The standings after Russia:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) noikeee 1479 87 2) Makarias 1454 39 3) kismet 1435 41 4) AcuraF1 1428 47 5) fisichella_2001 1423 46 6) Brawn BGP 001 1413 51 7) Bleu 1407 51 8) skylark68 1395 48 9) Anderis 1394 42 10) mark f1 1392 37 11) d_view7 1389 37 12) Barty 1378 65 13) Iranie 1377 47 14) scheivlak 1375 37 = wattoroos 1375 33 16) DutchQuicksilver 1372 37 17) Kingshark 1370 37 = Wander 1370 37 19) LB 1369 61 20) Estwald 1366 43 21) HeidfeldsBeard 1358 49 22) Grayson 1356 37 23) aray 1353 36 24) Wlleiotl 1348 62 25) Apex 1343 71 26) Fastcake 1314 32 27) KWSN-DSM 1291 48 28) M2000-5 1271 75 29) Costaz 1256 37 30) an1res 1249 33
Makarias drops from the lead as noikeee storms past with a last hurrah of Mercedes, and whatnot, points. The horror!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Ricc 239,0 146,3 30 Verg 146,2 51,2 24 Bott 126,5 84,8 26 Hami 112,8 80,6 26 Rosb 111,0 92,3 28 Vett 96,5 69,8 12 Hülk 90,2 61,8 11 Pere 76,7 46,5 8 Kvya 71,6 22,2 13 Alon 69,6 50,5 0 Butt 61,4 39,3 1 Mass 57,3 34,8 1 Bian 45,1 7,7 11 Magn 41,2 28,2 0 Räik 27,3 17,5 0 Gros 17,6 8,8 1
Vettel didn't make it past his 100% mark this round, but he'd better bloody do it soon as my championship campaign relies upon him...
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2014 this is 30.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Rosberg Bottas Button Magnussen * Potential 366 * Potential 349 * Potential 220 Costaz 238 Kingshark 173 M2000-5 360 * Forecast 325 * Forecast 172 Barty 237 Wander 165 * Forecast 346 M2000-5 296 Wlleiotl 170 Apex 230 KWSN-DSM 160 Apex 324 Barty 292 KWSN-DSM 168 Brawn BGP 001 224 Brawn BGP 001 154 LB 320 * Current 274 noikeee 160 Fastcake 221 Costaz 154 noikeee 298 noikeee 271 Barty 145 LB 200 Apex 150 * Current 291 Apex 270 * Current 145 Estwald 177 scheivlak 149 Brawn BGP 001 284 Wlleiotl 270 AcuraF1 144 Wander 171 Fastcake 147 Bleu 280 HeidfeldsBeard 268 Iranie 140 * Potential 169 Estwald 146 AcuraF1 275 Estwald 266 Anderis 137 scheivlak 162 Barty 135 fisichella_2001 275 skylark68 265 Makarias 132 KWSN-DSM 160 HeidfeldsBeard 132 kismet 270 Bleu 255 d_view7 130 noikeee 155 * Potential 124 Anderis 268 Makarias 255 wattoroos 130 Kingshark 151 Wlleiotl 120 skylark68 268 Anderis 254 Estwald 121 Wlleiotl 150 noikeee 119 Wander 265 scheivlak 254 fisichella_2001 121 skylark68 149 DutchQuicksilver118 scheivlak 258 LB 250 an1res 120 DutchQuicksilver146 aray 115 wattoroos 255 Kingshark 248 LB 120 Makarias 146 Makarias 114 Fastcake 252 Fastcake 246 Brawn BGP 001 118 HeidfeldsBeard 145 Anderis 112 Wlleiotl 250 d_view7 245 scheivlak 116 kismet 145 kismet 110 DutchQuicksilver248 mark f1 245 Grayson 110 aray 140 LB 110 Makarias 248 AcuraF1 242 Wander 107 M2000-5 140 Bleu 107 Kingshark 247 fisichella_2001 242 M2000-5 106 Grayson 125 fisichella_2001 102 Grayson 245 kismet 240 Fastcake 101 Iranie 125 wattoroos 102 Estwald 242 Brawn BGP 001 236 Bleu 100 wattoroos 119 d_view7 101 HeidfeldsBeard 240 DutchQuicksilver234 kismet 100 mark f1 115 an1res 100 Barty 239 Wander 233 DutchQuicksilver 96 fisichella_2001 113 Grayson 100 aray 238 Costaz 229 Kingshark 96 Anderis 112 skylark68 100 KWSN-DSM 238 Iranie 227 aray 95 * Forecast 112 Iranie 80 Costaz 237 KWSN-DSM 225 mark f1 90 Bleu 110 mark f1 75 Iranie 227 Grayson 220 skylark68 89 d_view7 110 AcuraF1 62 mark f1 225 wattoroos 219 Apex 70 an1res 100 * Forecast 58 d_view7 203 aray 206 HeidfeldsBeard 62 * Current 94 M2000-5 55 an1res 160 an1res 200 Costaz 46 AcuraF1 79 * Current 49
So, noikeee should get another 7 from Hamilton and 15 from Bottas, no sweat...
