
- LH is in a Mercedes-Benz.
#17
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:05
If I were either of the driver I'd be asking Mercedes to let me on the simulator on my days off to try and master the Yas Marinas circuit, I'd spend all day on it.
Hamilton's got it mastered, not so sure about Rosberg.
#18
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:07
Why is Ricciardo not in the poll?
#19
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:09
Hamilton's got it mastered, not so sure about Rosberg.
Well last year he was pretty much destroyed by Nico in the race, I know there was a supposed crack in the chassis but Nico was mighty close throughout qualifying before Hamilton lost it.
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#20
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:10
I think Lewis will win it, he's in the 'zone' and has momentum behind him, also his luck has changed and that has and will be a help I think.
I also agree with the person that said if either driver wins the WDC due to double points then it will be a rather hollow victory.
#21
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:13
Why is Ricciardo not in the poll?
More or less for the same reason Alonso isn't.
#22
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:17
More or less for the same reason Alonso isn't.
The difference between Ricciardo and Alonso is almost as big as between the Merc drivers and Ricciardo
#23
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:17
Lewis is the form driver at the mo....... Hence, his car will explode and Nico will be having a party in his pants.
#24
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:20
More or less for the same reason Alonso isn't.
Alonso and Vettel could mathematically still win the championship. Ricciardo's situation is a lot better than either of them, and is not really comparable. After Germany, he was 84 points adrift of the WDC lead. After Hungary it was 71. After Belgium, it went down to 66, then back out to 72 after Italy. Now, after Singapore, it is 60 points. He only needs to get it under 50 by Abu Dhabi to have an outside shot at this.
#25
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:21
Up until Singapore I would have said Nico but now I'm not sure anymore.
Hamilton started building momentum and if we return to the last time he started a streak, he won 4 races in a row.
Nico has to up his game in race trim to challenge Lewis now. I guess a lot depends on reliability as well.
#26
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:24
Why is Ricciardo not in the poll?
Ever seen Ricciardo win a race on mere car pace? No? Then there is your answer
#27
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:26
Lewis for me, he is in the same zone he was in during 2012, he is rampaging he way through the last part of the season just like 2012. Yes the last part of 2012 might not look like a romp but Lewis was leading several races when something broke, on top of the races he did win. I am judging the driver not the equipment. Austin should be particularly stunning.
#28
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:28
I hope RIC can win it
#29
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:29
[] Whoever dosn't break down in Abu Dhabi
#30
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:37
The championship will be decided by performance of equipment whether we like it or not, you mayswell turn off now if you can only cope with pure driver performance deciding the championship.
#31
Posted 22 September 2014 - 21:38
Fun fact: Nico has never won a GP after the summer break. OK, the pre-2014 sample is rather small . Still I have the feeling that his challenge will peter out somehow unless he succeeds in resetting his mind.
Apart from luck (and that will remain a factor!) mental freshness and mental stability will be pretty important. For the moment it seems the pendulum has swung in Lewis' favour also in that respect ("Damnit!"). And Lewis is more of a winner than Nico - and that comes into play when we're playing the Abu Dhabi double points roulette - unless of course Lady Luck intervenes in a veiled dress.
#32
Posted 22 September 2014 - 22:00
Well if you take the first 5 races for example, Lewis 'won' despite a DNF. So I'm going to have to go with him.
#33
Posted 22 September 2014 - 22:03
[] Whoever dosn't break down in Abu Dhabi
And if neither breaks down? Do they both win the championship?
#34
Posted 22 September 2014 - 22:05
Ever seen Ricciardo win a race on mere car pace? No? Then there is your answer
The points are the same whichever way you win.
#35
Posted 22 September 2014 - 22:12
I don't care who wins. If Nico wins, he will make a class act WDC and frankly, F1 could use another such gentlemen's champion to give the sport a bit of uplifting. Also the sport needs more champions in general as three of the current ones will be retiring within the next 5 years or so and it isn't a given that Hamilton and Vettel will stick around in the sport as long as the current set
That said, Lewis should have another WDC as he is a super talent and that should be reflected in hardware for the sake of history. He is already a champion, so an above like analysis would not apply, but he is also contributive to the sport.
