The standings after Brazil:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) noikeee 1567 44 2) Makarias 1543 57 3) kismet 1520 53 4) fisichella_2001 1512 57 5) AcuraF1 1501 41 6) Brawn BGP 001 1486 47 7) skylark68 1484 57 8) LB 1483 57 9) mark f1 1482 57 10) Bleu 1474 38 11) Anderis 1468 47 12) d_view7 1465 44 13) scheivlak 1464 57 14) DutchQuicksilver 1457 53 15) Kingshark 1455 53 16) Iranie 1449 43 17) wattoroos 1445 43 18) aray 1442 57 19) Estwald 1439 47 20) Apex 1437 43 21) Barty 1436 28 22) Wander 1434 33 23) Wlleiotl 1432 48 24) Grayson 1431 47 25) HeidfeldsBeard 1425 42 26) M2000-5 1403 65 27) Fastcake 1387 47 28) KWSN-DSM 1375 48 29) Costaz 1334 47 30) an1res 1317 41
Awesome hero Makarias bravely chases evil mastermind noikeee while the rest of the field is amazed to see that they all have unique scores right now.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Ricc 257,0 157,4 30 Verg 153,1 53,7 24 Bott 136,1 91,2 27 Hami 129,5 92,5 29 Rosb 128,5 106,7 30 Vett 107,3 77,6 16 Hülk 95,0 65,0 11 Mass 79,1 48,0 7 Alon 77,5 56,3 0 Pere 76,7 46,5 8 Kvya 71,6 22,2 13 Butt 69,2 44,4 2 Magn 46,3 31,6 0 Bian 45,1 7,7 11 Räik 30,8 19,8 0 Gros 17,6 8,8 1 Mald 6,8 2,7 2
Nico Rosberg becomes the second 100% surprise of 2014!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2014 this is 30.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Rosberg Hamilton Massa Button Vettel * Potential 342 M2000-5 360 M2000-5 203 Costaz 238 fisichella_2001 204 * Forecast 335 * Potential 359 Wlleiotl 200 Barty 237 kismet 200 * Current 317 * Forecast 353 Estwald 180 Apex 230 aray 194 M2000-5 296 * Current 334 KWSN-DSM 169 Brawn BGP 001 224 skylark68 189 Barty 292 Apex 324 noikeee 169 Fastcake 221 AcuraF1 188 noikeee 271 LB 320 wattoroos 153 LB 200 scheivlak 186 Apex 270 noikeee 298 DutchQuicksilver142 Estwald 177 * Potential 184 Wlleiotl 270 Brawn BGP 001 284 Iranie 140 Wander 171 Makarias 184 HeidfeldsBeard 268 Bleu 280 kismet 140 scheivlak 162 DutchQuicksilver181 Estwald 266 AcuraF1 275 LB 140 KWSN-DSM 160 Bleu 180 skylark68 265 fisichella_2001 275 AcuraF1 133 noikeee 155 HeidfeldsBeard 172 Bleu 255 kismet 270 aray 130 Kingshark 151 LB 170 Makarias 255 Anderis 268 Makarias 126 Wlleiotl 150 d_view7 168 Anderis 254 skylark68 268 * Potential 123 skylark68 149 * Forecast 168 scheivlak 254 Wander 265 Fastcake 121 DutchQuicksilver146 mark f1 160 LB 250 scheivlak 258 an1res 120 Makarias 146 Kingshark 159 Kingshark 248 wattoroos 255 Anderis 119 HeidfeldsBeard 145 * Current 159 Fastcake 246 Fastcake 252 Costaz 119 kismet 145 Wander 150 d_view7 245 Wlleiotl 250 mark f1 115 aray 140 Costaz 148 mark f1 245 DutchQuicksilver248 scheivlak 113 M2000-5 140 Grayson 145 AcuraF1 242 Makarias 248 Grayson 105 * Potential 131 Iranie 145 fisichella_2001 242 Kingshark 247 * Forecast 103 Grayson 125 Barty 138 kismet 240 Grayson 245 skylark68 102 Iranie 125 noikeee 136 Brawn BGP 001 236 Estwald 242 Brawn BGP 001 100 wattoroos 119 wattoroos 133 DutchQuicksilver234 HeidfeldsBeard 240 fisichella_2001 100 mark f1 115 Brawn BGP 001 131 Wander 233 Barty 239 * Current 98 fisichella_2001 113 an1res 130 Costaz 229 aray 238 Kingshark 94 Anderis 112 Apex 110 Iranie 227 KWSN-DSM 238 Apex 90 * Forecast 112 Estwald 106 KWSN-DSM 225 Costaz 237 d_view7 85 Bleu 110 Anderis 104 Grayson 220 Iranie 227 Wander 82 d_view7 110 Fastcake 98 wattoroos 219 mark f1 225 Bleu 80 * Current 106 KWSN-DSM 80 aray 206 d_view7 203 HeidfeldsBeard 76 an1res 100 Wlleiotl 80 an1res 200 an1res 160 Barty 70 AcuraF1 79 M2000-5 76
Hamilton can't score a 100% surprise anymore...
