The standings after USA:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) noikeee 1523 44 2) Makarias 1486 32 3) kismet 1467 32 4) AcuraF1 1460 32 5) fisichella_2001 1455 32 6) Brawn BGP 001 1439 26 7) Bleu 1436 29 8) skylark68 1427 32 9) LB 1426 57 10) mark f1 1425 33 11) Anderis 1421 27 = d_view7 1421 32 13) Barty 1408 30 14) scheivlak 1407 32 15) Iranie 1406 29 16) DutchQuicksilver 1404 32 17) Kingshark 1402 32 = wattoroos 1402 27 19) Wander 1401 31 20) Apex 1394 51 21) Estwald 1392 26 22) aray 1385 32 23) Grayson 1384 28 = Wlleiotl 1384 36 25) HeidfeldsBeard 1383 25 26) Fastcake 1340 26 27) M2000-5 1338 67 28) KWSN-DSM 1327 36 29) Costaz 1287 31 30) an1res 1276 27
Yes! I'm just as worried as the rest of you! Look at the lovely low round scores though: the Mercedes guys aren't giving much anymore and the Ricciardo tap is already empty.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Ricc 257,0 157,4 30 Verg 153,1 53,7 24 Bott 135,2 90,6 27 Hami 122,5 87,5 27 Rosb 118,3 98,3 28 Vett 100,6 72,7 15 Hülk 90,2 61,8 11 Pere 76,7 46,5 8 Alon 73,6 53,4 0 Kvya 71,6 22,2 13 Mass 67,0 40,7 4 Butt 61,4 39,3 1 Bian 45,1 7,7 11 Magn 44,6 30,5 0 Räik 27,3 17,5 0 Gros 17,6 8,8 1 Mald 6,8 2,7 2
Sebastian Vettel makes it past his expectation mark as the sixth driver this season! Will he be the last one?
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2014 this is 30.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Rosberg Ricciardo Massa Bottas * Potential 366 * Potential 342 * Potential 264 M2000-5 203 * Potential 205 M2000-5 360 * Forecast 326 * Forecast 239 Wlleiotl 200 * Forecast 173 * Forecast 353 M2000-5 296 * Current 214 Estwald 180 Wlleiotl 170 Apex 324 Barty 292 kismet 135 KWSN-DSM 169 KWSN-DSM 168 LB 320 * Current 292 aray 132 noikeee 169 noikeee 160 * Current 316 noikeee 271 Makarias 131 wattoroos 153 * Current 155 noikeee 298 Apex 270 mark f1 125 DutchQuicksilver142 Barty 145 Brawn BGP 001 284 Wlleiotl 270 d_view7 124 Iranie 140 AcuraF1 144 Bleu 280 HeidfeldsBeard 268 AcuraF1 111 kismet 140 Iranie 140 AcuraF1 275 Estwald 266 DutchQuicksilver102 LB 140 Anderis 137 fisichella_2001 275 skylark68 265 HeidfeldsBeard 102 * Potential 133 Makarias 132 kismet 270 Bleu 255 Barty 92 AcuraF1 133 d_view7 130 Anderis 268 Makarias 255 skylark68 89 aray 130 wattoroos 130 skylark68 268 Anderis 254 Brawn BGP 001 88 Makarias 126 Estwald 121 Wander 265 scheivlak 254 Bleu 87 Fastcake 121 fisichella_2001 121 scheivlak 258 LB 250 noikeee 87 an1res 120 an1res 120 wattoroos 255 Kingshark 248 Estwald 84 Anderis 119 LB 120 Fastcake 252 Fastcake 246 fisichella_2001 83 Costaz 119 Brawn BGP 001 118 Wlleiotl 250 d_view7 245 wattoroos 82 mark f1 115 scheivlak 116 DutchQuicksilver248 mark f1 245 Kingshark 81 scheivlak 113 Grayson 110 Makarias 248 AcuraF1 242 Grayson 80 Grayson 105 Wander 107 Kingshark 247 fisichella_2001 242 Iranie 80 skylark68 102 M2000-5 106 Grayson 245 kismet 240 Wander 78 Brawn BGP 001 100 Fastcake 101 Estwald 242 Brawn BGP 001 236 an1res 75 fisichella_2001 100 Bleu 100 HeidfeldsBeard 240 DutchQuicksilver234 Anderis 67 Kingshark 94 kismet 100 Barty 239 Wander 233 Fastcake 66 * Forecast 93 DutchQuicksilver 96 aray 238 Costaz 229 Apex 60 Apex 90 Kingshark 96 KWSN-DSM 238 Iranie 227 Costaz 57 d_view7 85 aray 95 Costaz 237 KWSN-DSM 225 LB 55 * Current 83 mark f1 90 Iranie 227 Grayson 220 Wlleiotl 50 Wander 82 skylark68 89 mark f1 225 wattoroos 219 scheivlak 49 Bleu 80 Apex 70 d_view7 203 aray 206 KWSN-DSM 40 HeidfeldsBeard 76 HeidfeldsBeard 62 an1res 160 an1res 200 M2000-5 6 Barty 70 Costaz 46
Rosberg is just one proper result away from a 100% surprise, and Hamilton can still join him if he wins the final two races. Bottas can do it too!