I have no problem with it being decided in Abu Dhabi - if the drivers were that against it, they should have fought Bernie. Now they have to take what they signed up for.
For me, may the best man win.
#36
Posted 22 September 2014 - 22:12
Can't see one of them building a gap of 50+ points in the upcoming races. Everything will be down to one race performance.
The tension will be huge, i think my nerves won't handle the final showdown.
Edited by thegamer23, 22 September 2014 - 22:12.
#37
Posted 22 September 2014 - 22:19
Ever seen Ricciardo win a race on mere car pace?
How do we define 'car pace' over a GP distance?
#38
Posted 22 September 2014 - 22:22
I think it is totally in the hands of reliability which kinda sucks. If both cars are perfect between now and the end of Abu Dhabi then it's Hamilton - life, however, especially F1 life, is never that straightforward.
#39
Posted 22 September 2014 - 22:52
How do we define 'car pace' over a GP distance?
There has to be a way. Surely someone will figure it out!
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#40
Posted 22 September 2014 - 22:57
Any reason why you think Hamilton will have these failures or are you just going by his past that's full of bad luck?
Basically, yes.
#41
Posted 22 September 2014 - 23:20
After 14 races and many ups and downs for both drivers, there are amazingly only 3 points seperating the two Mercedes drivers. It has essentially reset the championship for a five race battle for the WDC. Who do you think will win and why?
You forgot Daniel Ricciardo as an option.
Incomplete poll...
#42
Posted 22 September 2014 - 23:24
In my mind the chance are 65/35 in favor of Lewis
On track Lewis holds an edge over Nico at the moment. In qualifying the two are even, but Lewis seems to hold an edge come race day.
In straight fights, I think Lewis will win most of the time. Reliability and luck throws a pair of spanners into the works, and could swing momentum either way, both are indiscriminate variables.
So if it comes down to driver performance, I would pick Lewis on current form
If it comes down to luck or reliability, it could go either way
I really hope double points does not cheapen this Championship.
Edited by sennafan24, 22 September 2014 - 23:25.
#43
Posted 22 September 2014 - 23:56
Ricciardo.
#44
Posted 23 September 2014 - 00:11
Isn't it rather obvious that Mercedes has already determined the champion?
#45
Posted 23 September 2014 - 00:49
Nico will win it. Lewis will have some issue with the car like he has been in mid season.
#46
Posted 23 September 2014 - 00:52
Ricciardo deserves it more than both Nico or Hamilton this year.
I hope he does a kimi & steals it.
#47
Posted 23 September 2014 - 01:26
Lewis Hamilton:
- LH has won every race hes finished when starting on the front row.
- LH has finished on the podium every race he's completed even from the back of the grid twice.
- LH has the backing of the team/fans since the Spa incident.
- LH is TDG.
- LH is in a Mercedes-Benz.
Funny, I thought Rosberg was in a Benz too.
#48
Posted 23 September 2014 - 01:32
Once a Hamilton fan, always a Hamilton fan. Going for LH.
#49
Posted 23 September 2014 - 01:38
I don't care who wins. If Nico wins, he will make a class act WDC and frankly, F1 could use another such gentlemen's champion to give the sport a bit of uplifting. Also the sport needs more champions in general as three of the current ones will be retiring within the next 5 years or so and it isn't a given that Hamilton and Vettel will stick around in the sport as long as the current set
That said, Lewis should have another WDC as he is a super talent and that should be reflected in hardware for the sake of history. He is already a champion, so an above like analysis would not apply, but he is also contributive to the sport.
I have no problem with it being decided in Abu Dhabi - if the drivers were that against it, they should have fought Bernie. Now they have to take what they signed up for.
For me, may the best man win.
There are a lot of adjectives that I could use for Nico, but Classy and Gentleman surely ain't among them.
Edited by SR388, 23 September 2014 - 01:41.
#50
Posted 23 September 2014 - 01:58
Mostly its going to be just luck.
Whoever's car does / does not break down, and whoever happens to win the double points race.