Guesses on P6-P10:
Alonso Ricciardo Vettel Räikkönen Perez M2000-5 278 * Potential 274 * Potential 218 M2000-5 267 * Potential 122 HeidfeldsBeard 256 * Forecast 236 fisichella_2001 204 d_view7 258 an1res 100 aray 252 * Current 199 kismet 200 AcuraF1 215 skylark68 91 AcuraF1 235 kismet 135 aray 194 Barty 204 KWSN-DSM 90 an1res 225 aray 132 skylark68 189 Costaz 203 Costaz 87 d_view7 222 Makarias 131 AcuraF1 188 Iranie 200 Wlleiotl 80 fisichella_2001 217 mark f1 125 scheivlak 186 Wander 192 Makarias 77 * Potential 216 d_view7 124 Makarias 184 Fastcake 188 Iranie 75 LB 215 AcuraF1 111 DutchQuicksilver181 DutchQuicksilver179 Grayson 70 Costaz 210 DutchQuicksilver102 Bleu 180 HeidfeldsBeard 178 Kingshark 70 Fastcake 209 HeidfeldsBeard 102 HeidfeldsBeard 172 Kingshark 177 mark f1 70 Barty 204 Barty 92 * Forecast 170 wattoroos 177 Anderis 68 Anderis 201 skylark68 89 LB 170 an1res 175 Brawn BGP 001 66 DutchQuicksilver201 Brawn BGP 001 88 d_view7 168 Bleu 171 DutchQuicksilver 66 Iranie 200 Bleu 87 mark f1 160 LB 165 fisichella_2001 66 kismet 200 noikeee 87 Kingshark 159 Anderis 164 scheivlak 64 wattoroos 196 Estwald 84 Wander 150 KWSN-DSM 163 d_view7 63 Wander 195 fisichella_2001 83 Costaz 148 Apex 160 Estwald 61 Bleu 194 wattoroos 82 Grayson 145 aray 160 kismet 60 Brawn BGP 001 194 Kingshark 81 Iranie 145 Grayson 155 Wander 58 skylark68 192 Grayson 80 * Current 143 Makarias 153 * Forecast 56 Apex 190 Iranie 80 Barty 138 scheivlak 152 wattoroos 56 KWSN-DSM 190 Wander 78 noikeee 136 mark f1 150 Bleu 52 Grayson 184 an1res 75 wattoroos 133 Wlleiotl 150 HeidfeldsBeard 50 scheivlak 184 Anderis 67 Brawn BGP 001 131 fisichella_2001 148 * Current 47 Makarias 183 Fastcake 66 an1res 130 skylark68 148 Apex 45 Kingshark 178 Apex 60 Apex 110 kismet 145 AcuraF1 44 mark f1 175 Costaz 57 Estwald 106 Estwald 135 Fastcake 44 Wlleiotl 170 LB 55 Anderis 104 * Potential 122 M2000-5 43 * Forecast 167 Wlleiotl 50 Fastcake 98 noikeee 121 noikeee 43 Estwald 162 scheivlak 49 KWSN-DSM 80 Brawn BGP 001 111 aray 30 noikeee 162 KWSN-DSM 40 Wlleiotl 80 * Forecast 56 LB 25 * Current 141 M2000-5 6 M2000-5 76 * Current 47 Barty 24
...while I can gain 0-21 points from Alonso and up to 41 from Vettel, and likely something from the talented Perez... Exciting!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Makarias 1580,8 -6,7 noikeee 1577,9 6,8 fisichella_2001 1551,6 -3,2 kismet 1548,5 -0,6 skylark68 1521,8 -6,7 Brawn BGP 001 1514,4 3,2 AcuraF1 1514,1 -5,9 Bleu 1511,6 5,0 mark f1 1509,5 3,2 d_view7 1507,1 8,9 scheivlak 1503,6 -7,2 LB 1501,7 8,0 Anderis 1499,8 0,0 Kingshark 1487,3 -0,6 DutchQuicksilver 1484,9 -0,8 aray 1472,2 1,3 HeidfeldsBeard 1468,4 11,5 Iranie 1467,6 4,8 wattoroos 1466,5 5,4 Wander 1466,4 11,5 Wlleiotl 1464,6 10,3 Estwald 1460,5 0,6 Grayson 1459,8 3,1 Barty 1459,6 13,7 Apex 1453,3 7,9 M2000-5 1419,8 14,2 KWSN-DSM 1415,8 2,3 Fastcake 1399,4 7,4 Costaz 1360,9 -0,4 an1res 1343,1 -10,6
WAY too exciting!
