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Driver of the Weekend Round 18 - USA - Sergio Perez


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#1 Apex

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Posted 24 October 2014 - 11:12

The Driver of the Weekend for the US GP is Sergio 'Checo' Perez. McLaren didn't want him, but this year Checo seems to have established himself as a solid mid-field driver.

 

Questions

  1. How many laps will Checo complete in all the practice sessions combined?
  2. What will be Checo's qualifying position (before any penalties are applied)?
  3. What will be Checo's gap to to the fastest time in the last qualifying session he takes part in (rounded up to the nearest 0.1 second. If you think he will take pole, indicate the gap to second place as a negative value)?
  4. What will be Checo's finishing position in the race or, if you think he will retire from the race, how many laps will he complete (choose either finish or retirement, being classified counts as finishing the race)?
  5. How much slower than the outright fastest lap of the race will Checo's fastest lap be (rounded up to the nearest 0.1 second. If you think he will set the fastest lap, indicate the gap to second fastest as a negative value)?
  6. How many times will Checo visit the pit lane for any reason (tire change, penalty, driving into the pit to retire, etc.) during the race?

 

Scoring
 

A correct guess is worth 20 points and the minimum is 0 points. Fractional scores are rounded up. For incorrect guesses points are deducted in the following way:

 

Instead of the old system with predetermined deductions, I now calculate the deductions afterwards based on the standard deviations of our guesses and the difference between our averages and the correct results. I use the following formula:

 

H9RfHJL.png

 

What this means is that the deductions gets smaller when there is a big spread among the guesses and they are further reduced when the average is far away (more than 3.57 standard deviations) from the correct result. I'll still use the old system for the retirement alternative on question 4 (10 points if the driver actually retires, 10 points for correct lap, -0.5 points/lap, 0 points if the driver finishes the race), since that tends to attract few guesses and calculating the standard deviation for small samples can give undesirable results. This should result in a slightly more even points distribution between the questions.

 

Needless to say, you don't need to concern yourself about this formula, you can just keep playing as usual.
 

 

Deadline

Before the first practice session. Late entries are now accepted but points will only be awarded for questions that are not related to sessions that have already begun when you submit your entry. So, for instance, submitting your entry after FP1 has started means an automatic 0 points on question 1.


Schedule

    Australian GP - Daniel Ricciardo
    Malaysian GP - Kevin Magnussen
    Bahrain GP - Nico Hülkenberg
    Chinese GP - Marcus Ericsson

    Spanish GP - Fernando Alonso
    Monaco GP - Romain Grosjean, Nico Rosberg
    Canadian GP - Esteban Gutiérrez
    Austrian GP - Max Chilton
    British GP - Jenson Button
    German GP - Sebastian Vettel
    Hungarian GP - Valtteri Bottas
    Belgian GP - Adrian Sutil
    Italian GP - Kimi Räikkönen
    Singapore GP - Jules Bianchi
    Japanese GP - Kamui Kobayashi
    Russian GP - Daniil Kvyat
    United States GP - Sergio Perez
    Brazilian GP - Felipe Massa, Pastor Maldonado
    Abu Dhabi GP - Lewis Hamilton, Jean-Eric Vergne


Entry Format

Please make your guesses look something like this (this is my entry for this round) and make sure that in question 4 you indicate clearly whether you think he will finish the race or retire. I will interpret any unclear submissions on question 4 as to mean the driver will finish the race whenever such an interpretation is possible.

 

 

68

12th

1.6

11th

1.8

2



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#2 Makarias

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Posted 29 October 2014 - 00:03

67

13

1.8 s

10

1.6 s

2



#3 mark f1

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Posted 29 October 2014 - 23:36

71

12

1.8s

9

1.9s

2



#4 scheivlak

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Posted 30 October 2014 - 09:02

68

10

1.4

8

1.3

1


Edited by scheivlak, 31 October 2014 - 11:29.


#5 Grayson

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Posted 30 October 2014 - 14:01

1. 65

2. 9th

3. 1.5

4. 8th

5. 1.8

6. 2



#6 Costaz

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Posted 30 October 2014 - 16:16

1.    80
2.    11
3.    1.9
4.    11
5.    1.8
6.    2
 



#7 2aron

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Posted 30 October 2014 - 18:39

68

12

1.5

11

1.9

2



#8 kismet

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  • Joined: February 03

Posted 31 October 2014 - 06:23

  1. 66
  2. 11th
  3. 1.7
  4. 11th
  5. 1.7
  6. 2


#9 M2000-5

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  • Joined: March 09

Posted 31 October 2014 - 08:47

  1. 70
  2. 11th
  3. +1.8
  4. 10th
  5. +1.6
  6. 1


#10 Wlleiotl

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Posted 31 October 2014 - 09:35

  1. 60
  2. 12th
  3. +1.3s
  4. 9th
  5. +1.1s
  6. 2


#11 wattoroos

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Posted 31 October 2014 - 10:31

1. 70

2. 12

3. 1.7

4. 12

5. 1.8

6. 1



#12 LB

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Posted 31 October 2014 - 11:33

1 64

2 12

3 1.8

4 10

5 1.8

6 2



#13 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 31 October 2014 - 12:42

1. 70

2. 13th

3. +1.6

4. 10th

5. +1.4

6. once



#14 Barty

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Posted 31 October 2014 - 13:24

1. 62

2. 11th

3. +1.7 s

4. Retire 0 laps

5. Not applicable as he will not complete a lap

6. 0 times

 

(I boldly guess that he will crash out during the first lap).



#15 M2000-5

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Posted 03 November 2014 - 07:33

I think Barty has wiped out the competition in this round. Perfect guesses on questions 4 & 5. Well done mate!