Guesses on P6-P10:
Alonso Vettel Magnussen Maldonado Vergne M2000-5 278 fisichella_2001 204 Kingshark 173 Grayson 72 * Potential 72 HeidfeldsBeard 256 kismet 200 Wander 165 an1res 60 mark f1 40 aray 252 * Potential 199 KWSN-DSM 160 mark f1 60 an1res 35 AcuraF1 235 aray 194 Brawn BGP 001 154 Bleu 57 noikeee 27 an1res 225 skylark68 189 Costaz 154 * Potential 52 wattoroos 27 d_view7 222 AcuraF1 188 Apex 150 wattoroos 50 Anderis 26 fisichella_2001 217 scheivlak 186 scheivlak 149 HeidfeldsBeard 47 * Forecast 25 LB 215 Makarias 184 Fastcake 147 Anderis 46 Iranie 22 Costaz 210 DutchQuicksilver181 Estwald 146 Fastcake 38 * Current 22 Fastcake 209 Bleu 180 Barty 135 Wander 38 KWSN-DSM 20 Barty 204 HeidfeldsBeard 172 HeidfeldsBeard 132 Estwald 33 fisichella_2001 16 Anderis 201 LB 170 Wlleiotl 120 noikeee 33 aray 15 DutchQuicksilver201 d_view7 168 noikeee 119 d_view7 32 Grayson 15 Iranie 200 * Forecast 167 DutchQuicksilver118 DutchQuicksilver 32 Barty 14 kismet 200 mark f1 160 aray 115 Apex 30 DutchQuicksilver 14 * Potential 199 Kingshark 159 Makarias 114 Iranie 30 AcuraF1 13 wattoroos 196 Wander 150 Anderis 112 AcuraF1 29 Brawn BGP 001 13 Wander 195 * Current 149 kismet 110 fisichella_2001 26 Bleu 12 Bleu 194 Costaz 148 LB 110 Brawn BGP 001 24 Kingshark 12 Brawn BGP 001 194 Grayson 145 Bleu 107 kismet 22 scheivlak 12 skylark68 192 Iranie 145 * Potential 103 skylark68 22 Fastcake 11 Apex 190 Barty 138 fisichella_2001 102 aray 20 Apex 10 KWSN-DSM 190 noikeee 136 wattoroos 102 scheivlak 15 d_view7 10 Grayson 184 wattoroos 133 d_view7 101 Kingshark 13 Wlleiotl 10 scheivlak 184 Brawn BGP 001 131 an1res 100 Makarias 12 LB 8 Makarias 183 an1res 130 Grayson 100 KWSN-DSM 10 skylark68 8 Kingshark 178 Apex 110 skylark68 100 LB 10 Estwald 7 mark f1 175 Estwald 106 Iranie 80 Wlleiotl 10 HeidfeldsBeard 7 Wlleiotl 170 Anderis 104 mark f1 75 Costaz 8 kismet 7 * Forecast 167 Fastcake 98 AcuraF1 62 * Current 2 Costaz 6 Estwald 162 KWSN-DSM 80 * Forecast 59 * Forecast 2 Makarias 6 noikeee 162 Wlleiotl 80 M2000-5 55 Barty 0 Wander 5 * Current 149 M2000-5 76 * Current 53 M2000-5 0 M2000-5 3
Some of you may be surprised that Pastor Maldonado is still in F1, he hasn't even crashed into much lately.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- noikeee 1578,3 0,4 Makarias 1569,3 -11,5 kismet 1542,3 -6,2 fisichella_2001 1539,5 -12,2 AcuraF1 1517,8 3,7 skylark68 1510,3 -11,5 Brawn BGP 001 1505,7 -8,7 mark f1 1505,5 -4,0 Bleu 1501,2 -10,4 LB 1498,8 -2,9 d_view7 1496,5 -10,5 scheivlak 1491,5 -12,2 Anderis 1490,5 -9,2 Kingshark 1478,9 -8,4 DutchQuicksilver 1478,6 -6,3 Iranie 1464,0 -3,6 aray 1463,7 -8,5 wattoroos 1462,6 -3,9 Wlleiotl 1461,0 -3,6 Wander 1455,1 -11,3 HeidfeldsBeard 1454,0 -14,4 Estwald 1453,2 -7,3 Grayson 1450,9 -8,9 Apex 1450,8 -2,5 Barty 1449,3 -10,3 M2000-5 1425,1 5,3 KWSN-DSM 1406,9 -8,9 Fastcake 1399,2 -0,1 Costaz 1352,8 -8,2 an1res 1340,5 -2,7
Even the forecast has turned against me! Backstabbing swine of a game this is! I GAVE BIRTH TO YOU FFS!