Guesses on P6-P10:
Alonso Räikkönen Hülkenberg Magnussen Bottas M2000-5 278 M2000-5 267 skylark68 122 Kingshark 173 * Potential 181 HeidfeldsBeard 256 d_view7 258 KWSN-DSM 110 Wander 165 Wlleiotl 170 aray 252 AcuraF1 215 Makarias 110 KWSN-DSM 160 KWSN-DSM 168 AcuraF1 235 Barty 204 Costaz 109 Brawn BGP 001 154 * Forecast 165 an1res 225 Costaz 203 * Potential 105 Costaz 154 noikeee 160 d_view7 222 Iranie 200 Kingshark 102 Apex 150 * Current 156 fisichella_2001 217 Wander 192 an1res 100 scheivlak 149 Barty 145 LB 215 Fastcake 188 Estwald 98 Fastcake 147 AcuraF1 144 Costaz 210 DutchQuicksilver179 scheivlak 96 Estwald 146 Iranie 140 Fastcake 209 HeidfeldsBeard 178 Anderis 94 Barty 135 Anderis 137 Barty 204 Kingshark 177 Brawn BGP 001 92 HeidfeldsBeard 132 Makarias 132 Anderis 201 wattoroos 177 fisichella_2001 92 Wlleiotl 120 d_view7 130 DutchQuicksilver201 an1res 175 Grayson 92 noikeee 119 wattoroos 130 Iranie 200 Bleu 171 aray 90 DutchQuicksilver118 Estwald 121 kismet 200 LB 165 HeidfeldsBeard 88 aray 115 fisichella_2001 121 wattoroos 196 Anderis 164 d_view7 85 Makarias 114 an1res 120 Wander 195 KWSN-DSM 163 mark f1 85 Anderis 112 LB 120 Bleu 194 Apex 160 * Forecast 84 kismet 110 Brawn BGP 001 118 Brawn BGP 001 194 aray 160 Fastcake 83 LB 110 scheivlak 116 skylark68 192 Grayson 155 Wander 82 Bleu 107 Grayson 110 Apex 190 Makarias 153 Wlleiotl 80 fisichella_2001 102 Wander 107 KWSN-DSM 190 scheivlak 152 * Current 80 wattoroos 102 M2000-5 106 Grayson 184 mark f1 150 Iranie 75 d_view7 101 Fastcake 101 scheivlak 184 Wlleiotl 150 kismet 75 an1res 100 Bleu 100 Makarias 183 fisichella_2001 148 DutchQuicksilver 71 Grayson 100 kismet 100 * Potential 182 skylark68 148 Apex 70 skylark68 100 DutchQuicksilver 96 Kingshark 178 kismet 145 wattoroos 68 * Potential 80 Kingshark 96 mark f1 175 Estwald 135 M2000-5 67 Iranie 80 aray 95 Wlleiotl 170 noikeee 121 noikeee 65 mark f1 75 mark f1 90 * Forecast 166 Brawn BGP 001 111 Bleu 63 AcuraF1 62 skylark68 89 Estwald 162 * Potential 78 AcuraF1 61 * Forecast 58 Apex 70 noikeee 162 * Forecast 56 LB 60 M2000-5 55 HeidfeldsBeard 62 * Current 157 * Current 53 Barty 42 * Current 55 Costaz 46
...but Bottas can, all he needs is a podium finish! Kimi's season looks bad on paper, but on telly it has barely been visible.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- noikeee 1595,6 17,3 Makarias 1585,5 16,2 kismet 1558,5 16,2 fisichella_2001 1551,6 12,1 AcuraF1 1530,6 12,8 skylark68 1525,1 14,8 LB 1518,4 19,6 mark f1 1518,4 12,9 Brawn BGP 001 1516,7 11,0 scheivlak 1507,1 15,6 Bleu 1505,3 4,0 Anderis 1503,4 12,9 d_view7 1500,2 3,6 DutchQuicksilver 1495,2 16,6 Kingshark 1483,8 4,8 aray 1482,3 18,6 Iranie 1478,8 14,8 wattoroos 1476,0 13,4 Wlleiotl 1470,4 9,4 Estwald 1468,9 15,7 Grayson 1465,2 14,3 HeidfeldsBeard 1462,1 8,1 Wander 1459,8 4,7 Apex 1458,3 7,5 Barty 1457,1 7,8 M2000-5 1444,6 19,5 KWSN-DSM 1417,9 10,9 Fastcake 1417,1 17,8 Costaz 1367,7 14,9 an1res 1346,6 6,1
Forecasts liked the nice results for Button and Massa.
MAKARIAS VS NOIKEEE SUPER PREVIEW
Helpful drivers for noikeee:
*Bottas, up to four points
*Vergne, up to five points
*Kvyat, up to nine points
*Lotus drivers, if they score points to the level of hell freezing over
*24 points lead going into the final round is well nice
Helpful drivers for Makarias:
*Vettel, any points scored
*Alonso, any points above five
*Hülkenberg, any points scored
*Perez, any points scored
*Sauber drivers if they do well enough, but hell would freeze over first I guess...
All in all the situation looks tricky for me, but strange things have happened at season finales before!
Also note that the stupid double points rule is not implemented in this game because it's stupid like I just said.
